STACKED’s take
Positive signalValue
Fantastic value at pick 12; floor improves with average QB play
Jefferson was selected at pick 12 and is viewed as a fantastic value at that spot. Despite a down 2024 season, he is expected to be hyperargeted in 2025. Even with league-average quarterback play from Kyler Murray (ranked 15th in catchable target rate vs. JJ McCarthy's 45th), Jefferson's floor improves significantly. He has a higher ceiling than Amon-Ra St. Brown and has already proven he can outscore Puka Nakua and Jamar Chase when the offense fits Kevin O'Connell's system. His floor is expected to be solid despite last year's decline.
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