The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast on Patrick Mahomes

PodcastNFL Betting Playground | Week 1September 11, 2026

From the episode

Patrick Holmes is back, but it's his first game back from the ACL injury. No preseason yet. We know how that goes with quarterbacks. You see a lot of rust, especially first half in games.

Mentioned at 10:17 – 13:33

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Mahomes faces rust and O-line issues, favoring the under in Monday's matchup

Patrick Mahomes is coming off an ACL injury with no preseason work, leading to expectations of rust, particularly in the first half. Additionally, the Chiefs' offensive line is compromised with left tackle Josh Simmons out, forcing undrafted rookie Khalil Benson into the lineup, which creates a difficult matchup against Denver's pass rush. Mahomes has historically trended toward the under as a home favorite, hitting the under in 76% of games since 2022.