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Jameson Williams versus the New England Patriots. Wide receiver 19, projecting for 13.3 fantasy points. Since week four, Jameson Williams is a fringe wide receiver one by fantasy points per game, XFP per game. New England is giving up 6.4 schedule adjusted fantasy points per game to outside wide receivers. That ranks second worst... It all comes down to Christian Gonzalez.
STACKED’s take
WR14 projection vs. WR19 consensus; fringe WR1 since week 4 vs. vulnerable Patriots secondary
WR19 projection for 13.3 fantasy points; fringe WR1 by fantasy points per game and xFP per game since week four. New England gives up 6.4 schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to outside WRs (second worst). The source ranks Williams WR14 (vs. consensus WR19). Williams had at least 16 fantasy points in four straight games before last week's Dolphins matchup. The game profiles as a shootout with a close spread and high over/under. Key volatility factor: Christian Gonzalez's health and shadowing assignment. If Gonzalez is fully healthy and shadows, Williams faces significant downside risk; however, Gonzalez gave up 151 receiving yards on 11 catches last week and was eviscerated by Christian Watson. Carlton Davis is out, leaving Patriots vulnerable on the perimeter. Williams is much better against man coverage throughout his career, which favors this matchup on paper. Patriots give up just 60 yards per game on deep passes (bottom three).
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