0:00What's going on, man? Welcome back to the basement. I'm Ron. In the first video I put out this off-season was me
0:06going through my top 24 players for fantasy football, but that was June 2nd.
0:11Today is July 14th, so today I'm going to talk about these seven players skyrocketing up my rankings since I dropped this video on June 2nd. Now,
0:20they aren't climbing so much because of say Rashee Rice is out of jail and good to go or off-the-field issues or
0:28positive injury news. This is more me looking deeper into the analysis, the research and saying, "You know what? I was too low on these guys. I did some
0:37drafts and we need to move them up in the rankings." As always, if you enjoy, leave a like. Subscribe if you're new.
0:44And the first player moving up the rankings is James Cook. He goes from my 109 to my 112. Of course, as always, if
0:51you want to see my rankings, if you want to use them on Underdog, you can find them over on patreon, patreon.com/ronstewart.
0:57I just pushed out a new update a few days ago. Now, back in June, James Cook was 112. In my most recent update, I
1:03moved him up three spots to the 109.
1:06And here's why. Again, it's not because of camp news or injury news. This is just the more drafts I do, the more research I do,
1:17the more I want to be all in on James Cook. It's very simple. He's getting drafted right now as the RB6.
1:25He finished as the RB6 in points per game last year, and that feels like his floor. Like I can't see outside of an
1:30injury a world where James Cook isn't a top six running back in points per game. He plays on a good team and
1:36he's a good player. That is the mantra that Josh Norris over at Yahoo newly named their channel Josh and Hayden. They're great. You guys know
1:46I've been over there a bunch. They've been over here.
1:49And when it comes to James Cook, he embodies that. The good player on a good team. This is the Buffalo Bills. We look
1:55here at the implied points per game. By the way, I checked out a new updated source. RotoWire just did the look-ahead
2:02lines where they looked on uh I believe one of the sportsbooks.
2:06They looked at what each team was implied for. The Bills are sixth in implied points per game. That's just in terms of what their offense is projected
2:13to score on a weekly basis. And then they have the sixth best offensive lines. You're talking about James Cook, who was the rushing yards leader last
2:20year, the RB6 in points per game. He was second in rushing yards over expected per attempt, second in success rate, second in yards per carry despite having
2:27the third most rushing attempts. So even on high volume, he remained efficient.
2:31He was third in missed tackles forced, eighth in chunk rate.
2:34Awesome player, awesome situation. Now, I think that why people are a little bit not out on James Cook. He's a one-two
2:41turn pick, but they're not enthusiastic to take him cuz it feels like he's tapped out at the 17.8 points per game
2:47he was at last year. What more can he do? He rushed for 1,600 yards. He scored double-digit touchdowns. What more can
2:54he do? And what I would say is there's a receiving ceiling I believe that is untapped with James Cook, and he has the upside to hit it
3:02to the same degree that all of these one-two turn backs have the upside for Saquon having the upside to bounce back
3:09in the Eagles offense. Same thing with Kenneth Walker, the upside to be the bell cow for the Chiefs. I think with
3:14James Cook everyone's like, "Oh, he's just going to be what he was last year."
3:17But I think he has the upside to earn back that receiving role he had back in 2023. We look at 2023, 44 catches, 445
3:25receiving yards, four touchdowns that year. He was a monster through the air in a 2023 season where he didn't even start the year as the lead running back.
3:33He kind of took off down the stretch, and it looked like, "Oh, going into year three, he's going to challenge for
3:3760-plus catches." And it just never happened. Now, despite low volume, he's still been great. He's had nine receiving touchdowns since he
3:44entered the league. That was the seventh most in the NFL among running backs. His 9 yards per reception is third best over
3:50that span. He just needs the targets and the routes. His targets per route run is fine at 18%. That's about average for a
3:57running back. And then, he was only 19th among running backs last year with 100 less routes than Jahmyr Gibbs and just
4:04two designed targets on screens, 44th among running backs. So, just a zero in the passing game. And I just think that is going to revert back at some
4:13point. When we just kind of rewind to what he was in college, I know that we're far removed from this, but he
4:17still is built like this. He is still a 199-lb 5'11" back who looks like Jahmyr Gibbs, right? A pass-catching specialist. Even
4:25at Georgia, in my model, I look at year-two running backs sorted by yards per route run. It is Joe Mixon, and then it's James Cook
4:32with a 1.95 career yards per route run on a Georgia team that he won a national championship with that had guys like
4:39George Pickens and Brock Bowers and AD Mitchell, all these guys who come through, Ladd McConkey.
4:44Even the running backs, Kenny McIntosh is a legit NFL running back. Zamir White, guys before that. I'm not sure if he crossed paths with D'Andre Swift, but
4:51you get what I'm saying.
4:52Georgia is Georgia, and he was a highly efficient receiver as a running back.
4:57Now, why I bring that up is because that is his archetype. And yet, when we look at what his receiving production has
5:02been over the last 2 years, he's been treated like prime Nick Chubb, and it makes no sense.
5:08This is a receiving back out of school, and it just gets more puzzling the more that I look at it. We go back
5:15to 2023, if you remember. Dorsey was the offensive coordinator. They lose to the Broncos. They fire Dorsey. Joe Brady's the OC for the second half of the 2023
5:23season. He's been the OC in 2024, 2025, and now he's the head coach heading into 2026. Well, if we look back in 2023,
5:31he juiced James Cook's receiving role once he took over the reins of the offense. He had him on a 63-target pace,
5:37way more than he's ever given James Cook over the last 2 years. You can see all of his, you know, first read share,
5:43ADoA, all of that jumped with Joe Brady, even with Ty Johnson on the roster, cuz that's what everyone's going to say,
5:48"Well, Ty Johnson's here now. They have Raheem Davis." But still, James Cook is their best, most explosive option out of the backfield. And a team that keeps
5:55throwing second-round picks at whether it's Keon Coleman or DJ Moore, and they're looking for juice in the passing game, why not throw the ball to James
6:03Cook? It makes no sense that he's been at 1.9 receptions per game in 2024 and 2025 combined. But I think now,
6:12with Joe Brady getting promoted to head coach, and yes, he's still going to call the offense, but it's going to be more
6:18of a collaborative effort in terms of the offensive game plan. He now has to care about the defense and special teams
6:24and the entire team, and he brings on Pete Carmichael as his offensive coordinator, somebody who worked with Sean Payton from 2006 to 2023, right? All of the
6:34Darren Sproles, Pierre Thomas, Mark Ingram, uh even Alvin Kamara. And then he's been with Sean Payton over the last 2 years with the Broncos in 2024 and
6:412025. I have to assume that once these two start collaborating, that Pete Carmichael is going to say, "Maybe we should throw that guy the football." I
6:49think it's I know it's crazy to say, but I think it's literally that simple. And if we got a season where James Cook
6:54could challenge for 50-plus catches, 60-plus catches, he can all of the sudden, in this offense, with this offensive line, with this touchdown
7:00upside, go toe-to-toe with guys like Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson, who are getting picked at the 1.01 and the 1.02.
7:06We're already getting already getting reports here from Chris Brown, Bills, uh essentially just hinting that because of Pete Carmichael, we could see more
7:12receptions for James Cook. It seems like Bills fans are calling for this as well.
7:16And I just think it's one of those secret upside like trapdoors that nobody's really thinking of. It's not like James Cook is a year-two breakout
7:21candidate or anything crazy, but there is absolutely 20-plus point per game upside if James Cook can catch some footballs, and that's always been his
7:30forte until the last two seasons. So, I think that we could absolutely see that, and it's why I want to be ahead of
7:36market on James Cook. Similar deal with Damarion Hampton. He was my 2.07, a guy that in that first video, I was a
7:43bit squeamish about, right? Where he had an up-and-down rookie year. He was injured. He had one game where he just went off against
7:51some bad defenses. I believe it was the Giants his rookie year where he just had an absolute blow-up game versus them.
7:56And then if you rostered him, you remembered it was a frustrating experience, right? Najee Harris tears his Achilles and it's like,
8:03all right, it's wheels all the way up for Amari and Hampton. I looked through his game logs here. 8.1 points in week
8:08one, 3.5 in week two. He did have 24.9 PPR points versus the Denver Broncos.
8:12Then of course, he does shred the Giants. But then outside of that, it's up and down. He's getting hurt. But I just think you have to kind of
8:21see the upside with Amari and Hampton.
8:24We already covered it a bunch with Ryan Heath in our new play callers on new offenses video with Mike McDaniel going
8:30to the Chargers. I implore you to check it out. I think it's one of the better videos I've ever done. But you can see
8:35after talking with Ryan, after kind of doing my own research, I've only drafted him 2.4% of the time.
8:40My mission for the rest of this draft season will be to get that Amari and Hampton percent drafted number two 10% plus. Now of course, this is over on
8:49Underdog. If you want to make sure you're drafting Amari and Hampton over there, if you want to use my rankings, you can find that on the Patreon,
8:53patreon.com/ronstewart.
8:55Use promo code Ron. And when you play $5, you will get $50 to use on the site.
8:59I'll link that in the description and the comment section down below. I should be doing a draft stream sometime this week. If this video goes up Tuesday
9:05nights, I'm thinking Wednesday or Thursday we'll go live and do a draft stream. Make sure you hop in there. But with Amari and
9:12Hampton, it's just a matter of zooming out, right? This offense is really good.
9:15The Chargers are projected for the 13th most points, the 10th best offensive line. You look at what this offense was with Joe Alt last year. They were third
9:22in EPA per play per Bill Barnwell here.
9:26And then they were 26 without him. So now we get Joe Alt healthy. We get Rashawn Slater healthy.
9:31You get Mike McDaniel slotted in here where if we look at the chart that we were talking through with Ryan Heath,
9:38Mike McDaniel's in the upper right quadrant in terms of fantasy points per game and volume per game to the running back position. It's really as simple as
9:48draft the Chargers running backs. I even think there's meat on the bone for Keon Mitchell and Kamani Vidal. I think all
9:52of these guys you can draft them. And with Amari Hampton, yes, it feels expensive, but you're paying for the year two breakout. We look at again a
10:00Ryan Heath graphic here. The fantasy performance by career year. Year two, year one to year two is the biggest jump that a running back can make. And then
10:10we could see Amari Hampton have honestly untapped upside that's like almost unmatched. Like there's some names that you can throw out in terms of
10:18some of the best fantasy seasons of all time that came in year two for these running backs. I believe the CJ2K season
10:23was year two. Uh 2016 David Johnson was a year two season. 2010 Arian Foster was his second season. Uh Jonathan Taylor,
10:30his RB1 season in 2021, that was his second season. CMC in 2018. There are multiple RB1 overall seasons that happened when a player is in their
10:39second season as a running back. I'm not saying that Amari Hampton's going to be the RB1 overall. I'm just saying that
10:45there is a ceiling here that maybe isn't super obvious. This is a player with a ton of pedigree, first-round pick. In my
10:51prospect model, he is the ninth best running back since 2017. His comps are Dalvin Cook, Travis Etienne, Breece Hall, Bijan Robinson. Super super solid,
10:596-ft, 220-lb, 4-4 speed.
11:03Can catch passes, can do it all out of UNC. And that's just kind of what is so impressive about him is he has this
11:08workhorse profile. He had the seventh most receptions per game last year at 3.6.
11:14And he joined Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs, and Ashton Jeanty as the only running backs with 80% or more of their team's inside the five attempts when he
11:22was on the field. So when he was on the field, he got all the goal line work, he was getting receiving work. He wasn't
11:26coming off the field with plenty of games over a 75% snap share. I'll forgive the early bumps in the road, the efficiency dips,
11:33all of that. Year two breakout attached to Mike McDaniel in this offense, I'll pay whatever the market is asking me to pay because I just think that
11:42it's worth seeing how this plays out. Uh my third player rising up the ranks is Emeka Egbuka.
11:49Going from my 405 to my 310, I'm moving up seven spots here.
11:53And I started this year kind of conservative on Egbuka, right? You guys know me. I loved him in dynasty.
11:58I loved him in the redraft season last year. We were all over him. We were victory lapping like crazy through five
12:03weeks.
12:05And then he fell off. But I've kind of reevaluated things from going from all let's just keep it measured, let's just stay in market with
12:12ADP, you know, he's a year two breakout candidate, but Godwin's there, there's new coaches involved here, was Egbuka just kind of a flash in the pan and now
12:20he's not so great. But this is now somebody I just want to be on. This is somebody I want on my teams.
12:25I want to make a target. Uh we loved him as a rookie. He was my prospect analyst wide receiver two coming out of that
12:30draft. I know that everyone has kind of saw it as oh well Egbuka's a tier below Tideroll McMillan and Travis Hunter up
12:36top. For me, I had him in the same tier as those guys as a prospect. He comes out of Ohio State. He had multiple
12:42productive seasons next to NFL caliber players like Marvin Harrison Jr. and even Jeremiah Smith who's a monster, Carnell Tate as well.
