From the video
George Pickins target per route run drops 39%. He's behind CD Lamb. He's behind Terrence Fake Ferguson. He's behind Javvante Williams. So, he could be the number four in this brutal schematic matchup... Right now, the overunder on George Pickkins is 60. I would take the under.
STACKED’s take
WR19 faces brutal Baltimore two-high coverage; source takes under on 60-point prop.
Ranked WR19 (mid-range WR2) with 12.2 XFP per game, but faces brutal schematic matchup against Baltimore, which plays two-high coverage 63% of the time. Target per route run drops to 39%, and he ranks fourth in target hierarchy behind CeeDee Lamb, Terrence Ferguson, and Javante Williams. The source takes the under on his 60-point over/under projection. Against Washington's high-safety coverage scheme in a prior game, Dak Prescott adjusted to throw shorter intermediate routes rather than deep shots; Pickens received 8 targets in that game, showing Dallas will continue to attack coverage tendencies, but the Baltimore matchup presents a more challenging defensive scheme.
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