Davis Mattek on J.K. Dobbins

Dobbins is Payton's priority target; projects 13 pts despite 3% target share.

Under Sean Payton's play-calling, JK Dobbins has become a priority target; he projects for 13 points despite only a 3% target share, which is unusual but reflects Payton's offensive philosophy prioritizing getting the ball to Dobbins more frequently. Dobbins' target share has increased in recent weeks, but his route participation has not risen proportionally; the source attributes this to Bo Nix checking down to him more frequently rather than a structural role expansion, suggesting the uptick in targets is a byproduct of Nix's short-passing tendencies rather than a sustainable increase in offensive involvement.

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