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Matt Harmon on C.J. Stroud

VideoCaptured August 7, 2026
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he was a top 10 quarterback in EPA per play... his like play in the playoffs from an efficiency EPA per drop standpoint was one of one of the worst runs we've seen since 2017. It is a bottom 10 playoff performance... he still was a top 10 quarterback sandwiched between Sam Darnold and Patrick Mahomes and EPA for drop back...CJ Stout has gotten a little bit over hated due to the playoffs...top 10 quarterback in EPA per play. Nico has been a top receiver on a per route basis when C.J. Shout has been the quarterback.

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Top-10 regular season EPA per play; poor playoff efficiency shouldn't overshadow strong season.

CJ Stroud ranked top 10 in EPA per play during the 2025 regular season, sandwiched between Sam Darnold and Patrick Mahomes. However, his playoff performance was bottom 10 in EPA per drop since 2017, including poor showings against New England (without Collins) and Pittsburgh despite a win. Matt Harmon cautions against overindexing on the poor playoff finish given his strong regular season efficiency, noting the Texans' 31st-ranked run game success rate since 2023 forces constant pass-first situations. Harmon defends Stroud against playoff-driven criticism, noting Stroud ranks in the top 10 in EPA per play and is not a problem for Nico Collins's production discussion. Harmon emphasizes that Collins has been a top receiver on a per-route basis when Stroud is the quarterback, and that Collins's per-route production is not inflated by three Davis Mills games that people obsess over.

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