From the episode
Denzel Boston's at 18%... his target shares 24%. Denzel Boston's at 19%... it's not going to be as powerful of a fantasy performance... it's still a little difficult for me to assume that it's going to continue to this rate when Deshaun Watson's their quarterback.
STACKED’s take
Positive signalUsage
Boston's deep-ball conversion masks lower target share; more volatile than Concepcion.
Boston is converting on deep looks at a high rate, but his target share (19%) and target-per-route-run rate (18%) lag behind comparable receivers like Casey Concepcion (24% target share, 25% target-per-route-run). JJ Zachariason notes Boston's profile is more volatile than Concepcion's, with a wider range of weekly outcomes; if his down-field conversion rate regresses, fantasy production will suffer. Deshaun Watson's inconsistency (strong first half, worse second half) adds uncertainty to Boston's ceiling.
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