From the episode
Alec Pierce is on your list. The ECR of 71 currently now...if, if Pierce had signed somewhere else, we'd be talking about him as a fade for the amount of money they're paying him. But because he resigned with the Colts and it's the same QB...over 21.3 yards per catch last year...last year he had a thousand yard season of just 47 catches...There's 140 vacated targets in Indianapolis...if he can see an uptick of 20, 25 targets...you can see Alec Pierce jump up significantly this season.
STACKED’s take
WR27 ranking vs. ECR 71; 21.3 Y/C with 140 vacated targets available.
High ceiling WR sleeper with ECR 71, ranked WR27; $84M guaranteed contract signals GM confidence in his role. Big-play ability: 21.3 yards per catch last year; doesn't require high volume to produce (1000 yards on 47 catches in 2024, 84 targets last year). 140 vacated targets available in Indianapolis; Pierce needs only 20-25 additional targets to reach 1200-yard season. Continuity with Daniel Jones (excellent before injury) provides stability. Averaged 65 yards per game last year; with modest target uptick can reach 80-85 yards per game average, translating to top-15 WR production. Andrew Erickson notes if Pierce had signed elsewhere, would be fade due to contract size, but continuity with same QB and system makes him high-ceiling play.
Alec PierceWR · INDPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight