0:00The New York Jets pass catchers Adai Mitchell and Omar Cooper Jr. have a dream match up against the Buffalo Bills. Projecting Omar Cooper Jr. is the
0:08wide receiver 29 and Adai Mitchell as the wide receiver 35. Scott, this is a dream matchup, but this might not be the
0:15best matchup of the week. [music] What do you think?
0:18>> Yeah, it's he's not our super special secret superstar. I'll tell you that.
0:23Okay, someone our super special secret start might not be someone on your radar, but we're going to tell you who that is here on Fantasy Football Daily.
0:32Scott, can you tilt your camera down a little bit?
0:36Duct tape that sucker so it stops moving. Or is your floor moving? Maybe it's your floor. Those Austin houses.
0:43And he gets up and walks away. You got to be kidding me.
0:47Oh, knocking stuff over.
0:50Kick those wires.
0:53Y bish.
0:55Can you get Can we get the energy high?
0:58Like I know two recordings in one day is hard for you, but yeah.
1:04There we go. Do that again. Open your mouth wide and shake your head.
1:07>> Oh no. I don't want to be turned into a meme.
1:10>> I know I had you tilt your camera down, but you might have tilted it down a little too much. You just want to look
1:15kind of like how Brett is. Just a little bit of head room.
1:22probably a little too [laughter] much.
1:25>> Is this a is just a bit you guys?
1:28>> That looks good. That's >> little little to the left.
1:31>> Yeah, right.
1:31>> Uh back to the right.
1:39>> Are you serious?
1:41What?
1:43That's awesome. That's so sick.
1:48>> [music] >> Okay, YouTube subscribers, [music] you already know why we're the best YouTube channel on the planet, helping you win
1:56win fantasy leagues every single day.
1:58Make sure you hit like, leave us a reply, tell us your biggest start, set questions. For those that are new here,
2:04make sure you turn not subscribe, turn notifications on. Don't miss a single video from Scott Barrett and myself, Brett Whitefield. All right, Scott,
2:13let's break it down.
2:15Are we revealing our start of the week first or last? That's the question I want to know.
2:20>> You got to save that.
2:22>> Okay, we'll save it. We'll save it. All right. So, we're going to give you top plays at quarterback to start this a new
2:26format. By the way, if you're if you're a a listener who's been here since the beginning, if you're a day one, we're
2:32playing with some new things. I know we were going, you know, kind of a a hit shoot from the hip format early in the
2:38year, then we went to a game by-game breakdown. Now, we're doing a live on Thursdays with a pre-record on Fridays talking about our top plays of the week.
2:46So, we're going to dive right in. QBs.
2:49>> So, yeah, Tyler Chuck, I I think this is one of the craziest stats I I found was um so I've been saying on some of the
2:57other shows, if you just throw out the Minnesota Vikings for every player at every position, >> your numbers are going become better,
3:03more predictive. It's just like the Vikings defense is that nice. And so it's just, you know, the the happen stance, the the misfortune of playing
3:11the Brian Flores Vikings. Uh and so if you throw that out for every single player, uh you know, Minnesota games, you know, playing against them. Uh Tyler
3:22Shuck leads all quarterbacks in XFP per game and he ranks fourth in fantasy points per game, 21.8 just behind Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Brock Perie. And so
3:32yeah, people are going to see this QB5 and they're like, "What? What?" I honestly that checks out to me and I
3:37said this on our live show. I said this is maybe my favorite game from a DFS perspective. I really like the odds of
3:44this Saints Panthers game going over uh you know up against maybe the worst run defense in football. Maybe the Panthers lean more on the run, but you know, you
3:54have Audrey Estim at at running back. I think the the Saints kind of have to lean through the air and what I think is
4:00going to be a pass heavy shootout. It's uh And by the way, Shuck Shuck destroyed this Panthers defense last year. He 9.4
4:09yards per pass attempt. He averaged like 280 yards per game on fewer than 30 pass attempts per game in their two meetings
4:17last year. It's a top 12 matchup on paper. It's a uh Yeah, I I I like this and I feel good about it.
4:26>> Yeah, I I like this too. Um, you know, going back to week four, you know, against the Lions, the Carolina Panthers
4:33pass defense has been awful. I think there's, and that's including a game against Baker Mayfield and Jaylen Daniels, who had a ton of issues with
4:42their pass game. So, I I definitely think this is a great matchup. I I love your call on this going over. I think
4:48early in the season, everyone would have expected this to go over, but both teams have had some weird game scripty type
4:53stuff since then. So, I think it's kind of off people's radar as a shootout game, but this should be a shootout game
4:58for sure.
4:59>> Yeah, >> let's go uh let's go running backs.
5:03>> Let's do it.
5:03>> And we have we have a mixed bag here.
5:05Starting with Chuba Hubard, who's projecting as our RB5.
5:09Now, it's weird for a start sit show to have a guy RB5 as someone we're talking about. But we both really like this
5:15matchup. The New Orleans Saints just traded their best run stuffing defensive tackle in Devon Godsho. He's now with the Jacksonville Jaguars. And so a bad
5:25run defense gets better. Plus the volume and the script of this game should dictate Chuba has an awesome performance. Scott.
5:33>> Yeah. And again, this is this is probably my game of the week. Like I I don't think it's going to finish, you
5:39know, a top all teams in in combined points or anything like that. It's just relative to expectations. These are the two fastest
5:47teams by seconds per play. They're both top five in plays per game. Uh, I see this being a high-scoring shootout.
5:55Hopefully, ideally, uh, but the player with the single best matchup in this entire game has to be Chuba Hubard.
6:01It's, you know, the best running back matchup in football. The New Orleans Saints are giving up 6.5 schedule adjusted rushing fantasy points per game
6:09to opposing running backs. It's the most. They're bottom three in yards before contact per attempt, rushing yards per game, hit rate. So, it's just
6:18a really good matchup for Hubard on the ground. You could potentially worry if New Orleans gets out to a lead, Panthers
6:26are 2.5 point dogs, that maybe, you know, he gets scripted out. But you really saw over the last three weeks, Chuba's target share jumped to 16.2% up
6:35from 5.9. That's an elite mark.
6:37>> And what that says to me is he's really game script uh proof. And so it's you have the really high floor, you have the
6:44safety, you have tremendous ceiling given the great matchup, and yeah, he's not just a start this week. He's an easy top five running back this week, and I
6:54feel great about it.
6:56>> Speaking of elite marks, have you looked at the mirror lately?
7:01>> Yeah. Why you saying you're saying you've been >> saying you're a mark?
7:05>> Why you disagree with this? [laughter] I'm just being stupid.
7:12Uh, next on the list, Bashel Tutin, >> your guy, >> versus Tennessee Titans. Yeah, he's become my guy for sure. You guys have
7:19been cramming him down my throat since week one. I finally gave in, you know.
7:23>> That's right. That's right. Uh, yeah.
7:24Don't read too much into what happened week nine. He was playing through an ankle injury. He should be fully healthy now.
7:30>> The What's that?
7:32>> Don't pay too much attention to what happened last week. I always love that.
7:37Yeah, the should be fully healthy. The maybe monitor practice reports, but um the the he was basically getting about twothirds of the the back field before
7:46that. Uh he has a touchdown in three straight games. Tennessee is an easy top six, top seven matchup on paper looking
7:56at the schedule adjusted stuff. If you factor in no Jeffrey Simmons, maybe even better than that. And so you have J the
8:04Jaguars with a 29 point implied total.
8:06They're favored by 10 and a half points.
8:08Yes, I do think we see Chris Rodriguez in the second half. I don't think it really matters. I think this is really
8:13reminiscent of that Indianapolis Colts game when Tuten had 18 touches, nearly 200 yards from scrimmage, and two touchdowns in a game they won by 35. Um,
8:24and so yeah, you have to start him as a top 10 option this week.
8:29Scott, this this Tennessee defense is is a little bit cursed.
8:33>> You know what's crazy? Going coming out of last year, >> they had arguably a top three defensive tackle duo in the league and Jeffrey
8:40Simmons and Tvandre Sweat. They trade Sweat in the offseason and they trade Simmons after week seven. [snorts] But this run defense,
8:48it allowed Woody Marks to average four yards a carry.
8:52>> This run defense is the defense that's >> 8,000.6 six yards per carry for a normal running back.
8:59>> Scott, it gets better.
9:00>> Yeah, >> this run defense is the defense responsible for Judkins breaking the streak.
9:06>> Oh man.
9:07>> 17 for 96 against Tennessee. Judkins broke the the four yards per carry streak, which was over a calendar year long.
9:15>> That's crazy. That's a great stat, Pre.
9:17>> Yeah. So, my point is this defense sucks. This run defense stinks. And it's gotten worse since Jeffrey Simmons left.
9:23I know like you know on paper early in the year they were okay against the run.
9:28They're really not. They're they're a paper tiger paper house. So let's Toutton's going to smash him. And game script wise you they could be at a point
9:36at halftime where Trevor Lawrence is going to have to throw another pass and at some point they might take Toutin out
9:42and rest him but he's still going to get threequarters of a lot of work I think.
9:45So >> yeah. Yeah.
9:46>> Bing bang boom bada ba boom pow.
9:49>> Oh >> Zack Charbanet Raiders. the Raiders. Um, Zack Charbanet had 17 touches last week.
9:57And we should probably throw Jadarian Price as like an honorable mention here, too. I like both of them to outperform their their current uh status. And if
10:06you're a prop bet player, go ahead and take a look at their props. I think Charburn was like his overunder yesterday was like 60. So, I think
10:14that's really doable against the league's worst run defense. The Raiders, Scott, they are so bad. Um, the last six weeks they're giving up 5.4 yards per
10:25carry allowed to running backs. They've missed 44 tackles on the ground.
10:29>> They've given up 10 rushing touchdowns, a thousand rushing yards to running backs in six weeks.
10:37>> Yeah.
10:37>> Do you know how hard that is to do?
10:39That's that's historically bad. That's worse than the 2024 Carolina Panthers that we picked on every single week with great success. Yeah. play the props and
10:48and start Zack Charbanet with confidence. I think, you know, we're projecting RB19. I wouldn't be shocked at the end of the week if he finishes an
10:54RB1, Scott.
10:56>> Yeah, >> that's where I'm at. They've given up 150 rushing yards in three straight games, by the way.
11:00>> Yeah, and I'm I'm Zach Charban's biggest hater, and I'm right there with you. And it's we're talking about on multiple
11:06fronts. So, yeah, it's a generationally bad run defense. I've been saying that since the James Cook game. It's the worst ever yards before contact per
11:13attempt allowed. They're at 3.03 03 yards before contact allowed.
11:19>> The the 49ers defense are 3.35 yards per carry allowed. It's like uh absolutely insane.
11:26>> Scott, that do you familiar with success rate and how that's calculated?
11:29>> Yeah.
11:30>> So that almost means they're giving up on average a successful run on every play.
11:37>> Almost like right there. Obviously, >> you know, that's not how it actually splits out, but like they're they're right there. That's actually crazy.
11:43>> Yeah. Yeah, it's so it's a really great matchup for both him and Jadarian Price.
11:50The the the Seahawks are also 6.5 point favorites. Drew Lockach is dealing with an injury. So maybe they lean even heavier on the run as they should in
11:58this matchup. But then the other component here is hey like let's not forget like Jarian Price was drafted round one. You really liked him. You
12:06know Zack Charmin I think stinks. I hate him. I'm still so salty over what they did with Kenneth Walker last year. But
12:14uh Zack Charbanet had a 64% backfield carry share last week. That was higher than in any game he played in 2025. That
12:22was just his second game back with an ACL. Uh and he still played 57% of the snaps, 45% route share.
12:29>> They love him, >> right? And so Ryan Heath capitulating in the everything report, quote unquote quote unquote, my priors have been
12:38shaken fairly strongly here. It's, you know, that's that it's Yeah, that's it's it's it's weird. It's scary. It's sad.
12:46It's it's But it is what it is. Zack Sharbon.
12:50>> Can I tell you a dirty little secret?
12:52>> Go ahead.
12:52>> I've liquidated.
12:53>> Don't tell anyone. I promise it'll just be between you and me and no one else.
12:57>> And not on publicly available YouTube podcast format. Um, no one listens to this.
13:02>> I've liquidated almost every Jarian Price Dynasty share I have because of the Zack Sharbon thing.
13:08>> Wow.
13:09it. I couldn't believe what I saw last week. Like I know Jadarian's also working back from Ninja injury.
13:14>> Yeah.
13:15>> But I'm like I'm so paranoid now. I got good value. So it's not like I sold I wasn't selling low on price. I got
13:20basically a good return or better.
13:23>> So I was willing to do it. But I'm so paranoid they're going to do to him exactly what they did to Kenneth Walker.
13:29>> Oh my god. I know. It's so stupid.
13:31Please. Why? Don't do that. Don't do Why are you doing that?
13:34>> And he looks fantastic. By the way, don't let the yards per carry average fool you last week. He looked awesome.
13:39>> Jadarian Price.
13:40>> Yes.
13:41>> This is so stupid. Please, let's not let's not do this again.
13:44>> It's the same situation. They had Price more explosive make you miss guy versus the the three yards in the cloud of
13:52dust, Zack Charbanet. They just prefer staying on schedule, I guess. I don't although Charbanet did force six missed tackles last week, which I'm pretty sure
14:01is a careerhigh for him in the fantasy points data sweet era.
14:04>> Maybe we have to cut this out. Maybe not. This is kind of just for you and me, but I have two tweets here.
14:10>> So, one was I I tweeted out while we were live doing the NFL draft. Jadarian Price is the first running back in NFL
14:18draft history to be drafted in round one or two and never reach 125 touches in a single college football season.
14:27>> Wow.
14:27>> And so, that was one of the big red flags on him. It's very >> Jonathan Brooksesque. You know, the other Jonathan Brooks, you know, stat I
14:34love to read off. But here's the other tweet is that you and I kind of came up with this together in August. If I'm
14:41being completely honest with myself, it's probably 5050. Jarian Price outscores >> Oh boy.
14:47>> Jeremiah Love this year even though current ADP implies only 5%.
14:53>> And he's still going to >> he's the funny thing is he's still going to uh a lot of people were in the
15:00replies are like you're an idiot. You're going to look so stupid, bro. If what is it week 10 he had he had eight full
15:06weeks with zero running back competition. If he stayed healthy and was like anywhere close to a round one caliber talent like he really should
15:14have went off.
15:15>> Yeah. We don't live in that world unfortunately.
15:18>> No.
15:19>> Okay. Moving on. Jaylen Warren vers the Cincinnati Bengals projecting as RB12 15 points.
15:26I think Warren is a absolute smash play this week. Let me give you some data and then I'll let I'll toss it to you. Um,
15:33Bengals last five games are allowing 5.2 yards per carry to running backs. Cincy specifically is horrible against gap runs. These
15:43power counterp lead duo concepts.
15:46Anytime you can seal an alley on the outside, their edge defenders are not built to stop the run. Their linebackers are terrible. You can gash them. And
15:54here's where it gets better. Jaylen Warren, as much as we love him, he's great. He's the gap run extraordinaire, averaging over six yards a carry with a
16:0350% success rate. Top explosive run rate in the league on gap carries. This is what Pittsburgh does. They they are an
16:11alley team. They want to get you in in these sit these fronts where they can gash you with counter with power and duo
16:18and and they're going to take it right to you. And that's when Pittsburgh's been at their best this year is when
16:23they're doing that to teams. So, I love Jaylen Warren this week. What say you?
16:27>> Yeah, man. You don't need much to talk me into Jaylen Warren. I just think he's so good, man. It I don't know if we
16:33could pull it on the screen, but it's like look at this beautiful this beautiful cluster here.
16:41>> The cluster of Chase Brown, Jaylen, or are you saying something else?
16:47>> I'm just waiting for Trey to pull it on the screen.
16:48>> Oh, gotcha.
16:51>> Look at this. Look at that. though.
16:53Look, it's it's all the best running backs in football and it's just two simple stats. It's the the rushing stat and the receiving stat. Yards per carry,
17:02yards per route run. It's not just this year. I know he's running hot, but it's a two-year sample and it's just,
17:08>> yeah, why don't we see Jaylen Warren in the Bejian role, Jaylen Warren in the Jamir Gibbs role? Because when Rico
17:14Dattle went down, he was averaging like 200 yards from scrimmage per game. So >> I feel I feel like convicted that I have
17:23to explain this to the audio only listeners cuz this chart is pure >> sex.
17:27>> Sex. I mean it's so it's a quadrant chart with one axis you have yards for out run. The other axis is yards per
17:34carry. The top right quadrant being the elite of the elite. This is the company Jaylen Warren is in. Jir Gibbs, Kenneth
17:42Walker, Bjan Robinson, and Devon Achan.
17:46Is that Achan or Gordon? Can't read the screen.
17:48>> Han. Yeah. And it's it's like no one else. And even then, it's really just the cluster is is Jir Gibbs, Bejan, and
17:54Jaylen Warren. I label the quadrants can't run, can catch, can't run, can't catch, can run, can't catch, and then the do it all backs. It's like, yeah,
18:04this is this is a bell cow. So, the question I wanted to ask you to to to pivot off of this is, isn't there
18:11something to be said for the running back that is exceptional on the ground and through the air where you're not tipping your play calling hand, you can
18:21put them, you can motion them out, you can create mismatches. And so, I just feel like it's a misstep >> not doing that
18:31>> really. Well, yeah, I agree. But >> I think practically when you look at it, like I'm just trying to get an NFL coach
18:40brain. Jaylen Warren's a smaller guy.
18:42>> Yeah.
18:42>> He's also This is not the first coaching staff to do this with him, >> right? The last coaching staff did the
18:49same thing >> where it was Naja Harris and Jaylen Warren and they routinely favored Naja Harris. Last year even it was Kenneth
18:55Gainwell and Jaylen Warren and Kenneth Gainwell had a massive role in this offense for several weeks with a healthy Jaylen Warren. So, there's got to be
19:03something to that that obviously we we're not privy to. I do think Jaylen Warren's a very talented guy. I also like Rico Dole. So, and I I've been on
19:10record with that pretty clearly. But, yeah. I Does he deserve more touches?
19:13Yes. And I think he's gotten him this year, but it's >> Yeah. So, we continue this. Yeah. So, this is a two-year sample, but like if
19:20you go back since Jaylen Warren came into the league and you do it by miss tackles, force per touch, yards after
19:25contact per attempt, two of the best, most important, most predictive, stickiest running back stats, irrespective of offensive line play, it's like him and Bejian Robinson and no
19:34one else. Like, he's just always been super hyp. And so, like, fantasy dynasty bros have been pulling their hair out.
19:40It's like, why wouldn't you just give this guy >> and he's he's run better than he's ever run. So, you know, just weighing it's
19:47it's not what we want to happen. It's what's most likely to happen still in this matchup. Um I don't know. Chris has him RB12. You
19:56and me, we probably go RB9, RB10.
19:59>> Yeah, I think that's fair.
20:01All right, last running back we're gonna get to today is one Ali Gordon versus the Indianapolis Colts.
20:08>> Wow. RB 13.
20:10>> Yeah, he's projecting that way. Listen, Ali Gordon looks awesome, >> bro. I I disagree, man, on Oh, sorry.
20:20I think he looks awesome. I I disagree on your and Chris's love for him, but I I'll let you make the pitch. Maybe
20:27that's going to I'll I'll feel foolish in a second.
20:30>> Well, I'll say this. Let's start with the matchup. The Colts awful against the run. They're giving up five yards a
20:37carry to running backs on the season.
20:39They got nuked by Jaylen Warren. They got nuked by Baltton. and they got nuked by Javvante Williams. Similar archetype by the way with Oi Gordon. Secondly,
20:47that was all before the Colts decided not to play anymore this season and the Colts went and fires sold their team and
20:54they traded a Josh DS. They traded a DeForest Buckner and they decided they wanted to be less competitive this year.
21:00I don't expect the Colts to be very competitive, right? And so Ali Gordon comes in on a team that just lost their
21:07starting quarterback with a need to establish the run. They're gonna slow the pace of this game down because it's a game they could and maybe should win.
21:15We could argue they've been scrappy and Gordon passes the eye test for me where he looks awesome. I think it's a perfect
21:22storm of matchup versus uh like the Dolphins aren't good, but the Colts aren't either. And so I know that's the big concern. I feel like I can read your
21:31mind. You're going to say, "Well, Kyle McCord stinks. We don't know anything about him. Malik Willis is gone. They're going to be able to just key and load
21:38the box and stop the run." I don't think it matters. I don't think the Colts are capable of doing that.
21:42>> Ah, okay. Well, you beat me to it then.
21:45That's a word for word. Exactly what I was going to say. Cal McCord. [snorts] Um, I think RB13's high, but sh I mean,
21:53hey, >> you know, I'm not I'm I'm not going to die on that hill against you and Chris.
21:57>> You know how pleased I was to see Chris Adam RB13? Cuz I had him in my notes. I was like, this is one of my guys this
22:02week. Went on John's show, talked him up on John's show, and then I open up the projections this morning. I'm like, "Oh
22:08my gosh, Chris is right there with me. I love this." Awesome. Makes me feel good.
22:13You want to head over to some wide receivers?
22:15>> Yeah. I'll just say, hey, I had Corey Ker listed as a start. Uh I know it's not >> You scrapped him. I know, but like
22:23he's probably the most asked, you know, start set of the week. It's like, what do I do with this guy? I I
22:31have him as a lowend RB2. It's a bad matchup. the guy probably stinks, but also the odds of him just falling inside
22:37the end zone are pretty good. So, I think he's like RB20 in my ranks and our projections. So, just >> Well, part of part of it for me too
22:46isn't just the matchup. It's that all the beats are saying Lan Larrison's going to have a big time role.
22:52>> I assume does the pass catching back and he gets like but >> the high value touches. We know we can't
22:57run against the Lions. So, you would need Tiner to catch some passes to pay off his projection.
23:04Do you get what I'm saying? Do you get the angle I'm I'm driving at here?
23:06>> Listen, it's I think he gets 75% of the early down rushing work. And you know, if he get inside the red zone, need to
23:13run it, he he can score a touchdown.
23:16>> He played like 22 snaps the other day.
23:18Uh Larrison.
23:20>> Yeah, he Yeah, but Cory Connor was heavily involved before Raandre went down, before Tvian went down. So >> yeah. So So let's say Connor gets 15
23:28carries for >> Is Lar a white guy, Brett? Let's just see.
23:31>> Of course, his name's Lan.
23:34It's the name of my Wi-Fi.
23:36>> He actually was I was convinced he was going to be one of your your pre-draft darlings, but it ended up being Eli
23:40Hiden Reich.
23:41>> That's right.
23:42>> Who's slightly more white?
23:43>> Dude, Eli Henrik would would go for 200 yards in this game if if he was on the I can't believe the Patriots didn't take
23:49him. Are you kidding me?
23:50>> I know. Josh McDaniels special right there.
23:53>> He'd be in the Hall of Fame if Josh McDaniels took him. All right, let's let's wide receivers.
23:59>> Wide receivers.
23:59>> This is a sick mustache on Lan Larrison, though. I I'm changing my mind. We're all right. Lane Larrison, start of the
24:05week. Sick mustache.
24:08>> All right, let's go. Z Flowers. I don't know that we need a a long prologue on this one. Wide receiver, nine, 17 points
24:17projection. He's awesome. Great matchup.
24:20The the big question is Jacobe Brassette, right?
24:24>> I mean, it's not even a question. It's just like a colossal upgrade from Joey Finano. Who's like >> It's probably an upgrade over Huntleyway
24:31if we're being honest.
24:32>> Four years from now, I'm gonna say the name Joey Faniano. And you're what?
24:35>> What? Who's that?
24:36>> I've never heard that name before.
24:38>> Was he an insync? Was that >> And but I'll remember but I'll remember for how he let >> for how he let down Zay Flowers. Uh
24:46dude, you know how easy I I could get Z Flowers 20 PPR points. You start me at quarterback. Uh but listen, the the
24:52guy's top five in yards for route run.
24:55>> Um and a huge upgrade. Oh, and it's a great matchup. 98 degrees in Backtory Boys.
25:03>> New kids on the block.
25:04>> Yep.
25:05>> Joey Faniano. All right.
25:07>> Parker Washington, the exodia.
25:10>> Yep.
25:10>> To end all Exodas, as you would say.
25:13>> Great matchup. [sighs and gasps] >> He's he's wide receiver 12 in yards per route run. wide receiver, 12 in fantasy
25:20points per route. If he was just running a normal number of routes, I would be looking like a genius.
25:27>> The problem is Jacksonville's playing two quarters per game on offense to every team's four quarters because they're just rolling over everyone.
25:36That's going to happen again, but I kind of don't think it matters. Tennessee is the league's biggest pass funnel over the last five weeks. So even though
25:44teams are just, you know, the game's over at halftime, they're still passing on them a lot. And maybe you could tell
25:51me x's and o's why that makes sense without Simmons now. But, uh, that's what's happening. Uh, and it's also the best matchup on paper. The Titans are
25:59giving up 8.8 schedule adjusted fantasy points per game to wide receivers. It's the most by any defense. Did >> you say, why are teams passing on them
26:06now? Because they don't have Simmons.
26:07>> Yeah. Uh because now you don't have Jeffrey Simmons in your quarterback's lap half a second into a snap.
26:14>> It's true. Yeah, that's a good point.
26:16Yeah.
26:16>> Yeah.
26:17>> Yeah.
26:18>> This matchup is so good it almost it might be too good.
26:23>> You know what I mean? Like you know what I mean? Like it's like this game could legitimately be done at halftime. Now I
26:28will say the Titans have been playing better football the last couple weeks.
26:31>> Yeah.
26:31>> They have um they've shown some resiliency especially on the offensive side. Cam Ward has probably had his two best games of his career the last two
26:38games. So >> may maybe they can >> bar >> well well it's that the point is like if they can keep it relatively close
26:46>> Pard having the two best games of his career.
26:48>> If they can keep it relatively close for like into the third quarter you you definitely get some payoff here.
26:54>> T McMillan versus the New Orleans Saints projecting as wide receiver 15 14.8 fantasy points. I don't really have a lot of notes myself on T so I'll let
27:03this one up. I'll leave it up to you.
27:05Knock on.
27:05>> Yeah, it's again, it's just my conviction in this game going over McMillan.
27:10High-end wide receiver, too, by volume production. The Saints, they're they're soft on the perimeter.
27:16>> That's a little bit more T than it is Coker. Uh, third most schedule adjusted to outside wide receivers, fifth most
27:22yards per game to outside wide receivers. They're giving up the most deep receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers. Second worst
27:29defense at defending the deep ball on an EPA uh per drop back basis. And so uh yeah, I I think you know we have seen
27:39Carolina shift more runheavy um to protect Bryce Young. And this is a great match up for Chuba Hubard, but I I kind
27:45of think there's room for all these guys to to eat perhaps even including Jaylen Coker. But again, given how soft the
27:52Saints are on the perimeter, it's a little bit more McMillan than it is Coker, in my opinion.
27:58>> Fair enough. Jameson Williams versus the New England Patriots. Wide receiver 19, projecting for 13.3 fantasy points.
28:07>> I didn't have a strong take >> on on the Lions pass catchers. I thought maybe it could be an Amanra week because
28:13the the Patriots have been kind of weak to the slot. But, uh, tell me what you got on JO. So, since week four, Jameson
28:20Williams is a fringe wide receiver one by fantasy points per game, XFP per game. Uh, New England is giving up 6.4
28:28schedule adjusted fantasy points per game to outside wide receivers. That ranks second worst. Christian Gonzalez, who got roasted last week, by the way,
28:37probably isn't going to shadow Jameson, right? Probably isn't going to shadow Jameson. And so, that means he has a really good matchup at least most of the
28:45time.
