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NFL DFS Deep Dive on Jameson Williams

PodcastNFL Week 3 BEST Kept Secrets For Winning at DFS | Outside The Box
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He is underperforming his expected fantasy points, his volume by the most of any wide receiver. It's a negative 8.8 fantasy point over expectation mark. And a lot of it is his own fault. He has a 25% drop rate this year.
Mentioned at 58:56 – 60:40

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Williams' 25% drop rate and -8.8 FPPOE make him a fade despite the Jets' deep-ball weakness.

Williams is underperforming his expected fantasy points by the most of any wide receiver (negative 8.8 fantasy points over expectation) due to a 25% drop rate this year. While the Lions face the Jets, who allow the lowest receiving yards per game on deep balls (27.5 yards per game, 20+ yards downfield) going back to the start of last season, Williams' execution issues and role disadvantage versus Sam Laporta make him a fade. Historically, Laporta has out-targeted Williams and maintained a better role in every game and split they've both played.

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