From the episode

Jalen Hurts, last couple of years, we've just seen the efficiency fall off, start to fall off a little bit. Four years ago, he averaged 25 points per game. Two and three years ago, he averaged 21.5 points per game. Last year, that fell to 18.7.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalBust

Hurts' declining efficiency and loss of A.J. Brown make his ADP too high for QB1 upside.

Hurts is identified as a potential bust due to declining efficiency across multiple metrics: fantasy PPG fell from 25 (four years ago) to 21.5 (two-three years ago) to 18.7 (last year); rushing efficiency declined; tush push efficiency dropped to under 63% last season. With A.J. Brown gone and the Eagles moving to a timing-and-rhythm passing offense (not his strength—career high 26 passing TDs), his ceiling is diminished. While he may still finish mid-range QB1 due to rushing upside, his ADP is too high given the risk of finishing outside top-10 QB.

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