28:46>> I I I don't know. I think he might shadow Jameson.
28:49>> Do you?
28:50>> Well, Carlton Davis is out. He's not making the trip.
28:52>> Yeah, >> that's their other good corner.
28:55>> Yeah.
28:55>> So, I don't know why. I mean, why would you ever waste a rep with Gonzalez on Tesla?
29:06>> Yeah. It's not what Steve has. I mean, the You're not going to shadow Amanra.
29:13Almondra is not >> You can't shadow Amanra. They move him too much. Yeah, >> has never been shadowed because of that.
29:19>> They'll literally if you want to try to shadow him, they'll just put him in the slot for the whole game and he won't
29:24move.
29:25>> Yeah.
29:25>> And then if if you're not shadowing him, they'll put him outside. It's it's I don't know.
29:29>> So So the other stat I had, and I I guess maybe that's the thing is it doesn't matter is uh New England's
29:35giving up just about 60 yards per game on deep passes. That ranks bottom three.
29:41and Jameson up until last week's tough match up against the Dolphins, he had at least 16 fantasy points in four straight games.
29:50This kind of looks like a shootout with the close spread, the high overunder.
29:55Um, and so it really comes down to that Christian Gonzalez matchup, but I mean it did got the guy did get eviscerated
30:02last week.
30:03>> Bro, you're underelling it.
30:05>> Yeah, >> he gave up 151 receiving yards last week.
30:08>> It's probably >> on 11 catches. It's probably double his his next closest like worst game of his career.
30:15>> Yes. 80 yards allowed in one game for a corner is a lot for like an average or a good corner. No, that's a lot for an
30:22average corner. Sorry.
30:25151 is like you don't see that. You don't see a guy get picked on like that.
30:28Especially a guy with his reputation.
30:30And it was Christian Watson. They did try to shadow Watson with him early in the game, too. They moved Watson to the
30:36slot. Gonzalez followed him and Watson just cooked him. I it was a it was a wild game, bro.
30:44>> It makes you wonder if he's broken now and then he doesn't have Carlton Davis on the other side of him. So,
30:48>> right. Well, you see that with cornerbacks is they can just dramatically and just like maybe they pick up an injury that like if you just
30:56see one really bad game, >> it's worth kind of throwing out eight weeks of them being lights out.
31:02Honestly, >> he has been banged up all year too, so it could >> toughest position to play in football.
31:08It's the most volatile. Like when I used to do my studies at PFF, I'm like, "Okay, quarterback is like arguably is
31:15the next most impactful position after quarterback, but it's so volatile yeartoyear. Uh it's not necessarily worth spending a ton of money at the
31:24quarterback position." And so you have all these factors at play for Jameson where on paper it's great. Uh with the deep the deep ball stuff, just playing
31:32on the outside, the schematic's good.
31:34It's a man-heavy matchup. He's much better against man throughout his career.
31:38>> That's a great point.
31:39>> It all comes down to Christian Gonzalez.
31:41And if if this isn't a fully healthy Christian Gonzalez or if he doesn't shadow, this is, you know, what we're saying is there's a lot of volatility
31:48here. So, this might be a good guy for ladder bets.
31:52>> Yeah.
31:52>> Instead of instead of the overunder, Brett, it's the But yeah, anyway, he checks in at wide receiver 19. I'm a
31:59little bit higher on that. Probably wide receiver 14 for me. But >> Scott, you know what else?
32:05>> What's that?
32:06>> Patriots can't really rush the passer either.
32:09>> Yeah.
32:10>> You know what Jared Goff does? The teams that can't rush the passer.
32:12>> That's right. That's right.
32:13>> My god, man. Like you might be on I I wasn't thinking, J, but I I think you've you've >> you tried to take him off the sheet and
32:19>> I did. I actually No, I did take him off the sheet. You put him back on.
32:24So [snorts] >> I was like, well, at least it'll be entertaining for the listeners. So hopefully that was entertaining for the
32:29listeners.
32:31Jeremy Bernard >> for Cincinnati Bengals. Wide receiver 26 11.8.
32:36>> My note here before I throw it to you, DJ Turner is for fantasy purposes is the scariest corner.
32:43>> Yeah.
32:43>> In the NFL and he is going to be shadowed against DK Metaf and he's going to erase DK Metaf from this game.
32:49>> Bro, he's the Exodia killer. He shut down Z. He shut down Parker. He shut down Drake London.
32:54>> And this is this has started last year he's been doing this. He literally >> in fact I'm more scared of him than like
33:02Pat Certain or Derek Stingley or Christian like yeah turner's a killer and teams won't even throw at him. He's so good.
33:09>> Yeah.
33:09>> So no no DK is why I'm high on Jeremy Bernard. I think they're going to have to find >> other solutions to throwing the football
33:17here. Cincinnati notably weak in the slot. Notably weak against tight ends as well. So it's like the middle of that Cincy defense is just poor. and uh uh in
33:27terms of coverage. Anyways, so I I think Bernard now the schematic stuff isn't super sticky here. Like it's a smaller sample. He's been targeted kind of the
33:36same in man zone. So it's not really a man zone thing for me. It's more just Turner's taking out Metaf. Bernard has
33:43to be the the solution to the problem here.
33:46>> Yeah. So the Bengals really profile as an extreme slot funnel. They're really tough on the perimeter. They're giving up the second most yards per game to the
33:54slot, which is where Bernard runs roughly 50% of his routes. Uh the Steelers have shifted way more runheavy because they know they have something
34:02special in Jaylen Warren. They know they kind of need to hide Aaron Rogers a little bit. Uh but even so, he's still
34:09technically averaging 7.6 targets per game in games without Michael Pitman this year. Um so yeah, I I really like this. We fringe wide receiver too this
34:20week and I don't think a lot of people would expect that. Honestly, he might be in available uh in I'm going to guess
34:27available in 33% of leagues. What are you going to guess, Brett?
34:31>> I'll guess he's available in 40% of leagues.
34:35>> Yeah, just about right. So, he's he's rostered in 65% of leagues. So, we were both just just right about there.
34:42>> So, let me ask you this. Jeremy Bernard or Casey Conpsion?
34:45>> I'd go Bernard. Jeremy Bernard or Stefon Diggs?
34:51>> I'd go Diggs probably.
34:52>> Would you? Against the Giants who don't allow any passing yards.
34:58>> Yeah.
34:58>> All right. I I'll give it to you. Jeremy Bernard or Jaylen Coker? You're going to say Coker. Jeremy Bernard or Florenoi.
35:05>> Uh I need to think on that one.
35:08>> Okay. We just need one more to call him a wide receiver, too. That's what I'm trying to get.
35:11>> Yeah. Yeah.
35:12>> We need one more.
35:14>> You All right. Pro probably not over Florenoi.
35:18>> Okay, so he truly is a fringe wide receiver, too. But definitely a startum in your flex spot guy for sure. Adai
35:25Mitchell, let's just do both these at the same time. Adnai Mitchell, Omar Cooper Jr. against the Buffalo Bills.
35:30The Bills pass defense has been egregiously bad. Now, they did just make a big time trade for Ammani Hooker coming over from the Tennessee Titans,
35:38but don't know that they fixed that overnight with him. So Adnai Mitchell projecting as wide receiver 35 10.1 fantasy points. Omar Cooper Jr. wide
35:47receiver 29 11.3. I think before the show you contended that maybe we should pinch these guys in projections a little bit but
35:55>> I would flip them actually.
35:56>> Flip them. Okay. Outright flip. All right.
35:58>> So last week I strongly preferred Omar Cooper >> and this week I prefer Adonai Mitchell >> and and and these projections you're
36:08seeing. So, all starts in three wide receiver leagues. Um, or with Garrett Wilson projected back. The case for Omar Cooper Jr. is he currently ranks top
36:18seven in yards per route run. He had a 34% target share last week. It was the second highest by a rookie in any game
36:25this year. Um, argument for Adonai Mitchell is what's the stat I? It was a good stat. So, in full games this year,
36:34he's averaging 147 airs per game. that would lead all wide receivers.
36:40We talk about this insane airyard role for for Matthew Golden.
36:45>> Mhm.
36:46>> It's even better for Adai Mitchell who's also getting open at a higher rate. All three of the Jets wide receivers are top
36:51three and ass. It's insane. I never seen anything like that. Really impressive.
36:56Adai Mitchell flopped last week, but I called that given the matchup. You called that given the matchup.
37:01Otherwise, he had 60 63 142 yards in three full games. Uh Omar Cooper's a little banged up. Garrett Wilson's a
37:11little banged up. Um and so yeah, last three games 12, 9, seven targets. He's a really volatile guy. He's a lot like
37:19Jame Williams. Um but I'd be putting my chips on on boom a little bit more than Bus. But don't let this debate between
37:27the two wide receivers distract us >> from the big picture item here, which is that this is a great matchup for all
37:33these guys, the Bills, >> uh, bottom six and fantasy points per game. Uh, schedule adjusted fantasy points per game to wide receivers.
37:40They're a little worse on the outside than the inside. So, that's another feather in an eye. Mitchell's >> Yeah, >> there's really actually RA is the only
37:48slot receiver that got him this year.
37:49>> Wow. Okay.
37:51>> Everyone else has been They've been pretty sting. Even Zay's really struggled in the slot. All his production came on the outside in that
37:56game. Well, >> I also go for for DFS, I think, >> just because these guys are so these wide receivers are awesome.
38:05>> Yeah. I I I don't play DFS, but I that would be top of my mind. It's like, how can I get Gino into a lineup with with a
38:12few variety of stacks here?
38:14>> Yeah.
38:15>> You can't you can't stack three receivers from the same team, though, right?
38:19>> No, you're you're probably not going to do that. But you can. You just probably wouldn't.
38:24>> Maybe a good opportunity to to play some Showdown, eh? Huh?
38:27>> Yeah.
38:27>> Huh? You a Showdown guy?
38:29>> No. But you are kind.
38:30>> I used to used to crush Showdown.
38:33>> We've been crushing Showdown. Shout out Brian Rubier, who's the master debater, one of our writers.
38:39>> He's had multiple like 5k hits in a row playing show and he's just like, "Yeah, Chris's projections are awesome. It's
38:45easy."
38:47>> Do you think uh Brian Rubier, the master debater, is a slot ass guy?
38:53I think everyone at Fantasy Points is an ass guy.
38:56>> Slot ass though.
38:57>> Slot. There's wide ass, there's slot, there's man, >> zone ass, >> single ass.
39:08>> All right, tight ends. We We put a a whole one tight end on the list here.
39:13Tight end 15. It It's >> He looks kind of goofy.
39:16>> He That is a weird That is a weird picture.
39:19>> [snorts] >> Uh, Hunter Henry, tight end 15 projecting 9.2 fantasy points this week. Definitely feels like a high-end streaming guy.
39:28Definitely a DFS player, right? But Detroit is so woefully bad against tight ends. They got lucky last week because they played the Miami Dolphins, so there
39:38wasn't any tight end production against them. But New England is a very competent team and and Drake May does throw the ball to tight ends, whether
39:45it's Hunter Henry or Eli Rarden. I I really like him as a streamer. And in fact, it's like, you know, you you could do worse if you
39:54got guys on buy this week, for sure.
