From the video
Caleb Douglas is going to be back from his ankle injury this week. He had been significantly eating into Malik Washington. And I actually just want to make this point because the last game the Dolphins played, I kept getting infinity Malik Washington in my runs in in my sim runs. So, I would like to bump him down from 24% to about 21%
STACKED’s take
NeutralProjection
Target share cut from 24% to 21% with Douglas returning; Dolphins efficiency concern
Malik Washington's target share is being adjusted downward from 24% to 21% due to Caleb Douglas' return from injury. Davis Mattek noted simulation model volatility (infinity projections) in prior runs, prompting the conservative downward revision. However, Washington's target share has remained above 22% all season and above 27% for 3 of 5 weeks; the real issue is Dolphins offensive efficiency—targets on Miami are worth significantly less than targets on functioning NFL teams.
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