0:00I just answered your trade questions for
0:01like two hours on our live stream and I
0:04want to go through and talk about some
0:05guys that I'm consistently saying you
0:08should probably trade them away. Now,
0:10I'm also going to be very clear with
0:11this. I'm going to be talking about
0:13talented players. I'm going to tell you
0:16to trade away some guys that have scored
0:18a ridiculous amount of fantasy points
0:20and you probably don't want to put them
0:22on the trade block, but let's just go
0:24one by one. Starting with DeAndre Whip.
0:26Now, DeAndre Swift Whit was in our
0:28CellHive video last week, and DeAndre
0:31Swift at the same time has been a very
0:34big conversation topic because he has
0:36been a top 10 running back in our weekly
0:39rankings every single week over the past
0:42three. Now, there's a very clear reason
0:44in this, right? If we go over and look
0:47at Kyle Manungai, Kyle Manungai in week
0:51four against the New York Jets went
0:53nuclear. Kyle Manungai had 30 carries.
0:57He had 28 total fantasy points. And if
1:01we look at the points per game and just
1:03the per game numbers for Kyle Manungai,
1:06Kyle Manungai was averaging 15 carries
1:09per game through the first four weeks,
1:10he was averaging almost 15 fantasy
1:13points per game. And when you remove him
1:15from this offense, well, trust me, I
1:18like Roshan Johnson. Hook him horns.
1:20He's a player I want to root for. Let's
1:22be real here. Roshan Johnson's not a
1:24good NFL running back, so DeAndre Swift
1:26has no other option but to come through
1:29and command a ton of volume. We actually
1:32saw that this past week where DeAndre
1:34Swift had 86% of the snaps. The last
1:38time DeAndre Swift had 86% of the snaps
1:41in an NFL game, whether he was with the
1:43Bears, whether he was with the Eagles,
1:46whether he was with the Detroit Lions,
1:48was never. That was the best workload
1:51DeAndre Swift has had in his entire NFL
1:54career. And keep in mind, this is now
1:56his seventh season. Well, it's been
1:59great if you've had DeAndre Swift to use
2:01him as that threeown bellcow. That's
2:04just not going to be the expectations
2:05that you should have for him going into
2:07the future. Now, I still very much
2:09believe that DeAndre Swift, he's going
2:11to be a mustart running back every week.
2:13This is a great Chicago Bears offense. I
2:16love Caleb Williams. I love Ben Johnson.
2:18and they want to run the ball
2:20consistently. So, DeAndre Swift still
2:22going to be great, don't get me wrong. I
2:24just don't necessarily think you can
2:26pencil him in inside the top 10 rankings
2:29every single week once Kyle Manungai
2:31gets back, regardless of matchup. Now,
2:33going over and looking at where we stand
2:35with him in our current running back
2:38rankings, he's currently the RB12 in the
2:41expert average consensus on
2:43flockfantasy.com.
2:44I personally have him at running back
2:4715. a few names that I would be
2:49interested in pivoting off of DeAndre
2:51Swift for. I would really like to look
2:53over to Achuba Hubard where I'm not
2:55really concerned about Jonathan Brooks
2:57coming in and taking 50% of the
3:00backfield in Carolina the way that I am
3:02with a player such as um Kyle Manungai
3:06this upcoming week. The other names I
3:08could look at would be maybe a Bay Shell
3:10Toutin, right? With Bashel Tutin, we
3:12actually see the usage expand where he's
3:16finally getting used as a receiver in
3:18also a very good offense. So, I think
3:20you could look at Bashel Tutin. I think
3:22you could look at Chuba Hubard. The very
3:25obvious names that if you could sell
3:26DeAndre Swift for Kairen, Javvante,
3:29Genty, and I saw somebody in our live
3:31stream tonight actually manage to sell
3:33him for Derrick Henry, I think that
3:36would be great, and I'd absolutely love
3:37to make that pivot. Now, moving over to
3:40the other player in this Bears offense.
3:42We're primarily going to be focusing on
3:44running backs in this video, but it is
3:46worth talking about for Luther Burton.
3:49Now, Luther Burton had very similar to
3:51DeAndre Swift, an incredible Thursday
3:54night performance where he went for 23.7
3:58fantasy points. He had 130 receiving
4:02yards. This was the second most
4:04receiving yards he has ever had in his
4:06NFL career in a single game. And this
4:08was the second best game he's ever had
4:11from a fantasy points perspective. And
4:13Luther Burton continues to be one of the
4:15most efficient wide receivers in the
4:18entire NFL. This dude is incredible. He
4:20is averaging over 10 yards per target in
4:23back-to-back seasons. He's one of the
4:25most explosive athletes at the wide
4:27receiver position. That's very clear.
4:29Now, where I am coming from with this
4:32Luther Burden sell high call is I
4:35actually talked about Luther Burton
4:37being a wide receiver that still has a
4:40lower floor in fantasy. I said after
4:42that Thursday night game that I was
4:44viewing Luther Burton in a similar tier
4:47to what you have with guys like Jaylen
4:49Coker, Jameson Williams, and that's
4:52because the volume isn't exactly there,
4:55but the ceiling is crazy high any given
4:58week. Now, I figured, hey, having Luther
5:01Burden around wide receiver 19 in the
5:03same tier with Jameson Williams, those
5:06were going to be the expectations of
5:07other people as well, but based on the
5:10YouTube comments, it sounds like I was
5:13um much lower than where the comment
5:16section currently is for Burden. Maybe
5:18it was just the heat of the moment
5:20coming off of the New England Patriots
5:22performance. But I will point out that
5:25if we look at the underlying snap rates
5:27that we have for Burton, he's still not
5:29an every down player for the Chicago
5:31Bears. He's still only playing 60% of
5:34the snaps for the Bears this season.
5:36He's still only averaging 6.7 targets
5:39per game. And if I go over and look at a
5:41player that I said was in that similar
5:43tier that was supposed to be um a
5:45blasphemy uh with Jameson Williams,
5:48Jameson's also in a great offense. He's
5:50also a great player and he's also
5:52averaging a similar amount of targets
5:54per game at 6.3. Now, while I have
5:56Luther Burden ranked a few spots ahead
5:58of Jameson Williams, the comment section
6:00saying that they should be um in a
6:03completely different tier, maybe you
6:04could pivot from Luther Burden to
6:06Jameson Williams and get an extra
6:08sweetener on top for your starting
6:10lineup. Um I don't necessarily think
6:12that's exactly how I would try to treat
6:14Burden, though. What I think maybe would
6:16be a little more interesting is trying
6:17to pivot off of to a wide receiver
6:20that's getting significantly more volume
6:23coming out of his by-week. Like if we go
6:25over and we look at Parker Washington,
6:27I'm very confident that Parker
6:29Washington's also going to be giving you
6:31a floor this season based off of what
6:33we've had with his usage so far this
6:35year where Parker Washington's averaging
6:38almost eight targets per game. He's up
6:40to about 70 receiving yards per game and
6:42he has a 25.7%
6:45team target share in this Jacksonville
6:46Jaguars offense. I think he's also in a
6:49great offense, but he's just closer
6:51being used to an every down player in
6:53comparison to Burton's not on the field
6:55in every package. So, I would be
6:57interested in seeing if we could pivot
6:58from Burton to Parker Washington. Now,
7:01moving over to our next name, we are
7:03going to look at Quinn Sean Judkins.
7:04Now, um Judkins, I hate to mention this,
7:07but I I feel like I honestly have to.
7:10Yes, he's coming off an incredible
7:12performance. And actually in the flock
7:14league, we did see a trade go down for
7:16Judkins right before the game on Sunday
7:19that led to Zufa winning his matchup
7:22because Judkins ends up smashing. But I
7:25am concerned with a couple different
7:27things. The first thing is I am worried
7:30that the addition of Dylan Samson in
7:33this offense is going to lead to Quinn
7:35Sean Judkins getting used slightly less
7:38as a wide receiver. Because when we go
7:40back and we look at when Quinn Sean
7:42Judkins was by himself with no Dylan
7:45Samson in this backfield, Judkins had
7:47some of the most impressive receiving
7:49games of his NFL career. I mean, he had
7:51seven targets in week four, which was a
7:53careerhigh. He had five targets in week
7:55two. He had four targets in week five.
7:59But this past week with Dylan Samson
8:02back, Quinn Sean Judkins had one target
8:05out of this backfield. And if we go over
8:06and we look at Dylan Samson, Dylan
8:08Samson had three for 32 receiving yards.
8:12Plus, if we look at the underlying snap
8:14usage, we actually have Dylan Samson
8:17playing 46% of the snaps for the
8:19Cleveland Browns this past week and
8:21Quinn Sean Judkins was at 53%. So, this
8:25backfield kind of was broken into Quinn
8:27Shawn Judkins being the first and second
8:30down running back and Dylan Samson being
8:32the third down back. Now, if we sprinkle
8:35on the outlook that we have for the
8:37Cleveland Browns offense, I don't think
8:39you want the first and second down
8:41running back here. Now, I completely
8:43understand, right, the Cleveland Browns,
8:46they're currently sitting at 5-2. I
8:48mean, right now, the only teams that
8:49have better records than the Cleveland
8:51Browns are the Buffalo Bills, which I'm
8:54not telling you to sell the Bills, the
8:56Kansas City Chiefs, the Minnesota
8:59Vikings, and the San Francisco 49ers.
9:02So, the Browns have been incredible.
9:04They've been winning football games. But
9:08if we look at how markets are pricing
9:10out this Browns team going into the
9:12future, again, I am a believer that
9:14markets are generally efficient and we
9:18should believe in them a lot when it
9:20comes to projecting out team success
9:22with NFL spreads with overunders. Right
9:26now on the Poly Market app, the
9:27Cleveland Browns only have a 36% chance
9:30of beating the Pittsburgh Steelers this
9:32week. I mean, this is a game where the
9:34Steelers are favored by three and a
9:36half. And most concerningly, the
9:38overunders only 39 and a half points.
9:42So, this projects to be the lowest
9:44scoring game of the week where the
9:45Browns are dogs. And is this that
9:48different than what we see week in and
9:49week out with Cleveland? No, it's not. I
9:51actually think the Cleveland Browns in a
9:53small sample to start the year have been
9:56overproducing in comparison of what we
9:58should be expecting going into the
10:00future that this isn't a great football
10:02team. This isn't a great offense.
10:04They're definitely a hell of a lot
10:06better than people including myself were
10:08expecting, but I'm now viewing Quinn
10:10Sean Judkins as a first and second down
10:11running back on a bad team and a bad
10:13offense. So, if I go over and tried to
10:16move off of Judkins, right, I actually
10:19did see that trade in the flock league
10:20happen this week where we saw Quinn Shun
10:22Judkins be traded for effectively
10:24Rasheed Rice and Trevon Henderson. If
10:27you're playing in a full PPR league
10:28where you can start three, four wide
10:30receivers every week, I think that makes
10:32a lot of sense if you have the
10:33flexibility at the running back position
10:35to make a move just like that. I think
10:38some other interesting trades that could
10:40be used with Quinn Sean Judkins, maybe
10:42you try to parlay him with Luther Burton
10:45if you have both of those guys and try
10:47to move up to an uptier running back to
10:49like James Cook, right? Maybe you try to
10:51get up to a Derrick Henry level player.
10:54The other names that I think would be
10:55very interesting is if you could pivot
10:57from Quinn Sean Judkins to Chase Brown
10:59rest of season. I'm gonna be more
11:01confident with Chase Brown's receiving
11:03work and I'm going to be more confident
11:05in the Cincinnati Bengals offense
11:06overall. Now, going over to a couple
11:10other running backs that I project out
11:12to be in pretty bad offenses going into
11:14the future. Olly Gordon we have had on a
11:17sell high video in the past and Olly
11:19Gordon yet again had another very good
11:21game against the New York Jets. I
11:23actually had a play against Olly Gordon
11:25this week and it was nerve-wracking,
11:27right? Olly Gordon goes out there, he
11:29has over a 100 rushing yards and at the
11:32same time he has 25 carries playing 83%
11:36of the snaps for the Miami Dolphins and
11:38he has cemented himself. He is the
11:40starting running back for Miami. He is
11:43the main guy for this offense. Jaylen
11:46Wright is an afterthought.
11:48But there's a big caveat with this. It
11:52is still the Miami Dolphins offense. The
11:54Miami Dolphins week in and week out are
11:57going to project to be one of the worst
11:59teams and one of the worst offenses in
12:02the NFL. And again, a lot of running
12:04backs, they can exceed a bad offense.
12:06They can go out there and they can find
12:08success regardless. But the problem that
12:10you're going to run into when it comes
12:12to um a player like Olly Gordon, very
12:16similar to what we just discussed with a
12:18player like Quinnshaw Judkins, is you
12:20can succeed as a running back in a bad
12:22offense if you are getting target
12:24volume. But if you're not going to have
12:26target volume, you really do turn into a
12:29touchdown or bust player. And if we look
12:31at Oi Gordon so far, he has had four
12:34games with the backfield pretty much to
12:36himself. He had week three, week four,
12:39week five, and week seven. And out of
12:41those four weeks, he has had a combined
12:4414 receiving yards. He is averaging
12:47about three receiving yards per game.
12:49So, this is a running back that's giving
12:50you zero. And I repeat, he's giving you
12:54zero as a receiver. If we go through and
12:56look at what his stat line could
12:58presumably be if he doesn't score a
13:00touchdown, week three, he would have
13:02scored eight points. Week four, he would
13:04have scored 12. week five, he would have
13:06scored eight. In week seven, he would
13:08have scored 11.
13:10Now, if you think the Miami Dolphins
13:13will continue to win football games, if
13:14you think that one of the worst offenses
13:17in the NFL will continue to get their
13:19starting running back rushing
13:20touchdowns, by all means, you should
13:22feel great about Olly Gordon. I just
13:24think that the ceiling's going to be a
13:26little bit capped because the offense is
13:29very clearly not in a a good spot going
13:33into the future. And of course, if you
13:35don't have the receiving work, your
13:37floor is just going to be so much lower.
13:40Now, moving over to Tony Pard, I am sure
13:43that you are going to have a very
13:45difficult time selling Tony Pard if you
13:47try to do so. When we're looking at
13:49Pard, he is coming off a week in which
13:52he just scored, I want to say, a total
13:55of 36 fantasy points. Let's go through
13:58and look at his NFL career. Keep in
14:00mind, he was drafted in 2019. This is
14:02the same year that you had AJ Brown,
14:05Debo Samuel drafted. He's been around
14:07for a while. And the last time you've
14:09had Tony Pard crack 30 fantasy points in
14:12a game was 2022.
14:15Week 11. That is what a total of five
14:20seasons ago was the last time we had a
14:22performance like this from Tony Pard. if
14:25you wanted to lower the threshold,
14:27right, and go, okay, well, what about
14:29games that he has scored 25 points in
14:32over the past four years? Over the past
14:34four seasons, Tony Pard has hit 25
14:37points twice.
14:40So, we have not seen Pard have any type
14:43of ceiling whatsoever, ever when he has
14:46been a Tennessee Titan. On top of this,
14:49do we expect the Tennessee Titans to be
14:52a much improved offense going into the
14:55No. Right now, if we look at markets,
14:58the Tennessee Titans have a 17% chance
15:00of beating the Cincinnati Bengals. The
15:02spread in this game's 10 and a half.
15:04This is still a garbage offense. Tony
15:06Pard is still a not special running
15:08back. And the big reason why he had this
15:12massive bump this past week is Taja
15:15Spears got banged up, right? Spears
15:17going down led Tony Pard from averaging
15:20about 50 snaps per game in the first
15:23five weeks this season to over 75% of
15:26the snaps in back-to-back games here for
15:28Tennessee. So the usage will be worse
15:30when you get Spears back in and this
15:32offense is still very bad. And now I
15:35understand you're not going to be able
15:36to sell Tony Pard for much. What you
15:38would mainly do is you would mainly try
15:39to use Tony Pard as a throwin, right?
15:41Like say again you go back to that
15:43example with Luther Burton. If you had
15:45Luther Burden in, maybe you can throw in
15:47Tony Pard. Possibly, just possibly you
15:49can pivot up to like a Drake London
15:52level player, a Crystal L player, a
15:54Justin Jefferson level player, I think
15:56that'd be very compelling. Now, the last
15:59name that you're also not going to be
16:00able to get much for, and I completely
16:01understand that, but I would just say if
16:04you can find a league mate that is
16:05desperate, that has legitimately nothing
16:07at running back, right? Maybe they dealt
16:09with the Devon Aan injury. Maybe they
16:12are in a very very awkward spot. If
16:14there is a world in which you could sell
16:16JK Dobbins, you absolutely should. There
16:19are two outcomes for JK Dobbins. One, he
16:22is going to be cut off of your fantasy
16:24football team very very soon. Or two, he
16:28is going to be traded off of the Denver
16:30Broncos. While JK Dobbins over the past
16:32three weeks has averaged a double-digit
16:34fantasy point, the setup that's taken
16:38that to happen is he has scored a
16:40rushing touchdown in each one of those
16:41games. Three straight games with a
16:43rushing touchdown for Dobbins. If we
16:44look at the four weeks prior, he had yet
16:46to crack eight fantasy points in a
16:49single contest because he doesn't catch
16:51the ball. So, he's touchdown or bust.
16:53Very similar to what we were talking
16:53about with some of the other running
16:54backs in this video. But most
16:56concerningly, this past week with the
16:59addition of Jonah Coleman in this
17:00offense, we saw Dobbins drop from 52% of
17:04the snaps in weeks five and six down to
17:06only 23% of the snaps. He's benched.
17:10It's over. JK Dobbins is completely
17:12done. He's going to be cut off your
17:14fantasy team very soon or he is going to
17:17get traded to a different NFL team. So,
17:20um, maybe best case scenario for you
17:22here, if you have Dobbins, you can see
17:24him end up in maybe the New York Giants
17:28organization, which obviously give you
17:30some usability there. But, I mean, if
17:32you could use him in a two for one deal,
17:34upgrade anything in your lineup, I think
17:35it would be interesting. But, that's all
17:38I got for y'all. I really appreciate
17:39you. I hope I was able to help you out
17:41in some way with this. And I'll be live
17:43every single night until Christmas
17:45answering your fantasy football
17:46questions. So, please, if you haven't
17:47done so already, just make sure you
17:49subscribe to the channel.