From the episode
Rookie running backs don't typically see high target shares unless they're only playing a satellite back role. Since 2016, there have been just 9 rookie running backs that hit a 50% rush share per game rate and a target share above 10%. Only 5 of those players had at least a 12% target share.
STACKED’s take
Positive signalProjection
Rookie RBs rarely combine 50% rush share with 10%+ target share; Love faces historical headwinds.
JJ Zachariason reflects on his process error with Travion Henderson last year, when he overestimated pass-catching work for a rookie running back. He notes that since 2016, only 9 rookie running backs have achieved both a 50% rush share and above 10% target share in the same season, and only 5 of those hit 12%+ target share. This historical context suggests rookie RBs rarely see high target shares unless in satellite roles, cautioning against similar assumptions with Jeremiah Love.
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