Elite 2024 production before ACL tear; strong recovery trajectory with increased target share upside.

Tucker Craft was the number-two tight end in fantasy before tearing his ACL in week nine, having played in eight games. He ranked first in yards per touch, first in EPA per target, and first in yards after the catch—comparable to elite receivers like Alec Pierce, Christian Watson, and Jamison Williams. If he had continued at his pace, he would have accumulated approximately 1,000 yards and 8 touchdowns, ranking him in tier one alongside Brock Bowers and Trey McBride. Craft reports excellent recovery progress with great conditioning and quads, minimal swelling, and no weird pains; he hit 21.9 miles per hour in the offseason (comparable to Brandon Aiyuk's 22 mph) and plans to start week one with no pitch count. With Dobbs and Wicks gone, 130 targets are now available in the Green Bay offense, and the source likes the play caller, quarterback, and volume for Craft. Even with all those other receivers on the roster last year, Green Bay threw to Craft frequently, suggesting his target share will increase significantly in 2025. However, the source expresses concern that Craft's 2024 production was dependent on touchdowns and big plays, with only four catches per game on average, and fears he could regress from 13 projected touchdowns to 5-8 if he loses athleticism or if teammates like Jaden Daniels suffer injuries—a pattern similar to Sam Laporta's rookie-year regression. Craft is currently being drafted around the same area as Brian Thomas and Carnell Tate, which the source views as reasonable value, though tier-three tight ends (seventh through ninth options) are traditionally the worst bet in fantasy.