From the episode
Garrett Wilson, I guess. He is only 6k. He has a really strong, uh, schematic matchup where we have seen, uh, the Packers shift very cover for heavy... Garrett Wilson, uh, top three in targets per out run against cover for over the last three years behind only Drake London and JSN... he was, he had that role was like top 10 in XFP among wide receivers, despite the jets leading the entirety of week one.
STACKED’s take
Wilson at 6K has top-three cover-four efficiency vs. a Packers defense that could be horrific.
Garrett Wilson is only 6K and has a really strong schematic matchup. The Packers have shifted very cover four heavy with their new defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon (who was with the Cardinals and Eagles, both cover four heavy). Wilson is top three in targets per route run against cover four over the last three years behind only Drake London and JSN. The Packers could be a horrific defense that gets targeted every week; they are bottom five in EPA per drop back allowed on plays without Micah Parsons on the field going back to last year and were bottom 10 in pressure rate generated in week one. Geno Smith is the most pressure-sensitive quarterback in the NFL in terms of catchable throw rate and accurate throw rate, so it matters that he's not being pressured. Wilson ranked top five in first read target share in week one and had a top 10 XFP role among wide receivers despite the Jets leading the entirety of week one. The Jets offense used a lot more play action and ran from under center in week one, which are ways to juice passing game efficiency. If the game environment shoots out, Wilson could post a really strong score.
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