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Fantasy Football Today on Christian McCaffrey

PodcastDo These Seventeen Stats MATTER? (07/22 Fantasy Football Podcast)
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If he loses 20% of his production from last year, he's averaging 20 points per game... the floor is zero for everybody, but I think it's a little bit more elevated for Christian McCaffrey, given his history, given his age.
Mentioned at 20:09 – 23:08

STACKED’s take

NeutralProjection

McCaffrey's 20 PPR floor likely if he declines 20%, but injury history raises floor risk.

Among 17 running backs with 400+ touches since 2010, 59% either got hurt or declined by 20%+; however, 41% did well or stayed close to prior production. If McCaffrey declines 20% from last year's production, he'd average 20 PPR points per game, suggesting better than 50% odds he hits that floor. His ceiling is staying healthy and maintaining 20 PPR points per game; his floor is elevated above zero given injury history.

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