39:57>> Yeah.
39:58>> Where are you at on Hunter Henry?
40:00>> Yeah, this one's really easy. Detroit's the best tight end matchup in football by like orders of magnitude.
40:05>> Yeah.
40:06>> Uh Romeo Dobs out. AJ Brown's probably not 100%. So, >> is it 10?
40:13Detroit's given up like a ridiculous amount of touchdowns to tight ends. 11 11 touchdowns to tight ends in eight games. That's I've I've never seen
40:24anything like that, dude.
40:25>> Yeah. So, we like Hunter Henry, but he's not our super special secret start of the week.
40:32>> It's actually >> he's from the same game.
40:35>> Yeah.
40:37>> Start of the week is Deario Pop >> Chism Doug.
40:42Demario Pop Douglas. Um, and the reason for that is that this Detroit Lions defense, they're bad against slot receivers, too. Their linebackers have
40:52really struggled in coverage this year, and teams have gone at them at the slot and tight end position. And Douglas is
40:58on an absolute heater right now. He has emerged as the wide receiver one with AJ Brown being hurt, with Romeo Dobs being
41:04hurt. Brown might be back this week, but I don't even think it matters. Detroit's been weak against the slot. Douglas is
41:12he's been awesome. Um what is he third in overall ass?
41:16He's a man killer as well. That's a huge schematic advantage in this game. The Lions have gone back to playing a ton of
41:23man coverage the last four weeks after a really bad start to the season. Demar Douglas has the I'm pretty sure he has
41:29the highest yards per route run against man. Is that is that not true? Four 4.6 or something like that. He also has the
41:34highest separation score against man.
41:36Dude dude's a freak. He is like if you're going to play man against Bob Douglas, you just you're losing that down. You're conceding it. It's over.
41:43Down over. Pop Douglas wins.
41:45>> He's really popping on every So he is a tremendous man beater. Only JSN is higher in yards per rout against man
41:53over the last two years. But he's 3.43.
41:56That's more than double as 1.61 against zone. Detroit is giving it the second most schedule adjusted fantasy points per game to slot wide receivers. The
42:05most yards per game to slot wide. That's where he runs 83% of his routes. Um he's been kind of on fire. He is 16.5 fantasy
42:14points in four of his last five games.
42:16Over the span top 15 in yards per game, fantasy points per game. Finally saw wide receiver one target volume last week. Nine targets, caught five for 102
42:27yards. Uh he has 11 deep targets, which is kind of crazy. That's 13th among all wide receivers. Especially shocking for an 80% slot guy.
42:38>> That's like 11, bro. Yeah, Detroit getting hemorrhaged in uh deep 49 deep yards per game allowed. That's bottom six. Uh yeah, so it's just like I love
42:48stacking these positive trends and so we just stack so many of them here and like yeah, let's not lose sight of the one
42:54thing we kept talking about was the Josh McDaniel slot role, how valuable that is historically.
43:01>> That's we we were like I think it's Romeo Dobs. I think Romeo Dobs and no it's Pop Douglas. And guess what? You
43:08know, we were wrong on the player, right on the value of the role. That happens sometimes. And so, it all comes together
43:14here for the super special secret start of the week.
43:17>> Heck yeah. Pop Douglas, man beater extraordinaire, which is better than being Josh Jacobs if we're being honest.
43:28>> Oh boy.
43:28>> Speaking of which, we do need to address something. An elephant in the room. Uh >> oh.
43:32>> Well, Josh Jacobs, we had a bet on the line last week.
43:35>> Did we?
43:36>> About Josh Jacobs. I don't even remember what it was. Yeah.
43:39>> Over or under? 14 fantasy points.
43:42>> You bet the over. I bet the under.
43:44>> Oh, he got hurt. Come on.
43:45>> I know. I'm not I'm not claiming I won.
43:47Oh, whoa, whoa, whoa. I'm not claiming I won. There's a reason we waited till today to address it. It's cuz the the
43:52bets moot.
43:53>> Technically.
43:54>> Yeah.
43:55>> Is it a push? Cuz if it's a push, >> then Motion Man has earned himself a segment.
44:01>> Whoa. You're right.
44:03>> Yeah, >> you're right. You're right. Okay.
44:06So, so motion man Trey, you got to be prepared for next week. You're getting a segment.
44:12>> That's awesome.
44:13>> All right.
44:13>> Put Put me in, coach.
44:15>> We got it. What is it? A Pokemon card something.
44:18>> Uh yeah. Yeah. Some some type of Pokemon card uh market report maybe or something. So >> Oh, I like that. Do you want to know how
44:25much we're being spied on by social media? Trey, I have never once searched Pokemon card YouTube content one time.
44:34That's not true. You have like 10 kids who are definitely on your computer. No, >> no, no, no. That they're not allowed on
44:39anything that has work stuff just because >> Okay. Okay.
44:42>> I never know what you're going to say to me in a message. You know what I mean?
44:44Like that's um Anyways, uh and Betray and I we talk about Pokemon cards on the phone and somehow YouTube knows that and so now I
44:54get all these Pokemon card content creators in my YouTube algo. Just saying. Just saying. So, anyways, >> Pokemon card content's the next vertical
45:03after Bible study. So, we're going to get the Bible study figured out and then >> bam, Pokemon content.
45:09>> I like that. I like that. I do have four kids that collect Pokemon cards. I also have a little collection myself. So, I
45:16have some ungraded cards that I need Trey to buy off of me, but uh he won't.
45:24Anyways, all right, enough of that.
45:26Start of the week. Pop Douglas. This is our week 10 breakdown. Thank you so much for listening to us. We will be back on
45:34Monday morning with our week 10 reactions. We are out.