From the video
You have a 54 point overunder and you have Jameson Williams as a fringe wide receiver three. Like as bad as Jameson Williams has been, he's wide receiver 32 in XFP or in fantasy points per game. He's wide receiver 11 in XFP per game. Green Bay allows the third fewest deep yards per game to wide receivers. They are giving up the six most fantasy points per game to outside wide receivers. Jameson Williams gets good signal in too high. His yards for target goes up, yards for run goes up, his uh target share goes up.
Mentioned at 36:57 – 39:27Captured by STACKED 11 hr after posting
STACKED’s take
Positive signalProjection
Williams underpriced at WR34; WR11 in XFP with WR4 ceiling vs. Green Bay
Jameson Williams is ranked WR34 in median projection but WR32 in fantasy points per game and WR11 in expected fantasy points (XFP) per game—a significant discrepancy suggesting his projection is too low. Against Green Bay, which allows the third-fewest deep yards per game to wide receivers but gives up the sixth-most fantasy points per game to outside receivers, Williams gets strong signal in two-high looks with improved yards per target, yards per route, and target share. The 54-point game over-under supports upside potential. His ceiling outcome is approximately WR4 with roughly 10% hit rate, significantly higher than his median projection.
Jameson WilliamsWR · DETPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insightMore on Jameson Williams and from Fantasy Points Fantasy Football
Flock Fantasy
Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden
Zain Dhanani
Kyle
Yahoo Fantasy Football
Pride Of Detroit