From the episode

That he fails to average 16 PPR points per game... Jefferson averaged like 11 and a half 11.9 11.8... I would still draft Jefferson Ahead of Smith But I think it's pretty... it's not even that bold

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Jefferson projected to fall short of 16 PPR average, continuing last year's underperformance.

Bold prediction that Justin Jefferson fails to average 16 PPR points per game this season. Last year Jefferson averaged 11.8-11.9 PPR fantasy points per game, well below his typical production. The source acknowledges this is not an extremely bold take—a third-round pick outperforming a first- or second-round pick is plausible—but signals concern about Jefferson's floor relative to draft position.

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