From the video
even if like we acknowledge this is one of the best wide receivers of all time, he's still like at a stat such as that is like it's not just him outperforming. It's also the quarterback's dramatically outperforming. Uh 90% of his air yards have been catchable air yards. I think Matthew Golden is at like 63%.
Mentioned at 6:27 – 6:56Captured by STACKED 9 hr after posting
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Elite WR faces regression risk; 90% catchable air yards vs. 70% avg.
Despite being acknowledged as one of the best wide receivers of all time, regression to the mean analysis suggests downside risk. The source notes that 90% of his air yards have been catchable air yards compared to 70% average for wide receivers with similar air yard volume, and his quarterback is also dramatically outperforming (Matthew Golden at 63% catchable air yards). Both player and passer efficiency gains may not sustain, creating a compounding regression risk.
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