0:00I want to talk about the 10 best running back values in drafts today, and we are going to go from the early rounds to the
0:06guys that are getting drafted in the literal last round of drafts, starting with our most expensive running back in Devon Achane. Now, I completely
0:14understand, right? Devon Achane is a running back that is in a garbage situation this year. Let's talk about all the red flags that are with this
0:22Achane profile. One, the change with the coaching staff. Mike McDaniel has gone to the Los Angeles Chargers, great offensive mind, and this has a lot of
0:31people worried that the overall offensive output in Miami is going to be worse this season than what we've seen over the past three. The second thing is
0:40with the change of quarterback play.
0:42Now, yes, Tua was a horrible quarterback for the Miami Dolphins last season, but what Tua was good for with Devon Achane
0:50is the check-down rate. Typically, if you want your running backs to have a ton of receptions out of the backfield, you want your quarterback to be
0:57immobile, because what happens is when the pocket collapses and you have a quarterback that can run the ball and escape, such as Lamar Jackson, Jayden
1:06Daniels, Josh Allen, they're not going to dump the ball off to the backfield mate with Achane, James Cook, etc., etc.
1:14They'll pick it up and they're going to run themselves. But, if you have a quarterback like Tua, if you have a
1:19quarterback like Kirk Cousins, if you have a quarterback like Jared Goff, these guys that can't run at all, when their pocket collapses, they look at the
1:27running back that is standing 6 ft from them and they just throw it over in their direction and hope that they can
1:32do something with the ball. This led to Devon Achane last season seeing 5.3 targets per game and the year prior 5.1
1:40targets per game. This change from Tua to Malik Willis is not good for that receiving volume because Willis is going to be more of the Lamar Jackson mold,
1:51where when that pocket collapses, he can escape and he can go ahead and run the ball himself. And lastly, the concern
1:57that we have with Devon Achane is because this Miami Dolphins offense legitimately has no help at all at the wide receiver position, teams are going
2:06to be able to stack the box. I mean, you're not going to have to worry about freaking Malik Washington.
2:11Um you're not going to have to worry about Chris Bell on the outside for the Dolphins. Of course, those wide receivers aren't going to be able to do
2:16anything. So, defensive coordinators are going to go, "Hey, we only have to worry about shutting down one man, and that man is Devon Achane." So, there are a
2:25red flags with Devon Achane profile that a lot of people are terrified to draft him, and that's why I think we actually
2:32can get a decent discount. Because if we go through and take a step backwards of what Achane has been over the past 3
2:38years of his NFL career, Achane in the first three seasons he has played has averaged at least 17 fantasy points per
2:46game every season. Achane this past year averaged over 20 fantasy points per game. He is about to turn 25 years old,
2:55so he is still in the prime of his career. So, if we just look at this from a big picture perspective, if we look at
3:02the output Achane's given you combined with the actual age profile he has, if Achane wasn't a good situation, if the situation was the same as last season,
3:13you would have to take him at the 1.03 or the 1.04. We would be talking about Achane versus Ja'Marr Chase. We'd be
3:20talking about Achane versus Puka Nacua.
3:23So, yes, there are a lot of red flags, but those red flags are priced in, in my opinion, almost too much because the
3:30other thing I want to cover with Devon Achane is going to be the Las Vegas sports book projections. While the Dolphins do expect to be garbage this
3:38year, they were very bad last season, and they actually are only supposed to average about 1 point per game fewer this year than they did in 2025. Lastly,
3:48while Malik Willis isn't going to check the ball down very often, those rushing quarterbacks like Josh Allen, like Lamar Jackson, what they can do is they can
3:56boost the rushing efficiency of their backfield mates because when Malik Willis goes to hand off the ball, what the opposing linebackers have to think
4:04is they have to think, okay, one, this may be a play-action. Two, this may be a Devon Achane rush, or three, this may be
4:12a read from Willis, and he can take the ball off the edge. So, with Achane, red flags are it's a garbage offense, and at
4:20the same time, the check-down rate's going to be lowered. The green flags are he's way cheaper than you would ever expect a running back like this to be,
4:28while at the same time, the rushing efficiency may get better, and the offense was already bad last year when he averaged over 20 fantasy points per
4:35game. So, if we're using the consensus ADP page on flockfantasy.com, Devon Achane currently is a second-round pick.
4:42That's also where he went in the Flock League draft. I would have absolutely loved drafting him over Kenneth Walker.
4:47Sadly, I got Walker instead, but I think Achane's the best round two running back that you could probably take. Now, let's
4:53move over to a running back that has gotten a boom, and that is going to be Travis Etienne. Now, Travis Etienne fell
5:00all the way down to the fifth round in the Flock League, which absolutely blew my mind. I mean, I could have considered
5:06taking him over Aigboka. I thought he should have gone in the middle of the fourth where Jynxy took Bijan Robinson, and that was before Alvin Kamara had the
5:15MCL sprain, and now he is expected to miss at least one month. And if we go through and look at this Alvin Kamara
5:22profile, I mean, it is incredibly concerning for him to have this injury because Kamara already looked like he was complete toast last year. Alvin
5:31Kamara last season saw the biggest fall off of his entire NFL career in every major statistical category. He had fewer carries per game than any season of his
5:43NFL career outside of his rookie year.
5:46He had fewer targets per game by a wide margin than any year of his NFL career.
5:51His yards per carry fell down to 3.6.
5:54That was the worst mark we had seen through his entire NFL career. His yards per target fell down to 4.8. So, he had
6:01less volume than he's ever had, and at the same time, he was a worse running back with the efficiency than we've ever
6:07seen from him. And he is a 31-year-old player. He's going into year 10. We saw the biggest falloff ever, and now with
6:14the sprained MCL, this is the third time he has suffered a sprained MCL. So, I'm looking at this going, "Alvin Kamara is
6:22straight-up cooked. Travis Etienne is the feature down running back for the New Orleans Saints." Etienne just got paid this off-season, and he averaged
6:30almost 15 points per game this past year. You go back three years ago, and Travis Etienne was over 16 points per
6:39game. This is a pretty good coaching staff with Kellen Moore. I think the New Orleans Saints should be much better than people are currently projecting
6:46them to be. And if we look at the Etienne contract, he got $28 million guaranteed, which is about the same exact number that Kenneth Walker did.
6:55So, this team paid him to be their feature. Kamara is now cooked. He was probably already cooked before, and you can still draft Etienne in the fourth
7:03round. Right now, if I'm using the consensus ADP page on flockfantasy.com, Travis Etienne is at pick 43. He goes to the middle of the fourth round on
7:12Sleeper, the early fourth, late third on ESPN, the middle of the fourth in Yahoo drafts, middle of the fourth in Best
7:19Ball, middle of the fourth in CBS, middle of the fourth in FFPC. I think Travis Etienne now should be a third-round pick with this Alvin Kamara
7:27injury. And if you were using our draft sheets, there's a damn good chance that you end up drafting him. Now, obviously,
7:33I want to give a shout-out to our draft sheets, and everybody who's used them to crush their drafts this season. If you
7:39got that flockfantasy.com season pass, don't worry, we are still going to be hooking you up with consistently updated rankings every single day until the end
7:48of the season both with weekly and rest of season ranks not only for myself, but all your favorite creators that you
7:54watch on YouTube. Now, if you haven't had your draft yet and you want access to all those rankings, trade calculator, my team's page, the whole nine yards, it
8:01all comes with the $34 flock fantasy.com season pass. You'll get custom draft sheets for your exact league settings and platform. You'll get your draft
8:10assistants to help you through your draft as well. Just make sure you sign up with code flock, that way you get
8:15free start sit trade questions. You're able to ask me in the live streams and I'm live streaming every single day until Christmas. Now, let's move over to
8:21another running back that has gotten a pretty big boom as of late and that is going to be De'Andre Swift. Now, right
8:28now Swift is a fifth round pick in Sleeper drafts. He is a fifth round pick in ESPN. He goes in the fourth in Yahoo,
8:35fourth on Underdog, fourth in CBS. So, for me, I want to be on record, I think De'Andre Swift should be a fourth round
8:44player and now that we have the Kyle Shanahan guy hyper extended knee.
8:48Because with Shanahan guy missing, this does solidify De'Andre Swift's role in this offense to be the weeks one, two, and three starter and Swift, what we
8:57have seen from him every single year of his NFL career is you can pencil him out to be a top 24 running back in points
9:04per game. He's never finished lower than RB 24. If we look at his total fantasy points, he has scored over 200 fantasy
9:11points in back-to-back seasons because he plays effectively every game and he has averaged over three targets per game every single year of his NFL career. So,
9:21the Chicago Bears should be a good offense. His only competition for touches just injured his knee. He has the lock on the receiving role and he is
9:30giving you a floor as a top 24 running back and if you can take him in the fifth round or at the very end of the
9:36fourth, if he turns out to be a low-end RB1, high-end RB2, you're crushing. And even if he hits his floor of being a top
9:4224 RB, you probably didn't overpay for him. Now, I am rocking the Kendre Miller price jersey because we got very interesting news today. Kendre Miller
9:51Price is done playing in the preseason.
9:53They said the next time you're going to see Kendre Miller Price is going to be week one of the NFL year, which is just
10:00a great sign for the utilization of Kendre Miller Price early in Seattle.
10:06Now, I know a lot of people were coming through and um pooh-poohing on me taking Kendre Miller Price in a lot of best
10:12ball drafts early in the off season cuz they were coming through and they were saying, "Oh my gosh, we are going to
10:17have um a Georgia La'el with a role. We are going to have a Emanuel Wilson, blah, blah, blah." Running backs that
10:24have never done anything in the NFL that have no pedigree over the guy that just went round one of the NFL draft. Now,
10:33Kendre Miller Price's profile is almost impossible to look at from college, right? Big reason being is he was a backfield mate with Zach Charbonnet
10:42love. And of course, if you were a backfield mate with Zach Charbonnet love, you're just not going to see the field. Zach Charbonnet love went top
10:49three in the NFL draft for a damn good reason. So, the production numbers for Price extremely limited. Like, we can look at some of the efficiency stuff,
10:58right? If we wanted, where if we go through and look at the yards per attempt for Kendre Miller Price in this
11:05offense, he was at 6.0. Zach Charbonnet love was at 6.9, but of course, he is a special talent. But even though Zach
11:12Charbonnet love obviously phenomenal running back went top five, Kendre Miller Price still saw 113 rush attempts in comparison to love at 119. But we
11:22weren't able to really see a receiving role in college cuz he played alongside Zach Charbonnet love. So, the last time we can go back and look at a running
11:30back that went round one of the NFL draft with a very limited prospect profile because he played with studs in his own backfield. Last time we saw that
11:40was 2019 with Josh Jacobs. Jacobs was at Alabama with absolute hammers, right?
11:46Whether it was Najee Harris, whether it was Damien Harris, a ton of running backs that ended up making it to the
11:52NFL. Jacobs had the film where NFL talent evaluators went, "You know what?
11:57We don't care. We're taking him round one." That's exactly what happened with Jahmyr Gibbs. Kendre Miller and Price go to a great offense. Zach Charbonnet is
12:02going to miss the first half of the season. Kendre Miller and Price right now you can get him in round six of
12:07Sleeper drafts, round six of Yahoo, round six of ESPN. But if you're looking at flockfantasy.com, he's ranked in the middle of round five. And also he went
12:16in the middle of round five of the Flock League draft as well. Now Jonathan Brooks went in the middle of round six
12:22to Junko in the Flock League draft.
12:25>> WITH JONATHAN >> YEAH!
12:30>> UH JONATHAN BROOKS, I DON'T THINK I CAN SAY IS LIKE the best pick ever if you're taking him in the middle of the sixth
12:35round. I think that is close to his ceiling. I understand it with the Chuba Hubbard injury, but I wouldn't advocate for Jonathan Brooks to be one of the
12:42best picks in fantasy football if you're taking him in the sixth. However, in a lot of casual drafts, you're not going
12:48to have to take him there. If we go through and look at a lot of these platforms in their ADP, Sleeper he goes
12:54at 116.
12:56ESPN, he goes at pick 100. Yahoo 76. Um the best ball 75, CBS 89. I think a fair price point for Jonathan Brooks, a
13:06running back that has all the upside in the world that was a phenomenal prospect coming out of the University of Texas
13:10despite the fact he only had one ACL, is if you take him in round seven, it's a fair price. Round six it could pay off,
13:17but I definitely think it's a risk.
13:18Round seven, it's a fair price, but if your league mates don't really pay attention, maybe it's a work league, maybe you're just playing with complete
13:26casuals, there's a chance you can get Jonathan Brooks in the eighth round, which in that price, I mean, for the starting running back of the Carolina
13:33Panthers, and he's a pretty talented young guy, it's an absolute smash. Now, in a similar range, we are going to have
13:39R.J. Harvey. It blows my mind that right now on a lot of draft platforms, J.K.
13:45Dobbins is drafted before R.J. Harvey.
13:48In ESPN drafts, you have an ADP of pick 106 for Dobbins and pick 123 for Harvey.
13:56Yahoo, Dobbins goes at pick 84, Harvey goes at pick 109. I literally can't understand it, because R.J. Harvey is the better receiving running back
14:06between the two of Dobbins and Harvey.
14:09And on top of this, J.K. Dobbins has proven to be the most injury-prone running back in the entire NFL. If we go
14:16through Dobbins's entire NFL career, in 2020, it's his rookie season, he doesn't see a lot of volume, he's able to play
14:2415 games, right? But then in 2021, before the season gets here, he's out for the year immediately, right? I believe that was the year we got the
14:31torn Achilles, or maybe that was the torn ACL. In 2022, he played eight games. Then in 2023, I think this was
14:38actually maybe the torn Achilles season, he played one game, saw a total of eight carries, and was done for the year. In
14:442024, he played 13 games with the Los Angeles Chargers before he getting injured, and in 2025, this past season, he made it through 10 games. He's been
14:53in the NFL for a total of six years, and if we go through and map out how many games he's played, it's like 37.
15:00It's unbelievable. So, I think there's a damn good chance Dobbins goes down this year, or there's a damn good chance we
15:05get to see R.J. Harvey as the starting running back behind the league's best offensive line. You can take him in the
15:10eighth round of your fantasy draft, and he has receiving upside. Now, Rashaad White's a very tough shout here, just because Rashaad White now currently is
15:19dealing with a hamstring. But if Rachaad White is healthy, in some platforms, he is just so far behind the expert average
15:28ranking on flockfantasy.com, where in Sleeper drafts, he goes at 130, ESPN 109, Yahoo 111. So, if you can get Rachaad White in rounds 10 or after,
15:39this is a good offense. Now, yes, they already saw an injury to their left tackle. That's going to suck. But, at
15:45the end of the day, it's a good offense for Rachaad White, while at the same time, he's the only running back in the
15:51backfield that can actually catch the ball. So, for a double-digit round pick, when he has a chance to be the starter,
15:57the receiving upside, and the offense, it's an absolute no-brainer. Now, as we get down to our last three running backs, these are guys that you would
16:05take at the very, very end of your drafts, okay? I'm not going to sit here and tell you, "Oh, take Marshaun Lloyd
16:11in round 10. Take Marshaun Lloyd in round 11." No, this is the range where your league-mates are taking kickers and defenses. I don't want you to draft a
16:19kicker or a defense, unless you're drafting a couple days before the season. What I would rather you do is copy what Junko did in the flock league,
16:27copy what I did in the flock league, and that is stab at running backs in the final few rounds of your draft, just in
16:34case we were to get injury news to the guy in front of them before the season were to get here, and all of a sudden,
16:40they see a massive spike in value. Now, if the running backs ahead of them manage to stay healthy and are 100% good
16:45to go for week one, then you can go through and you can cut these handcuffs, and you can pick up your kicker and a
16:51defense at that point. But, Marshaun Lloyd is the first name that I want to discuss. With Marshaun Lloyd, he was a
16:57decent prospect. He's never managed to stay healthy in the NFL, which has been incredibly frustrating. This dude has a total of six carries, but right now,
17:06he's getting a ton of positive press coming out of Green Bay, and the reason why I think he would be a premium
17:11handcuff with one of your last few picks is with Josh Jacobs, not only do you have the injury risk, but you also have
17:17the risk of suspension. So, instead of taking a kicker, take Marshawn Lloyd, and then if Jacobs is going to go by
17:24week one, then you can cut Marshawn Lloyd for that kicker right before the season. The other guys that I want to
17:28mention are going to be Braelon Allen.
17:31The reason Braelon Allen's a clear target is this is a running back that is in a setup where the starter in front of
17:37him is already injured with Breece Hall.
17:39Breece Hall dealing with the groin, sounds like Hall's probably going to be good to go week one, but that's definitely not a guarantee. So, if you
17:46can just stash Braelon Allen, see what happens, maybe Breece Hall re-aggravates it. Then all of a sudden you have a starting running back that you got for
17:52literally free cuz you took him the last round. And then Keilan Black is going to be the same exact profile of this. I
17:58mean, I draft Black in the drafts pretty much every single night we are doing on the live stream because um Sleeper ADP
18:06has him at like player 9,000. But, I'm using my draft sheets, right? So, if I'm using my draft sheets, I'm able to just
18:13go through and see, "Oh, no, this is actually the handcuff running back that you want. This is the guy that sorted to
18:18the top." So, I've been taking a ton of them just in case this McCaffrey injury stuff does end up being serious. Now, of
18:24course, I'm not saying McCaffrey's going to miss the season or anything. He actually was back at practice today, but it will be something important to
18:30monitor. I think that's all I got for you. I really appreciate you, and I really hope that I was able to help you
18:35out in some way with this video. If you need additional help, the best way you can get it is the $34 flockfantasy.com
18:42season pass. I'm going to leave the link in the description in the comment section. That's going to get you set up
18:46with a rankings every single week not only for myself, but all your favorite creators you watch on YouTube. And on top of that, custom draft sheets that
18:54are tailored to your exactly settings and your exact draft platform. But, much love, ladies and gentlemen. I really appreciate you, and I hope you get to
19:01see out in the live stream later tonight.