From the episode
I'm just not confident the same target volume is going to be there with J.J. McCarthy for him as it was with Jameis Winston... He's had a 13% and a 14.3% target per route run rate with J.J. McCarthy. That translates to a 16% target share in about in five quarters with J.J. McCarthy.
STACKED’s take
Isaiah Likely is a sell-low; J.J. McCarthy's 13-14% target rate per route run is concerning.
The source argues for selling low on Isaiah Likely, expressing concern that target volume will decline with J.J. McCarthy at quarterback compared to what it was with Jameis Winston or Jackson Dart. McCarthy has targeted Likely at a 13% and 14.3% target-per-route-run rate (translating to a 16% target share in five quarters), while also throwing frequently to Malachi Fields. The source notes the bye week is now over, providing a selling point, and suggests pointing to season-long scoring average to sell Likely as a top-four or top-five tight end. While the source believes Likely will remain a starter, he won't be the difference-maker he was early in the season.
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight