0:00It's time for your week seven wide receiver rankings. As always, brought to you by Farmers Insurance, our friends over at Farmers Insurance. And Hayden,
0:08what is not our friend is the injury report right now because at the top we start with a question. It is Puka Nakua
0:14as your wide receiver one. But to update everyone, he left Thursday's practice with a calf injury. It is now being called minor, but Ian Rap report this
0:23morning said that it is minor, but that doesn't mean precautionary and it's still up in the air whether he misses week seven. Your thoughts?
0:31>> I will take him out of my rankings if he does not play. And if he's out there, then the target share is too outrageous
0:37that even a limited version of Puka still goes absolutely nuts. Like I I'll say I don't think that he's 100% healthy
0:43just watching him right now and he's still finishing with these ridiculous performances, like alltime performances.
0:49Um, so yeah, if he's out there, too big to fail.
0:53>> Totally agree. I think the longer conversation that we don't have to get into is what happens if he does miss
1:00like what do they even run? Like what what [laughter] do they put on the field because, you know, Kannatam Mfield no
1:06matter what is going to play like 73 78% of the snaps here. Um, but the big thing for Pukunu with Dvonte Adams out is that
1:15he just becomes a major red zone presence, a major inside the 10 yard line presence. Yeah. And a major endzone presence. Like all his important
1:23underlying metrics in terms of targets per route run, yards per route run, fantasy points per route jump anywhere from 21 to 24% higher than they were
1:31previously as already a top five wide receiver out there.
1:34>> I agree that the more interesting stuff is like if Puka does not play, what happens? And I just want to quickly hit
1:38on the tight ends here. I have Tyler Higgby as my tight end 7. We don't have tight end uh videos right now, but uh
1:44last week 31 of 38 routes and then he's been uh his best game of the year was week three tight end 7 on tight end
1:50three usage. That was without Puka Nua and Terence Ferguson. Now we don't have Dvonte Adams. So I think that Tyler Higgby would absolutely be a mustplay
1:58tight end one. And then Kobe Parkinson, there's been three games without Dvonte Adams dating back to last year. Kobe Parkinson's been a tight end seven on
2:06tight end 7 usage because he's 6'7 and like 280 pounds. He also is a red zone threat. We saw that last week on some of
2:12like the little uh red zone play action uh attempts to to the uh to the flats with him. So I think that Kobe Parkinson
2:20would become streamable if Puka is not out there as well. And then it's like someone like Jordan Whittington kind of is in like the [clears throat] you know
2:27the puka role. He's just like way worse at it. So it would be it would be hellcape at the wide receiver spots. I
2:33think that Higgby and Parkinson would be the guys that I would figure to be mixing in fairly often.
2:37>> Jackson Smith and Jigba is your wide receiver, too. This is against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Seahawks are actually two and a half point favorites
2:44here against the Chiefs. We know Sam Darnold has thrown seven interceptions since returning in week three. The Chiefs are actually number one in DVOA
2:54against opposing wide receiver ones. So this is a fascinating underlying metrics game because we know Jackson Smith and Jigba is 50% if not more of the entire
3:04Seahawks passing offense.
3:05>> So I have these matchup maps and it kind of just breaks down the different depths of the field in different positions and
3:11it just ranks how many fantasy points the defense is giving up at certain uh buckets. And the Chiefs are dead last in
3:19giving up points on 15 plus air yards, dead last in that 5 to 20 intermediate level and dead last under 10 airs. They
3:26have shut down every wide receiver, doesn't matter, deep in underneath, intermediate, does not matter whatsoever. Now, the Chiefs have not faced any strong wide receiver groups
3:35this entire season. That's the context here. But they are coming off of a buy with Andy Reid and Steve Spagnolo. And
3:41Sam Darnold's just like not seeing the field well. And still, because he's not seeing the field well, then Jackson Dar just gets four extra targets because,
3:47you know, they're not up by a bunch of points. So, it's like Darnold's awesome.
3:51We're scoring long touchdowns. If he's not awesome, he gets extra targets.
3:54Doesn't really matter. I always love your Freudian slips like you just called JS and Jackson Dart out of nowhere. Uh >> I love it. You just you still have your
4:04players on your mind, you know, and they just slip out when we have the first names here. Yeah. I mean, when pressured
4:09Sam Darnold has completed 38% of his passes for 4.6 yards per attempt. That's 28th and 25th in the league. As we
4:16always talk about, Steve Spagnolo kind of puts bad quarterbacks in a blender.
4:20I'm not calling Sam Darnold a bad quarterback. the dude just won a Super Bowl, but he's kind of playing like a
4:25bad quarterback right now. So, it's going to be interesting to see if he can bounce back and recover from this last
4:31game stretch that he has had. Okay, next you have I'm on Ross St. Brown. I mean, talk about a bad game stretch. He hasn't
4:39been a top five wide receiver in a handful of weeks.
4:42>> Yeah, he's been like really outlier bad.
4:44And even in those games, you he's still uh clearing about 10 fantasy points per game. like that. That's your bad streak
4:50is still scoring as a top 3 uh six wide receiver in three straight. The usage underlying metrics is still awesome over
4:56the last month. He's a wide receiver two in expected points. He's a buy low candidate. If anyone's panicking out there, just gobble them up. This team's
5:04projected for the most fantasy or most uh points on the week at 28 and a quarter. And then looking at the P
5:10packers defense one, I think it's an underrated defense. They're doing a lot of the Brian Flores kind of crowd the line play zone coverage behind it. Uh
5:18but because they play that style, they've allowed the second most fantasy points to wide receivers when the ball has been thrown within 10 air yards.
5:25Obviously a Monro St. Brown factors into a whole lot of that. So get the ball out quickly to Aman Ross St. Brown. More of
5:31like a PPR scam style uh offense against the Packers and I can see him uh catching eight passes for 90 yards and a
5:37touchdown here.
5:38>> The Packers have disguised their coverage pre- snap to postnap at the league highest rate. Um, and as Reeves noted, Jonathan Ganon has actually had
5:45success against Jared Goff in the past.
5:47In three career games against Jonathan Ganon's defense, Jared Goff has scored 8.9, 15.5, and 14.6 >> fantasy points. So again, that's a
5:57matchup to watch just overall. Okay, Jamar Chase off a buy at the Baltimore Ravens is your wide receiver for uh
6:07speaking of previous matchups between these two. He has two 200yard games against the Ravens and in 11 career games here. He's averaged 12 targets per
6:17contest, seven and a half receptions, and 117 yards per game. Now, it's a little different with Jesse Mter calling the defense, but you know, maybe if he
6:24just sees that purple and black, he just goes off.
6:27>> Yeah. last four I have it as wide receiver seven 161 and one overall since 2024 there he's had 110 yards in all of
6:34them it got to the point where Marlin Humphrey uh leading up to this game his quote was it would be cool if I didn't
6:40match up with him so much which I agree I appreciate the honesty he knows what's what's up here yeah the the Jamar Chase
6:47season has just been kind of weird we had like that late training camp injury did not have the best week one he
6:52obviously leaves with the concussion in in week four and now we have had the by-week so it's like he's kind of out of
6:56like our mind and like this like the classic spot where like he just goes absolutely crazy and I'm like oh yeah
7:01there there he goes again.
7:02>> Yeah, I did just pick him up in our death league. I got him for like $240.
7:07So I have another death league question I'll get to here in a little bit. Next is CD Lamb who's also on my team. This
7:12is at the Philadelphia Eagles. I mean Hayden, if we were to make it really, really, really simple here. Even the best Vic Fangio defenses do a very good
7:22job against outside wide receivers and allow points against interior pass catchers. Now CD Lamb is playing in the slot less often than he has before. But
7:33still, if they want to free up one of these guys, CD Lamb, it's a lot easier to do that than George Pickins.
7:38>> Yes, Quinnon Mitchell is going to face Pickkins. We'll get to that in in a little bit. But in that 5 to 20 airy
7:43yard window, they've allowed the third most fantasy points to wide receivers and then under 10 air yards, the fourth most as well. And if you guys have just
7:50been watching the Eagles one, Cooper Dean just like not having the the typical season. He's missed some tackles. There's been some kind of
7:55coverage bust. I think a lot of that also Makuba, one of their safeties has been struggling. Their third linebacker has been struggling and then even like
8:02Reek Wool and like the communication with the new outside corner that's just been worse this year. Plus, the Eagles just do not have the same edge rushers
8:09on top of that. So, uh, it's kind of like the the CD Lamb styled wide receivers have given the Eagles trouble.
8:16Parker Washington had 124 and two touchdowns. Luther Burton 61 yards in a touchdown like as examples here. So, you know, where Cidi Lamb is used is where
8:25the Eagles have been worse this this year. So, this is the largest gap I'll have between Lamb and Pickins all year.
8:31>> Should he be S tier or is he the first name in A tier?
8:34>> Uh, let's go S tier. He's been he's been so good this year. Well, what about the Green Bay Packers duo? Because they are
8:40backto back in your rankings. They're a little bit different in consensus rankings where Christian Watson is ahead of Matthew Golden by three or four
8:46spots, but here they are as your wide receiver, six and seven at the Detroit Lions. I mean, both these guys are top
8:53three in terms of endzone targets.
8:55Christian Watson has nine of them and Matthew Golden has seven of them. So, is this a tier for this tandem?
9:01>> Yeah, let's go both of them in a tier.
9:02I'd be curious to know about those endzone targets. like Christian Watson's end zone targets like are sometimes really close to the end zone and then
9:09Matthew Golden's end zone targets like happen to be like 50 yards away from the end zone. Either way, the area yards and
9:14all that stuff is lights out and the Lions have just been beyond pathetic defensively. Like this is just a complete eruption spot uh on all the
9:22charts. If you've been watching the Lions, they've been struggling in one-on-one situations and they kind of left on islands. Uh just one stat just
9:28for for both of these guys. 15 plus area throws against the Lions, allowing the fourth most fantasy points per game.
9:34That could be Chris uh Christian Watson or Matthew Golden, both electric players here. So, this is going to be an absolute shootout game in Detroit. Uh
9:42this is to me like the game of the week.
9:45>> Yeah, we've dug into the numbers and 81% of you that watch our shows this summer uh ended up with at least one of
9:51Christian Watson or Matthew Golden. So, let us know if that's true in the comments down below.
9:55>> Shame on the 19% by the way.
9:57>> Shame on them. Drake London is your wide receiver eight. This is against the San Francisco 49ers. I think this is an
10:04intriguing conversation just from a quarterback versus defense standpoint.
10:09Overall, Hayden, this is Michael Penn's former head coach, the guy who drafted him, calling a defense against him. And it's a quarterback who has obvious flaws
10:18out there. Um, I mean, 42% of Michael Penn's throws are 10 or more yards down the field. That's fourth in the league.
10:24And the 49ers are fourth in the league at defending those, allowing just a completion percentage of 41 and a half.
10:30So the dude struggles throwing short. He struggles when pressured. And the 49ers, despite some of their injuries, are still being able to do that over the
10:37last two weeks.
10:38>> Agree on all those notes. I will say because he struggles in those areas. He kind of has to be a first read target
10:46quarterback like the rest of the way.
10:47Like there's no such thing as a checkown. I've noticed like the Bejian uh re receiving numbers are kind of coming down with Michael Penn. To me, he
10:54has to get the ball out quickly because there's just no second chance creation from Michael Penn. And what does that mean? I think that's just going to mean
11:00Drake London is going to go absolutely crazy for the rest of the year. Like he has to throw the ball immediately to
11:04Drake London. Everything else is just like not going to work in this offense.
11:0849ers defense been surprisingly good.
11:10Like Upton Stouts on injury report, a bunch of their defensive linemen once again are in the uh injury report. Um, but Seth Diggs, JSN, Waddle, Michael
11:19Wilson, four wide receiver ones in a row have been top 25 wide receivers against the four 49ers because of just, you
11:27know, catch-up mode here. So, you're at home against the 49ers. 23 and a half point team total is like rock solid for
11:32London to have a wide receiver one moment.
11:35>> Yeah, that's a really nice team total for them where in other situations if like the Margarets did not believe in
11:40the Falcons offense would be much lower.
11:41Now, they also did show some real garbage time efforts last week. Like, they were down 31 to7 to open the fourth
11:47quarter, and that's when he went 11 for 17 for 152 yards and two touchdowns and two-point conversions.
11:53>> Oh, yeah.
11:53>> Um, yeah. I mean, the 49ers have created nine sacks over the last two weeks. And if they do that again, then Falcons are
11:59going to struggle here. Yeah. I mean, teams are just blitzing the Falcons now and blitzing all these teams to keep their passcatching running backs
12:05attached to the quarterbacks.
12:06>> Yep. Yep. That's what's happening.
12:08Justin Jefferson on now your expert leagues advance team.
12:13We'll hit on that in a moment. Oh, buddy. Against the Indianapolis Colts is here. Um, look, I still can't tell you exactly how this
12:23offense is going to work passing wise. I mean, Kyler Murray averages 6.1 airs per attempt right now. Only 30% of his
12:30passes are going 10 or more yards down the field. um on those short passes under 10 yards, he's completing a ton of them, 89%.
12:40And then down the field, he's throwing about 52%. So, I mean, these guys have barely played together the quartet of the core of their passing offense. So,
12:48will we learn more against a bad bad bad Colts team? I'm just like zooming out.
12:54I'm like not trying to figure out exactly the Kyler Murray stuff. I'm just like, okay, with KOC, a decent offensive line, and let's say Kurt Cousins, Sam
13:04Darnold, Kyler Murray, like directionally about the same level talent across the board there, these guys can throw the ball deep. Kyler
13:10Murray is scrambling around. I think that he's healthy at least if I'm going to zoom in on anything that they'll end
13:15up figuring this thing out. Like Justin Jefferson been a top five fantasy wide receiver with all these quarterbacks except JJ McCarthy. And I do think that
13:21the buy came at the right time for uh the Vikings just getting, you know, Jefferson back to full health, Addison back to full health, Kyler Murray to
13:29like calm down for a second, which I think that's nice. Hopefully they get their left tackle back and then Jordan Mason's back. Like this should be like
13:34the starting lineup for the Vikings that they were expecting except for, you know, Donovan Jackson and we are drafting Justin Jefferson in the first
13:41round. Then we get to the Colts matchup >> and they're not going to have S Gardner with a calf injury this week on top of
13:47it. they have already just been horrific on uh defense. Um so the only problem I have with this game is can the Colts
13:54offense move the ball enough to make this where Justin Jefferson ends up with eight plus targets in this one because they have been a little bit more
14:01runheavy and neutral situations and the defense has been so dominant and they could be like dominant specifically against this Colts team that can't
14:08create explosives and they can't make plays out of structure. The worksheet noted that Kyler Murray, Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and TJ
14:15Hawinson have only played together for nine pass attempts so far this season.
14:20Yeah.
14:20>> So maybe that goes into my uncertainty of of what this group has been. Speaking of uncertainty, Hayden, uh, you traded
14:28Garrett Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr.
14:31straight up for Justin Jefferson. How are you feeling?
14:33>> I feel good about that one. I was looking around the league. I said, who needs who needs some wide receiver
14:38depth? Uh, and by the way, I also now need some wide receiver debt, but that's a price you pay. Uh, I'll take my
14:44>> Well, yeah, but Marva is a total zero in your brain. So, it's not like he kind of does depth for you.
14:48>> Yeah, I guess. Yeah, I was I was really just like trying to figure out like I I'm feeling a little bit worse about the
14:54Garrett Wilson stuff now that everyone's healthy in that offense and like how does the end of the season uh look and
14:59then with Bree Hall back like I think they might run the ball a little bit more. So, I was like really trying to
15:03get rid of Garrett Wilson. That was my intention. And I was looking around the league and >> Oh, and then you just lucked into Justin
15:08Jefferson. [laughter] I mean, anyway, >> I was I I pulled up your team, by the way, and I was trying to figure out a
15:14team. I hated your team so much I didn't even send an offer, but I did pull up your team first.
15:18>> Fair. Yep. Thanks, bud. Okay, Z Flowers is next. We get Lamar Jackson back most likely. What I like about this matchup
15:28against Cincinnati is that Z Flowers plays se 47% of his snaps in the slot and then from the slot he's been
15:35targeted on 41% of his routes with a 5.38 yards per route run and as we have seen you beat up the Cincinnati Bengals over
15:45the middle of the field.
15:47>> Yeah. And I just trust that Declan Doyle is gonna have like a game plan to make sure DJ Turner is not on uh Zay Flowers
15:54and DJ Turner has been once again very strong at outside corner here. Uh Turner by the way has played seven snaps inside
16:03the slot this entire season. So I think that we're going to get Zay Flowers away from him and like Jacobe Lane and Rash
16:09uh Rashad Baitman. Those guys will be sacrificed and then Z Flowers will just be running those choice routes, backfield routes, crossers, all the fun
16:16stuff. So, this is assuming Lamar Jackson is ready to go. Even if it was Tyler Huntley, I would only drop him
16:21probably like five to six spots here.
16:23Um, yeah, I I think it's a fantastic matchup for for Z Flowers.
16:28>> Chris Olive against the Pittsburgh Steelers is next for you. Are we going to continue on a tier? I'm assuming we
16:34are for the next three games. I I'll continue on there. Um, >> the Saints Hayden are one of two teams that have not scored first in a game yet
16:42this season. I think that goes to play where this team is working from behind while they're running so many plays at
16:48least in most these contests. However, since the Tyler struck broken hand, since they lost their left tackle, I mean, he's thrown for 240 yards combined
16:58in the next in the last two games.
17:00>> Yeah.
17:01>> So, yeah, this is not quite, and we'll talk about this, especially with Devon, this Saints offense that we were so
17:08highly touting in the opening three games of the season. Uh it's it's a lot worse.
17:13>> I think so. This is we see this every year where when a left tackle, especially like a good one like Kelvin
17:19Banks, goes down. Like we just don't recalibrate quick enough and I think we've seen that with the Saints in general. Um now a lot also faced the the
17:28Minnesota Vikings in week five. We just like knew that was not going to be a clean one. But the Giants game was like
17:32more of mediocre than anything. They got hopped up to a huge lead. So, I think that Crystal is going to settle in
17:37nicely, but I just don't like the combination of, you know, backup left tackle. I don't think that the replacement's been very good. And then
17:43Tyler Shook with a broken hand. So, um I I kind of just knocked down Vle, Jawan, and Chris like a couple spots across the
17:50board. Uh team total at almost 21 points. It's more middle of the uh pack here. They're going to be in France uh
17:58against the Steelers defense, which has been just like a very good defense through and through. Jaylen Ramsay's playing well. They have a bunch of
18:05defensive linemen that play well. It's a well coached unit on top of things. So, I think that this is a difficultish
18:10matchup, but still definitely an A tier player.
18:14>> Joe Burrow is the only quarterback to throw multiple touchdown passes against this Pittsburgh Sers defense, which is probably a top five unit
18:21>> this season. Um, however, Tyler Shuck has been lights out in the red zone. He is 20 of 26 with 10 touchdowns and zero
18:29interceptions in the red zone so far this season.
18:31>> All right. Well, I'm going to do a bold prediction. Here comes a red zone interception this week. You know those
18:36when I see red zone numbers that he is the leading you're like and here comes the >> and there it goes.
18:42>> Yeah.
18:43>> Nico Collins is your wide receiver 12.
18:45These two receivers that are next play each other. This against the Giants. Um the Giants have allowed only one passer Hayden to reach 200 yards against them
18:55this season. Now part of that is because their run defense has been so bad. But over the last four games, like I said,
19:01they really haven't faced a quarterback playing to the caliber that CJ Strad is right now. So, Nico Collins is such a
19:07big difference for this team. Like, I went back and looked at their weeks two and three when he was out and they
19:11scored like 13 and six points and now they're projected for the second most points this week or thereabouts.
19:16>> Yeah, I had like the numbers a couple weeks ago on football 301, the recap show I do over there. And CJ Shroud was
19:22like top five in EPA for drop back with Collins on the field and then was below average without Collins this year. and
19:28like we could extend that multiple years. So, I feel good about the Texans past games. Jaylen Nolles stepped up.
19:33I'm assuming this is going to be the first game where Marvin Harrison's like really going to be a factor. Maybe played like half the snaps instead of,
19:39you know, like a dozen of them like the last game. I think that that might impact Nico Collins like at the tiny
19:44little margins, but the big thing is like the last two weeks they're they've had like the highest neutral pass rates like they've ever had in the Straoud to
19:50Mika Ryan's era. And I think that's where they should keep going. And the Giants defense does not scare me in the
19:56back half. I don't care what the spreadsheets say right now. Like that secondary is not good and they don't have anyone that can defend Nico Collins
20:03one-on-one. So, I think it's a good matchup for him. And the team total is at 26 and a half points. It's the third
20:07highest. Like, how many times have we said the Texans have the third highest team total of the week? It's been a very
20:12long time since we said that. So, I I feel very good about Nico.
20:15>> I don't know if we've ever said that, and we have. It's like dating back to Nico or excuse me, CJ Shroud's rookie
20:21season. Um, >> the Giants over the last two games are blitzing at the second highest rate in the league. So, I really do wonder if CJ
20:28Stra kind of picks that apart and replaces all those spots. Malik Neighbors is next for you. Again, this is on the opposite end. Uh, you had a
20:36bold prediction for Tyler Shuck. I'll have one here for JJ McCarthy. Hayden, um, he just threw for 243 yards in a
20:43quarter. I don't think JJ McCarthy throws for 200 yards in this game.
20:47>> Yeah, I'm nervous about this one. You know, like it was fun. uh in you know when you're down 3410 and you're just
20:54playing yolo ball and but you know it's you're playing in Houston like that's not how the Giants were drawing this up.
21:00Like when the season started they were like not like I hope JJ McCarthy is our quarterback in week seven against the
21:06Texans here in his first start. He's been there for two weeks. So yeah, the team's at 16. You know, dead last on the
21:12week. You know, this defense has been a little bit better recently because Demiko Ryan is making uh the plays or play calling now. They have their
21:20starting linebacker back in the lineup.
21:22So things are gonna be a little bit more functional. Like Jaylen Petri type like still on the injury report. We'll see if
21:27he plays. Uh it's so easy to get Malik Neighbors the ball. To me, there's like still no excuses. Like you he still has
21:32to catch six passes even in these difficult matchups. We've seen like Jamar Chase guys type of talents like have big games against the Texans. So
21:39it's not impossible. It's about as far down as I can move him now that he like looks like one of the best wide
21:45receivers in the in the game again.
21:47>> Yeah. JJ throws for 199 yards. 100 of those goes to Malik Neighbors and 99 goes to Isaiah likely. Yeah, that that's
21:54the point where the Giants are at right now. And like you said, if you look at the underlying numbers, the Texans have
21:59been bad against downfield big plays, but against the bad quarterbacks, they haven't been bad.
22:06>> Yeah.
22:06>> Against the downfield big plays. Yep.
22:08>> Um and like Andrew Thomas has left games. We know that Germaine Aluminor has just missed games and you're going up against arguably the best edge
22:15rushing duo in the NFL along with interior pressure. Oh yeah. This episode is brought to you by Farmers Insurance.
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22:39Okay. Yeah. Are we done with the A tier here or should I go to the B tier next?
22:42>> Um, no. I want one more A tier just because of the Cowboys defense.
22:46>> Wow. This is Devonte Smith against the Dallas Cowboys. He's wide receiver 17 in consensus rankings, but wide receiver 14 for you.
22:55>> I think that Tanner McKe could do just fine in this offense. I think they're going to lean into the past. Last week
23:01was a season high neutral pass rate uh at 66%. This is like a team just like living in three wide receiver sets. and
23:08Tanner McKe was willing to push push the ball over the middle and then he gave Jansa Smith uh multiple opportunities on
23:14these like sideline shots. So I think you know structurally how the Jaylen Herz offense was working which is just like you know vertical attempts I think
23:21that Tanner McKe can kind of do that and now we don't have to deal with the tush push. Um and I'm not sure if they're
23:26going to run the ball as much. We'll see if Saquon Barkley is actually going to play in this one. He's trending in that
23:30right direction. To me it's just against the Cowboys you throw the ball deep down the field and live with the results. And
23:36I think that's exactly what Devonte Smith's going to do here. So last week, wide receiver eight and wide receiver eight usage with Tanner McKe. That was
23:42against the Panthers backup uh corners.
23:44Uh but you know, it's still the Dallas Cowboys corners as well.
23:48>> The Eagles are the only team in the NFL to have zero successful under center play action plays when blitzed so far
23:54this season. Like truly zero for zero.
23:56Zero for 18. Uh >> and you saw it last week like they tried on the first half of the game. Yes. It's
24:04all these weeks I I mean >> I brought this up in Sass's film with Tanner McKe.
24:09>> There's just nothing quick about his game and that's paired with an offensive line that struggles to communicate and then also has like a bad protection
24:17plan. And so to me, the best avenue for any type of success for the Eagles now is to go gun and spread it out. Like we
24:26can't do the under center stuff anymore, even if Shawn Man want to build the offense around that. So >> totally agree. Maybe they'll adjust, but
24:32there's also been some rumblings that Shawn Manion does not want to adjust what he's doing. Okay. Unfortunately, wow. Btier for the big boys on the outside. Tedo
24:43McMillan and Jaylen Coker backto back in your rankings. This is just about wherein's rings have T-Mac, but they have Coker as wide receiver 20. He's
24:53your wide receiver 16. So, talk to the Cokeheads and the Tetamines out there with this duo. [gasps] Um, the Panthers are fourth in expected
25:02half PPR points to their wide receivers across the the season. So, both these guys can get home. By the way, that's at
25:0734.7. They don't really use a a third wide receiver very much. Like, you know, if we give each one of those guys 40% of
25:13that, we're talking about they have wide receiver one upside based on the matchup. So, I think this matchup is fairly good. I like the Buccaneers
25:23corners. They're kind of feisty out there, but because the uh defensive line is like really showing like a lot more depth this year than they have
25:31previously and they still got Vea, it's just like one of the most obvious pass funnels out there. So like I think
25:36they're just going to throw the ball relentlessly in this one. The Bucks have only given up 75 yards per game on the
25:42ground and then they're, you know, above average in pass yards per game as well.
25:46So Coker, Tedrell, McMillan, I think they're pretty equal talents. to kind of get there uh similar ways, but you talked about the differences. More
25:54explosiveness from Jaylen Coker, more like fluidity from Teteroa. Uh I think matchup wise, it's it's pretty strong for both of them. Team totals also at 23
26:03and 3/4 points, which is like knocking on the doors of a top 10 number.
26:07>> Yeah, the Bucks actually face the league's fastest time to throw at 2.6 seconds, but fourth lowest in terms of air yards per attempt at 6.5. So, you
26:15would think that means fewer downfield shots. Then you look at like the Bucks, they play single high and specifically cover three 49% of the time. That's
26:23second most in the league and they kind of stayed static in their approach just no matter who they've played so far this
26:29season. So yeah, uh we'll see the Panthers dial up some shots and those single high looks quite a bit.
26:33>> All the best defenses is just blitzing, showing blitzes, simulated pressures, and then having guys deep downfield and making you throw the ball underneath.
26:40Like that's that's how the best defenses operate. And Alex, shout out Brian Flores.
26:44>> Okay, T. Higgins is your wide receiver 17. This is against the Baltimore Ravens as we just talked about. Outside the red
26:52zone, T. Higgins has a 26% target share, which makes sense. But Hayden, inside the red zone, just one red zone target
26:59this season. Uh we need that to even out a little bit. Like that would be great for those of us that draft in the PC.
27:05>> I'm sure that will, you know, when you're 6'4, I'm sure you will get more than that. Uh yeah, it's just been a
27:11kind of a weird season in general for for the Bengals. like they were like stomping teams cuz their defense was so
27:16good and like that's kind of coming come undone a little bit. Uh last week he was like I didn't think he was going to play
27:22then he goes out there and plays on that abductor injury. He doesn't really do anything against the Dolphins. It's just like felt like a good time to get the
27:28by-week out of the way. Kind of settle back in. Uh this game has a really high game total uh as well. It's just
27:35supposed to be 25 to 24. Slight slight f or slight underdogs for the Bengals. I I always love those, you know, type of
27:42game scripts. Like we don't see that all the time from from Cincinnati because they're a good team, but like these are
27:46the type of games where Joe Burrow can drop back 42 times and too big to fail.
27:51>> George Pickkins is next for you. You hinted that we would talk about it. We are now. Um should we talk about the Brian Shottimer
27:59comments or do you want to talk about his matchup first? Let's do his matchup first. Like this is a game last year in
28:04George Pickin's best season that slowed him down in week one and I really wouldn't expect anything different.
28:09>> Yeah. So he had 30 scoreless yards against Philadelphia. I do remember in that week one game he drew a couple
28:15defensive pass interferences and like we were coming on stats versus I was like hey like this guy like it's going to
28:19work out. And then they played in week 12 and he finished as the wide receiver for that week. So I'm not saying that
28:25Pickkins can't get home uh in this difficult matchup, but Quinion I would say is one of the top five best corners
28:31in the league and they're not moving Pickkins around the formation at all.
28:35Like I think it's like you know 2% in the slot or whatever it is. Um, so that's going to be the battle. I'm not
28:40saying he can't do it. The team total is really strong at 24 and a half points.
28:44Um, but it's definitely a more difficult matchup. You're just like looking at, you know, talk about the CD Lamb of all
28:50versus George Pickkins.
28:51>> So Brian Shottenheimimer talked about Pickkins this week and he said, quote, "He needs to understand that he impacts us in the running game as well. He's got
28:58to do the same thing in the run game, picking up safeties and blocking corners just like Javante Williams does, picking up blitzes so he can catch balls." Um,
29:05if you go and watch some of the blocking snaps from George Pickins, not great.
29:10It's kind of like Marvin [clears throat] Harrison Jr.
29:12>> uh level effort during the days of the Arizona Cardinals, but um yeah, I this to me is not a squeaky wheel situation.
29:21Uh but we'll see. We'll see.
29:25>> Garrett Wilson is next as your wide receiver 20. The guy you just trade away, sent off into the distance. I
29:32mean, you talk about great matchups though. this against the Miami Dolphins.
29:36The Jets have converted a league low though 37% of their red zone trips into touchdowns. That needs to be better.
29:42>> It probably will be better. That brings us to like, you know, Bree Hall has a chance to play. Uh Ad Night Mitchell's
29:48expected to play. So now we have Omar Cooper back in the lineup. Adnai Mitchell back in the lineup. Kenyan Sadique and Mason Taylor both been out
29:54there uh the last couple weeks as well.
29:56And now we might get Breeze Hall plus Brillin Allen's been playing well.
29:59That's a lot of players and the team total is at 22 points. I will also say this about the Dolphins, and we see this
30:05a couple times uh each season. There's a a team that is so bad that they're actually good at against fantasy wide
30:12receivers. Not because they're like shutting them down, it's just because like you just don't need your wide receivers. And we're kind of reaching
30:17that point with the Dolphins. They are the second best defense against fantasy wide receivers this season, >> which is crazy because they don't have
30:23anybody in the secondary. Uh, so I don't want to lean into that too much because, you know, the Jets and Dol Dolphins like
30:29this game can stay pretty close and then now now all of a sudden Garrett Wilson just dunking on these corners that we
30:33haven't really heard heard from at all.
30:35Um, but because they've been so bad against tight ends and stopping the run and whatnot, like I think this is just
30:41like one of these games where like everyone can like kind of get home and we just might not see like some huge
30:45breakout um from any of these guys. So um, >> don't love it.
30:50>> I mentioned the Death League earlier. My star wide receivers are Jamar Chase and CD Lamb, but I'm debating at the wide
30:56receiver three spot between Garrett Wilson and Chris Ave. And so your drastic ranking between the two makes me lean Chris Ave. However, like if you're
31:06not playing Garrett Wilson, it's the Miami Dolphins, you know, like when when are we playing Garrett Wilson here? You know, >> you can always trade him. [laughter]
31:14>> Yeah. I for some reason I kind of think Alaf might have more bottoming out potential here just because of the Tyler
31:19Shuckness of it all at this moment in the offensive line, but that's a debate I'm going to have all all weekend long.
31:25Okay, DK Metaf against the New Orleans Saints is next up. This one is in Paris, I believe. I remember correctly.
31:36>> Uh New Orleans is playing single high coverage at the third highest rate and DK Metaf against single high 32% of the
31:43team's targets. Um yeah, I mean we need a big play at some point from DK this season. That's for sure.
31:51>> Yeah, last four games he's a wide receiver 30 and wide receiver 25 usage.
31:55He's had some drops along the way, some defensive pass interferences along the way. Like I think it's pretty clear what his upside uh can be, especially in you
32:02know good enough matchups. This is a defense that like structurally does not want players like DK Mechaf to be the ones that beat them. Uh but they also
32:10just like don't have enough talent and you know 165 yards to like Neighbors, 68 yards and a score to Justin Jefferson,
32:1696 yards to Drake London. Even a wide receiver 22 finish to Jan Dawson who got him uh down the field as well. So they
32:23haven't been able to stop anybody. Team total is almost at 24 points above average uh in Paris here on Metaf. It's
32:31crazy to not change teams. still have the same quarterback and your role changes as large as it has this year.
32:38He's back to like, you know, the Seahawks version vertical X receiver stuff and then Jeremy Bernard's going to get a lot of the manufacturer touches.
32:44Now, they will throw a couple screens to DK Mechup as a change up because Jeremy's so physical as a blocker and if
32:51they like the matchup, they'll throw the ball out. So, it's not that he just gets nothing underneath, but it's a lot more
32:56of these crossers, post, verticals, uh, passes, stop routes on the outside for DK Mechaf rather like than last year where like some of his best plays were
33:03like quick slants and that type of stuff.
33:05>> Yeah, it's why I like Jeremy so much.
33:08>> Okay, Puka is your wide receiver 22. On Thursday, Greg Alman posted and observed that it didn't seem like Puka was going to play
33:17because of a what concussion protocol and toe injury. and then he's practicing on Friday and we're back on track for Ibuka to play here at the Carolina
33:27Panthers. So, it's been a horrible season for Ibuka, a horrible season for Baker Mayfield. Uh but, you know, three snaps against a Caleb Evans could kind
33:36of change this whole game for I think he's a perfect by low. I just don't think they have anywhere else to go in
33:44the offense. Like, I see that Chris Godwin just like does not have enough speed at this point. Ted Hurst is like
33:49very clearly in development. and Kate Dotton can't really make plays. So to me, if this offense could just be like a
33:54little bit better than what it was, which is the worst quarterback performance in the league through first six weeks, then I think Amech is like on
34:01pace like become very fantasy relevant again across the season. He's the wide receiver 30 on wide receiver 19 usage.
34:08He's wide receiver 20 in targets per game at 7.7. Um and I just think the quarterback play will eventually get better. Now, Baker Mayfield coming back
34:16from a thumb injury. He's always like comes back like a week early and like kind of stinks for a little bit. Like
34:21that's just like what he's done throughout his entire career. So, I don't like love the spot, but the Panthers defense, you can tell me if I'm
34:28crazy here. I think they're going to be end up being way better against the run than the past for the next month or so.
34:33And I think just looking at the roster, their backup corners are not nearly as good as their front seven. And we
34:38haven't seen that in the spreadsheets as much, but like I just think like I'm gonna I know ball this one and think
34:43that the Buccaneers are gonna have to throw the ball a little bit more than people expect. And to me, AMCA is the
34:48focal point of the offense if you guys been watching that offense, which I really hope you have not. Michael Wilson is next. This is against the Denver
34:55Broncos. He is your wide receiver 24.
34:59Um, there's been a lot of time spent talking about Michael Wilson. And hey, I don't want to call him overrated at all,
35:06but I think it's a lot of time spent on a guy that really hasn't performed consistently this season from a fantasy
35:11football lens. And that's, you know, tied to the quarterback play. But he's been the wide receiver 35, then wide receiver 84, then wide receiver 4 and 20
35:19and the wide receiver 53 and 56 over the last two weeks. And now he gets the Broncos, albeit a banged up secondary.
35:27You don't know if Certan's going to play or how much Riley Moss is going to play and all this type of stuff. But that's a
35:31pretty rough go of it late.
35:33>> Yeah, I figure there's going to be a longer conversation. I'm assuming Pat Certan's not going to play. That was like the latest report from Palmer. And
35:41then on the Michael Wilson of it all last week, I went back and watched all of the dropbacks for the Cardinals. Like
35:47specifically just looking for like what Michael Wilson's doing. I think this is still an excellent role. He had two screens uh in that game. He was just
35:54missed on two different end zone shots where if he would have come down with either either one of them and he we're
35:59talking about just missed on them then we would not be talking about Michael Wilson's like not like living up to expectations. So I think he's still a
36:07buy low. I will say the Jacob Jacobe Brassette is just not playing good football right now and I think that is
36:12costing Michael Wilson some fantasy points here. Um, so yeah, I'm I'm guess I'm like kind of splitting the difference between he's been the wide
36:19receiver 28 this month, but on wide receiver five usage. I think that he's not going to live up to like the crazy
36:24usage that he's had, but I also don't think that things are going to be as bad as they have been recently. So, kind of
36:29splitting the difference as like an upside wide receiver three, I guess.
36:32>> Yeah. My only concern is their schedule doesn't get any easier and they're not hitting the garbage time stuff nearly as
36:37well as they did last year because like the downfield passing is uh is rough.
36:41>> Do you see the Carson Beck stuff? He's had back injuries and he's just like barely able to walk off the practice
36:47field. So like their backup plan right now like you know we might get nothing from Carson Beck. It's like too early to
36:53tell but I was listening to the the Pan or the Cardinals podcasters and they're like this is not good. You know Carson
36:59Beck like can't he's just he can't practice.
37:01>> Wait, how can he not practice when he hasn't played in games?
37:04>> That's what they're saying. They're like oh this is we're talking like non-cont you know back injuries. Like this isn't good.
37:11>> Wow. All right. Um, are we gonna stay in this tier? Do we go down? What do we do from here?
37:18>> Um, let's keep him in there. I think him and Amecha is pretty similar.
37:21>> Okay. Oops. That's my bad. This is Jameson Williams as your wide receiver.
37:2625. This is again against the Green Bay Packers secondary. Um, the Packers so far this season have only allowed three of 13 targets on 20 plus yard throws to
37:36be completed. That's fourth in the league in terms of a 23% completion rate.
37:40>> Yep. I I had it that they had the lowest yards per reception allowed in the league. They just want everything to be
37:47funneled underneath. It's a very very well coached defense. Like I really respect them. The other thing about the Packers defense, they have three awesome
37:54safeties and all of them are making plays. Uh Bullard um and then uh Evan Williams has been making awesome plays as well. So just a really wellthoughtout
38:04secondary right now that works against Jameson Williams. All that said, you have a 28 team total at home. You know, this is the type of environment that
38:14Jameson Williams, even if those spreadsheets are saying, it's not a good matchup for him. And I I do agree with that, this is still just the game that
38:20you want out there. Um, so I think he's a boom bust wide receiver three, that's what he's that's what he's been. The Sam
38:26Leaport of it all is making his floor a lot lower on a week- toeek basis. It doesn't take away from the ceiling,
38:31though.
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39:19The crown is yours. Okay, let's talk Jaylen Waddle. He's next here. And despite how bad he's been, I mean, I don't think you can really move him much
39:29worse than wide receiver 26 on the season um for this week. Now, Fball Insights, and you can post charts of anything, but he did one of middle pass
39:39rate on the x-axis and inbreaker targets per route on the y-axis. And I mean, the Denver Broncos are on an island by
39:45themselves in the bottom lefthand corner. It is absurd. So, yes, obviously Jaylen Wadd's dropping a pass every single game, but Hayden, so much
39:55to me is just on the quarterback here, and unfortunately the quarterback is not changing at this point.
40:00>> He's not. I will give our audience some cope. Um, and maybe this is just more for me because I drafted plenty of
40:06Jaylen Waddle. They've faced the Chiefs, Jaguars, Rams, 49ers, Chargers, and Seahawks to open the year. That's that without looking at the other schedules,
40:16that has to be the most difficult passing matchup schedule in the league so far.
40:20>> Now, counterpoint plays have been open over the middle of the field against those defenses and he's just not throwing them.
40:27>> I agree. Uh not defending Bo Knicks, I can easily see him saying, you know, I'm not going to lose this game. Uh or it's
40:34not going to be evident that I lost him this game by throwing all these interceptions. I'm still losing the game, but it's just less obvious. Uh,
40:41and I'm going to take more chances against the Cardinals defense, which is a little bit better at linebacker and up front than it is in the secondary. And
40:49like, you know, hopefully this is like what the Bears were talking about. Like from week seven on after the schedule kind of loosens up a little bit, they
40:56catch fire. That's as good of the cope as I'm going to give. Uh, he's not catching nearly as many screens I
41:02thought he was. The deep shots have not been there like I thought they were. And then the last two weeks, Shawn Peyton's
41:07called the two lowest neutral pass rate games of the season. Now it goes from like like first through the first four
41:13weeks to like close to last over the last two weeks. So hopefully, you know, Sean Peyton was just kind of like easing
41:17the offense in and hopefully it kind of takes off from here. But that's that's all projection. There's nothing about this the first six weeks that makes us
41:24feel like that's actually going to happen.
41:25>> Yeah. Mentioned this with Harmon yesterday that seasons are long. You know, think about all the positivity in your fantasy lineups last year about
41:35Luther Bird and Coulson Loveland and that didn't start until week six of the NFL season. Correct.
41:39>> They did nothing for the first five. And yet the final 10, 11, 12 weeks, those were weekly conversations of, hey, these
41:47are must start, can't bench fellas. So again, it would be quite a turnaround for Bo Knicks to magically feel better about his ankle and for him to start
41:57throwing over the middle of the field.
41:58But the schedule lines up for it and he has done it in the past more often than he is doing this season.
42:03>> So >> there's a chance. I'll leave the light on for it. But again, uh, it gets easier from here on out, especially against the
42:14Arizona Cardinals. I hope >> Jeremy Bernard is your wide receiver 27.
42:20Once again, I freaking love Jeremy this week. Loved him last week. He was the wide receiver, too. I mean, the Saints
42:26have allowed a league high 26 red zone trips so far this season. And on top of that, Jeremy's played in the slot 56 and
42:3462% of his snaps over the last two games. I have a wide receiver 19, wide receiver nine usage in those two games.
42:40He's finished as the wide receiver three and wide receiver nine in them. He's, you know, he's exactly what Rogers likes. He likes a little inside outside
42:47player that can work over the middle.
42:49He's very uh physical and we can see that obviously in the touchdown. Um, and then after the game, Roger says there
42:56comes a time when the confidence starts to match the potential and I think we're reaching that with Jeremy. Very proud of
43:02him. So, all the signs are there for him to be a offensive rookie of the year candidate. One of the best Waverwire
43:07picks of the week. I thought you guys handled that extremely well on the Waverwire show. So, hopefully you guys uh are our followers have uh picked him
43:15up and I think you pick him up and you keep starting them. Um and the team total is above average. The Saints, you
43:21know, are like willing to let a Jeremy Bernard kind of beat them. That's just structurally how their defense operates.
43:27uh they have broken or they've allowed so many broken tackles this year and that's you know kind of playing right into Jeremy Bernard.
43:33>> Um I talked about Joel or talked with Joel about this on our Amazon show. I asked Harmon this question last night on
43:40his channel. So I ask you rest of season you can only pick one rookie that you want to start a roster
43:51and his name is not Jeremiah Love. Who is it?
43:55Well, I was going to say Jeremiah Love, so good good caveat there. It's It's probably Jeremy. It'd be him. It'd be him or I guess if you wanted to roll
44:06the dice, like Jordan Tyson might have like an easier path to like really getting there, but that's that's too risky for me.
44:12>> Um, I'll say Jeremy.
44:14>> Yeah, I said Jeremy. Um, I think Joel might have said Denzel Boston after Jeremiah Love and then Matt said, "Hey,
44:22Jordan Tyson is an interesting shot once he gets back." Yeah, >> Carl Tate's right there as well. They're all going to be like wide boom bust wide
44:27receiver threes. I think all of them are like passing the eye test to me, which is nice.
44:30>> Well, Carl Tate is next for you. He's wide receiver 28. This is against the Cleveland Browns. He has had wide
44:36receiver 11 weeks bookend here. Um, you know, the underlying metrics in terms of market share really favor him. Wide receiver nine in target share, wide
44:45receiver two in airard share. But Hayden, like the team market shares matter less for the Tennessee Titans when they're projected for around 17
44:53points every single week. Yeah.
44:54>> Versus, you know, a team projected for 27 points on a week.
44:58>> The the share numbers just drive me absolutely crazy. I I built this whole website to help me with my preparation.
45:04We use it for the show. Eventually, you guys will see this hopefully.
45:07>> I don't have a single share website or part of the website out there. like it is just all what are you actually doing
45:14for me on a per game uh basis here per target basis. Um get the shares totally out of there. That said, Carnell Tate is
45:22by far the Titans best wide receiver. He was making some awesome plays last week.
45:25I think his ball skills are excellent. I think he can run the full route tree. I think that he's going to be a very very
45:29very good wide receiver. Uh this matchup he will see some Denzel Ward, but Denzel Ward only plays one side. So if the
45:36Titans have any clue at all, they would like not put him to that side. We saw that with Garrett Wilson who played less
45:41on that side a couple weeks ago. It's a good like lit test like do the Titans have a pulse at all like at all. Um and
45:48if they do then they can go the other way.
45:50>> Yeah. I mean they're only what one and a half point underdogs in this game. It should be like is projected to be the
45:55lowest total of the week if I'm not mistaken.
45:57>> Oh yeah.
45:58>> Uh talk to us about your guy Xavier Worthy as the wide receiver 29 against the Seattle Seahawks. Well, he kind of
46:07went to the Rashi Rice role except, you know, offering zero broken tackle ability. Um, so he's not nearly as good at it, but they had Jaylen Royals and
46:15Andrew Armstrong like just running wind sprints down the field and then Xavier Worthy just like mesh concept after mesh concept, a couple screens behind the
46:23back or behind the line scrimmage stuff.
46:24You know, you know what it is. Uh, that's really fun uh against the the Chargers defense and it gets less fun
46:31against the Seahawks defense. like now he's going to have to do that with like here comes Nick Mandari chasing him down
46:35and they got good linebackers and a well coached team. Um so it's just a little bit harder to get there. The Chiefs team
46:41total is under 20 points so we have not said that very often.
46:45>> Um they threepoint dogs here against the Seahawks. I totally get that with Rashi Rice out here. You know Mahomes is still
46:53going to get his like to some degree. So I think that Worthy and Kelsey are like fine enough plays. It's a little bit
47:00harder to see the total upside here assuming that they're going to run Kenneth Walker, you know, he's going to get 30 touches in this one in a revenge
47:06spot.
47:07>> Yeah, last week Xavier was the wide receiver 27. So, uh, a repeat of that would be, I think, the best you can
47:14expect. Um, okay, Denzel Boston is next.
47:17I am starting Denzel Boston in a league.
47:20Hey, Nick can be high variance. He's doing a highwire act right now. one cuz he's playing with Deshun Watson, but his
47:26A dot per target is uh 17 yards.
47:33Everything is just so deep. Fortunately, the Titans allow a league high 75% catch rate to outside wide receivers. But I'll just bring up the Casey Conception
47:42stuff. All of his numbers are so short and so low. Like Denzel Boston has 578 airs on the season. Casey Conception has
47:52182. I would love it if both were at like 350.
47:56>> Yeah. [laughter] No, I totally am with you. Like Casey Con his AOT is at under seven yards. We can get that up now.
48:02He's getting you know 23% of his targets are screens like let's not take that away. It's just like on the other plays
48:06like let's send him down to he is lightning fast. Um the problem is like the catchable ball rate numbers are like
48:12really weak for both of them. Even though you know Casey Conpion's like working underneath his catchable ball rate's under 70% still. So, it's like,
48:20you know, we're just like not getting enough production out of these guys. Not because their fault, but just because of the nature of the pass game. With Denzel
48:27Boston, he's been running really pure like this season. He's the wide receiver 26 and wide receiver 36 usage. That gap has was larger a couple weeks ago and
48:37now it's starting to get closer and closer to his expectation. And unfortunately, like he can finish below his expectation because the quarterback
48:43plays like well below expectation, >> right? with a different quarterback, he wouldn't have to run pure. Like, he could still have the same weeks that
48:50he's doing because of the talent, but he has to with the quarterback he's attached to.
48:53>> Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah.
48:55>> Okay. Devon is next for you as wide receiver 31. And if we adjusting for Chris Olive, I mean, we have to adjust
49:01for Devon. He has finished as wide receiver 45 or lower in three of his last four games. And the Steelers are
49:09quite good versus these slot types.
49:12Yeah, I'm just like trying to find somebody I feel more comfortable with out there. I think that the ceiling is pretty compromised. So, if you want to
49:19like roll the dice, I think that there's some players that are coming up in this episode that you could say I just like
49:24their upside ability a little bit more.
49:26Yeah, the the usage is coming down over the last month though. He's still the wide receiver 27 in expected points.
49:32Like at one point that was like top 20.
49:34It's kind of, you know, dropped down a little bit. Uh, also like last game they were up 34 to 10 at like near halftime,
49:41you know, so like you can almost not entirely throw that game out, but that was a weird game and then you had Flores
49:46like the week before that. Like we could come back and be like, you know what, they still threw the ball 44 times and
49:50Bailey got his 62 yards and got out of there.
49:53>> Yep. Okay, next is Omar Cooper against the Miami Dolphins. We did get confirmation that Adnai Mitchell will play.
50:03Do you think that one of these guys is going to own the two wide receiver set snaps or do you think that they're going
50:08to kind of rotate them between he and Adam Mitchell?
50:11>> I think it's going to be more of a rotation. I looked into it. The Jets have uh used three wide receiver sets on
50:17about 71% of their pass plays this year.
50:20That's about 15th. But I think the context of that is they haven't had their wide receiver two and wide receiver three healthy while they've had
50:27two awesome tight ends uh healthy for for a lot of those games. So, you have to assume like that number is only going
50:33to come up now that the wide receiver group is out there. So, I think he's going to still be out there for at least
50:3971% of the drop backs. I think it's probably going to be closer to like 80.
50:42I'm going to guess Cooper and Adam Mitchell kind of split two wide receiver sets. And I think that Cooper is just
50:48going to get a lot more of the, you know, first read type of targets. Um, he was really good. Like >> his explosiveness was pretty evident in
50:57in that game. Uh, and like you said, like we haven't seen his like kind of signature, you know, yak, lower your
51:02shoulder moment. So, there's a chance that he's just like that he can easily be the best rookie outside of Jeremiah Love rest of the season this year.
51:09>> Yep. Trey Tucker is next. This is your wide receiver, 33. So, the Rams have not allowed a passer to have 28, excuse me,
51:19219 passing yards against them in a game this season. Uh, now they get Kurt Cousins, who's playing some good football right now. And Trent McDuffy is
51:26still not practicing. Correct me if I'm wrong.
51:29>> So that's a big deal for Brock Bowers because Brock Bowers has been slowed down somewhat against the top corners.
51:36We saw with Christian Benford last week and when Benford wasn't covering him, then the the ball was just going in his
51:41direction. Yeah.
51:42>> So if your number one corner is out, then that also trickles down, I think, to Trey Tucker having some uh advantages
51:51against others, especially with how he's being targeted and used down the field.
51:55>> Yeah. across the season. He's the wide receiver 24 and wide receiver 33 usage.
51:59I think that's like fairly sticky. Like I like, you know, kind of this boom bust wide receiver three range. Uh I think
52:05Kirk Cousins playing really nice football. Like those two throws to Trey Tucker on the those touchdowns were like two of the best throws that you'll see
52:11the entire season. Um so yeah, I think that you know Kirk is doing what Kubak is telling him to do, which is like you
52:18have to throw this deep ball. And guess what? Like most of those deep balls go to Trey Tucker who is really really
52:22really fast on tape. Uh, I had the same notes defensively. Like historically, the Rams do not get bit beat deep this
52:29season. Second fewest wide receiver fantasy points on passes with 15 plus air yards. Um, that's just like something structural like on top of just
52:38like how much talent they have back there. Um, but it does take a step back um without McDuffy for sure. So, I think
52:43he's a boom bust wide receiver three like he'll beat the rest of the year.
52:46>> Okay, last name we'll spend a lot of time on is Malik Washington. This is your wide receiver 34. I mean, he is
52:54your new Cole Beasley. He is your new Juan Delale Robinson in terms of if you want seven and a half to nine and a half
53:03fantasy points in your lineup, that is what Malik Washington is giving you on a weekly basis.
53:07>> Yeah, I think I'm going to have to move him down a couple spots just before we got started. Caleb Douglas is probably
53:12going to come back. Um, and not that Caleb Douglas is going to be some some crazy threat, but we're working on like
53:18pretty slim margins right now with with Malik Washington. Um the team total is at 17 and a half points. He's a little
53:25bit more insulated because he's going to get some backfield touches. He's going to get the the quick game stuff where Chris Bell and Caleb Douglas are going
53:30to kind of take the top off of things.
53:32But um yeah, I'm not scared of the Jets defense whatsoever here. It's just more that we kind of like took advantage of
53:39the Malik Washington PPR scheme over the last couple weeks without Caleb Douglas.
53:42Like you know, it's a little bit harder to sell that uh once we get the guy that was supposed to be like their top guy in
53:49the pass game back in the offense. And by the way, Chris Bell, I think, is passing the test eye testwise. Like he's
53:54got tons of bursts. Uh even though he's like very clearly coming back from a a big time injury.
53:59>> Yeah, the Dolphins are doing it right.
54:00Again, a lot of their rookies look really strong and they're losing close games. So, I I want to see Malik Washington, Chris Bell, and Caleb
54:09Douglas for like the rest of the season >> and see if that can be their wide receiver trio heading into next season.
54:14That'd be cool.
54:15>> Okay. Jordan Addison is your wide receiver, 35. Uh Kenan Allen is your wide receiver 36. Yes. Ahead of Josh DS
54:25who's at wide receiver 4.
54:27>> Uh and then we have you know Casey Conpsion. And let's talk Jacobe Lane a little bit. I am intrigued by Jacobe
54:35Lane. I keep talking about him this week. Uh he played one half in the first game of the season and saw three red
54:43zone targets including two endzone targets and a touchdown wiped away not because of anything he did. And then this past week with Tyler Huntley at
54:51quarterback, he gets another endzone target on top of it. So I don't want to go overboard and say that, hey, finally
54:58we have a wide receiver too that matters on the Ravens, but just from a winning football game standpoint, he is going to
55:04be a significant role player for this team because he brings some element to their offense that really no one else does in that room.
55:10>> Yeah, I think very well put. Um I don't love that he's going to get DJ Turner in this one. Now DJ Turner is like a great
55:17athlete. I think that's going to give Jacobe Lane a lot of troubles. But there is kind of a size mismatch between the
55:22two there. So like some of these like back shoulder balls and um we'll see they can move Jacobe Lane around and
55:26Rashad Baitman's actually seeing DJ Turner too. So I don't want to like knock the match up too much, but historically this is the type of wide
55:32receiver that kind of takes a beating versus uh the Bengals. Um I think that Jacobe Lane is going to finish with like
55:38you know seven touchdowns this year and that Lamar Jackson was playing excellent football. Declan Doyle's been awesome.
55:44Their offensive line looks way better than I thought it was because Vega's awesome. They're going to maybe get Cam Jurgens back from the concussion
55:50protocol this week. We we'll figure that out in a little bit. And I think there's a chance that the Ravens like really
55:55take off. So, um yeah, I think Jacobe Lane is a very fun waiverwire addition.
55:59I think that he's still on the waiver wire. If you're like leagues asleep, I think that he's one of the best bench
56:04stashes there is. Uh we have not seen Lamar with this type of player. I guess like we have and it's been Mark Andrews
56:10and Mark Andrews been awesome. So hopefully lead's kind of the next coming.
56:14>> Yeah. Oh, Ibuka doubtful according to we to play.
56:19>> Come on.
56:20>> So, so, so maybe the original Greg Alman post was was correct here from the start.
56:25>> Enough.
56:26>> Um, well, >> I guess then we have to bring up and I'll just throw up like Josh DS's name.
56:32Uh, just real quick. He's been outside the top 40 wide receivers in three straight games. Uh, this is a huge spot
56:39for Shane Syen by the way. like if he somehow pulls an upset, I'm not sure if that's really going to matter in the end
56:44because this, you know, ship is kind of barreling towards the iceberg a bit. But hey, I mean, Shane Second is a good
56:50coach and if he's the one to kind of with this decrepit roster, uh, bounce back against a Brian Flores defense, that'd be a statement. But
57:01maybe for the Chargers and the Eagles, not for the Colts.
57:04>> Well, I'm not sure. I I can easily see um the new ownership saying we want somebody that's going to lead the charge
57:13at GM and we've already found the head coach that's been successful and like >> it's just going to be we need a new top
57:19down approach and I think a lot of times like ownership cares about the GM stuff because like that's who's like calling
57:25shots on business and like communicating with them like there's there's so much on their plates >> that they kind of view them as like this
57:33is like my right-hand man and like they might just say I needed a couple months to figure out who that is. And by the
57:38way, we already got Shane Stiken at home. Like where can we be be set here?
57:42Unfortunately for like this match up though, the Vikings are like throw the ball out quickly to our guys out in the
57:47flats and the Colts are like okay we'll do that. And then could Josh Downs catch the football? That would be nice. He's
57:54not going to break any tackles. He's just too small. And that's where I kind of go to Keenan Allen. I'm like Keenan
57:58Allen's catching the football and he at least can like break a couple tackles because he's so big. Like Keenan Allen's been better than Josh Downs this year.
58:06Like I don't know what else to say. Like that's that's not that crazy to to say.
58:10Like I've been watching the game. Like Josh Downs is just like not making enough plays. Um >> Yep.
58:14>> Even though he's way faster. It's just like his catch radius is so small. I mean >> you kind of nailed the the Josh down
58:20stuff from this off seasonason. You're like >> we kind of like him in the slot and like that role and then you try to
58:25extrapolate from that. It's just he just doesn't have you know like those skills and the size.
58:30>> I never debated that he wasn't going to play in two wide receiver sets. It was just if he was going to be successful in
58:35those two wide receiver sets. Correct.
58:36Because anytime he lined up outside previously, it was, hey, we create this perfect environment for him. Like we motion him and we stack him and we do
58:45this. It's never just lining up on the ball and winning his routes. He just wasn't that. And I I'm not a Josh Downs
58:50hater at all. I was just trying to be a Josh Downs realist. And on top of this, like Tyler Warren is DMP DNP to open the
58:55league. So >> yeah, tough team right now.
58:59>> It's it's real rough. Uh okay. I mean, I do feel like we need to say something about a Chargers, excuse me, a a 49ers
59:07wide receiver. They are 26 point projected team total. They are favorites by now just two and a half on the road, but Mike Evans is not going to
59:18play. We can go down the entire list of 17 other wide receivers are not going to play. You have Christian Kirk as the
59:23highest. What is your confidence level in having Christian Kirk the highest of the 49ers wide receivers?
59:28>> Like wide receiver 43 or whatever it is.
59:30cuz that's about my confidence level here. The what I'm going off of is a single Brock Pretty quote where he said
59:36Christian Kirk and Brandon Cooks look awesome or whatever it was. It was something like that. I'm like, okay, well, he listed those two guys. Uh, you
59:44know, Christian Kirk was the guy that was like, you know, brought in first, you know, probably making the most money. Um, has played the most football,
59:52uh, and can play inside and outside. So, he's going to be the one I rank the highest. Jacob Cowing uh has been out
59:58there just eating snaps or Jordan Watkins has been eating snaps but has not played uh or like earned any targets. Uh yeah, we talked about this.
60:06It's going to be George KD and Christian McCaffrey going crazy. And then if I had to say one wide receiver randomly has a
60:10spike week, which by the way, Ed happens every year like Demarcus Robinson will finish as the wide receiver eight on a
60:16week uh every single year with Shanahan.
60:18Like it's totally possible. My top option for that would be Christian Kirk.
60:22I hope we're not there though in fantasy.
60:24Yeah, I'm I'm I kind of wonder if the Christian Kirk positivity is because he's the only one of these wide receivers we have not seen taking the
60:31field this year and we've seen all the other guys.
60:34>> But sometimes that's like a good like if I've seen the other guys fail like at least like what's in this box? What's in
60:38this Christian Kirk uh coming off another calf injury box?
60:42>> I hear you. Um okay, you have like Juan Dale. He was actually ahead. Uh and then Chris Godwin. Do you want to say
60:50anything about Chris Godwin now that Ibuka is listed as doubtful? I'll say this. Godwin has not reached 50 receiving yards in a game so far this
61:00season. He is averaging 3.8 air yards per target and a career low 9.4 yards per catch.
61:06>> And it looks like a career low in terms of his uh >> correct >> aesthetically athletically movement ability on the field each week.
61:15>> I think I would play him over Malik Washington. Um But I'm kind of looking at the Jordan Addison stuff and be like,
61:22do I just want, you know, a functional offense? Most likely coming off a buy against the Colts. Yeah, this would be
61:28kind of the tier for Chris Godwin. Like I'm not saying like where a mecha is at wide receiver 22, Chris Codman like
61:33that. He's just not capable of that anymore. So I think he's a wide receiver three fill in if you had to um with a
61:40Mecha listed as doubtful, but not feeling great about it.
61:44>> Okay. I'm sure we just screwed up production on that entire moment, but that's totally fine. We did it. Thanks everyone for tuning in. Uh Hayden is
61:52constantly updating his rankings where he was top six in the known universe uh last week and he's going to continue on
62:02that streak, you know.
62:04>> Got to get first one of these, you know, and then we'll like really we'll really blow up. Hayden, we'll get to 200,000
62:09subscribers if you get first in one of these weeks. That's that's that's what we need. No, >> we've been saying that for a long time.
62:15>> Look, YouTube now less about subscribers, right? You know, it's all about the watch. You guys are great. You guys are great.
62:20>> I I know. I'm just joking. Uh, thanks to Weebs and Mosho again. We'll be back Sunday morning as well for the starts at
62:26show starting at 10:30 a.m. Eastern. And as always, when Triple Zeros hit Sunday Night Football, we'll have every game recap by that point and giving you the
62:36information that you need to know about every single fantasy relevant player.
62:41So, we'll see youall then. Up. Tarty.