0:00I have six running backs that I'm avoiding in fantasy drafts this year.
0:02And if you took them, I honestly may look at even selling them at this point, just like I did with Kenneth Walker in
0:08the Flock League. Now, yes, it is very hypocritical for me to go through and take Kenneth Walker with my second round
0:17pick in the Flock League and then immediately turn around and tell you that this is somebody that you should be avoiding. Now, to be fair, once I
0:25realized I was going to have to take Kenneth Walker, I absolutely raged. SEE, SEAN BUCKLEY, >> THAT'S RIGHT. That's right.
0:34>> Smashed my clipboard on the ground out of frustration. Went to the stage and immediately announced that he was on the
0:40trade block because while I knew that for that draft strategy, I needed to take a running back there. And I do
0:46prefer Kenneth Walker over Derk Henry.
0:48At the same time, I would have way rather had Saquon Barkley, Amari Hampton, Devon Achan, Chase Brown. Now, I completely understand the bull case
0:59for Kenneth Walker, right? I am somebody that actually thinks the Kansas City Chiefs are going to be a good football team this year. Like I know a lot of
1:08people are pessimistic about Patrick Mahomes, but I made him one of my most drafted quarterbacks in basketball drafts and I think Mahomes going to be
1:15good to go week one. I think this Kansas City Chiefs offense is going to be a top 10 offensive unit in the NFL and can
1:22surprise with Super Bowl expectations even though I know at this point a lot of people just want to pencil them in to
1:28be bad because that's what happened last season. But if we do look at projections and see how the Chiefs offense projects
1:36this year in comparison to last season, what we don't want to do is we do not want to look at the Kansas City Chiefs
1:44offense last season cuz Kenneth Walker wasn't playing with the Kansas City Chiefs. What we need to be doing instead is we need to go over and look at the
1:52Seattle Seahawks offense last season.
1:54And the Seahawks last year were at the very top of the NFL in points scored per game. They averaged 28.4 points scored per game, which was more
2:05than everybody but the Los Angeles Rams.
2:08They were the second best offense in the league last year. And what did that lead to with Kenneth Walker? Oh, Kenneth
2:14Walker was a running back three in fantasy. And while yes, I expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be a good offense
2:21this year, sports books right now have them scoring 24.1 points per game, which obviously is almost 4 and a half points per game
2:31fewer than the offense Kenneth Walker was in last season. And while I understand the thought process of a lot of people coming through and saying,
2:37"Oh, they're going to feature Kenneth Walker in a way that Seattle didn't. Oh, they're going to go through and finally give Kenneth Walker the role that he
2:45deserves." I want to go back and look at what happened in Seattle to make them decide, you know what, let's limit the
2:52Kenneth Walker usage. Let's limit him until the NFL playoffs when Zack Sharbon went down and we had no other option but
3:00to use him as our feature back. The other thing that the Seattle Seahawks decided to do is instead of just paying
3:06the guy that won Super Bowl MVP for them to stay inside their same building, they went, "You know what? We're better off
3:14not only using the money elsewhere, but also investing a firstround pick into Jadarian Price. Do I think the Seattle Seahawks did this because Kenneth Walker
3:24is not a talented player that doesn't create big explosive plays? No. Of course, Walker creates these explosive plays. Walker is a phenomenal talent at
3:33the running back position. But what I am potentially worried about is their viewpoint on Kenneth Walker not being able to handle a three-own workload.
3:42Now, going through and looking at what they decided to do with Kenneth Walker through his four-year NFL career, year one, his rookie season, they decided to
3:51give him 15.2 carries per game. Now, what happened? Oh, Kenneth Walker in that year. Got banged up, ended up missing a game near the end of the
4:01season. Not the end of the world, right?
4:02But he did show signs of dealing with nagging injuries. So, they decided to lower that 15.2 two carries per game in
4:10year two down to 14.6. And in that 2023 season, what happened? Oh, Kenneth Walker got banged up yet again with injuries near the end of the year. And
4:21then the following season, what did the Seattle Seahawks decide to do? They went, "Oh, okay. Well, let's lower his workload even further down to 13.9
4:30carries per game, lowering it for a third straight season." And what happened? Kenneth Walker missed multiple stretches that year, both at the
4:39beginning of the season and the end of the season. And then what happened that final year in 2025, the Seattle Seahawks
4:46went, let's lower him all the way down to 13 carries per game. And this led to Kenneth Walker in the second best
4:54offense in the league, finishing as the running back 29 with 11.2 fantasy points per game. Now, am I ranking Kenneth Walker as the running back 29 in fantasy
5:06this year? Or even worse than that, because now he's going to a worse offense. No, of course I'm not. Of course, I understand, oh, Zack Sherman's
5:13gone. He's going over to Kansas City.
5:16The offense is going to be much worse than what he was in last season, but still, he's going to see more work.
5:20Maybe he gets back up to 15 16 carries per game, two to three targets out of the backfield per game. Explosive
5:27running back. So, I'm not ranking him as a running back three like he finished last season. Instead, I moved him up my
5:33rankings a considerable bit. I moved him to the running back 10. Instead of him being a running back three, I'm expecting him to be a low-end running
5:42back one. But what I have the problem with with Kenneth Walker is I see people pushing him up to being a late round
5:49one, early round two pick. I see people in the comment section going through and saying, "Oh, Mason trading Kenneth Walker for Justin Jefferson. wasn't that
5:58good of a trade. No, don't get me wrong.
6:00We compare Kenneth Walker to a player like Justin Jefferson, which if you could trade Walker for Jedi, it's an absolute no-brainer where Justin
6:07Jefferson's had five seasons of over 17 fantasy points per game, where Kenneth Walker has never hit 17 points per game before. It's an absolute smash. So, I
6:17think Walker should be viewed as a high-end running back, too, where if he's the second running back that you draft, that's great. If you can get him
6:24in the middle to the end of the second round, I applaud you. I think there's upside with that pick. But if you're
6:30ranking Kenneth Walker as a late round one fantasy pick, despite him going to a worse offense, and finishing as a running back three last year and never
6:39touching 17 fantasy points per game, showing the injury history, uh the coaching staff he was previously with, limiting his opportunities, the front
6:47office he was previously with, letting him walk to Kansas City. Um, I think there were too many red flags to price
6:53him as that late round one guy. Now, whenever I made that trade where I sent Kenneth Walker for Justin Jefferson, the
7:00number one thing that I used was the flockfantasy.com trade calculator. I highly encourage you before you make any trades this season, make sure you plug
7:09it into the calculator. It's going to help you throughout the entire season.
7:12If you got the season pass, you're also going to get those updated weekly and rest of season rankings every single day
7:18until the end of the year. And if you don't already have the season pass, it's not too late. You can get all of that
7:24plus the custom draft sheets for only $34 on flockfantasy.com or the Flock Fantasy app. The link is in the description as well as the comment
7:33section. Use code flock when you sign up and you're going to get free start and trade questions that you can ask me in
7:38the live streams and I'm live streaming every single day until Christmas. Now, let's move over to our second running back and let's talk about Javvante
7:45Williams. So, Javvante Williams right now as an ADP of a mid third round pick across ESPN, Yahoo, and Sleeper Leagues.
7:54And for me, if I am looking at Javvante in that range, I'll be honest, I don't think it's a horrible pick by any means.
8:00Like, if you compare him to the other running backs, I personally have Javvante Williams ranked at about running back 16, which isn't that far in
8:08comparison to where the other guys on the site have him. Most people on flockfantasy.com have him anywhere from running back 15 to running back 16 in
8:17that tight range. But for me, I look at Javvante as a running back that does have a cap ceiling where he did lose a
8:24considerable amount of juice in the second half of last year. While yes, he was a three-own running back and he was
8:30the only player to touch the ball for the Dallas Cowboys last season. After week five, he had zero games with 20 or
8:37more fantasy points. Yes, zero games with 20 or more fantasy points. He did not show the ability to create big plays. And on top of this, while he was
8:48targeted out of the backfield, he did nothing with those targets. He had 3.2 targets per game, leading to only eight receiving yards per game. So, for me, I
8:58look at this and my baseline expectation would be they're probably scaling back his receiving usage, right? You cannot be that inefficient of a wide receiver
9:08and be expected to have a large receiving role the following season.
9:11Then we add on the fact that we just simply didn't see the big play upside with Javvante Williams last year. So
9:17Javvante Williams in my mind is going to be close to a touchdown or bust running back. And if you were taking him in the
9:24middle of the third round ahead of guys like Jeremiah Love, Bree Hall, Kairen Williams, I just wouldn't do it cuz Jeremiah Love, Bree Hall, I think that
9:33they are the more athletic backs, better receiving backs where I think they'll have more receptions out of the backfield and upside for those big
9:40plays. And Kron Williams is in a much better offense where I think you're going to be seeing way more touchdowns scored for the Rams than what you would
9:48have for the Cowboys. Now, for me, what I would probably do if those other running backs were off the board, I
9:54would instead look at a wide receiver like George Pickkins actually got drafted after Javvante Williams in the Flock League. And I would have rather
10:02just seen George Pickins off the board and then you take a running back in round four like Travis ETN. But the
10:08running back I would not take in round four is going to be Cam Scaboo. And let me just talk about this one second. And
10:13I know it seems like I am flipping on Cam Scataboo. And I know people are going to be upset with this because this
10:19is a running back that I drafted a lot this off seasonason. In all those best drafts in June and July, I was going
10:25through with rosecoled glasses thinking Scott's going to be good to go week one.
10:30He's the best pick on the board in the fourth round. And then we got a nasty quote coming out of the New York Giants
10:35coaching staff. John Harbaugh told us word for word that Cam Scataboo is not 100%. And Cam Scataboo himself would tell you that he's not 100%. Which maybe
10:45that's just coach speak, right? Maybe we don't need to look too far into that.
10:48But then the same day when they sign Naji Harris, the alarm should start going off. Now, I want to be very clear
10:56here. Cam Scataboo is 1,000 times more talented than Naji Harris at this point in their respective careers. if they were both fully healthy. Cam Scataboo
11:06runs laps around Naji Harris. Naji Harris is not a good NFL running back.
11:13You know that. I know that. Your mom knows it. Everybody knows it. But what that is not going to stop is that is not
11:20going to stop this New York Giants coaching staff if they don't view Cam Scataboo at 100%. From giving Naji Harris the short area touches. If they
11:30are first and goal on the 2yd line, are we positive Cam Scataboo is going to be the running back in the backfield? Are
11:36we positive that's not going to be Naji Harris? Possibly the New York Giants coaching staff, they come through and they go, "Ah, you know what? Um,
11:44Scataboo coming off a pretty significant injury, young running back that we have on his rookie deal. Why don't we keep him fresh? Why don't we make sure he
11:50stays healthy? Why don't we split the backfield with Naji Harris? That would be my concern here." Now, of course, I'm never going to say that Scat doesn't
11:58have upside. I'm still ranking him as a top 24 running back. He's still in the same exact tier of guys for me as
12:04DeAndre Swift, David McGomery, Quinn Shawn, Bucky, Jadarian Price, Beel Tutin. The only difference is now I would rather have DeAndre Swift given
12:13the fact that you have Kal Manungai injured in Chicago and Naji Harris added to the Giants. Now moving over to another running back in this tier that I
12:22do think is a little bit more questionable of a pick than he used to be and that is going to be Bucky Irving.
12:28So with Bucky, the concern is he is getting squeezed for touches on both ends of the spectrum. Bucky Irving coming into the NFL wasn't that highly
12:37regarded as a prospect. He was a little bit smaller. He wasn't an elite athlete, but what happened was his rookie season,
12:44he came out and he was so efficient and he was so good that they just continuously ramped him up to the end of
12:52the season where they had no other choice but to utilize him as not only their starter, but almost as their featured down running back, right? Then
13:01going into his second season, we all kind of forget about the size concerns cuz we knew when he was a rookie, hey,
13:07this guy may not have a frame to hold up to a three- down workload. He ends up getting drafted at the beginning of
13:12second rounds of fantasy football drafts. And what ends up happening, they try to give him a full workload. His body breaks down. Not only is it the
13:20shoulder injury, but on top of it, it's the foot injury as well. And obviously, injuries can happen to any player. I'm
13:28never going to come through and say you're not allowed to draft a player that gets injured. But what we have to
13:32do is we have to look at the team's actions in the off season to give an indication of what they're maybe
13:38expecting to do the following year.
13:40First, they pay Kenneth Gainwell a considerable amount of money. Like, yes, they let Rashad White walk, but Rashad White got paid like 1.5 million to go to
13:50Washington. He could have easily stayed in Tampa for 2 million, but this team decided to give about $10 million to Kenneth Gainwell. They dropped a bag on
13:59Gainwell indicating that he is going to have a role weekly. Now, most likely knowing the Kenneth Gainwell profile, that role is going to be on passing
14:06downs and that role is going to be as a receiving running back because that's what we saw for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
14:10Keep in mind, Jaylen Warren last year was a capable receiving back, but that didn't stop Gainwell from getting on the field and taking those targets. So, I'm
14:18afraid Buckyy's going to get squeezed from the passing down scenarios with Gainwell and Bucky is going to be getting squeezed with Shawn Tucker at
14:26the goal line. At least that's what we saw last season. And ultimately, while Bucky may be the most talented running back in this backfield and I am
14:34definitely going to have him at the top of my rankings out of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers backs, I'm a little bit
14:40concerned about the similar setup as Cam Scataboo. And then a running back coming off a serious injury or two going into a
14:47year where maybe the coaching staff decides these newer running backs that we have coming into the backfield that we brought in for a reason, we can
14:54utilize them to keep our main starter and our main guy healthy. And I don't know if Bucky sees the same workload
15:00that he had at the end of his rookie season. So for me, I would rather have McGomery. I'd rather have Judkins. I'd
15:04rather have Swift in this range. Now moving over to our Jaylen Warren call.
15:08Jaylen Borne, it's very price dependent.
15:10like he went at the 601 in the flock league. If you have to take Jaylen Warren over any of these receivers, DJ
15:17Moore, Christian Watson, it is a garbage pick. Any of those round five wide receivers in that tier, you cannot consider Jaylen Warren over because
15:26Jaylen Warren has a low floor and a low ceiling at the same time. We saw Jaylen Warren last season finishes the running
15:32back 19 with 13 and a half fantasy points per game. And I don't necessarily see why we should expect that to improve
15:40going into the following year knowing that this running back room just saw the addition of Rico Dowel. And while Kenneth Gainwell never really pushed
15:47Jaylen Warren to be the starting running back, the Steelers actually thought that was going to be Caleb Johnson. Dowel does have the ability to push Warren to
15:55be the starter. And Dowel has had phenomenal reports coming out of Pittsburgh Steelers camp pretty much all offseason. So I would be concerned if
16:02you were taking Jaylen Warren at the beginning of the sixth. I think that Rico Dattle in the Flock League draft was a significantly better value. I
16:10would look for Warren at the end of the sixth, the beginning of the seventh, and then the last running back that I can't
16:15ever bring myself to take. If you were playing in a full PPR format, why would you ever draft JK Dobbins? Seriously, JK
16:23Dobbins has averaged about seven games played, eight games played throughout his entire NFL career per season. This dude is the most injuryp-prone running
16:31back in the entire league. Now, we also look at the fact that he is severely capped with his ceiling. The best finish
16:40we have ever seen from JK Dobbins from a points per game perspective, right? I'm not going to be going through and
16:45looking at total season finishes because he never finishes the year, right?
16:49That's not fair to him. But from a points per game perspective, the best mark he's ever had is 14.75, finishing as a low-end running back,
16:58too. Now, you have RJ Harvey, the receiving back in Denver. Jonah Coleman, who's getting all the buzz in Denver.
17:05So, Dobbins at best is a lowended running back, too. Again, at best and at worst, he's going to get injured in week
17:14six. So, I don't see the upside case with Dobbins. Even if RJ Harvey were to go down, Dobbins still isn't going to be
17:20a full-blown three down back because he doesn't catch the ball out of the back field. Last season, he had 3.7 yards per
17:27game as a receiver. Literally nothing.
17:29But, I think that's all I got for you.
17:31Again, I know maybe you drafted these guys, I apologize. I drafted one of them as well with Kenneth Walker. I traded
17:36him over for Justin Jefferson. But if you want to get help with the trade calculator, with the updated rankings every single day as we get news, it's
17:44all with the flockfantasy.com. $34 season pass. Link is in the description.
17:49It's in the comment section. Use code flock when you sign up. And you're also going to get free start and trade
17:54questions you can ask me in the live streams. And I'm live streaming every single day until Christmas answering your fantasy questions. But much love,
18:00ladies and gentlemen.