Fantasy Points Fantasy Football on George Pickens
From the video
George Pickkins and CD Lamb are tied in target share at 23.8%. City Lamb averages 23.6 fantasy points per game. George Pickins averages 10.3... George Pickkins has zero. When George Pickkins is like one of the best touchdown scorers, contested catch artists in the game... Pickkins is due like a regression, you know, in a good way.
STACKED’s take
Buy-low elite talent with 23.8% target share, zero TDs
Buy-low candidate with elite talent and massive positive regression opportunity. Tied with CeeDee Lamb at 23.8% target share but averaging only 10.3 fantasy points per game versus Lamb's 23.6, primarily due to zero touchdowns versus Lamb's three despite being one of the best contested catch artists in the game. Expected fantasy points per game model shows Pickens at 13.7 versus Lamb's 21.6, but this gap is driven by catchable target rate advantage favoring Lamb. Pickens is due for positive regression as defenses adjust and touchdown regression occurs in the right direction. The source notes Pickens has been insanely involved in the offense with same target share as Lamb, and recent usage shift to underneath chain-mover role (new this year) positions him for big plays as defenses adapt. Source was previously skeptical of Pickens' upside but now endorses him as a buy-low target.
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