From the video
Justin Jefferson I drafted the other day at the 2011 in an FFPC $350 entry draft...I'm seeing some people full-on fading him, dropping him into like 18, 19 in their rankings. In my rankings over at rotowire.com, I have him at nine overall...you can get Justin Jefferson sometimes in the second rounds of drafts...Justin Jefferson can get up to that 31 32% target share uh this year with with Kyler.
STACKED’s take
Elite talent faded to WR18–19; ranked WR9 by source; buy-low with Kyler Murray
Jefferson is being faded to WR18–19 in some formats despite elite production in every season as a pro but one; the source ranks him WR9 overall and notes he was drafted at pick 20 in an FFPC $350 entry draft, representing a rare opportunity to acquire a top-tier talent in the second round. The fade is attributed to recency bias ('what have you done for me lately') rather than fundamental decline. With Kyler Murray now the Vikings QB, the source expects Jefferson to return to top-4 or top-5 WR consideration given Murray's proven ability to feed alpha receivers: Trey McBride had 147 targets and 1100 yards in 2024 with a 29.3% target share; Marvin Harrison Jr. received 120 targets as a rookie; DeAndre Hopkins had 160 targets, 1400 yards, and 6 touchdowns in 2020. The source projects Jefferson can reach a 31–32% target share in 2025 with Murray, viewing market hesitation as fear and laziness, noting he has four more smash seasons remaining based on age and experience level.
Justin JeffersonWR · MINPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight