From the episode

he's opened the season as the quarterback 27 and the quarterback 25...those two defenses actually rank like the top two in terms of defensive EPA so far this season and DVOA...he had nine outings where he played at least 85 percent of the snaps. He never finished lower than QB 17 in those games...only once all year was he below 14 fantasy points...the first two games, those are weak losing performances...I have him right now as QB 14. And I don't have a lot of faith that this is going to be the spot where he all of a sudden blows back up.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Drake May's weak start suggests lower floor than expected; ranked QB 14 for week 3.

May opened the season as QB 27–25 against top-two EPA/DVOA defenses (Seattle, Pittsburgh), and faces Jacksonville with only a 21.5-point team total and without AJ Brown. Despite a strong rookie floor (never below QB 17 in 85%+ snap games) and QB 3 finish last year with only one sub-14 fantasy point game all season, May has posted weak performances in weeks 1–2, suggesting a lower floor than previously thought. Matt Harmon projects him as QB 14 for week 3 with limited confidence in a bounce-back against Jacksonville.

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