Davis Mattek on Jaylen Waddle

Waddle projects 14 pts but Bo Nix variance (11-32% targets) creates inconsistency.

Waddle projects for 14 points with 24% target share and 64% catch rate; the underlying metrics (routes, targets) are solid, but production has been inconsistent, creating frustration despite the projection being sound. He had 8 catches for 130 yards in week two but has struggled since. The variance in Bo Nix's play is cited as the primary culprit—Nix's target distribution to Waddle ranges from 11–14% in some weeks to 26–32% in others, creating unpredictability that undermines Waddle's fantasy value despite solid underlying metrics.

Jaylen WaddleWR · DENPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight