From the episode
70% of the running backs that finish top five in PPR points per game since 2005 failed to do so again the following year. No running back has finished the regular season atop the PPR per game mountain two years in a row since Todd Gurley, and that was in 2017 and 2018.
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
70% of top-5 RBs don't repeat; McCaffrey faces historical regression risk.
70% of running backs that finish top five in PPR points per game since 2005 failed to repeat that finish the following year. McCaffrey and one other back (Bijon Robinson) finished top five in consecutive years in 2024-2025, but historically this is rare—only Todd Gurley (2017-2018) and Brian Westbrook (2007-2008) have done it in the past two decades. Dave Richard uses this as a cautionary note when drafting McCaffrey, suggesting regression risk despite his elite talent.
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