From the episode

Last year, Matthew Stafford led the NFL with a 7.7% passing touchdown rate. The last five players to lead the NFL had their touchdown percentage rate drop significantly the following season.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Stafford is a candidate for touchdown rate regression.

Matthew Stafford led the NFL with a 7.7% passing touchdown rate last year, a metric that historically regresses significantly for the league leader the following season.

Matthew Stafford headshotMatthew StaffordQB · LARPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight