0:00There are 18 startable quarterbacks in fantasy this week. I want to say about 18 startable tight ends as well. And then we'll get to the defenses at the
0:07very end. Josh Allen through the buy.
0:09He's right back in the S tier by himself. Great game environment getting to play against the Baltimore Ravens.
0:14Obviously, this is a spot where this could be an absolute shootout. Go back to what we had week one last season.
0:21Going to the A tier. This is where things will flatten out a bit. Dak Prescott is probably going to be your
0:27safest play. The Dallas Cowboys project to be the highest scoring offense in the NFL this week. And this game projects to
0:34be the highest scoring game. So with both those things in mind, Dak Prescott is a very, very safe play in a good
0:42matchup against the Arizona Cardinals.
0:44Now going to Joe Burrow. The Cincinnati Bengals also project score a ridiculous amount of points here against the Tennessee Titans. And this is a pretty
0:55passhappy team. Obviously, you haven't had a ton of points funneled through.
0:58Chase Brown just going to be a safe play with a healthy quarterback where you know the offense is going to be good.
1:03The higher upside play is going to be Lamar Jackson. Great matchup against Buffalo. If we are talking about ceiling Lamar Jackson, especially in four-point
1:15passing touchdown formats where the rushing matters a lot, could run circles around Dak and Burrow. But his first week back from an ankle sprain. We saw
1:25him last season coming back from a lower body injury. I mean, really underperform and not look anything like him old his
1:32old self. I would say if you have Lamar, the matchup's too good, the game environment is too good, the ceiling is
1:38too high for you to ever consider benching him, but the floor is going to be a little bit lower just in case we
1:45end up getting a collapse. Now going to Trevor Lawrence, very similar to Burrow, very similar to Dak Prescott is in what's supposed to be one of the highest
1:54scoring offenses of the week. The problem that you're going to have with the Jags going up against the Indianapolis Colts is there is a chance
2:02that we just see the Jacksonville Jaguars be able to run the ball in the second half. Now, I need Drake May to be
2:09great this week. It's a good matchup against the Miami Dolphins where what we know with Drake May is historically he is going to struggle against good teams
2:17and he is going to put on a show against bad teams. My problem will be projecting out what his weapons look like this week
2:25because you already have Romeo Dobs on the injured reserve. AJ Brown was limited in practice on Wednesday with the knee injury separate than the high
2:32ankle that he had and then on Thursday he missed practice. So, it looks to be a very real setup in which you have no AJ
2:40Brown, you have no Romeo Dobs, Trevian Henderson mispractice as well.
2:45Obviously, that doesn't impact Drake May that that much, but yeah, the weapons are going to look pretty ugly here for May. I honestly am really hoping as
2:54somebody who has Drake May on their own fantasy team that this team goes out there and they actually try to make a
3:00trade and they make a play for a wide receiver at the deadline. Whether that's Brian Thomas, whether that's even a name
3:07just like Josh DS. I mean, Drake May frankly needs wide receiver help. And I I'm nervous about him accessing like the
3:1830 point ceiling that I'm going to need from him on my own fantasy team. I would say if you have Drake May though, he's
3:23been so damn good that there's no way in hell you could bench him. You have to put him in your lineup. Now, moving to
3:29our B tier, these are the quarterbacks that you could consider benching. He probably wouldn't, but if you benched them, it wouldn't be the craziest thing
3:37in the world. Jaden Daniels obviously had the disappointing game in San Francisco week six. He didn't run the
3:47ball that much, but now you get the week seven by week. He's coming back.
3:52Hopefully, the rushing looks a little similar to what you had week five against the Giants where he had over a 100 rushing yards. This matchup against
4:00the Philadelphia Eagles is one in which um Jaden Daniels is probably gonna be able to win. You wouldn't be that surprised if they are able to kind of
4:10slow things down and run the ball in the second half with Rashad White though.
4:15Now going to Jacobe Brassette, this game is supposed to be the highest scoring game in the entire NFL between the Arizona Cardinals and the Dallas
4:25Cowboys. So, I would be very happy to stream Jacobe Versett if I had a quarterback like Caleb Williams that was in a horrible, horrible matchup. Of
4:36course, the Dallas Cowboys defense makes everybody look good and I don't expect that to be an exception here against Arizona. Jordan Love is going to be
4:46playing in the game tonight. I mean, if we look at the addition of Josh Jacobs this past week, it didn't really slow
4:54down Jordan Love throwing the football where the Green Bay Packers still had 45 pass attempts. Obviously, Jordan Love's not going to give you a ton of rushing
5:05upside. So, it all comes down to how many passing touchdowns are you going to get. If we go over and look at the
5:12current setup that we have with markets for tonight's game, I mean, you have the Green Bay Packers with a 64% chance of
5:20winning this. The spreads three and a half points, the overunders 46 and a half. And I mean, if we look at the
5:26fantasy points PPR player prop here, you have a 36% chance of getting 20 or more fantasy points from Jordan Love. I
5:35really need Christian Watson to hit more than 17 myself. a lot. Obviously, if you want to check out any of these markets,
5:40you can find the link to the Poly Market app in the description as well as the comment section. If you sign up with
5:46promo code Flock, you'll get $25 added to your account after you deposit your first 10. Available in every state outside of Nevada. Now, moving to
5:56Matthew Stafford. Very similar setup that you have with Jordan Love, right?
5:59You know, you're not going to get anything as a rusher. So, it all comes down to how many passing touchdowns should you get here in Los Angeles. I am
6:08worried that the matchup against the Chargers is one in which Stafford's not going to be um pushed to throw the ball
6:15with aggression, especially with Devonte Adams, they may lean a little heavier on the run in the red zone from here on
6:21out. Going to Bryce Young. obviously playing in this same game. We had the complete collapse from Bryce Young in this Carolina Panthers offense against
6:31the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Again, we just showed markets are pricing in that we should have some improvement for the Panthers in comparison to what we saw
6:42last week with the total collapse. If we do look at the larger sample right now, Bryce Young's still averaging 285 passing yards per game and two passing
6:52touchdowns per game as well. He's currently on the waiver wire in my own league. And there are some people in my
6:58league that are starting quarterbacks that I don't like as much as Bryce Young. So, if he's on waiverss in your league, I think you could pick him up.
7:05And then Jared Goff's been incredible.
7:07Like, somebody in my league this week is starting Jared Goff over Bryce Young.
7:12And I completely understand where they're coming from, right? Because you do have Jared Goff averaging 22 fantasy points per game. He's at the very top of
7:20the NFL when it comes to just overall passing volume. But I am a little bit concerned with the matchup that you have
7:29when you're going up against the toughest defense in the NFL with the Minnesota Vikings. So, I think this will be an uglier game environment than usual
7:37here, but it is interesting to see the implied team total still being 25 points for the Lions. Like, the Lions are still
7:44expected to score more points than the Carolina Panthers than the um Washington Commanders by a decent margin. Now, going over to your other quarterbacks,
7:52Kyler Murray, great matchup against the Detroit Lions, but Kyler Murray has um looked horrible so far this season. And also, the fantasy points have been
8:01horrible as well. going to Caleb Williams. Caleb Williams is an absolute hammer, but the reason we had Patrick Mahomes so low in the rankings last week
8:12was this is a very tough matchup. If you have to go up against the Seattle Seahawks, naturally, you are going to
8:19project out to be in a much worse spot than normal. And there's no exception here. I mean, you have the Chicago Bears
8:26projected to score about the same amount of points as the Panthers this week, about the same amount of points as the
8:31Minnesota Vikings. And obviously this is a Bears team that at the same time they very much are wanting to go out there
8:37and run the ball. Now Patrick Mahomes had the collapse last week. It was the worst game of Patrick Mahomes's pretty much NFL career not getting to the red
8:46zone. He scored six total fantasy points. Helped me win my matchup because I was playing against him. The sad news for people that have Momes is this is
8:55also another tough matchup. You have to play this game at Denver and the overunder of this game's like 39 and a
9:02half points, 40 points. It's supposed to be one of the lower scoring games in the league. Now, I do think Rasheed Rice is
9:09going to play, which should help Mahomes a decent amount. Sam Darnold is in a spot against Caleb and the Bears, which
9:16maybe you're a little bit more concerned now that the Bears go out there and add the best defensive tackle in the NFL.
9:23Then we have Kirk Cousins playing against the New York Jets. I mean, Cousins is at the very top of the league
9:29so far this season with passing touchdowns, but a lot of that was frontloaded at the beginning of the season. And against the Bills and the
9:36Rams, I mean, they have just gotten absolutely um blown out at the beginning and you just got Cousins garbage time points. I'm a little concerned if that
9:46happens again. Do we end up seeing Fernando Mendoza in the second half? And then Baker Mayfield.
9:53We didn't really get to see him this past week because the game against the Carolina Panthers was such a blowout, but I'm excited to see what Baker looks
10:01like here against the Atlanta Falcons this week, especially if we get IgA back in, which it looks like we will. Now,
10:07going to our tight ends, you already know Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, they are the elite options. I'm going to put McBride ahead of Bowers this week
10:13because he has the best matchup in the NFL. Best matchup you can ask for getting to go up against the Dallas
10:18Cowboys. Now moving over to our A tier, we are going to have Sam Leaporta who had a very disappointing week coming out
10:27of the buy with only 2.8 fantasy points.
10:30But I mean, if we look before that, Leaporta had been absolutely crushing.
10:34He's averaging six and a half targets per game so far this season and a careerhigh 55 receiving yards per game.
10:41The big concern that you're going to have for Leaporta though this week is it is a really tough matchup. Arguably the
10:47toughest matchup in the NFL that you have going up against the Minnesota Vikings. Moving to Tucker Craft. I would be um more optimistic about Craft if
10:57Matthew Golden was going to miss this game. But it does sound like you will have Matthew Golden playing, which obviously um will eat into the target
11:05volume that Craft's going to get just a bit. Now moving to Travis Kelce. Travis Kelce is going to be playing in a setup
11:13in which the target volume should be safe given this at best. It's going to be Rashid Rice's first week back from
11:20the hamstring. Rice maybe is going to be a little bit slow to ramp up, but it is a very tough matchup playing at Denver
11:28where again we already mentioned this, but we do have a much worse overall points projection for the Kansas City Chiefs this week. very similar to the
11:38setup that they had last week against the Seattle Seahawks where I think you just do just have to lower your expectations for this offense a bit. And
11:45again with Coulson Lovelin, he is a top five tight end for me rest of season.
11:50But this is also another situation where I do think you have to lower your expectations just a bit because it is a
11:57very tough matchup having to play in Seattle. Now moving to our B tier, we are going to have Dalton Concaid. I have
12:06Dalton Concincaid on my own fantasy team. I am praying to God that we get Dalton Concade back to what he looked
12:13like weeks one and two. This is a great matchup against the Baltimore Ravens where again the Buffalo Bills may get into a full-blown shootout. They may
12:23have to throw the ball like crazy in the second half here. The problem with concaid is obviously has dealt with injuries throughout his entire NFL
12:32career and now you're in a setup in which like he's wearing a non-cont
12:42jersey at practice on a Thursday.
12:46So, please just be okay, be healthy. TJ Hawinson is a tight end that has been very hot while you've had him and Kyler
12:56Murray both healthy at the same time.
12:58Week one, T.J. Hawinson had the receiving touchdown which led to him scoring 13 and a half fantasy points.
13:04Week seven with Kyler Murray, he also had the receiving touchdown led to him scoring 13 and a half fantasy points.
13:10That touchdown isn't there. It would be ugly. You do have week four that you can point at though where he dropped 25
13:16fantasy points in this game, but that was a game in which you had no Justin Jefferson. So, it's tough to project out
13:22that volume going into the future. Now, the benefit that you get with TJ Hawinson and what makes him an absolute smash this week as a mustart tight end
13:33is it is just the best matchup you could possibly ask for going up against the Detroit Lions. and the Detroit Lions
13:39allow the most points to opposing tight ends and it is not even remotely close either.
13:46Now moving to Tyler Warren. Tyler Warren did get in a limited practice today. It sounds like Tyler Warren is most likely
13:54going to be good to go. Now the problem that I think you'll run into here with Warren is it's going to be a garbage
14:00garbage offense and for the time being Josh DS is still here. Keenan Allen is still here. So, you're going to be in
14:07one of the worst offenses in the entire NFL and you're coming off an injury as well that led to a multi-week absence.
14:14And then our last tight end that if you got him, you probably got to start him is going to be Hunter Henry. The big
14:21reason why you have to start Hunter Henry is just the fact that you do have AJ Brown probably looking like he's
14:28going to miss. And if you have no AJ Brown, there is a very real reason why you should expect that Hunter Henry
14:35takes an expanded role in this offense, especially with Romeo Dobs being out at the same time. Now, moving to our C
14:43tier, we will have Brenton Strange. They are nine and a half point favorites. If we look at the target volume that
14:49Strange has had, three straight weeks with at least seven targets. The receiving touchdown hasn't been there, but if he does score a touchdown in this
14:57game, I mean, he could look like a poor man's version of TJ Hawinson. Dallas Goddard projects being the worst offense in the NFL this week, but the benefit
15:06that you are going to get with Dallas Goddard is this is an offense that needs playmakers.
15:15It sounds like they are not going to have Devont Smith. They are not going to have Saquon Barkley. So, while this
15:22offense will be garbage, there's a damn good chance that you are just getting a safe amount of target volume for Goddard
15:29here. Now, going to Kyle Pittz. Uh, this is a tight end that has been incredibly hot, but it's been with touchdowns. He
15:39has scored four touchdowns over the past three weeks. Do I expect this to continue going into the future?
15:45Definitely not. If you look at the underlying target volume, Kyle Pittz is averaging fewer than four targets per game. I think he is going to take a big
15:54step backwards this week. Moving to Mark Andrews. Mark Andrews has been horrible.
15:59He drops the ball like nobody's business. Even when he catches the ball, you know that he's pretty live to fumble it at any moment. And over the past
16:08three weeks, he has been god awful. So, there is a good chance that Mark Andrews is on your waiver wire, but
16:16I would in general like to use a rule of thumb that if you have the option to play somebody in Baltimore, if you have
16:26the option to play somebody in Buffalo, you absolutely need to do so. Now, moving to Chig. Chig is going to get the
16:34expanded role here with no Terry McLaren. Now, I would like to see what that looks like. Again, this should be a
16:41lowscoring game environment as well.
16:44Now, Harold Fannon is in what's supposed to be the lowest scoring game of the entire NFL this week. And at the same
16:54time, I mean, you're in a setup in which Casey Conception breaks out and Harold Fannon's target volume has fallen from 6.7 targets per game down to 5.6
17:04year-over-year. And then our last tight end is going to be Tyler Higgby. I guess we can go down to the Dtier where you
17:11got like Frymuth, Uton, Michael Mayer, Kobe Parkinson, Mikei. Obviously, we can look at this past week. Um, Kobby Parkinson being the guy over Higgby, but
17:21we have the larger sample with Higgby in comparison to Parkinson. Now, the best defensive plays this week are going to be the Bengals, who are 11 and a half
17:31point favorites against Cam Ward and the Tennessee Titans. the Pittsburgh Steelers who are projected out to be in the lowest scoring game environment
17:40against the Cleveland Browns. I am personally very nervous about having to play against the Pittsburgh Steelers myself this week. The Jacksonville
17:48Jaguars who are nine and a half point favorites against the Indianapolis Colts who at this point are rebuilding and the New England Patriots who are sevenpoint
17:57favorites at Miami. Miami coming off a win. Wouldn't be surprised at all if we see a big time step backwards. Again,
18:05typically with the Patriots, they are going to stomp on the bad teams and play um pretty poorly against the good teams.
18:13Now, moving to our A tier of defenses, we are going to have the Los Angeles Rams six and a half point favorites here
18:20playing against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers have allowed the most points to opposing defenses so far this year, but we'll see if they get it
18:29together after the buy. The Rams defense hasn't been scoring any points this year either. The Commanders have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Um, their DSD
18:39is only averaging four and a half fantasy points per game, but the Eagles project to score the fewest amount of points in the league this week. The
18:47Eagles have no Saquon Barkley, no Devont Smith, no Jaylen Herz, and hell, they're on they're like running back six. So, I
18:54think there's a very real um world in which the Commanders do put a beatdown on Philly. The Kansas City Chiefs are in what projects to be
19:05one of the lowest scoring game environments of the week as well. Here they get to play in Denver, though. I would like this more if it was at home.
19:14Looking at the Seattle Seahawks, the Seattle Seahawks have been a great defense in general and we have seen Caleb Williams in the past be willing to
19:22turn the ball over. I just think that the Chicago Bears team is very, very good. So, typically the Seattle Seahawks DST, it's going to be much higher than
19:30this, but I just don't like the matchup.
19:32Tampa obviously just went nuclear this past week against the Carolina Panthers.
19:37I mean, dependent on your league scoring, they maybe dropped 25 fantasy points a week ago. And this is a good matchup as well that they have going up
19:46against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Now, moving to our B tier, we'll have the Denver Broncos again in that lowscoring game environment against the Chiefs. The
19:54Packers, the Vikings arguably have the best defense in the NFL. They definitely have the best DST in fantasy. Their defense is averaging 11 and a half
20:04fantasy points per game. The holdup that I'm personally going to have here is it's just going to be the toughest matchup you could possibly ask for
20:11having to play against arguably the best offense in the NFL at Denver. And then we are going to have the Detroit Lions
20:19and the Cleveland Browns are as our next two defenses. Obviously, the Lions have a horrible defense, but I mean they're favored by three and a half points and
20:28the Minnesota Vikings offense looks like crap until they trade for Jonathan Taylor. Please, for the love of God, Minnesota, trade for JT. But I think
20:36that's all I got for you. I really appreciate you. I hope I was able to help you out in some way with this. I'm
20:42going to be live streaming every single day until Christmas answering your fantasy football questions. So, I really hope I get to see you out in the live
20:49stream sometime soon. But yeah, much love, ladies and gentlemen. Appreciate you. Rooting for you this Thursday night. If you want to root for me, what
20:57we need is Christian Watson points and very few points scored from Tedoa McMillan. appreciate you and I'll see you out in the live stream later
