From the video

Video: The First Round of 2026 Fantasy Drafts Is All Wrong
I'm going Christian McCaffrey. um coming off 450 touches. When running backs get that many touches, they are injured often the next season. He easily finishes the RB1 overall in expected points at 23 per game.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

450-touch workload history signals injury and decline risk despite elite upside.

RB1 overall in expected points at 23 PPG if healthy, but carries significant injury and decline risk. Coming off 450 touches, which historically precedes injury and production decline; the last three 450-touch backs (Arian Foster, Ezekiel Elliott, Saquon Barkley) all saw significant production drops the following season. At age 30, McCaffrey carries elevated injury risk despite clear advantage when healthy. Kyle Shanahan may scale workload back, but receiver injuries (Ricky Pierce, George Kittle coming off injury) and team health could force continued heavy usage, compounding injury risk.

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