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NFL DFS Deep Dive on George Pickens

PodcastNFL Week 2 BEST Kept Secrets For Winning at DFS | Outside The Box
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George Pickens at 17... he lost 51 air yards due to drops in week one, which is more than that than happened over the entirety of 2025 for him. Uh, he's, he was negative five points below expectation, uh, below his XFP, which is like the worst mark he's ever had with the Cowboys.
Mentioned at 70:35 – 71:04Captured by STACKED 5 hr after posting

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Positive signalProjection

Pickens' 51 air yards lost to drops in week one sets up a strong bounce-back spot.

George Pickens is the most obvious bounce back candidate of any wide receiver this week. He lost 51 air yards due to drops in week one, which is more than what happened over the entirety of 2025 for him. He was negative five points below expectation (below his XFP), which is the worst mark he's ever had with the Cowboys. The source expects the bounce back is probably coming, though notes that Pickens is one of the chalkiest guys at the top of the slate at 17% projected ownership.

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