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NFL DFS Deep Dive on Jared Goff

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Jared Goff, you know, we typically like to play him in home games. But you know what's even better than that is Jared Goff in games with an over-under, over 50. That's always been money. Cardinals play too high, 73% of the time. Jared Goff, since 2024, second-best EPA per dropback against too high.
Mentioned at 54:55 – 55:46

STACKED’s take

Positive signalMatchup

Goff's 50+ over-under track record and too-high EPA edge make him elite in this shootout.

In games with over-under over 50, Goff has historically been money; this Lions-Cardinals matchup qualifies with an over 50 line. Goff has the second-best EPA per dropback against too-high coverage since 2024, and Cardinals play too-high 73% of the time. The Lions-Cardinals game is projected as a mega pass-heavy shootout with both teams exploitable via the pass.

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