From the episode

If 41% of the running backs in this sample with these massive workloads were close to as good as they were last year or better, then I don't think it's fair to say that his ceiling is 20% worse of what he was last year.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

McCaffrey's ceiling shouldn't be 20% worse than last year based on workload history.

Dave Richard argues that McCaffrey's ceiling should not be penalized 20% below last year's production based on historical data: 41% of running backs in the sample with massive workloads matched or exceeded their prior-year performance, suggesting his downside risk is overstated.

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