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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast on Davante Adams

Podcast1114: Regression Candidates
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From the episode

Adams had 1.93 end zone targets per game last year. Absolutely absurd. That number basically laps every other wide receiver since 2011.
Mentioned at 7:16 – 10:09Captured by STACKED 2 hr after posting

STACKED’s take

Negative signalUsage

Adams' historic end zone target volume is unlikely to repeat, signaling regression.

JJ Zachariason notes that while Adams performed near touchdown expectations, his 1.93 end zone targets per game were unsustainable; historically, wide receivers exceeding 1.5 end zone targets per game see a 35% drop in that metric the following year, leading to an average decline of two points per game.

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