From the video

Video: Best Picks of 2026 w/ Davis Mattek
Let's look at Herbert. Herbert was at 19.7. That seems like a a reasonable downside

STACKED’s take

NeutralProjection

A solid statistical benchmark for QB downside

Justin Herbert is viewed as a fine selection but lacks the playoff success of Patrick Mahomes, which the source attributes to mental preparation rather than physical skill. He is also used as a statistical benchmark for Mahomes' downside, citing his 19.7 points per game and 19% advance rate in a season where his offense struggled.

Justin Herbert headshotJustin HerbertQB · LACPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight