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13 Players To Pick Up Before Week 1 - Waiver Wire

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

38 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Sep 7, 2026
Published
Mon, September 7, 2026
31
Player insights
31
Players mentioned
Topics
Adonai MitchellCaleb DouglasDarnell WashingtonDavid MontgomeryDontayvion WicksGeorge HolaniJ.K. DobbinsJalen NailorJeremiyah LoveJonah ColemanJosh DownsKayshon BoutteKeaton MitchellKeenan Allen
Player analysis

Player insights

31

Adonai Mitchell

PositiveBreakout31:10

The source is a believer in Adonai Mitchell, citing consistent positive camp reports and a strong connection with Geno Smith. Mitchell is projected to operate as the WR2 alongside Garrett Wilson, with the potential to command a consistent seven targets per week.

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Caleb Douglas

PositiveValue57:35

Caleb Douglas is rostered in 11% of leagues and is preferred over Chris Bell for early-season usage due to Bell's recovery from an ACL tear.

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Darnell Washington

NegativeUsage35:16

Darnell Washington and Pat Freiermuth are both highly paid, creating uncertainty regarding their respective usage shares in the Steelers' offense.

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David Montgomery

PositiveUsage4:06

David Montgomery's fantasy outlook is concerning due to his reliance on 'bellcow volume' and potential for a 60/40 rushing split with Woody Marks. Combined with questions regarding the offensive line, he is viewed as a less attractive target as the season approaches.

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Dontayvion Wicks

PositiveRole33:30

Dontayvion Wicks has reportedly locked down the WR2 role in camp. Beat writers indicate he and DeVonta Smith will receive the bulk of targets early in the season while the rookie, Malik Nabers, adjusts to the NFL.

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George Holani

NegativeUsage37:26

George Holani is a potential waiver target who could handle third-down, short-yardage, and goal-line roles, though his fantasy ceiling is limited by a lack of red-zone history. He is a viable speculative add while Trevon Henderson is out of practice.

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J.K. Dobbins

NegativeUsage10:37

The source describes J.K. Dobbins as the primary ground option in the Denver backfield who lacks target volume, noting his high injury risk and limited ceiling as a fantasy asset.

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Jalen Nailor

NegativeDepth Chart42:21

Jalen Nailor is competing with Trey Tucker for snaps, but his status as a backup is suggested by the fact that he was not rested during the preseason while Tucker was.

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Jeremiyah Love

NegativeInjury5:46

Jeremiah Love is dealing with an injury and was reported as 50/50 to play in Week 1 as of September 1st. This uncertainty creates immediate fantasy implications for the backfield, specifically impacting the short-term value of Tyler Allgeier.

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Jonah Coleman

PositiveBreakout10:02

Jonah Coleman is a high-upside stash despite currently being the RB3 in Denver. He benefits from a strong offensive line and a team tendency to throw to running backs, though he is not considered a viable Week 1 starter.

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Josh Downs

NegativeUsage29:03

The source is monitoring how Josh Downs' role evolves on third downs, noting he led the team in third-down targets last season.

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Kayshon Boutte

NegativeRole29:36

Kayshon Boutte is viewed as a talented downfield ball-winner and a good match for Drake Maye, but his fantasy outlook is uncertain. He is expected to serve as an outside deep threat to stretch the field, though his current ADP does not reflect the same level of interest as his predecessor, Jalen Higgins, and he may lack the consistent volume for reliable weekly starts.

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Keaton Mitchell

PositiveUsage7:08

Keaton Mitchell is a recommended stash in 12-team leagues, projected to earn 4-10 touches per game in a manufactured role within Mike McDaniel's running back-friendly offense. He is expected to be utilized in orbit and strafe motions to catch passes, with potential to develop into a consistent flex play.

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Keenan Allen

NegativeValue16:22

Keenan Allen is viewed as a low-ceiling, low-floor player entering year 14, likely limited to three-receiver sets in a low-volume passing offense. However, he could have a sneaky week one performance as a chain-mover on third downs, though he may not reach his previous target volume.

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Malik Davis

NegativeSleeper13:00

Malik Davis is identified as a handcuff running back target for fantasy managers to stash on IR or benches.

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Malik Nabers

NegativeRole33:36

While Malik Nabers is expected to get playing time, he may start in the slot and require time to adjust, leading to a higher likelihood that veterans like Dontayvion Wicks see more field time and targets initially.

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Mark Andrews

NegativeProjection28:40

Mark Andrews is viewed as being in decline, with poor training camp reports and a team shift away from the heavy tight-end-focused red zone passing attack that previously defined the Ravens' offense.

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Michael Pittman

PositiveInjury34:11

Michael Pittman Jr. is returning to full health and reaching 100% status following a missed training camp.

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Nico Collins

PositiveUsage30:25

The source remains high on Nico Collins, noting that the addition of deep threats like Kayshon Boutte will complement Collins' role running crossing routes and working the middle of the field.

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Pat Freiermuth

PositiveValue33:46

Pat Freiermuth is an undervalued tight end who could finish as a top-15 option; he is expected to play a significant role while Michael Pittman Jr. recovers. He is a potential start against the Bengals, though his usage share remains uncertain due to the Steelers paying both him and Darnell Washington top-10 contract money. He may also face target competition from Roman Wilson.

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Ray Davis

PositiveSleeper13:00

Ray Davis is considered the most underrated handcuff running back, with elite production in two career games without James Cook: 20 touches per game, 326 total scrimmage yards, and 20 fantasy points per game. He is a recommended stash for fantasy managers.

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RJ Harvey

NegativeUsage10:39

RJ Harvey is identified as the Denver running back who receives targets but lacks rushing volume, making it difficult for him to secure the full workload in a three-man committee.

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Roman Wilson

NegativeRole35:31

Roman Wilson is identified as a primary competitor for targets alongside Pat Freiermuth in the Steelers' passing attack.

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Seth McGowan

NegativeSleeper13:00

Seth McGowan is identified as a handcuff running back target for fantasy managers to stash on IR or benches.

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Tank Bigsby

PositiveSleeper13:00

Tank Bigsby is a high-upside handcuff; if Saquon Barkley were to miss time, Bigsby would project as an every-week top-20 running back. He is a recommended stash for fantasy managers on IR or benches.

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Terrance Ferguson

PositiveBreakout3:01

Terrence Ferguson is a high-priority waiver wire target with breakout potential as a pseudo-WR3 in a high-scoring offense that led the NFL in red-zone passing touchdowns. The source emphasizes his shift toward underneath usage for yards-after-catch opportunities and notes that if he records 87 yards, a touchdown, and 70% snap share in Week 1, he warrants aggressive FAAB spending.

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Tre Tucker

PositiveBreakout25:06

Trey Tucker is the Raiders' WR1 and a high-upside waiver target rostered in only 25% of Yahoo leagues. He is an explosive deep threat who was rested during the preseason, signaling his starter status in Clint Kubiak's scheme.

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Tyjae Spears

NegativeRole9:13

Tyjae Spears lacks standalone fantasy value due to a preseason drive-sharing arrangement with Tony Pollard. The source warns that if this split continues into the regular season, neither back will be fantasy-relevant.

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Tyler Allgeier

PositiveProjection5:39

Tyler Allgeier is a viable flex play and potential top-24 running back for Week 1 if Jeremiah Love is ruled out, as he would face minimal backfield competition. While his long-term outlook is limited to a backup role, his immediate volume makes him a startable asset in the short term.

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Woody Marks

PositiveSleeper4:13

Woody Marks is an excellent handcuff with potential for independent value, having shown improvement as a ball carrier and multiple top-20 weekly finishes last season. While he is owned in 49% of Yahoo leagues and may see a 60/40 backfield split with David Montgomery, the source remains skeptical of his standalone value due to insufficient passing-game usage.

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Zay Flowers

NegativeUsage29:00

The source is aggressive in drafting Zay Flowers, anticipating a 'reset season' for his red zone usage. While his size is a concern, the departure of key tight end targets in Baltimore is expected to open up more scoring opportunities for him.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

377
0:00Just because your draft is complete doesn't mean your roster construction is over. No, no, no. Today we have at least
0:06a dozen names for you to consider ahead of week one. And to do that with me every single week once Monday Night
0:13Football hits triple zeros. That is Joel Smith. Joel does fantastic work over at
0:18Yahoo. Obviously, you know this social media bubble. He is simply the best at
0:24his deep analysis. Joel, I have an opening question for you that I think fits perfectly into what you do so well.
0:29Waiverwire budget advice, fab dollars. Okay. Are people too aggressive or conservative early in the season?
0:36I like to be aggressive in general early on. I will say one piece with that, the
0:43deeper the league you have, the more aggressive you should be. I would say if you are in a double flex three receiver,
0:4912 team, 14 team, 16 team, all that, I would be more aggressive in week one. If
0:54you're in a deeper leagues, it's going to get to a point where there's just like not many players that are available and there's more teams that are going
1:00after those very few players. If you're in a smaller league, then I feel like you can be a little bit more patient.
1:06But I did look into this even last year. I remember after week one last season, it was really bad on waiverss. I don't
1:12know if you remember this where it was just like oddly like, oh, this isn't very fun. Like we got everything options after the
1:18first week are good. [laughter] Yeah. And then I looked at that article, Justin Boon wrote it on Yahoo. And there
1:24were three names in there still. Trevor Lawrence, Rico Dattle, and Kenny Gainwell where at the time it was still
1:30like ah like are they really going to be that good? But it was top five quarterback and two fantasy running back twos still in week one. So I still lean
1:37like more aggressive after that first weekend. Yeah. And Harold Fannon was a big pickup or should have been after week one. Uh
1:42that kind of goes into my view on this too, Joel. Like if you have a belief in a player or in a
1:48situation, go for it. You know, unload the fab early on, don't be shy. Especially if they still have an unknown
1:55element to them that others might be questioning if that's going to repeat itself a bit more. Like for example,
2:01we're going to talk about Terrence Ferguson here today. If he goes for 87 yards and a touchdown in week one and
2:06plays 70% of the snaps for the Rams, like I'm I'm going to go nuts with with my budget here versus, you know, another
2:13tight end. Let's say Durm Smi somehow catches two touchdowns and and 55 yards in his debut for the Ravens. Like, we
2:20know what Durm Smite has been. We know the teams he has played for and the roles that he's had. So, if he farts in
2:26the end zone twice, that doesn't mean I'm going to like go out of my way to unload my fab like that. It It's just while the production might be similar, I
2:32think the situations might be different and the unknown elements might be different. So, I'm I'm more inclined to
2:37go after especially rookies, like the unknown players uh versus like the the retread veterans that might have a great
2:44week one, but again, we have more of an understanding of who they are at large in the zoom out view. Yeah, I would say look for the usage and
2:52also look for those summer reports to be confirmed. If there is just consistent
2:57talk this guy is going to be used this way and he's going to be getting more volume in this way as that role and it's
3:02proven week one then it's like all right well we have a little bit more of a oneweek sample in theory than just like
3:09a random spike against a really good matchup that we don't really know is a really good matchup yet. Okay, let's dive into a whole bunch of players here.
3:15Once again, this is going to be in your feed after every single Monday Night Football, but we didn't want to leave
3:20you hanging ahead of week one because again, we have got Wednesday games and Thursday games. You know how roster
3:26construction works on on Yahoo. If a player is out uh or on IR, you can move them in that spot and pick up some of
3:33these guys uh in exploratory fashion. How we're going to do this is the obvious names own less than 50% in Yahoo
3:40Leagues and then later on we're going to do the deep cuts about 25 20% on Yahoo. So, let's start with the running backs
3:46here. The first name here is what he marks at 49%. A few things, his preseason, the beat rider positivity for
3:52it, the suggestion that this might be closer to like a 6040 split with David Montgomery and just overall questions
3:59about the offensive line has made me want to target less Deont as the offseason has gone along. What is your
4:05thoughts on Woody Marks heading into week one? Yeah, I feel the same way on Montgomery just with like him kind of
4:11needing bellcow volume. I would say in that situation with Woody, it's it's confusing because I like am on both
4:17sides where I think he's an amazing handcuff. At the same time, I don't think that 40% is going to be enough and
4:23the passing role I don't think is like super valuable for him even where like last year he had eight starts at the end
4:30of the season. In those eight starts, I was like the lead back 11 receptions. So like I don't think those like passing
4:36roles is really going to like make him startable in fantasy, but at the same time I do think he's like a good handcuff.
4:41Totally. I think he has a bit more independent value than typical handcuffs. We'll get into handcuff
4:46section here later on. The Houston Chronicles Jonathan M. Alexander believe that the rushing workloads for Dave
4:52Montgomery and Woody Marks quote might not be 50/50, but it will be close. And then what I've seen from Woody Marks
4:58this preseason, maybe some of his best like individual moments and opportunities of his entire career so
5:04far. At the same time, I went back and looked at his finishes last season. He had weeks of running back six, 18, 18,
5:1110, and 14 last year. So, I don't believe it's out of the realm of possibility that, you know, a secondyear
5:17player has improved, especially one that was more viewed as a passing down back and maybe improved as a ball carrier.
5:23Overall, I don't think either is going to matter if it is a 60/40 split as much
5:28as we wanted them to, as much as we drafted them to, but Woody Marks will be on my mind if something does happen to Dave Montgomery as we go along.
5:34Yeah, the RB6 week was incredible. I missed that. Miss that [laughter] hope.
5:39Okay, let's talk Tyler Algier. All right, we don't know right now how much time Jeremiah Love is going to miss or
5:47how much he's going to play here in week one. That's why I wanted to throw him in this mention like Mike Garello reported
5:53that he is quote 50/50 to play in week one. Jeremiah Love that was back on September 1st. So
5:59I guess my question here Joel is if Jeremiah Love is out, there's no James Connor in week one. There's no Trey
6:04Benson in week one. Tyler Aljier might be widely viewed and widely ranked as a top 24 back. Yeah,
6:11it's one of those where it's like the injury and Love being a rookie like makes it more interesting because in general like I wouldn't say like Algier
6:17is my favorite even like as a handcuff. I think it's more of situation where once Jeremiah Love is in there, he's
6:23going to be like a worse version of Charbanet last season. I would say where Charbanet had like a dozen touchdowns
6:29and was the RB30 and I would see that path like for Aljierus in a much worse
6:34offense. But if love is truly out then that's where he is in flex range. He wasn't always like the greatest fantasy
6:40running back even when he was a starter as a rookie, but the volume is still going to make him a startable play in a
6:46flex play in those leagues. Yeah, I don't have a great long view on Tyler Alier this season. This is more of a a
6:53week one if we get reports from Adam Shfter late into the night that, you know, Jeremiah Love is going to be
6:59limited to 20 25 snaps, then Tyler Alier will maybe have more value in week one than he does for the next like 10 or so
7:06weeks. Uh, let's talk Katon Mitchell. You know, fantasy football's favorite player. Uh, they open against the
7:12Arizona Cardinals. Just your thoughts on what Katon Mitchell can do this year and if he
7:18should be on every single roster out there in a 10 to 12 man league. I think for 12 teams, he deserves to be on every
7:23roster. I would say it's tough because he's now missed six straight practices. So, with the injury history and missing
7:31practices, like I get it. And it's like rostering an injured handcuff is not super ideal. But there is a small path
7:38especially in those deeper leagues for him to be playable even not as a handcuff because of Mike McDaniel and
7:43how running back focused they are in this offense, the potential passcatching role and just his explosive ability
7:49there. So I still think he should be rostered, but obviously week one would I wouldn't consider it at all. Obviously
7:55overall I view Katon Mitchell as Omar and Hampton's, you know, robin to the situation. Like there might have been
8:02these pockets of fantasy football Twitter that said like, "Oh, there's a chance be based on his underlying metrics and and per carry basis that
8:09Katon Mitchell is one of the more undervalued backs across the league or could maybe overtake him or Hampton at
8:14some point this offseason." I never believe that. The beat writers are stating that's not the case at all. But
8:19what I do think happens is anywhere from four to six to maybe even 10 touches for
8:24Keaton Mitchell on a weekly basis. And they're almost these manufactured, hey, we're gonna get him in this orbit
8:30motion, this like strafe motion and catch passes. They got some stuff down the field, too. Um, I mean, Mike
8:36McDaniel had what, the running back three and running back four overall season for Raheem Moert and, you know,
8:42Devon Ain. So, I'm not expecting that, but we have seen him get, you know, two running backs heavily utilized as the
8:47season goes along. Yeah. And that's what I've been kind of like preaching is yes, I get that Moer
8:53Han season was like one of a kind and they were the number one scoring offense, but they were also top five.
8:59Like that's not what we're thinking Mitchell's going to be. Like we're thinking like, oh, maybe Mitchell could be like a flex play down the line. So
9:05that's where like my hope kind of lies in him of having some standalone value as a handcuff as well. Okay. I'm not sure we're going to have
9:10any positive things to say about this next team name. Taj Spears at 39% of Yahoo Leagues. It shocked me in the
9:16opening of the preseason when he and Tony Pard basically went drive for drive. If it stays that way in the
9:22regular season, Joel, I think neither of these backs will matter. Mhm. Yeah, cuz Pard like as a Bellcow
9:29the last couple years has been borderline RB2. Borderline borderline. Hasn't really been that
9:36great. This offense like I wouldn't expected too much better from especially how it's looked in the preseason. But
9:42with Taj there, Brian Dable coming in as that offensive coordinator and play caller, he's had a pretty heavy running
9:48back split throughout his time, whether it's New York or Buffalo. So, I think he's going to bring a little bit more of
9:54that and have PPR. It's not the greatest or Spears like I can see him being like again a solid handcuff, but stand alone
10:00value, I don't really see it in this offense. Joel, let's talk Jonah Coleman, another running back for the Denver Broncos.
10:07What do you make of the rookie? I mean, people love rookies. He was drafting a lot of leagues but still out there in
10:12what 66%. Yeah, he's a weird one just because like he's starting as the RB3 so it's weird
10:18to like say like oh yeah you should draft the third running back even though he's like a long way away from being the
10:23starting running back. But there is so much positive besides that like Denver's running back like the fantasy running
10:30back potential in Denver is amazing. Their offensive line is incredible. They throw to running backs a bunch and then
10:35we're looking at the running backs in front of them like Dobbins is the guy on the ground. Harvey is the guy in the air. Coleman has been talked up as both
10:43of that and Dobbins is obviously very injuryprone and Harvey could be passed and is also coming off of surgery. So,
10:50there's still a lot of positive for Coleman. It's just not going to be week one obviously. Can I pour some cold water on this? Uh,
10:56I thought Jeff Bell put the Broncos running back room really well. He said that JK Dobbins is the
11:02running back who gets a bunch of rushes without targets. He said that RJ Harvey is the running back who gets targets but
11:08no rushes. And then he said that Jonah Coleman is the running back who gets a little bit of both but not enough for
11:14either. Like when you go back and look at JK Dobbins season last year, I mean people want to site, you know, he was on
11:21pace for the first, you know, Shawn Payeyton running back to get 250 plus carries. He was also on pace for a
11:26career season, but that was still, you know, the running back 22 in points per game. So that would be a nice win if we
11:32get that from Jonah Coleman at some point this season. But the reason why RJ Harvey became a really good fantasy
11:39football asset in the heart of the season was because he got everything right. He got the carries, he got the receptions, and he got the red zone
11:45work. And now that this is like a triple, you know, trio, I I don't know,
11:51Joel, if any of these backs is ever going to get the entire package. Yeah, it'll be tough. Like, if all three
11:57stay healthy, it will be really tough. I don't think it'll happen at that point. It's just like, will it happen? And also
12:03there is that potential too on top of the injury like of RJ Harvey kind of just being passed. It's tough I don't
12:09think he'll be passed as a receiver. So it just adds to your argument like the receiving is such a huge chunk of this.
12:15I haven't necessarily been super in on Dobbins because of the low reward versus
12:20the high risk. But I think if there was one that like shocked everybody and was
12:25a huge value, it would be like, "Oh, I'll just take the running back in this amazing offense for free at the end of
12:31drafts rather than like trying to hunt one in round eight or something." Okay, let's talk handcuff corner. This
12:36is going to be an area that I love to talk about in the waiver episodes because look, if one of your players
12:42listed as out ahead of a game or they're injured reserve or any many ways of
12:47this, uh, you can just put them on IR and then fill in with a handcuff running back who in the next waiver episode we
12:55might be talking about as the most pivotal pickup of the week. So, just to get ahead of that, uh, Joel, I'll rank
13:00them. Tank Bsby, Ray Davis, Malik Davis, Seth McGawan. You can hit on any of
13:06these names or none of them if you want to. I do like a lot of these names. I do. I
13:12think Ray Davis is the most underrated handcuff running back maybe I have ever
13:17seen where just I think the only reason we're not drafting him is just because Cook's been healthy,
13:23which it's hard to predict injuries and that goes both ways. And although I love Cook this season, it also makes me love
13:30Ray Davis because it's the same team. Like we have a top five offense, top five offensive line, and he has had two
13:36games in his career without James Cook. He has 20 touches in both, 326
13:43scrimmage yards, over 150 scrimmage yards per game and 20 points per game.
13:48He's just like has been amazing and is very, very limited. Two times without James Cook and the offense is still the
13:54same. Joe Brady kind of like hand selected him. So I think Ray Davis is like a free guy at the end of the draft
14:00is great. Yeah. And I think Tai Johnson missed a bulk of training camp on top of that. Yeah. Hand up. I drafted a ton of Ray
14:06Davis over the last two years. So it's weird to do it a third year. Uh especially when James Cook, you know, has almost been healthy for every single
14:12one of those. Uh I know people are shouting like Blake Cororm and a whole bunch of handcuff names. Joel, to me,
14:17those are not true handcuffs. You know, those guys have legit standalone value. I'm talking about the ones that have
14:23zero standalone value. But again, if Saquon goes down, to me, you're looking at Tank Bixby as a every week top 20
14:30running back uh for as long as Barkley is on the bench. Okay, let's jump to wide receivers. This list is much
14:36smaller. Denzel Boston is rostered in 31% of Yahoo Leagues. Uh he had an
14:44excellent training camp and once we got the preseason, we know that Todd Monkin loved to throw the football to Casey
14:49Conpion. And so that's why KC and Denzo Boston's uh let's say ADPs and roster
14:54percentage is much much different. What are your view what's your view on Denzo Boston heading into his rookie season?
15:00I like him a lot in Dynasty. I think if he works in reddraft, he's going to be one of those players that like gets
15:05picked up in week one, dropped in week three or four or five, and then picked up again at the end of the season and is
15:11like good. Then it's just tough cuz like the reason we like KC as like that first round rookie and Boston was drafted like
15:18right after him. They're just like very different styles. Like Boston is going to be good as that red zone receiving
15:23threat. So when you're on offense that had like under one passing touchdowns per game last season and he's the third
15:30option, it's tough to like even in deep leagues to like see the value there. So
15:35I like him in Dynasty. It's just a really tough situation to do it in right now. Yeah, we'll see a lot of Travis Hunter
15:41probably in week one as well. It's going to be easier to get, you know, Quinchon Judkins, Casey Conpsion, and Harold Fan
15:46in the football. Uh, with that said, I really do think that Denzel Boston has ISO ball ability, sideline ability on
15:52top of it. And and you brought up the red zone stuff. Todd Monkin talked about those red zone skills earlier this off season, but you know, Cleveland was 29th
16:00in the NFL with 2.2 red zone drives per game. And then even in Baltimore last
16:05year, Todd Monkin's offense was 27th in red zone touchdown rate. So, yeah, maybe Denzel Boston, he'll have his moments
16:13this year with a couple touchdowns or a single touchdown grab, but that's more of maybe a 2027 conversation. Okay, we
16:19go from a rookie to a vet. What about Keenan Allen signing halfway through training camp and being a part of this
16:25banged up Colts passing attack? Yeah, he's another one that I'm not like dying to go out and get on waiverss before
16:32week one and like even after I think like going into year 14. It's one of those low ceiling but also like kind of
16:39low floor player. All the reports is kind of he's going to be three wide receiver sets on the outside and low
16:46passing volume offense. When they are scoring a lot of it is on the ground like when they get in the red zone they're running the ball. They have
16:52still like Tyler Warren there as that number one with Josh DS and Pierce and like he's just like another one of the guys. So, I think it's just going to be
16:58low like he's not going to get the 120 targets that he saw with Justin Herbert and then the offense is very different
17:04where I don't think it's really benefiting him to be a year 14 outlier. I will say I think the 28% is pretty
17:10low. Like we could look at the end of week one against this Ravens defense and see that Keen Allen is a leading
17:17receiver for this team. I wouldn't say I'm predicting that, but it wouldn't shock me either. Um,
17:22one area that stands out to me how he's going to be useful on this team is third downs. I mean, he is a chain mover every
17:28single year of his career. But with the Chargers last year, he had 51 targets on third down compared to 28 for Lad
17:34McConny, 20 for Quinton Johnston. Uh I'm interested to see what this does for
17:40Josh DS more so than you know Tyler Warren because let's say I think Josh Downs had the
17:48most targets on third down last year. Meanwhile, Tyler Warren the most of his were on first and second down. And
17:54again, Keen Allen, I think, was 22nd EPA added on catches last year on late. So,
18:00it's uh again, not predicting it, but it wouldn't shock me at all if Keen Allen has a sneaky week one.
18:05Yeah. Still a good NFL player. Still a good NFL player. His his a his game ages gracefully is
18:11one way of putting it. Okay. Yeah. Tight ends, maybe you were very frustrated how your tight end room fell
18:17in the draft. We're gonna fix that right now. And then man to do it as Terrence Ferguson potentially here, Joel. He's
18:23only rostered in 20% of Yahoo Leagues. We know that they play early against the
18:29San Francisco 49ers. The Rams do. This is the one that I'm watching here for week one. Okay, for this reason. In
18:352023, Kairen Williams popped up for 15 touchdowns, 1300 yards. It was evident
18:41during week one that we should have unloaded our fab for him. Also in 2023, Puka Nakua, fifthround rookie, 1500
18:48yards. We should have unloaded our fab despite him again being more of a late round pick and a very much of an
18:53unknown. Terrence Ferguson, as you know, Joel, half of his targets last year were
18:5820 plus yards down the field. He was a unicorn in terms of his usage. Now, all that we've heard is they want to get him
19:04more quick passes underneath against linebackers and safeties and allow him to run after the catch. So, maybe this
19:10is one of those breakout players at a position that unless you drafted the top five or top six, you have major
19:16questions on your roster. Yeah, it's like it's what we were talking about earlier. If he goes out in week one and it is the usage that they've been
19:22talking up, it's like then we really like it. Then it's worth that money there. A lot of people have been talking
19:28about how he can just be like the team's pseudo wide receiver three kind of how like Mike Jiki is in Cincinnati where
19:34yes, they kind of like they have Andre Yoshi, but Mike Jiki is the slot guy. Mike just is that wide receiver three on
19:39the team and 22 might get in the way of that at well, but I think there's still the shot that Ferguson can be that and
19:45it's just such a good offense. like you want to be part of it. 80% I think it's 82% of tight end touchdowns come in the
19:51red zone and they led the NFL last year obviously in those red zone touchdowns through the air. So I think Ferguson can
19:57be like one of those sneaky guys. They drafted him high last year. He was like he was their first pick. This team is four deep at tight end. There's a chance
20:04they legitimately live out of 12 and 13 personnel. And if that's the case then Terrence Ferguson is their wide receiver
20:11three behind Pukuna and Devonte Adams. So, if if I have to, and I probably have when I made the thumbnail, headline a
20:17player ahead of this, again, he's out there in 80% of Yahoo Leagues, not the ones I play in, but 80%. So, go out and
20:24uh I would say pick him up ahead of week one. The other name here is Pat Fri that I wrote down. Uh Joel, I don't even know
20:29if you, you know, want to say anything about this. My only point is I think there's a chance that Pat Footh has been
20:35undervalued all summer. That's like a a take that's been creeping up in my my brain as the weeks have gone along. Uh,
20:41Michael Pitman missed a ton of camp. Aaron Rogers said that Pat Fmouth would be a big part of filling in in that gap
20:49for when and until, you know, Michael Pitman gets back to 100%. Uh, and if
20:54that's the case, we know Aaron Rogers uh, really gets to pick out who he throws the football to. Pat Frymouth might be like a top 15 tight end when we
21:01look back at it the rest of the season. Yeah, he could be worth a start against the Bengals if that doesn't change there. Last year,
21:07he destroyed them. But it'll be interesting because like obviously Arthur Smith, he runs such tight end
21:12heavy sets and Mike McCarthy's kind of been the opposite, but they've paid both Frymouth and Darnell Washington so much
21:18money. They're both I think top 10 in their contract. So it'll be interesting to see like how much each of them is
21:24used. Totally. And you know, we need to deal with Darnell Washington who was more of a sixth offensive lineman, but also
21:29Jonnu Smith in that grouping last year. And Johnny Smith is now gone. And then really if Moose wants to be the third
21:36target or even second target early on, it's Roman Wilson that maybe he's competing with. And you would like to
21:41think that Pat Footh can overtake Roman Wilson in in that pecking order. Uh, okay. We're going to do deep sleepers,
21:47deep names here in a moment. First, just wanted to mention, as we're going to do throughout the rest of the shows this
21:53week, our content schedule, as I said, every Monday night after Monday Night Football, we're going to have this the
21:58waiver episode with Joel. Tuesday, it's a live stats versus film 6:00 Eastern,
22:05myself, Hayden, and Matt Harmon. Wednesday, running back rankings with
22:10Justin Boone in the evening. Thursdays, I know I'm guesting on Matt's channel for a weekend preview, and we'll have
22:17some other smaller videos that Hayden's a part of, too. And then Friday, wide receiver rankings for all of you. We
22:22close it out with Sunday. Starting even earlier this year, 10:30 a.m. until kickoff, a live preview show, Fantasy
22:29Football Live, and then our normal Q&A. So, uh, yeah, join us, you know, six days a week here on the
22:35channel for some content. Uh, I'll be joining you. Yes, you will. Yes, you will, Joe.
22:40You'll be here. You have no uh reason not to be. Okay. Less [snorts] than 25%
22:45of Yahoo Leagues. I'm going to throw George Hani's name at you right now, Joel, because he's rostered and only 4%
22:53on Yahoo at the moment. [snorts] I'm not super bought in on it. I I've
23:00seen him recently, I'm sure you have, of like he could potentially be their goal line back.
23:05So maybe there if he like gets that and the receiving, he's just like a unicorn where he's not really getting much
23:10carries, but he's getting all the important work. We very rarely see that. I think I'll pass in general just
23:15because like we saw Sharon last year and even Helani is the RB2 to Walker last season in the playoffs like really good
23:22NFL player very valuable for their team wasn't really like a fantasy play in the NFL playoffs. So just to reset this we
23:29know Zack Sharp is out for at least four games and it could be longer. We don't know that right now. Uh the report that
23:34you're bringing up is from the athletics Andrew Destin. He said that Jadarian Price is going to be used on early downs
23:40while George Hani plays the third down short yardage and goal line roles.
23:47That's a big leap for me to make. Okay. Um for one, Helani has one red zone
23:52carry in his career. Now, he did have, you know, three games with Ken Walker the third out over the last what two
23:58seasons and played about 33% of the snaps in those situations and and saw one goal line opportunity and red zone
24:04opportunity, I should say, not just goal line, red zone opportunity. So, I to me that's almost Joel imparting Zack
24:11Sharp's role one to one onto George Hani and I don't think it's going to be that
24:17rigid. Um, I will add though like where we're seeing with Trevian Henderson
24:22right now and how he is out of practice and Adam Sheper saying it's a long shot for him to play. I think this game is
24:29what on Wednesday night. If you drafted Trevan Henderson to like be your flex player, I think a speculative ad instead
24:37is George Hani and maybe you have to be forced to play him in that situation. Uh
24:42it wouldn't shock me at all even if Hindo plays if Helani outscores Hindo this week
24:47and this is a week one show. So I will say if there's any week that Helani is going to be like the best it would be in
24:53week one with the rookie price as like his first ever career game. Yeah, this is one of those short view
24:58names like Tferg is a long view. Obviously Tolani to me is a very short view name but again the first four weeks
25:04uh wins and losses matter just as much as let's say weeks five through nine on top of it. Okay, deep cut wide
25:11receivers. Trey Tucker versus the Miami Dolphins. Easiest matchup I would say in
25:17the opening 11 weeks for this Raiders team. Only rostered on 25% of Yahoo
25:23Leagues right now. Joel, I don't mind it. It's 25% which I'm surprised it's like that low just because of that means he's
25:30like going undrafted in a lot of like the bigger leagues too. But Tucker, he is the wide receiver one in Las Vegas.
25:36They bring in Naylor, but at least from like the reports right now in preseason, they rested Trey Tucker. They did not
25:42rest Jaylen Naylor. So, it's looking like he's going to be the wide receiver one on the team, even though, you know,
25:47Raiders receivers aren't expected to be the best, but Kubak could give him
25:52potential because he is the explosive deep threat. And we've seen that with Kubak in the past, like Rasheed Shahid
25:58in New Orleans or JSN last year, whatever it is, like it's always those big explosive touchdowns. So, he's not
26:05going to be consistent. It's going to be pretty volatile, but he's a prayer guy that can answer a lot of prayers. We
26:11just don't know when it's going to be. Yeah. If it hits hot and if it runs hot, then Trey Tucker, you know, could have
26:16some really spiked weeks for you. It's interesting like Clint Kubak and both chances he's been recently as a play
26:22caller. New Orleans wasn't supposed to be this downfield passing attack. He turned it into a top 10 explosive
26:28offense. Seattle last year was among if not the best at 10 20 plus yards down
26:33the field that wasn't expected to happen once he took over. So this is just part of his DNA in terms of downfield stuff
26:39and while they paid Jaylen Naylor this offseason and free agency every single beat rider has said that Trey Tucker is
26:45the wide receiver one even if Brock Bowers kind of has that mantle but they have to throw it to someone else too. So
26:51I'm with you. 75% of leagues out there I think are sleeping on Trey Tucker a little bit. Yeah. and he doesn't need to be like an
26:56eight target a game guy to produce. Like if he just gets like a couple of those deep shots, he'll be good. What do you want to say about Jacobe
27:02Lane, the rookie Ravens wide receiver who's available in 81% of leagues out
27:08there? He's the better guy in dynasty. We know that. But there is some potential just
27:13because of the mix of his style in the offense. He's like the opposite of
27:18Denzel Boston basically. Like he's in a Ravens offense where yes, they are also lower volume in the passing attack. He
27:25looks like he's gonna be the wide receiver too if Baitman is not there. But even in college with Mai Lemon, he
27:30was the clear wide receiver too to Lemon, but he still had more touchdowns over that three-ear span the last two
27:36seasons in general. So Lane can still get there in a really good offense if he just has like a really big touchdown
27:42season. I hope that Z Flowers is used more in the red zone, but hasn't been in the past. That's like one thing. And
27:48then the other bigger thing to me is they led the NFL in tight end target share in the red zone like they usually
27:54do. Baltimore these last few years with Lamar, but now like Charlie Kohler's not there, Isaiah Likely's not there, and
27:59Mark Andrews is obviously in decline. So it's like 42% of the targets went to tight ends there. Yep. A lot of that
28:05could be up for grabs for Jacobe. Man, we have the same exact notes for this one and you said it even better
28:11than I could have. Yeah, I mean the the Ravens built their red zone passing offense around Mark Andrews and Isaiah
28:17likely and even Kolar over the last few seasons and all the reports of Mark Andrews have not been great in training
28:22camp. We know the other two are on different teams. I'm with you. One of the reasons why I've been aggressive in
28:28drafting Z Flowers is because I thought this could be a reset season when it comes to his red zone usage. But, you
28:35know, maybe that's just a figment of my imagination and it's not possible. He's just too small for it. And if that's the case, then Jacobe Lane, his top 10
28:41catches at USC were better than like the any 10 catches of any other wide receiver in this class. So Lamar really
28:48hasn't had this style of a wide receiver at this age. You know, he had DeAndre
28:53Hopkins very late in his career. And so I I'm interested and intrigued to see
28:58how Lamar handles like a sideline ball winner of this type of oh, we have ISO coverage, let's throw it up to a
29:04one-on-one and see what happens. Yeah, I haven't really thought about that before, but yeah, like obviously his wide receiver won for the first few was
29:10like Maris Brown, very different style receivers to Flowers to his tight end. So, that'll be interesting. Yeah.
29:16Okay. Houston made a move after secondyear wide receiver Jaden Higgins went down. Let's talk Kahan Bouty or
29:24Booty uh that they made the move for with the New England Patriots. By the way, Booty was one of the better
29:30downfield ball winners. Uh a perfect match for Drake May. It's interesting, Joel. Um, I didn't look this up, but it
29:37wouldn't shock me at all if you know like Jaden Higgins roster percentage was nearly identical to Kjan Booty 17%. It,
29:45you know, I make that tongue-in-cheek point in that we didn't immediately give Kahan Booty
29:52the ADP that Jaden Higgins had, and it's not even close. So, I guess my question is, should it be close?
29:57I'm kind of leaning on the no side just cuz I was pretty I was a little higher on Jaden Higgins, I guess. But with
30:04Booty, I think he's like a good NFL move, but I don't know how much it's going to translate to fantasy this year.
30:10Like the Patriots, obviously, he didn't have the volume in New England and they had some other guys there, but potential
30:16more volume, but the Patriots offense was just like really perfect for him. Drake May downfield and like those deep
30:21shots was really perfect for him. So, I think he is going to be more of just that outside deep threat, take the top
30:27off and help Nico Collins some potentially, but if you're playing um it is still going
30:33to be can he get five targets in a touchdown, please, but I don't know if it's going to be like I'm confidently
30:38playing Kan Booty this week. Yeah, Kahan Booty might be a really nice by-week play uh in that regard in terms
30:45of hey, this might be the week that he gets the five targets and long touchdown. I also believe the Texans are
30:50going to run a lot more 12 and 13 personnel. I mean, they drafted Marlon Klein, Foss Moro, they also have Dalton
30:56Schultz on top of it. And so, yeah, Booty is going to stretch the field as Nico Collins runs these awesome crossing
31:02routes and middle the field targets and all that type of stuff. And that's why you and I are drafting a lot of Nico Collins uh this offseason.
31:09Yeah. What about a talk about downfield ball winners? He's only rostered in 16% of Yahoo Leagues
31:16right now as a part of the Jets. Yeah, I know you love him. I think I know that. But with Mitchell, I I I'm a believer,
31:22especially like in the best leagues or deeper leagues like that, like I have faith and there's just been lots
31:28of signs and I know like it's the Jets and Gino Smith and it's a little ugly. He's obviously the wide receiver too to
31:34Garrett Wilson, but Gino Smith has loved him. There's just been like constant
31:39positive talk ever since he's gotten to New York and Gino Smith and him worked out together like in Florida this year.
31:45just things he's called him this year. He's an alpha. He's a baller. He's
31:50special. He's a great teammate. Just lots of different things. And you know, he had two targets to Gary Wilson's one
31:56in the preseason. So maybe that means something. I'm joking. But you know what I mean? Like I think he can actually be
32:02like a consistent seven targets a week. And with his play style, I think that
32:07can pay off sometimes. And it works well with Smith's style. I will bite your hand off right now for I met you get seven targets a week. I
32:14mean, that that would be incredible stuff. Um, look, they they drafted Omar Cooper and Kenins Sadique in round one,
32:20right? However, those two might cannibalize each other a little bit in that one can only be on
32:27the field while the other's off the field if Cooper is the slot and Sadique is kind of the second tight end in a way
32:33because Garrett Wilson and Adai Mitchell are going to be the outside wide receivers for this team, you know, and
32:38that's fantastic. The other point of this, Joel, is that they open with the Tennessee Titans. maybe their easiest
32:44matchup of the season. So, if you drafted someone like Jordan Tyson, you
32:49know, who's an IR immediate for the opening six weeks of the season and you need to fill in that wide receiver spot
32:56in your roster. I think you and I can agree that Ana Mitchell and maybe even the next thing we're going to bring up here in Dantavian Wixs could be the two
33:04most likely outcome players and maybe upside players versus even the wide receivers that we opened with with like
33:10Denzel Boston and Keen Allen that are more rostered on Yahoo right now. Yeah, Tennessee and New York is pretty
33:16disgusting, but I don't mind it. I think there's going to be like one of those big receivers that's questionable right
33:22now and it's like five or six of them where it's like, "Oh, they'll be good by week one." There's probably going to be one that isn't and Mitchell could be a
33:29nice villain. Okay, let's talk Dantavian Wix then. Um, beat writers have said things quote like
33:34Mai Lemon is expected to get playing time right off the bat, but it's more likely that Dvonte Smith and Dantavian
33:40Wixs receive the bulk of the targets while the rookie gets his footing. It sounds like Joel that he has locked down
33:46the wide receiver 2 spot in camp. And a lot of it is with Lemon missing all of OTAA's most of training camp. I
33:53think it's going to be Lemon will start in the slot, get his feet wet, and will take time there. But I think people will
33:59be surprised that Wix is like on the field more than Lemon to start. I agree. Uh this is a short view play
34:05because when you draft a rookie like Mai Lemon, even in fantasy, uh that's a post
34:10buy bump type player. Uh, we know that, you know, rookies can define second
34:16halfs of fantasy seasons, but they're going to give Wix a ton of routes and a
34:21ton of snaps early on. So, I think you can do worse than the Eagles that are projected to win a number of their early
34:28games and score a fair amount of points even in this new passing offense. Uh, that the drum beat for Dantavan Wix has
34:35been quite loud. So, look, it it was even frustrating when it was AJ Brown and Dvonte Smith together that one of
34:40those guys might miss out. But again, I if you are really in need of an immediate starter if if your league is
34:46super deep, uh Dant Wix is a name to keep in mind. Um, okay, let's talk the
34:51two Dolphins rookie wide receivers. Caleb Douglas is rostered on 11% of
34:57leagues. Chris Bell 4% of leagues. Straight up. Joel, do you have a preference of the two?
35:03Not really. I think I lean Douglas just because of the ACL tear and them being
35:09rookies, slow start for Bell. So, I think right now if I had to roster one, especially earlier on the season, it'd be Douglas.
35:15Okay, I'm going to do the opposite. I know that Caleb Douglas popped up here for, you know, an awesome catch in the
35:21preseason, nearly had another one on the sideline that he couldn't get two feet in bounds. I know he's the one that has
35:26flashed in training camp and has been at nearly every single practice, but Chris Bell to me uh is another deep cut that
35:35could really pay off for us as much as a Dolphins wide receiver could in weeks like seven, eight, nine here from Joel
35:41Shad. Okay. Quote, "We're going to put our chips on Chris Bell leading the team in receiving yards this year." So Chris
35:48Bell is a fun player in terms of yards at the catch, a unique style to his game. So, I wonder in a couple weeks,
35:55Joel, if we're gonna be talking about Chris Bell a lot more. Yeah, I'm sure if we have one of these waiver shows, we'll probably be talking
36:01a lot of Miami receivers throughout the year. I bet. At least a couple. At least a couple. Yeah. Maybe our prediction is that both
36:08Miami receivers make at least four appearances on this episode one way or another after a really nice week. And we
36:14can't time the good weeks from the bad weeks at all. Uh, okay. Let's close with
36:20Devon Ble. He's the name that's filling in the starting lineup here for Jordan Tyson. Give me your thoughts. I like it
36:27kind of in those leagues where it's like PPR, especially with Tyson. I think he's a nice like solid fill in for Tyson in
36:33the meantime. Mainly just because of the offense in general. There's been like a lot of positive talk about Vle where he
36:39got traded mid-season last year. It didn't do anything, but now with the the offseason with the team, all of that,
36:45but the offense overall is fast-paced. It's high volume. It's a lot of those quick targets, a lot of those deep
36:51targets. So, there's lots of volume to be had for Vele in those PPR leagues where he's not gonna crush, but I think
36:57he has a really good shot of being like getting you a solid 10 points when you need it. We've done it, Joel. This was a
37:04great start. It'll get even better as we go along. In future versions of this, we're going to do a cut list at the end,
37:09too. So, some names that are rostered in the majority of Yahoo Leagues out there that we think people should cut bait on
37:16at this moment. Uh, I just don't want to do that to your rosters right now after you think a a optimistic thought on
37:22every single one of them because you drafted them for a reason. So, uh, we're going to let you know the chips fall in week one and we'll be back here to
37:28deliver the bad news uh, next Monday night. Joel, uh, thanks for doing this with me all season
37:33long. Thank you. Tell people where they can find you and your work because I know uh, on, you know, socials you're fantasy with a
37:41Y in Smith. Yep. On Twitter, X Fantasy Smith. Just Joel Smith on Tik Tok and Instagram. So
37:48come watch videos. I'll have about four or five social videos a week, if not more. There it is. All right, everyone. Thanks
37:55for tuning in. We'll see you next time.

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