0:00Week six start sit here on the fantasy football daily show with Scott and Brett on the Fantasy Points YouTube channel.
0:09Scott, we have eight or sorry, seven more games to get through, but then at the end of the show, you're going to
0:15take us through your series, a fiveminute discussion on Man of Renown, I believe. I don't know who it is yet.
0:23We'll find out at the end. And I'm going to allow you to go longer than five if you need to. Okay. I think you've
0:29deserved it. You won the bet. You pointed out I went for 15 minutes on the cooking segment. That was with me
0:35sprinting, by the way. I was like sweaty after at the end of that cuz I was talking too fast. But >> yeah.
0:46>> Are you serious?
0:48What?
0:50That's awesome. That's so sick.
0:57Hey guys, a quick little update for you.
0:59Jaylen Herds is out. He has a superficial blood clot. We're not sure how long he's going to be out, but he's
1:05certainly going to miss week six and likely multiple weeks beyond that. His replacement is Tanner McKe, Mike Rener's guy. Tanner McKe only two career starts.
1:17Was a sixthround pick two years ago, but you know, our friend Mike Rener, much higher on him. uh only two career starts
1:25but uh a higher adjusted net yards per attempt than than Jaylen Herz over the last two years. I've seen some optimism.
1:32You have Greg Cassell saying, "Hey, you know, Jaylen Herd's a much better talent than Tanner McKe, but you know, he struggles with timing and anticipation.
1:42Um we know this offense was kind of designed heavy 11 personnel for more uh under center drop backs, more throws over the middle. Jaylen Herz has never
1:51really thrown over the middle throughout his career with like five different offensive coordinators, always a bottom three rate of that. Um, I wonder if
2:00maybe this is the thing to save Mai Lemon who looks like a complete and total bust. Um, but yeah, it's, you
2:06know, Tanner McKe we're not high on. He ranks ahead of only Kim Ward among starting quarterbacks in our projections, but you know, barely any
2:15movement on everyone else. Uh Devont Smith is still a fringe wide receiver one for for us. Dallas Goddard a low-end tight end one in our projections. And uh
2:27Damen Pierce low-end RB2.
2:31Uh you know certainly not one I feel all that confident in, but it's just you know a week with buys. Uh not a ton of
2:38competition for snaps. And so uh that's the update I have for you. Uh, we'll we'll go ahead and Yeah, that's it.
2:49If you're new here, which a lot of you are, don't forget to subscribe. Click the bell for notifications so you never
2:54miss an upload from Brett and Scott. All right, let's dive in.
3:00Game eight of 14. The Carolina Panthers are traveling to Philadelphia. This spread has been all over the place. At one point it flipped all the way back on
3:10its head and was actually Panthers favored on the road, but it is now back in the Eagles court. They are favored by
3:16half a point, overunder of just 39.5.
3:20Vegas thinks this is going to be a lowscoring game.
3:23Let's start on the Panthers side of the ball.
3:26>> Yeah. So, my key stat here is you what we've been saying on some of these shows is like this offense looks awesome.
3:34Yeah, I I did not see this coming at all. You know, a big-time Bryce Young hitter, but this offense looks ripe with
3:43fantasy potential. Uh Carolina right now is the second fastest offense by pace of play by pass rate over expectation.
3:50They're second highest and that is just a recipe for a ton of fantasy goodness.
3:57Looks like we're get we're getting Jaylen Coker back. Uh and it's a great spot for it. He, you know, before that
4:05injury, he was, there were questions of who's the real wide receiver one in this offense. I know T McMillan had like an
4:1218 catch game, but uh 17.5 XFP per game.
4:16That's top 10. Uh he ranked top 12 in in inseparation score. And he runs about 45% of his routes from the slot. The Eagles are
4:26giving up the most fantasy points per game to opposing slot wide receivers.
4:30They rank sixth best against outside wide receivers, top 10 against tight ends. What does that mean? This is a slot funnel. Looks like Jaylen Coker is
4:40going to get the better matchup here, but uh you know, you and I both agree Ted McMillan probably probably the wide receiver one. Probably
4:50the guy who's going to uh have better XFP per game by the end of the year and whatnot. So, uh, they're both checking
4:57in as what, mid-range wide receiver twos. Chuba Hubard, who we like. Uh, he and Kenneth Walker right now are the only running backs to finish top 12 in
5:08fantasy points every single week that they've played. And so, you know, despite what honestly is probably it's probably neutral at worst, well,
5:20you know, maybe it's a little a little bit tougher. So, the Eagles are giving up a lot of the 15th most fantasy points
5:26per game to running backs, but based on the volume they faced, like they're they're nearly best in the league by fantasy points over expectation. So,
5:34it's just like blowout scripts they're getting run on, but they're actually pretty decent at defending the run.
5:40Nonetheless, he's been an RB1 every week thus far. It's really good volume. Uh, and so, yeah, I I like this fringe RB1
5:48for Chuba Hubard, mid-range wide receiver, two for the wide receivers.
5:52Bryce Young.
5:54Maybe we're a little too low on Brett because he's right now the QB3 by fantasy points per game. He's eighth in
6:02EPA per dropback. I talked about the the the pace of play, the pass rate over expectation. And the Eagles bottom 12 in
6:10fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.
6:12What do you think?
6:14>> Yeah, for one, I I think Chris's projections here reflect what Vegas thinks.
6:20Um, I believe this game goes o over.
6:23>> I'm with you.
6:23>> You have a team in the Panthers that can score and you have a defense in the Panthers who are bad. That should pay,
6:30you know, push the pace of this game up quite a bit. So, even though the Eagles offense has struggled, I think they
6:35should be able to match with the Panthers and uh I think we go over here.
6:39And so, yeah, I agree. I think I think we're a little light on the Bryce Young projection. I like that T and Coker are
6:45pinched. Um, as you mentioned, the Eagles pass defense is terrible against slot receivers. 35 receptions given up to slot receivers already. That's seven
6:55a game. And, you know, Coker plays a a large swath of his uh, snaps from the slot. So, I think this is a really good
7:04spot for Coker. I'm a little skittish, a little more skittish on Chuba at RB14. I know he you just gave that amazing stat
7:11RB1 every week of the season so far, but the Eagles are really good against the run.
7:18>> Yeah.
7:19>> And um consistently good. I think they had one bad week actually and everything else has been like just locked down. So
7:27um under four yards a carry a lot on the season. You throw out the bad game, I believe that drops like 3.4 or
7:32something. So >> yeah, >> they're they're really good against the run.
7:35>> Yeah. So I'm right there with you. I think we go over here. I really like Jaylen. I like Tat. Um, and I think
7:41we're a little light on Bryce. I'm not I'm not saying Bryce is a clear QB1 start this week, but you could
7:47definitely do worse and and definitely a streaming option for you.
7:50>> Could you do worse by starting Jaylen Herz who have QB9?
7:55>> Probably.
7:56>> Seems like an Eagles fan set that projection, huh?
8:01>> Chris hates when I say that, Liz.
8:03>> Oh, me. Yeah, >> I'm a Giants fan. He's an Eagles fan.
8:05But like there's none of that with Chris. He's literally just a genius and he's best in the industry at this and
8:12much better than me. But I mean like dude, he's not running anymore. He's the QB2 on the season. Bryce Young's the
8:19QB3.
8:20>> Yeah, we Yeah, I Yeah, I don't I mean the Panthers defense is terrible, though.
8:27You think that's fueling the projection quite a bit? I'm assuming.
8:30>> Yeah, >> this is a great spot for Dantavian Wixs.
8:34>> No, it's not.
8:34>> Schematically, it is. Absolutely.
8:36>> Oh. Yeah.
8:37>> Yeah. Listen, he he he couldn't do really jack all you. He was getting out alphaed by Darius Cooper. So with
8:44Dvontis Smith and Dallas got both back.
8:47I I kind of have no interest for my own personal fantasy teams.
8:51>> It was it was one play. Just FYI.
8:54>> One play. What?
8:56>> Darius Cooper caught a 61 yard touchdown that Herz put on him. Wix >> the week before that he caught two
9:02touchdowns. Listen, I I don't actually believe that. I'm just saying he was unproductive and now you have two major target hogs coming. This is kind of
9:10we're going to see like neighbors Isaiah likely target shares for Devont Smith Dallas where they get like 66%. There's not much left over.
9:19>> Panthers are horrendous against the run.
9:22>> Depending on where what you feel about Damen Pierce, he's worth a a flex start this week in my opinion.
9:29Well, um, you know, we could have said that last week when he got all of the work after Will Shipley went down and
9:36what happened? He had >> five targets, 11 carries, and 12 total yards from scrimmage. Uh, you know, we we kept talking about this this offense
9:47being dead, the offensive line being bad.
9:50>> I kind of worry he's not going to get 100% of the work. Scott, they played Jacksonville, >> one of the best run defenses in the
9:58league. This is the worst run defense in the league.
10:00>> 5.4 yards per carry allowed on the season.
10:03>> Yeah, but it's a dude who sucks running behind an offensive line who sucks.
10:08>> We'll see.
10:09>> I mean, I I think this is You don't think he's Well, I I said fair.
10:13>> Yeah, >> I think it's worth a flex, though.
10:15>> I wouldn't put on the fence. I'd put flex.
10:17>> I'm on the fence and it's an ondefense projection. So, >> okay.
10:22Um, do you have any notes on Gddard or Smith or are they just comfortable starts?
10:27>> They're very comfortable starts. Uh, some mild hamstring risk, but Mueller, Jeff Mueller, injury expert, isn't too worried. He had a 29% target
10:38share before that injury.
10:40Dallas target shares of 20% or better in his full games. It's a top 10 matchup.
10:46It's a good schematic matchup. Uh, and historic, this is like the Isaiah likely stat is, you know, likely without Mark
10:54Andrews putting up, you know, fringe wide receiver one numbers and Dallas Gddard, same thing without AJ Brown puts up fringe wide receiver one just about
11:0616 fantasy points per game. So, um, yeah, I I I'm a little bit more bullish on Dallas. I think he's a star. Dvont
11:12Smith certainly a star.
11:15Okay, moving on to the Steelers traveling to Tampa Bay. We got an over.
11:21Is this also an overunder of 39.5?
11:23What's going on in Vegas this week? Uh Pittsburgh favored by two and a half on the road.
11:30Oo, yeah, I think I agree that Pittsburgh should be favored, but two and a half is is a bit much for a road a road team
11:38favorite that's not very good.
11:41So, what I'm really good at, Brett, is like finding these contrarian plays, guys that >> Yeah, that's that's my strength as well.
11:48>> No one else is talking. And someone did a study where they compared all the different DFS resources, who was the best at at predicting the
11:58winning Millie Maker lineup. And like my slate breakdown was better than anything else across the industry, bar none. And like that's my specialty.
12:07And >> is that why you give it up?
12:09>> What's that? Is that slight breakdown?
12:11>> Yeah. Well, I don't do it anymore. I Well, to be fair, I found people who are better than me. So, okay. Uh, that's
12:16what I did. Um, I have a Galaxy brain play of the week I want to pick your brain on.
12:23>> Is it Darnell Washington?
12:25>> Oh, that's Dro's. Shout out DR.
12:27>> Yeah, shout out Dro.
12:29>> Um, my Galaxy Brain play of the week in DFS.
12:34Aaron Rogers.
12:37Consider this. Consider this Brett. Over the last three weeks, no quarterback has as many or more passing touchdowns as Aaron Rogers. He has nine. He's
12:46averaging 275.3 passing yards per game. Uh the Buccaneers rank top five in blitz rate,
12:56dead last in pressure rate. And isn't that the most important thing for a guy who's a total statue, but still the arm
13:04talents there? Does the old man still got it? What's going on? Is he a great play this week?
13:09>> I' I've said he's still got it as long as he's in the pocket. His arm is still great. He's He's flinging that pill, you
13:16know? I This might be a little galaxy brain, but I I like it. Well, you're talking DFS, though. DFS, it's fine.
13:23100%.
13:26>> QB21 for a guy with >> Yeah, but it's the thing with quarterback. You always elegantly point this out. The projection spread on
13:34quarterback is is tight. Look at like QB 13 to QB 21. It's similar, you know. So, >> high parity position.
13:41>> High parity position. Yes. That's why it's so important matter a lot and are very predictive, >> which I've discovered in the Scott
13:48Bearbull, by the way.
13:50>> Matchups are even more important in that league.
13:53So, I carry like four quarterbacks in that league. Scott, >> I know that was that's the optimal. I I was so mad that you figured out the game
14:00theory optimal before me.
14:03You did tell me about it, which I appreciate.
14:06>> After I picked everyone up.
14:07>> That's right. That's right.
14:09>> Anyways, yeah, I I I think you're on to something here for sure. Buccaneers defense is so disappointing. You have to
14:15wonder if Todd Bulls is is on the hot seat, right? I mean, bro, he's a defensive guy and his defense is getting
14:22mollywpped every game.
14:24>> Mollywapped.
14:26That's bad.
14:27>> Yeah, >> I think >> that's bad.
14:29>> That's bad. Okay. Yeah. So, we like Jaylen Warren. Do you like him better than RB15, though? Is what I was going
14:34to ask you.
14:36Uh uh, good question. He's averaging 163 yards from scrimmage per game over his last
14:46three games. Um, it's a brutal matchup and and part of why I like Aaron Rogers here is they're a passfunnel defense.
14:55Tampa Bay allows 3.35 yards per carry to enemy running backs. you get Rico Datt back most likely. And so maybe that eats into
15:06the work a little bit even if Mike McCarthy is saying this is our our featured guy now. So I I actually kind
15:12of don't mind Rah.
15:15>> He's actually RB1 14. I just checked.
15:17>> I think Chris pushed an update. RB14 is where he's got him now.
15:20>> Okay. Well, RB RB12 probably sounds right to me.
15:25>> Okay.
15:27You like him more than Brillin Allen?
15:30You know, I I >> see I don't know.
15:33>> I look at RB14.
15:35>> I do. I do. I do.
15:36>> Okay. So, gun to my head. I look at RB14 and I'm like, yeah, it seems light. But then I look at the guys ahead of him.
15:41I'm like, you know what? Maybe Brilan Allen's the only one I disagree with.
15:44But it's like James Cook, Javvante, Chuba directly in front of him.
15:49>> Yeah.
15:49>> I don't I don't know that I would, you know, leaprog him over any of those guys. So, all right. On the Tampa Bay.
15:55Oh, actually, can we can we do the Darnell Washington thing? D Bros take.
15:58It's actually pretty interesting.
16:00>> Yeah, you you do it you do it justice here.
16:03>> So, since the start of last year, Darnell Washington actually has a higher target per route run rate than DK Metaf
16:10against single high coverage.
16:11>> Buccaneers run single high coverage at like is it the highest rate in the league?
16:16>> Yeah, by the way, it's it's not just that. Uh Tampa Bay zone 83% of the time.
16:21That's a top five rate. DK Mechaf 0.86 yards for route run against this year.
16:26and Darnell Washington against single high 2.1 yards per route run. And he's had games this year where we've seen that role bump up to like 45 to 50% of
16:35the routes. It's like a it's a skank tight end play is what it is. You know, it's like if you're desperate,
16:41>> just throw in some Darnold Washington.
16:42If you're playing DFS, you want to you want a men player, >> throw in some Darnell Washington. Have some fun stacking with Aaron Rogers.
16:49>> Yeah. So So Ryan also had a note though.
16:52Um, when Rogers is blitzed, DK Mechf has a 31% target share. That's top five.
16:59>> Target per route run jumps by 83%. And so, you know, maybe that matters here against the Blitzheavy Todd Bulls Buccaneers.
17:06>> Uh, maybe it cancels it out a little bit for DK, but dude, DK Mechaf 1.18 yards per route run ranks 115th. That's so
17:14pathetic for a guy averaging 7.4 targets per game. Um, I think that projection's too high. I think because you're you really like Darnell Washington. I think
17:26Pat Fri tight end 12. That's too high.
17:29Darnell Washington, I'm not playing. I I think that's a a fun idea.
17:34>> Yeah. You realize it's a bit, right?
17:35Like we're skank tight end. That's That's John's bit.
17:38>> Okay. Okay.
17:39>> Yeah, >> bro. They they actually uh shout out John Hansen and Brian Drake. They had a great they had a great bit uh where they
17:48were like dude does Chase Brown suck because like his twin sucks >> and it's like >> it's like dude the McCordi twins both of
17:58them were awesome >> Ronda Barber Tiki Barber >> both of them were awesome and it's like if the twin sucks
18:07maybe cuz his twin twin identical twin brother they're when you have an identical twin as far as I know you're basically a clone. Like you have the
18:15exact same DNA, right?
18:17>> And so it's like >> this guy stinks on the Eagles >> is stealing work from Chase Brown. Maybe Chase Brown stinks because Sydney Brown
18:28was the higher draft pick, too.
18:29>> He was the highly touted prospect. Yeah, >> I I thought that we we got heat for that. We posted a clip on social and and
18:36someone yelled at us for for that.
18:38>> Oh, we've been getting heat about our Chase Brown tick all week.
18:40>> I thought it was funny. Well, well, Ryan Heath doesn't like it. Uh JJ Zachary and Stat Mog me and Yeah, but we're we're not talking
18:50about the Bengals here right now.
18:51>> I know. I know.
18:52>> Let's move on to the Buccaneer side.
18:54>> Uh Jeremy Bernard, I think, is interesting.
18:57>> Yeah, >> because he gets the the McCarthy slot roll we've been talking about.
19:02>> Yeah.
19:02>> No Roman Wilson, no Michael Pitman. He had a 79% route share in week five.
19:08>> Sure. Once Roman Wilson left, he had a 40% target share.
19:15>> Problem is, Scott is he draws the toughest matchup in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers secondary. And Jacob Parish.
19:20Yep.
19:20>> Parish is a monster.
19:22>> So, >> still uh I like that projection. He's he's flex territory.
19:28>> Okay.
19:28>> Make sure you add him. Yeah. I like the upside with Jeremy Bernard.
19:33>> All right. Buccaneer side. Uh Jalon Daniels. I just want to victory lap this. By the way, >> I was uh very
19:43very uh verbose about our Jaylon Daniels projection last week. Uh that bore out to be true. Chris is adjusted accordingly now here at QB24 burying the
19:53man. So I think that's apppropo.
19:58Anyways, I don't have a ton of notes here. Like Bucky starts sit everyone else in my opinion. Probably even a mecha to me. I I don't know.
20:06>> Yeah.
20:09Yeah. Do you you agree or no?
20:13>> Dude, how over is it for Amecha Igbuka?
20:16Uh it's a neutral matchup on paper, but he's playing with this UDFA quarterback.
20:22He he does have a 25% target share over the last his last two games, but is >> he's 101st in yards per route run. He
20:32this was a guy who got a ton of hype and you know people are really excited about this year.
20:39He only has one 100yard game over the last calendar year.
20:43>> What's going on? Is it just like >> really bad luck >> and just like inoperable situation?
20:52>> It's hydrostatic equilibrium.
20:58the the water finds its level.
21:00>> Yeah. Regression to the mean. What it's actually the opposite of bad luck. It's just a return to normal luck. When he
21:06the way he started the season last year, it was he was running insanely hot on 50/50 balls down the field.
21:13>> That's right.
21:14>> Insanely hot. And so it just Yeah. When when when those start going the other way a little bit, you kind of look a
21:21little pedestrian. And that that was I don't want to do an I told you so. I was just a little I was a little softer on
21:26the Emmecha Ibuka outlook during the draft process than pretty much everybody else. Theo and I used to fight about this.
21:34>> Yeah.
21:35>> I just wasn't a huge belie I I think if if a team made him a full-time slot receiver, he'd have a better future in
21:41the NFL. What are you looking at? Can you please focus on the show?
21:44>> I'm focused. I'm >> Is there Is there a Bejian Robinson truck outside your house right now?
21:49>> No. My my wife uh was supposed to leave to work, but she just came back and parked in front of uh my window. So, I'm
21:55trying to see what she's she's up to.
21:57>> Okay.
21:59All right. So, we're out on achuka.
22:02Chris Godwin, wide receiver 60. Dude is buried. Kotton buried, >> right?
22:08>> Yep. Uh pretty much nothing here though.
22:10Let's move on.
22:13Arizona Cardinals travel to LA.
22:15>> Go back. What was the spread on this game?
22:18the spread was is Is Pit favored by two and a half on the road?
22:22>> Uh they should be favored by like six.
22:24>> You think so? Pit's not a very good team though.
22:27>> That's okay.
22:28>> That's what I was saying at the top.
22:29It's like I know the Buccaneers have been bad, but they are the home team and Pitts like you don't want to make a road
22:36team the favorite by a lot when they're not a very good It's not like they're a dominant team coming in here. This is like the league.
22:43This is a parody league, Scott.
22:45>> Yeah, I don't know about that.
22:49friendly wager.
22:51>> They have they have Jaylen No, they have Jaylen Warren who's like Teimu Bejan.
22:57They got Aaron Rogers who's balling out.
22:58No one else has noticed this except for me apparently.
23:01>> No, I've noticed it. Yeah.
23:02>> And you and you.
23:04>> Yeah. All right, we'll move on now.
23:06>> Jaylen Daniels.
23:08>> Yeah. Who is that?
23:10>> Arizona Cardinals travel.
23:12>> Take a pause. My wife is trying to talk to me.
23:24What would happen if we were live right now for the guy who wants to do live show every day? You know what what would
23:29we do? Do I just sit here talking to myself?
23:32>> Yeah, that would pretty much be it.
23:37>> It makes me nervous because I'm like I'm team. Let's do one live a week. I think that would be fun, right? But can we
23:42actually do that?
23:46And we're still not back.
23:50Okay. Okay.
23:52Everything all right, bud?
23:55>> Yeah, she she was actually on FaceTime talking to her mom. I thought she was calling me.
23:59>> Oh, okay. I will try this transition to the next game for the third time. Are you ready?
24:07The Arizona Cardinals are traveling to LA to play the Rams. The Rams are a heavy home team favorite at 12 and a
24:15half points. The overunder is 52. You don't see spreads like this very often in the NFL, especially an in division game. Um the implied point total here
24:25for the Cardinals is 19.8. For the Rams, it's 32.3.
24:30Let's start with the Cardinals. Jacobe Brassette we're listing as a sit. Is he still got the QB one streak going, Scott? Did he do it against Detroit?
24:40Uh, that's a good question. I can pull it up.
24:44>> Pull it up, man. Pull it up.
24:47And then Michael Wilson, are you concerned at all Michael Wilson draws a Trent McDuffy shadow? Debro actually asked me this question.
24:55>> I am.
24:56>> You are concerned.
24:57>> Yeah.
24:58>> I feel like they do such a good job of hiding him. It's not like Jaylen Wadd situation where it's just obvious where
25:03Wadd's going to be on every play because their play caller is a boob. Michael Wilson at least. I think the one thing
25:09Mike Lafleur has going for him is he's he's implementing a lot of good, you know, structural designs and they've done a great job hiding Wilson. Like I
25:18think they're condensing his splits on like 56% of his out wide snaps. They'll move him into slot a little bit. They'll
25:23motion him around. They'll shift him. I I think I think they can hide him from McDuffy if they want to.
25:30>> Well, you know, I think regardless, it's a really difficult matchup. The Rams are giving up the fourth fewest fantasy points per game to outside wide
25:37receivers. One of the notes I had on Michael Wilson by target share he ranks very high XFP per game he's top 10 17.5
25:45>> but he's averaging just 12.8 fantasy points per game. What's going on there?
25:50A little bit of bad luck in the touchdown department. More than that, really bad luck on the deep ball. I think he has like nine deep targets,
25:58something like that. And he's he's caught zero of them. It's, you know, one of the worst rates in the league or is
26:03the worst rate in the league. Uh, and then the R >> I don't think you could do worse than zero.
26:07>> Exactly. Um, but you'd be surprised.
26:10Jameson Williams actually has negative.
26:13So, um, the Yeah. And the Rams best uh at defending the deep ball. It's I mean, we're lower on it. Like wide
26:24receiver 23 is like typically low for him, especially given the volume. So, I I actually do think it's a spot where he
26:31can really disappoint. Uh Ryan Heath, world's biggest Kendrick Borne fan, highlighting the better slot matchup, the better schematic matchup against cover four. I think that's probably
26:42right. Uh for a defense that's really good at defending the deep ball. Um Trey McBride, you know, he's just so money.
26:5035% first read target share. Uh but the Rams are giving up the fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends. Maybe
26:57that doesn't matter. Maybe all that matters is do they double him or cloud coverage him or bracket him. Um but yeah, I I on this side it there. Listen,
27:06there's just going to be a ton of garbage time and so just what happens in the fourth quarter. Do they get some
27:12prevent defense that they can pepper Trey McBride with? I I don't know.
27:20>> Yeah, I don't I'm guessing we'll get some garbage time fun here. That's kind of the angle I wanted to take. The Rams
27:26are such heavy favorites. The Cardinals have never let us down with the garbage time stuff, right? Never.
27:33>> Well, here. So, let's move over to the Ram side. The I I I started doing a show on our YouTube channel without you. It's
27:42over on It's over on School of Scott and it's these players are going to explode or andor, you know, maybe we should
27:52ladder bet these guys. Maybe we should >> Devonte Adams.
27:57>> Well, we'll get there. I It wasn't Devont, but it's like I'm trying to pick out game of the week. I'm trying to pick
28:02out players to ladder and I'm looking at this this Rams team and I'm getting excited. I'm getting hot and bothered.
28:09We know the Cardinals are an egregiously bad defense. uh highest fantasy points per drop back allowed, second highest
28:19EPA per drop back, second highest adjusted net yards per attempt, etc. and so on.
28:26Uh but you see that 12 and a half point spread and it's like, oh, okay, maybe it's just like Kairen Williams and Blake
28:32Horm running the ball a bunch in garbage time, scoring touchdowns.
28:36But an interesting angle I had, so Rams, by the way, 33 point implied total, highest in the week by a lot. It's
28:46they're going crazy pass heavy. They they lead the league in pass rate over expectation when leading.
28:54When they're leading by nine or more points, they're all the way up at like 12.3%. Which is crazy. And so, you know,
29:03this is something that's been true for a while is like Shawn McVey just keeping his foot on the gas regardless of the
29:08score. We haven't seen this every year, but we've certainly seen it in some years. And so maybe we just get a an
29:16instance where this where Stafford and the Rams just really run up the scoreboard.
29:21>> I think it's a great call, especially because this team doesn't have room to mess around. They're two and three, >> right?
29:27>> They have a division rival that's 5-0.
29:29Like they they want to bury they want to get into this game and out as quick as possible. They want to bury this team.
29:35I'm I'm pretty confident in that.
29:37>> Um >> statement game maybe a let's let's get our confidence back on track. Stafford, you're not really playing. Well, a lot
29:44of turnover worthy throws, we'll say that.
29:48>> Yeah, I think the play for me is Devonte Adams.
29:52>> Interesting. I I would not have gone there. Um I would have went with Puka, but let's let's hear your take.
29:58>> Puka just had 24 targets on Monday Night Football.
30:01>> Oh, that's such a good take.
30:02>> Yeah, >> that's one of those things that's really important and impactful and I just kind of forget about you said it, you know,
30:08the other day, right, with with CD Lamb who >> and Pickkins. Yeah. Ah, that's a good point. I see I was going the other way
30:15because Arizona sits in too high coverage all day. Better for Puka than than Adams historically. Adams that the target share has really come down since
30:24Puka came back. But no, that's that's that's a really good angle. So, at a bare minimum, these these the wide receiver 14 projection is is good, if
30:34not maybe a little too low.
30:38>> Yeah. Uh do some research, too. I I want to look more into it like the ne after a player gets 20 targets in a game, what
30:44does their next game look like? I I want a little bit deeper history than just recently. But Puka also a guy who has
30:51been banged up too, right? He's one hit one hit away from missing time. So like I don't know that that's quite the crazy
30:59workload. 24 targets, >> right? Yeah. Guy with a pre-ports hernia injury. You know who I really like even more than Dvonte Adams?
31:07>> Tyler Higgby.
31:08>> That's right. my guy.
31:09>> Higgy's an absolute smash this week. I touted him on John's show this week.
31:13>> So why why does Chris Wex hate him? Why does the the smartest best projections guy in all of football?
31:19>> Do you want to know how bad the Cardinals are against tight ends?
31:23>> They've got nuked against KD, Isaiah likely, Sam Laora. But this is the this is the damning one.
31:29>> Week one, the Los Angeles Chargers collection of tight ends, Gadston, Kolar, and and Jooku at that time went over a 100red yards combined. Yeah,
31:38>> they literally can't stop the tight end, >> any of them.
31:42>> Yeah, dude. And Higgby is rolling over the last three weeks. 7.7 targets, 70.7 yards, 15.8 XFP per game. That's second
31:52best at the position. And like you said, Arizona top five matchup. Chris Wex has him tight end 16. I go tight end nine.
32:01Something like that.
32:02>> Um, well, let's talk about it. Tyler Hickby or Mark Andrews?
32:07Higgby.
32:09>> Trey, if you fix the slot machine, you can pull it up actually. But Higgby or Ferguson? Oh, here we go. Higgby or
32:15Conincaid. That's a great one.
32:16>> Higgby.
32:17>> Okay. Higgby or Lovelin?
32:21Skip. Love's dead. Higgby or Andrews.
32:27>> Higgby or Ferguson? Okay. Higgby or Concaid?
32:31>> We already did.
32:33>> Higgby or Frimouth?
32:34>> Higgby. Easy. Easy. He All right. Titan eight, Titan seven. That's Higgby.
32:38Higgby. Higgby. Higgby.
32:40>> Okay. Higgby. Yep. Higgby or Goddard.
32:43>> Okay. That now now we're getting to to even par.
32:46>> All right. One more. Higgby or Jawan Johnson?
32:48>> Sorry. There. I was a little early on the screen.
32:50>> Higgby.
32:52>> Higgby and Goddard.
32:54>> Oo.
32:55>> Yeah. Now we're getting close. Tucker Craft. Honestly. Honestly, probably Higgby for me.
32:59>> Okay. So, tight n >> Cowboys. It's the What am I saying?
33:02>> Higgby or Fannon? We already said Fannon's projections high. Whoa, you're like eight territory right now. Okay.
33:07>> Well, no, that's just Fannon's too high.
33:10We have our projections call today on Friday when this comes out.
33:16>> Yep. All right, cool. Let's move on.
33:20The other LA team, the Chargers, traveling to face their bitter rivals, the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City is a eight-point favorite at home. That's how
33:27bad the Chargers are. They're 0 and5.
33:29The overund is 42 and a half. Somehow the Chargers implied point total here is 17.3.
33:36Wow. That's worse than Jaylen Daniels.
33:39That's worse than Cam Ward.
33:40>> I know, but you see how I said somehow it's it's >> Oh, is that too high, >> bro? It's the Chiefs. It's Spagnolo.
33:47What are they gonna What are they going to possibly throw at the Char the Chiefs to score points? Nothing.
33:53>> Look at that. Justin Herbert QB27.
33:57>> Holy crap. Chris nuked him.
34:00I love it. What were you gonna say?
34:04I don't know if if the the Chargers could block here and the lads getting healthy and you know, it's kind of
34:12crazy, Brett, like I don't remember the last time an elite quarterback played this poorly for this long and really has has never looked all that much like an
34:21elite quarterback. It's It's kind of crazy just how unlucky Justin Herbert is, right?
34:30Yes. It is so crazy how unlucky Justin Herbert is.
34:35>> You just don't see elite quarterbacks go through like slumps for all five years of their career like this.
34:41>> I feel like this is like bordering on a Nor McDonald bit at this point. Just it's b it's buried in there. But you
34:47know >> I I honestly dude it's it's over for a Marian Hampton. Like what are we doing?
34:52his his back share of the backfield XFP has been 38% or less in three straight weeks.
34:59Kansas City top three in yards per carry allowed to running backs. Um Lad Maki you really can't trust, bro. He had a
35:0632% route share last week and a 1.9% XFP. He's always hurt. He's dealing with like five different things. We don't really know what it is.
35:15>> He didn't play injuries. What?
35:18>> He didn't play a snap last week, >> I don't think.
35:22He was he was active but did not play a snap.
35:25>> Maybe that's what maybe% the week before.
35:27>> Yeah, I believe they had roster issues which is why they had to keep him active.
35:33>> Uh that that's right. All right. So he was he was he was active. Didn't play last week. 35% or 30. Yeah. The week
35:39before that in and out. Uh apologies.
35:42And uh I do have one angle here.
35:48This could be a tight end smash spot.
35:51Uh the Chiefs are like far and away the biggest tight end funnel in the league.
35:55Like Bengals territory. Uh they're top five against quarterbacks, best in the league against outside wide receivers, top 12 against running backs and slot
36:03wide receivers against the tight end, second worst by like yardage, market share, dead last by a lot. And so you
36:14saw Gatson more involved last week, you saw Kolar more involved last week. There are probably worse anytime touchdown bets on the board, but uh Brett's just
36:23gonna tell us, you know, this is like >> No, I'm not gonna I'm not gonna hammer you on this. I >> The thing is is I've been when I'm doing
36:30my tight end research, I'm throwing out defenses that have already played the Raiders.
36:37>> That's fair >> because the Raiders wide receiver one and two as a tight end.
36:40>> Yeah. But it's it's also like >> and actually look at that game. Both Mayer and Bowowers went over 80 yards in
36:45that game, >> right? Which is Yeah. So you could call Bowowers a wide receiver, but then it's the tight end Mayer
36:52>> who had his best game of the year. It makes sense intuitively because >> yeah, their quarterbacks are playing out of their mind. That's also like Steve
37:01Spagnolo M.
37:02>> Sure.
37:03>> And so the soft spot to target would be tight ends >> for sure. That that's I I think what I
37:09guess what I'm trying to say is the truth is somewhere in the middle.
37:11>> Okay.
37:11>> Right. They like the you have to adjust a little bit because the Raiders two primary pass catchers are tight ends. So
37:17inherently you're going to no matter how good you are against tight ends, you're going to give up more production to tight ends against the Raiders. So and I
37:25thought they did a great job slowing down Brock Bowers, by the way. I mean he have that stat. It's called schedule
37:30adjusted fantasy points per game. It's on the site. It's in the front office tool.
37:34>> Yes. Yes. Yes. So um but I'm not saying you're crazy. I'm not saying you're crazy. Gatson is heating up like you
37:40said. May maybe he's the answer.
37:42>> Tissel plays a man, too. Gaton's a man beater. So >> yeah, Kenneth Walker 200 yard game.
37:49>> I mean, at least >> Yeah.
37:55>> Don't love Xavier Worthy as a flex, but it is a bye-week. I have to keep that in mind.
37:59>> It's a byee.
38:01>> Yeah.
38:02>> Yeah. There's four four teams on by.
38:03You're you're down 12 starting receivers in the player pool.
38:07>> So, >> yeah.
38:09So my my notes on this is this would have been an absolute smash spot for Rasheed Rice against the Chargers zoneheavy
38:17too high heavy matchup where he gets like 160% boost by targets per route run yards per route run. We hate Xavier
38:26Worthy. We think he stinks. But I kind of think he gets that role. Okay, >> with Rashi out. And that's just a super
38:32valuable role where anyone >> they throw into that role. You're getting peppered with screens which raises your fantasy floor.
38:39>> Yeah.
38:39>> Gives you a little bit of a ceiling to boot.
38:42>> Uh I I like this projection. Maybe even it's it's a little low.
38:46>> To your point, too, they've been dabbling all year with giving Worthy some of that role, right?
38:53>> So now anything to show he deserves it, but they they did they did give it a shot. Yeah, that's fair. All right,
39:01cool. Pretty straightforward on that one. Let's go to the Buffalo Bills traveling to Vegas. My guy Joe Marino will be at this game. Um, Buffalo's
39:10favored on the road by four and a half points, which seems appropriate. The overunder is 52 and a half, though, so
39:14we should get some fantasy scoring in this game, which is juicy for us. Start on the Buffalo side.
39:23Uh, is is DJ Moore officially back? Is that a thing? Well, we haven't projected back.
39:28>> Yeah, I see that. That's why I'm asking.
39:31>> Jeff originally thought he would be out until week eight. You Buffalo has this week seven buy next week. Uh, and it
39:38makes sense to rest the AC joint spring, but he was close enough to playing last week or at least beat writers were
39:44unsure of that point that makes me think, uh, yeah, he probably plays this week.
39:50>> I think this could be a squeaky wheel game for Daltton Concaid.
39:54>> Okay.
39:55Um, I don't know if you heard Joe Brady this week.
39:57>> I did. There's no reason Dalton Concade should have two targets. I got to find a way to get the ball in his hands and do
40:04a better job of that. And then the next day, I have not done a good enough job of getting him the ball.
40:09>> Excuse me, sir. I was not familiar with your game.
40:12I just randomly site coach speak and you have the quote like literally queued up.
40:18>> The heck? What the heck?
40:20>> Dude's reading my mind. So like I think he's 100% true by the way. Daltton Concaid is their best mismatch guy in
40:27this offense.
40:29The efficiency over his career has has very much shown that. Right. With no DJ Moore on the field, how are you getting
40:35Daltton Concaid two targets? That's that's embarrassing.
40:38>> So I I think he's right and I think he's going to adjust in a in a hard way.
40:43>> So one of the crazy stats I had on concade was last year JSN had an all-time season. Pukanaku had an
40:50all-time season.
40:52The third best player behind them by yards per route run was Daltton Concaid.
40:56And then this year we saw this big route share jump. He, you know, every fantasy analyst was like, "He's a league winner.
41:04I told you he's a top three tight end."
41:06And then week three, 38 yards, three targets. Week four, two targets, seven yards. Week five, a game that went
41:16to overtime. DJ Moore didn't play. Two targets, seven yards. Right. As bad as that's been, do you want to guess where
41:23Dalton Concade ranks in yards per route run?
41:27>> Oh god, is it still top 10?
41:31>> Brock Bowers ranks first. Concaid ranks second at the position.
41:35>> Stop >> crazy. Um, >> that is crazy.
41:37>> And so that's the thing with him is like, dude, he's he's nice. He's really nice. And so yeah, I I'm kind of with
41:44you. I I I like this angle. DJ Moore maybe not 100%.
41:50But I was gonna ask you about that. I I was gonna ask you about that, Brett. You You had a comment to me that I thought
41:56was interesting. You were like, "This passing game >> is really struggling without DJ."
42:02>> Yeah.
42:02>> And I pulled up a a dank stat, Brett, last week. Josh Allen had as many completed air yards
42:12as two Tagagoa.
42:15It was like It was 14, I think. I think it was 14. So it was all just behind the line of scrimmage dump offs is all he
42:22did last week.
42:23>> Shakir saved his ass like multiple times.
42:25>> Yes, he did. Your boy.
42:26>> Yeah.
42:28Um and Josh is look at his turn turnover worthy throw rate this year too. It's like really high for him. Like really
42:34really high.
42:35>> So he's forcing it a little bit too which is crazy. He's not getting the the reward. It's weird because when DJ Moore
42:42was on the field, Joshua Palmer then all of a sudden looked like a good receiver.
42:46You take more off the field, Palmer looks bad again. Yeah, >> they can't get the ball to concade. It's It's crazy. I If it wasn't for this run
42:53game, the two-headed monster of Cook and Allen, they this offense would suck.
43:00>> Well, that's that's the whole thing.
43:01Like, I hate their GM. Like, it's so disgusting that you've wasted Josh like the taco of your fantasy league would have more Super Bowl trophies with Josh
43:11Allen than Brandon >> Taco. What is that phrase? You've never watched The League, Brett?
43:17>> No, I I've I'm familiar with it. I've seen episodes. I' I've never >> John is good friends with the showrunner.
43:22>> John was on the show.
43:23>> John was on the show. That's right.
43:26>> I've seen his scenes for what it's worth.
43:28>> And so, yeah, all the H I did, you know, you know the Pokemon thing where it's like you build your Poke. I know. I saw you
43:35tweeted out your version, which is excellent, by the way. Uh my version of that for the Bills was like Arcanine at
43:42running back, Mewtwo at cornerback, and then just a whole bunch of Rattatas and Caterpies. That's the Bills ro. I mean, the their offensive line is pretty good.
43:51Concaid's pretty night. Like, but still, it's just it's it's egregious. Um anyway, you your angle is Don Concaid as the sneaky start and you you're you're
44:03finagling here a little bit of code speak.
44:06>> Yeah. Well, plus the Raiders suck against tight ends.
44:08>> Well, well, that's the thing is this is an amazing matchup for everyone. The Bills defense is awful. The Raiders defense is awful. If you just break it
44:16down, it's like >> the Raiders are bottom six to quarterbacks, running backs, slot wide receivers, tight ends. The Bills are bottom six against quarterbacks, running
44:24backs, slot wide receivers, outside.
44:25It's just a a fantasy bonanza. Or at least it should be.
44:29>> Yeah.
44:29>> But, >> okay, >> I have an angle. We're doing my Saturday show. You know, players going to explode. It's a solo show. I don't have
44:38Brett Whitefield holding me down, submerged beneath the water like a like a like a a weight strapped to my ankle.
44:48I I get to fly solo. I think James Cook might be on there. And so like you have the positive coach speak on Kade, you
44:56have a little bit of negative coach speak on James Cook. It's hey, he's got to clean up these fumbles. He has twice
45:01as many fumbles over the last what is it two or three years than any other player. We got this is unaccept this
45:08could eat into his work and so that that could be viewed as a negative Brett I might be choosing to look it as a posit
45:14like I could see this as the ultimate get right spot. Hey we have a ton of money invested in James Cook. He needs
45:21to get his swagger back and this is what a matchup James Cook. What do we know about James Cook? Is he's the best home run hit
45:30hitter in football. Best explosive play rate at the running back position over the last five games, 10 games, 15 games, 20 games, 25 games. We also know the
45:41Buffalo Bills, the stat I've cited multiple times, Chris Wack has cited, is this is the best yards before contact per attempt by a run blocking offensive
45:51line in fantasy points data history.
45:54They have 3.65.
45:56No other offense is over three. But look at the defense they're up against. The Raiders defense yards before contact per attempt. They're giving up 3.11. Next
46:06closest Saints at 2.76. Then the Lions at 2.59. Their explosive run rate easily worse in the league. And so I think all
46:16this comes together for like a 200 yard James Cook game. Obviously it all comes down to does he break off one or two
46:23long runs.
46:24>> I think he does.
46:26I don't think we need to tell people to start James Cook, but I totally agree with you.
46:30>> Well, you said that the offense can't do anything without DJ Moore. Makes me think, well, >> the passing offense can't,
46:37>> right? So, let's let's lean on James Cook.
46:39>> Yeah. And I I also agree that the his playing time is not in jeopardy. They have Tai Johnson and Ray Davis like
46:46>> Yeah.
46:47>> You know what I mean?
46:48>> They are on the field, but it's only in passing downs. But we've known that about James Cook. One of the most games
46:54for sensitive players in fantasy. He performs much better at wins than losses. Bills should win this game.
47:00>> Here's another fun stat. The the Raiders gave up 177 to Kenneth Walker. They gave up over 140 to the New England running
47:08backs last week. Cory Kenner and Raandre Stevenson.
47:12Uh what what are you shaking your head for?
47:14>> Yeah. Well, this is my stat. It's like how are they so bad against the run when >> it gets worse?
47:19>> You Yeah. You know who has the most carries against them?
47:21>> Amore Hampton.
47:24>> He played the Dolphins and he played the Saints and this is the worst run defense.
47:28>> Saint Saints like Travis Etienne or sorry eten however we say his name looked like he had a pulse in that game.
47:36>> I know >> Omar Hampton had 94 rushing yard that like he's cooked and he had 94 rushing yards against this team. Like it's bad.
47:44So I agree. I just I didn't think we need to >> cook 180 rushing yards. Let's go.
47:50I like it. I like it. Bet it up. Bet it up. Yeah, he's gonna smash. And I think Joe Brady used his comments as a way to
47:57inspire James and get him fired up.
48:00Coaches do that sometimes. So, all right. I I think we're good. Let's talk Raiders. Brock Bowers tight end one on the week. I don't think anyone's
48:08disagreeing with that. Start Brock Bowers. Um Ashton Genty, RB8. You feeling okay with that? He he was a FP in practice yesterday which is shocking.
48:19>> Yeah.
48:20Yeah. I don't know. I mean like the the volume is so good. He was you know up until last week behind only Gibbs in XFP
48:28per game.
48:29>> Efficiency is not going to be good but volume wins out at the end of the day.
48:33>> The Bills stink. I think Genty gets a pair of explosive runs in this game.
48:36>> Whoa. Those would be the the first two of his NFL career.
48:40>> Right.
48:41>> A pair. Two. Not one but two.
48:44>> Wow.
48:46Kirk Cousins, QB12. He's a fringey QB1 guy. Where do you like him?
48:50>> A little bit more than that.
48:52>> Okay.
48:53>> Bills are giving up the third most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.
48:56Before last week, he had three straight three touchdown games. And a game with 365 yards and two touchdowns. Um, so I
49:05think he's proven he could be a great streamer in the right matchup. This is a great matchup.
49:10>> Only obvious one I see ahead of him is Jaylen Herz.
49:14Okay. Yeah, there you go.
49:15>> Fair.
49:16>> Flip them.
49:17>> Flip them. All right. Let's >> Great match up for for Trey Tucker.
49:21Great schematic matchup. So, I even like him in this spot.
49:27>> Actually, is it a great matchup? He'll draw Maxwell Haristen, the fastest quarterback in the NFL.
49:34>> Fast doesn't mean good. It also doesn't mean he shadows. The Bills are giving up the most fantasy points per game to
49:39outside wide receivers. He runs 80% of his routes from the outside. The last time, >> the last time the Bills played a 4-2
49:46receiver, you know what happened?
49:49>> Harrison shadowed him.
49:51>> Oh, >> it was Jameson Williams, your favorite.
49:53>> You know what? You know what, Brett? You make a compelling case.
49:57I'll I'll You know what? I I changed my mind. I changed my mind.
50:02>> Good.
50:03All right, let's move on.
50:05>> You just take Mog May. I'll take the L.
50:07I I'll do that.
50:08>> It's all good. Dallas Cowboys at the Green Bay Packers. This is probably the game of the week to be honest with you.
50:14Um, over under a 53, the highest total on the board. Green Bay favored by a point and a half at home. This is the
50:21Sunday night game. I cannot wait to have to record with you while this game is going on. This is going to be really fun
50:26for me.
50:29Let's start on the Dallas side. It's a It's for sure a start if you got him game minus Jake Ferguson. Start Dak.
50:36Start Javante. Start CD. Start George.
50:39>> Yeah.
50:40>> Sit Jake. I agree with all of those. Um, do you have any fun notes here? I I'm curious to see what the Packers do
50:50on defense because like they've been playing this goofy too high stuff.
50:54Something to note about the Packers, they have phenomenal interior defenders.
50:58Javon Bolard, Evan Williams, Xavier McKenna when he's on the field, um, they can shut down the middle of the field.
51:04However, they're they don't really have good quarterbacks, like real quarterbacks.
51:09They have slot quarters that have converted to play on the outside.
51:14>> Well, that makes sense. Uh they're giving up the six most fantasy points per game to outside wide receivers, the second fewest to slot wide receivers.
51:22Uh so that's a great, you know, spot for CD Lamb and George Pickkins. They're also giving the second most fantasy points per game to running backs. So
51:30Javvante Williams is in a good spot. And uh yeah, I I don't I don't really have a lot to say here. It's, you know, we've
51:37kind of been >> Yeah.
51:39>> probably like the second or third best offense in football. You're just starting these guys if you have them.
51:43It's pretty simple. On the Green Bay side, an offense that's trending upwards. They have one of the most exciting young wide receiver duos in the
51:52league and Christian Watson and Matthew Golden. They also have a great tight end. I lowkey like this for Marshon Lloyd though.
52:00>> Shut up. No, >> bro.
52:02>> How dare you? The Cowboys gave up 81 yards of Cam Scataboo, which is hard.
52:06It's Cam Scataboo's buns.
52:10>> Okay. He's been a sell high for us for weeks.
52:15>> I just wanted to get your reaction. You didn't give me one. Um, they gave up over a 100 rushing yards to Washington
52:21running backs. Washington's one of the worst running teams in the league, Scott.
52:25>> Uhhuh.
52:26>> And then Bucky Irving just went for 165 against them. Like they >> And I know Lloyd has not been good. He
52:32hold not. Okay. What >> you want to hear the the counterargument via dankstat?
52:37>> Yeah.
52:38>> You remember our Quinn Sean Judkins stat?
52:41>> Yes.
52:42>> 15 straight games on 4.0 yards per carry.
52:46>> Hit me with it.
52:47>> Marshon Lloyd had two touchdowns last week.
52:49>> Yeah, but 3.1 yards per carry.
52:51>> Yeah. You want to guess what his careerhigh in yards per carry is?
52:55>> Oh boy.
52:57I'll go 3.9.
52:59>> 3.3.
53:00>> No.
53:02But he's only played like two and a half games, >> bro. This dude sucks and he's in a split backfield.
53:08>> Well, and the Packers align sucks.
53:10>> Yeah. Yeah.
53:11>> Yeah.
53:11>> But I mean, hey, it's it's a great matchup, so whatever. On the fence there. You could do worse.
53:17>> I like him as a flex.
53:18>> Like, we were listing Trey Tucker as a flex in the last game. I'd much rather start Marshon Lloyd than Trey Tucker.
53:23Not even close.
53:24>> Well, yeah, his projection's higher, too. So, >> Well, then why do we have him listed as a flex and and Lloyd isn't on the fence?
53:31Huh?
53:32>> That's a good question. I I don't know.
53:35>> Maybe we need to rework our algorithm.
53:38>> Maybe.
53:40>> All right. And then for the Green Bay side, other than Lloyd, start him if you got him. Literally start him. Watson,
53:46wide receiver four, Matthew Golden, wide receiver 11. Both seem very fair.
53:50Cowboys pass defense is is just terrible. So, any notes? This is like the easiest, most straightforward game. Literally just start them if you have them.
54:01>> Yeah, it's, you know, start start everyone against the Cowboys defense, which is really bad. Uh, and, you know, Christian Watson, Matthew Golden both
54:09rolling. Uh, Christian Watson's currently the wide receiver four by fantasy points per game.
54:15>> Yes.
54:16>> I I kind of don't like Matthew Golden as much as certainly not as much as that wide receiver 11 ranking.
54:22>> Really?
54:24>> Yeah. Do tell.
54:25>> Yeah. So Dallas is like kind of weirdly a slot funnel.
54:30Um >> Golden's playing the X for those at home.
54:34>> Yeah. So they're third worst against the slot, ninth best to outside wide receivers. Golden only has six slot targets. Watson and Craft combined for
54:4222.
54:44Eh eh I think I think uh I think I would knock him down a little bit. I Watson and up.
54:52>> You know what's really interesting too?
54:54Yeah, Dallas's pass defense is just kind of bad in aggregate.
54:57>> Yeah, >> they've only given up one like monster week to a receiver. That was Nico Collins, I believe, week four. He had
55:02what, like 120 and two, something like that.
55:05>> But other than that, they've actually like >> they've kind of limited huge performances. It's been, you know, three good performances in one game versus
55:14like a monster performance. So may maybe you're right with that. Maybe you're spot on.
55:19>> Maybe we're we're fading Golden a little bit. He's still a start though, right?
55:22Just not wide receiver 11. Yeah. Yeah.
55:24Yeah. Okay. Cool. And last but not least, the Washington Commanders travel to San Francisco for the Monday night game. You're going to be way prepared to
55:33talk about this game because this was the game of the week on the Check the Mic show.
55:38>> Yeah. Shout out Sam Monson, Steve Palazolo. We're doing a little a little partnership with them courtesy of Fantasy Points Data's Data Suite 2.0.
55:47This was my game of the week. Also had my play of the week, George KD. To be fair, I have I have like five plays of
55:54the week, I think. But, um, I also love George KD, maybe my favorite favorite player. Um, but it's a it's an absolute
56:02smash spot for him. It's a it's a smash spot for the entire 49ers offense, which is >> maybe the most potent, deadly offense on
56:10a per play basis in this entire league.
56:14It's really just everything kind of checks off for George Pit KD who performs much better without Debo Samuel on the field.
56:22He's out two to three weeks. Performs much better against two high coverage which Washington plays at a top three rate. It's a great on paper matchup.
56:31Washington giving up uh the third most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
56:36It's uh just, you know, everything kind of checking the box here. Uh Brock Perie too currently the QB2 in fantasy points
56:44per game. You see that 7 and a half point spread. You're like, "Oh, I don't know. I don't know if the Commanders can
56:50really push back here. That's that's something of a concern." Uh well, guess what? They're a tremendous pass funnel.
56:57Uh the Commanders bottom three in fantasy points per drop back allowed, top six in fantasy point uh sorry, EPA per run
57:07allowed. So, you know, and and by pro, they're they're, you know, top three.
57:11So, teams really passing on them uh when against a different defense, maybe they'd run. So, I like George KD, but I
57:19also like Exodia, Mike Evans, who's hit season highs and targets and yards in back-to-back games. He's the assman.
57:28Leads all players in separation win rate. Uh like to see him more involved perhaps getting closer to full health.
57:37CMC. It's just a valuable role and a good offense. So, you're starting all these guys.
57:43>> I promise you I'm not OCD, >> but I think it's funny that what >> Okay, let's hear it.
57:52>> You know, I I steer the ship through the the show sheet. We start with the road team in every single game. The one game
57:58I hand off to you and you start with the home team.
58:01>> Oh, look at that. Interesting. You got I got to keep you on your toes, Brat.
58:05True.
58:06>> I'm gonna I'm gonna go on a limb here and say the San Francisco 49ers run D is extremely overrated.
58:14>> They have played what >> does it matter against the the Commanders?
58:21>> I think it matters a little bit >> against Bill.
58:25>> Against Bill Crosky Merritt. He's heating up, man. He had like 80 yards last week. It's like a career.
58:31>> Brought his yards per carry up to 2.6.
58:32six.
58:33>> It's incredible. All I was going to say is LA's or sorry, San Francisco's run deep, they've played Miami, Arizona, Denver, Seattle. None of those teams run
58:40the ball well at all.
58:42>> Yeah, >> naturally. The only good run team they've played is the Rams and that would happen in Australia. So, it's like
58:47maybe we even just throw that game out.
58:50>> Anyways, Commanders probably can move the ball a little bit more than than you think they can is my point.
58:57>> Yeah. Uh I kind of like how we have it.
58:59Everyone's a sid except for >> I think JCM you're flirting with the flex >> if you're desperate perhaps. Uh Jacob Sanderson had a good note. He played on
59:09none of the final 22 snaps of last week's game. He's dealing with a hamstring. We we record on Thursday so make sure you check practice reports.
59:18See how >> Who's that note on?
59:19>> Huh?
59:20>> Who's that note on?
59:22>> Bill.
59:23>> Oh geez. I didn't even know that. Okay.
59:25>> Yeah. Yeah. I thought that was a great s shout out Jacob Sanderson who's who does dynasty points on our dynasty fantasy
59:31points YouTube channel. Uh Jaden Daniels I I agree is a start dude he just runs and running is awesome is massively
59:38valuable on fantasy. The stat I had was on a per four quarters basis he's averaging 25.9 fantasy points per game 81 rushing yards per game in 22 career
59:49games with a 75% snap share or better he averages 22.8 8. These are all highest end QB1 numbers. Terry McLaren, very
59:59disappointing. Uh, but hopefully he's a little bit healthier than he was last week. Stfan Digs still out. So, he's a what the heck flex.
60:08>> All right.
60:10You know what that means?
60:12>> What does that mean?
60:14>> Bruce Buffer voice loading.
60:16>> Do it. Do your Bruce Buffer. IT'S TIME for Scott's five minute history lesson.
60:25>> It's going to be way more than five minutes. Yeah. Welcome to School of Scott.
60:31Because Coulson Lovelin is the new Kyle Pittz, >> I have won my bet.
60:37>> And as a consequence, you get a very special treat.
60:42You are all hereby invited to attend the School of Scott. Today's lesson is a history lesson.
60:48the subject, personal heroes and men of renown. Today we're discussing a man of unquestionable greatness. A man of such
60:59extraordinary talent that during his lifetime in the late 1600s and early 1700s, he became known all throughout
61:08Europe as the greatest German living.
61:12But more importantly than that, he's a personal hero of mine. In fact, last night I sat down and cataloged chronicled my personal heroes. And our
61:24subject today checks in at number eight on the list. If you would like to hear the rest of the top 10, you'll just have
61:30to keep listening to this show and you'll have to keep rooting for me to win these bets. Our subject today is one
61:39Matias Bukinger.
61:43Bookinger was a polymath, a magician, a musician, a marksman, an artist, a legendary stage performer, and I do mean
61:54legendary.
61:55He tooured throughout Europe, performing before kings and commoners alike, dazzling audiences with feats so extraordinary that even today, three
62:05centuries later, historians struggle to explain how he accomplished them.
62:12He played more than half a dozen musical instruments, some of them his own invention. He danced the hornpipe. He performed slight of hand, conjuring
62:22tricks, and card tricks that left audiences routinely dumbfounded.
62:28He was an expert marksman with a pistol, a celebrated art artist, a master calligrapher, and he accomplished all of this without
62:40hands or feet.
62:42Buinger stood, so to speak, just 29 in tall.
62:48One arm ended just before the elbow. The other ended above where an elbow would have been. He had no hands whatsoever.
62:58His legs stopped at mid thigh. He had no feet, no lower legs, but there was evidently one appendage in perfect working order.
63:09Bukinger married four times and fathered 14 children.
63:15Those are just the children we know of, Brett. According to rumor, he had fathered additional children with as many as 70 mistresses.
63:24Indeed, his fame was such that by the late 1700s, the phrase buinger's boot had entered the English vernacular as
63:34common slaying for a woman's.
63:38>> Okay, >> you know what? You know what? I tried to hit the I don't know if it worked. Uh, and so I suppose we can add legendary
63:49swordsman to his already considerable list of accomplishments.
63:53But let me be clear about something, Brett.
63:57Bookinger was not a great magician, musician, marksman, artist, or genius in spite of his deformity.
64:04That was almost incidental.
64:07His achievements would have seemed no less impossible had he been performed by a man with forearms.
64:14He was considered the greatest cup and balls magician of his day, bar none.
64:19performing feats that his fully limbmed contemporaries could scarcely hope to replicate.
64:26He was reputedly unbeatable at cards. He played six or more musical instruments, including several of his own invention.
64:34He could load and fire pistols with astonishing precision, dazzling audiences with seemingly impossible trick shots.
64:43in Skittles, which was the immediate precursor to modern bowling. He could reportedly knock down all nine pins without spilling a drop from a glass of
64:52liquor balanced top them.
64:56He could make live birds materialize seemingly out of thin air. How he accomplished this, no one knows. And that's a recurring theme here with
65:05Buinger Brett. No one has ever quite figured out how the hell he did any of this. Not even Ricky Jay, the world's
65:14foremost historian of magic and a celebrated magician in his own right.
65:19He's also the world's leading authority on Bukinger, having spent decades collecting bukingana, which is known as uh the the word for
65:30the surviving artwork and memorabilia relating to Matias Bukinger.
65:35Even Ricky Jane couldn't explain these feats. I went [ __ ] into the historical record myself and the accounts are often contradictory.
65:46Surviving illustrations depict Buinger performing with his upper limbs. Samuel Johnson, the author of the Dictionary, saw
65:56Buinger perform when he was a child and said he performed these feats with his lower limbs.
66:03Somehow with essentially none of the appendages most of us consider necessary for doing anything at all, this man could do nearly everything and do it
66:13better than just about anyone living.
66:17And so you have to understand the historical context here, Brett. This is the early 1700s.
66:23There are no iPhones, no televisions, no YouTube, no Tik Tok. Your average European peasant had the dopamine receptors of a newborn baby.
66:34Imagine what it must have been like to watch this man perform. Massive crowds, their minds just being blown to absolute smitherreens.
66:44Thousands of people practically vomiting in unison from the sheer ecstasy of witnessing the impossible by this 29in man with no hands and no
66:55feet performing feats that would have been considered miracles had he been a fully lived individual.
67:03What a spectacle it might have been.
67:06Sadly, we cannot travel back in time and purchase a ticket to see the master perform. But we do have something almost
67:14just as remarkable.
67:16His artwork.
67:18Unlike his legendary stage performances, much of that artwork survives to this day. Intricately constructed wooden ships and glass bottles, beautiful
67:28portraits, landscapes, intricate calligraphy, and perhaps most astonishing of all, micrography.
67:38For the uninitiated, microrography is the art of creating images out of extraordinarily tiny lines of text. And
67:48Buinger was one of the all-time masters.
67:52Look at this image on your screen. This is a self-portrait of Matias Buinger. At first glance, it is impressive enough,
68:02but then you remember the artist had no hands, no feet. But now look a little bit closer. Look at his wig. Because
68:10those aren't merely curls of hair. Those are words. Entire passages of scripture written in letters so impossibly tiny, you could only see them under a
68:21magnifying glass.
68:23Hidden within those curls are seven complete psalms and the Lord's Prayer made by a man without hands. And here's the part to me, Brett, that stretched me
68:34behind beyond comprehension.
68:38Bukinger never even used a magnifying glass. You could only see these with a magnifying glass. He didn't even use one. And how could he? He He had no
68:48hands to hold it up to his face. And so remember here that these are the surviving works of a genius that were by
68:56most contemporary accounts less impressive than what he accomplished on stage. We have the physical evidence. We have the artwork. You're seeing you're
69:06seeing one of his sculptures inside a glass bottle on the screen now. We have firsthand accounts.
69:13All right. So we have we we have the accomplishments. We have the firsthand accounts.
69:18Yet 300 years later, we still don't really know how he did it. All of this done by a man born without hands or
69:25feet.
69:27A man who stood, so to speak, just 29 in tall, only 29 in tall. But I tell you, Brett, this man was a giant.
69:38At least to me.
69:41Now, now Brent, you may be wondering, I'm not done. I'm not done. I'm not done.
69:47You may be wondering, what is the point of all this? Why have I I spent the last several minutes subjecting you to an
69:55unsolicited lecture about an obscure German magician from the 1700s?
70:03As we all know, no account of history is sufficient without the moral it reveals.
70:11What is the What is the moral of this story? What can we learn from Matias Bukinger, one of my top 10 personal
70:20heroes?
70:22To answer that question, allow me to tell you another story. Um, when I first moved to Texas, I think it was my second or third day here, I went
70:32to the bar, I sat down, I ordered a drink, and I struck up a conversation with a guy about my own age sitting next
70:40to me. We talked for probably an hour.
70:43perfectly nice guy.
70:46Eventually, I mentioned I was new in town and I asked if if he had any restaurant recommendations.
70:52He gave me about 10.
70:55Bars in the area. He gave me five. Music venues, plenty of suggestions. Parks, absolutely. Then I asked if he if he
71:02knew of a good church in the area.
71:04Suddenly his demeanor changed. He said, "Oh, I don't go to church. I hate God."
71:09In fact, I asked him why. He said, ' Because God is cruel.
71:15What makes you say that? He looked me dead in the eyes and he said, ' Because look at what God did to me. He held up
71:21his hand. Brett, I had been talking to this man for like an hour. I'd seen his hands. I looked at his hands, saw him
71:28grab his beer. I hadn't noticed anything unusual.
71:32Even as he held it in front of me, I could barely make out the deformity. It was something extraordinarily mild. But
71:39he talked about how this ruined his life. He could never be a great drummer.
71:44Couldn't be a professional baseball player. No woman would ever want to marry him. He thinks he's a freak. He's He's acting like the guy from from Scary
71:53Movie 2. I could barely tell there's anything wrong with him.
71:59I tried to tell him about Matias Buinger.
72:03try to explain. There was a there was once a man born without hands or feet, without arms or legs, who became one of
72:10the greatest performers, artists, magicians of all time, man with every possible excuse to accomplish nothing. Instead, accomplished the impossible many times
72:20over. He wasn't interested. He didn't want to hear it. I left that bar sickened, disgusted, repulsed.
72:29not by his hands. His his physical deformity barely registered with me. I was repulsed instead by the deformity of his spirit. The self-pity, the
72:40bitterness, the false belief that one small disadvantage had rendered greatness impossible.
72:47And so bread, I say unto you, verily, verily, I say unto you, it is better to be born without arms and legs than it is
72:57to have a loser mindset like that of my friend from the bar. And so the lesson from today's school of Scott, dare to be
73:07great and then go perform the impossible like Matias Bukinger, a giant of a man.
73:21That was great, Scott. That was great.
73:24You know what's crazy? If you look in the private chat >> Yeah.
73:27>> see my comment. I figured out the scripture thing in the hair before you even said it.
73:32>> Yeah.
73:32>> That's why I was staring closely at the screen.
73:35>> You want to know the craziest thing about it?
73:37>> What?
73:38>> I just made this guy up. He never actually existed.
73:42>> Really? Yeah.
73:43>> I'm just gaslighting you.
73:46No way.
73:48No. No. Now I'm gaslighting. No. Yeah.
73:50Mathias Bukinger. He's awesome.
73:54>> That was a That was a weird gaslight.
73:55You You fake gaslighted. It >> was metag gaslighting.
73:59>> Nice. That was really good. That was really good. Thank you for that. You only went, you know, 12 and a half
74:04minutes. Shorter than I thought you'd go.
74:06>> Really? Wow. Yeah. Me, too.
74:08>> So, all right. Well, leave us your thoughts and comments on Scott's uh, you know, personal hero and men of renowned
74:16person 8. I think >> shout out Matias Booener. Today's podcast sponsored by Matias Booener.
74:23>> I thought it was like sponsored by nubs or something.
74:29All right, that is going to do it for us today. Thank you so much for listening.
74:33We are out.