From the episode
JK Dobbins. He's running back 25... four spots out of consensus that have him as running back 29... The underlying metrics are horrible... JK Dobbins is 40th in success rate, 33rd in 10 plus yard rate, 39th in yards after contact per attempt... he has seen the most red zone carries, obviously, on the team with six of them... the 49ers defense is going to be without Nick Bosa... Jeremiah Love was the RB7 last week... Kenneth Walker went for 34 points... I still just feel comfortable that like on, you know, the two yard line, JK Dobbins is going to get the carries.
STACKED’s take
Dobbins' matchup vs. injured 49ers defense supports RB25 ranking despite poor efficiency metrics.
Ranked RB25 this week, four spots above consensus (RB29), on the road against the 49ers who will be without Nick Bosa and are down three defensive tackles and two other edge rushers. Despite poor underlying metrics—40th in success rate, 33rd in 10+ yard rate, 39th in yards after contact per attempt among 42 RBs with 20+ carries—the 49ers' defensive injuries create a favorable matchup; Jeremiah Love scored RB7, Devon Achan RB16, Kyron Williams RB16, and Kenneth Walker 34 points against this defense in recent games. Dobbins has seen the most red zone carries on his team (six) and is projected for 67.5 total yards; the source views him as the goal line favorite and feels comfortable with his two-yard-line usage despite Jonah Coleman's absence.
J.K. DobbinsRB · DENPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight