NFL DFS Deep Dive on Nico Collins

PodcastDon't Set Your Week 2 NFL DFS Lineup Without Watching This!September 19, 2026

From the episode

the Texans have gone a lot run heavier, especially in games without Nico Collins. In those two games last year, they were a negative 2.4 percent pass rate over expectation where they were positive with Nico in the lineup.

Mentioned at 25:25 – 26:00Captured by STACKED 8 hr after posting

STACKED’s take

Negative signalInjury

Collins' absence shifts Texans to run-heavy approach, supporting Montgomery's contrarian value.

Nico Collins is out for week two; without him, the Texans have historically gone run-heavier, with a negative 2.4 percent pass rate over expectation in two games last year without Collins versus positive pass rate with him in the lineup; this absence creates uncertainty about the Texans offense's overall function but supports leaning into David Montgomery as a contrarian option.