From the episode
Emmanuel Wilson had a very strong role last week, and he should again here in a spot where Seattle is favored by three... Last week, he was at a 76% backfield XFP share. That ranked top eight among all running backs on the week. But we have seen in negative game scripts... George Helani playing more snaps, running more routes at the end of that game after Jadarian Price had left than Emmanuel Wilson.
STACKED’s take
Wilson's 76% backfield share works only if Seahawks lead; fades if trailing.
Emmanuel Wilson had a very strong role last week and should maintain it in Week 5 against the 49ers, who allow the sixth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to opposing running backs and are the most extreme run funnel by pass rate over expectation in the NFL. Last week, Wilson was in an every-down bell cow role with a 76% backfield XFP share, ranking top eight among all running backs. However, his ceiling depends on game script: if the Seahawks are leading, he maintains high usage; if trailing, George Helani takes over more snaps and routes. At $5,300, Wilson is an awesome play if the Seahawks control the game, and can be stacked with the Seahawks defense at $2,800.
Emanuel WilsonRB · SEAPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight