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NFL DFS Deep Dive on George Pickens

PodcastNFL Week 4 BEST Kept Secrets For Winning at DFS | Outside The Box
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george pickens as my favorite play uh then probably t higgins then chase then cd um obviously you're you're playing both of them in the respective doubles and everything but yeah just as a one-off pickens is the most interesting to me
Mentioned at 62:18 – 63:50

STACKED’s take

Positive signalMatchup

Pickens' elite single-high splits and Texans' coverage tendencies make him a regression candidate.

Pickens is the favorite play among the Bengals receivers as a one-off; the Texans are very single-high heavy over the past 10 weeks, which is massive for Pickens—his target share goes up to 28% versus single-high coverage, his yards per hour run against single-high ranks third-best at the position behind only Puka Nakua and Jackson Smith-Njigba, and his target per hour run nearly doubles compared to against two-high; Pickens has the same number of targets and red zone targets as CD Lamb this year but is separated by 16 points per game in production, suggesting regression is coming; at $6,300 he's a great play in this matchup.

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