12:50These Ohio State guys, they more often than not are awesome. Egbuka was also a five-star recruit. He just has all the
12:54pedigree in the world. Really, really awesome player. And I do just think through five games, this is an elite list to be a part of. It is Puka Nacua,
13:02Randy Moss, Egbuka, Malik Nabers, Ja'Marr Chase for most PPR points ever through a wide receiver's first five games. That is throughout the entire span of football
13:12history. Uh even during that stretch his per route stuff was good. It wasn't a fluky production profile. Uh this is the
13:19rookie receiver report. If you guys are new here, make sure you subscribe during the season. This is my favorite piece of
13:23content to make where we track all of the rookie receivers and running backs and tight ends. You just kind of keep
13:28track of how they're doing. But, a 21.2% targets per route run, that's great.
13:312.49 yards per route run is absurd. 9.5% first downs per route run is a little bit lower, but still a fine range to be
13:37in. And he was tied with Ted Ginn Jr.
13:39for the best PFF grade. Now, of course, he craters after then, finishes outside the top 24 in points per game.
13:47And I hate to just be like, "Oh, well, there was injuries." But, that's kind of what I'm going with here. We have D.P.J.
13:52saying Meco Ibooka suspect week six hamstring had real hit 2025. Pre-injury, he was the wide receiver three, post wide receiver 43. In terms of
14:01post-injury, he was the wide receiver 43. Also coincided with Baker drop-off and injuries. Project a rise in 2026.
14:07And we can see from this new quarterback show, Baker Mayfield is banged up as well. Through five weeks, Baker was the
14:12QB3 with a 21.3 points per game. Ibooka was the wide receiver three at 20.5 points per game.
14:18Baker finished outside the top 12 quarterbacks. Ibooka finished outside the top 24 wide receivers. The whole offense collapsed. Everybody got banged
14:25up. If you guys remember Ibooka, I remember being like super sad. Week six happens, he injures his hamstring, and it's like, "Well, Ibooka's going to be
14:31out the next four weeks." Then he just plays the next week, kind of like fought through it. And I think it really did
14:35hurt his season. He just didn't look right the rest of the way. And I want to bet on Ibooka as a year two breakout
14:40candidate. I know that year three is very much in vogue right now. We had JSN last year. And then, of course, you had
14:45Brian Thomas, Skyy Moore, Wan'Dale Robinson, all of these guys let you down in year two. But, that doesn't mean, historically, that year two wide
14:52receivers aren't good. Since 2019, we have had 19 year two wide receivers hit 16 plus points per game. 16 points per
14:59game would have been the wide receiver nine last year.
15:02You've had Josh Gordon, OBJ, Ja'Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, Hakeem Nicks, Allen Robinson, A.J. Green, JuJu Smith-Schuster. JuJu Smith-Schuster was like, "You guys I I don't know
15:11how long you guys have been in the fantasy space for, but JuJu was the poster boy for the year two breakout."
15:16He was a monster, of course. The rest of his year goes or rest of his career goes the the it did, but he was one of those
15:21guys, AJ Brown, DK Metcalf, Amon-Ra St.
15:24Brown in year two.
15:26Why not Omecca Abuka? He goes to the Zack Robinson offense or I mean he's still in Tampa, but Zack Robinson comes
15:32to him.
15:33And Zack Robinson has been dealt a really shitty hand in terms of Michael Penix and Kirk Cousins. And we talked about this with Ryan Heath, but Zack
15:40Robinson in this during snap motion rate chart, he is up there behind only Mike McDaniel. And on these kinds of plays with during snap
15:49motion, Baker Mayfield is second behind only CJ Stroud in an increase in his adjusted net yards per attempt. So, this is a really strong marriage of Zack
15:58Robinson and Baker Mayfield. I think that the whole offense takes a step forward here and bounces back. And then you also have
16:03the narrative of Zack Robinson was on the Ram staff with Cooper Kupp. And we're already getting reports from Zack Robinson saying he's very similar to a
16:13Cooper Kupp just in terms of the way that his brain works with the game of football and natural instincts. I'm not
16:17saying that Abuka's going to be Cooper Kupp, but there's so much upside here. I think that when everybody's healthy, Abuka has
16:24like the floor of being a top 24 guy and then has a ceiling of being who we saw through five weeks where it was like,
16:29"Okay, is this guy going to be in Jefferson Chase conversation?" I know that that's crazy to say right now, way removed from what happened, but through
16:37five weeks, that's what it was looking like. I know that 30-year-old Chris Godwin is there.
16:41There's also something to be said that uh Matt Harmon's been harping on this.
16:45Zack Robinson keeps saying that Godwin likely is going to take the slot role and then X is going to probably be
16:51Jalen McMillan or Ted Heath, and then Abuka is going to be this off-the-line Z, which is really awesome. Last year he
16:56kind of got typecast to play the X, especially when Mike Evans went out. X is going to be on the boundary playing
17:01against press man coverage. Abuka in college was really more of a slot flanker receiver playing out of position last year as a rookie. It seems like
17:08this year he will be playing his natural position of off-the-line Z flanker slot uh sort of like rotation receiver, which I
17:17think is going to really help him this year. The Then my fourth player moving up the rankings, Cam Skai Moore.
17:24Goes from my 506 to my 409. I moved him up nine spots. Now, this is the only one you can point at and be like,
17:29"I guess that I moved him up because of positive injury news, but really and something that I pride myself on is that I will never sit down to write a
17:37video and if I have a player in mind and I'm like, "Well, let's make Cam Akers a guy that I'm fading this year." And then if I
17:46start to write his profile out and I'm like, "Uh, maybe I shouldn't be fading this guy."
17:53Then I'm not going to keep him in the video. I'm going to just change and find somebody else. So, I never force a
17:58player into a video just to say, "Oh, well, we got to get five fades out today." So, I started writing up Cam
18:03Akers out of bow and I was like, "I don't think I could have him in a do not draft video. I
18:07think that he's probably accurately priced." Now, I'm still behind the market, but he's not someone I'm going to be fully fading. As you guys know, I
18:13loved Cam Akers last year.
18:16It was absolutely heart-wrenching when he got hurt. Uh, he was somebody that was smashing for us as like a 10th round
18:22pick. Now, what really concerns me is that he had a pretty much a broken ankle that was pointed 90° and he got a
18:32tightrope surgery as Dwayne McFarland outlines here, which has been unkind to a lot of players. Godwin, Mark Andrews, Tony Pollard, Cooper Kupp, uh, all had
18:40down years coming off of the tightrope surgery. I guess Cooper Kupp not so much, but everybody else absolutely zapped. But, we're already getting
18:46positive news that he's going to be full go for training camp. He's going to be full go for week one.
18:52Maybe he lose some effectiveness, right?
18:54Maybe he's not as good as he once was.
18:56Maybe he starts slower. Maybe he has re-injury risk, but it all feels pretty baked in.
19:01Something I've been doing and you'll definitely see this more in upcoming videos is I've been aggregating my favorite ranking sources. This is from
19:08Mike Clay over at ESPN, Rich Reebar over at Sharp Football Analysis, and Dwayne McFarland over at Fantasy Life.
19:15This is the half PPR projections across all three put into an average and then you have every single running back getting drafted in the top 50 over on
19:23Underdog. You can see Kyren, Javonte and Etienne, right? This is a range of running backs getting drafted in the, you know, pick 30 to 36. So, we're
19:31talking like mid to late third. Scat back is in that same range, right? Right around 12 points per game is his
19:36projection, getting drafted at pick 43.
19:39So, you're already getting like a 10-pick discount, like a round discount on Cam Akers.
19:45I imagine his projection here is even kind of impacted by the injury. We're already getting a lot of things baked in that in the
19:53fourth round he's probably a fair pick, right? His ADP is 43.
19:57409 would be 36 plus nine.
20:01Four is 45. So, I'm like two spots lower than ADP, but it's tough to be much lower than that.
20:07It just seems very fair. The injury's already baked in. And when we're drafting a guy like Cam Akers, it's for this role on a Giants offense that is
20:15like fringe top 20 in projected points, fringe top 20 in offensive line. Of course, Andrew Thomas is an absolute monster. And when we're looking for
20:23running back scoring, we want goal line role and receiving. Last year in five games where he played over half the snaps, he
20:30had 100% of the backfield inside the five or inside the 10 carries, not even inside the five, inside the 10 carries
20:36and a 15.1% target share RB5. He averaged 20 points per game over that span from Ryan Heath.
20:42If he has that role, even if he's not as effective, that 20 points per game goes down to like 15, he's still a huge hit
20:48at his ADP. Yes, there's downside of injury, but he's just somebody I have to move up just given what his role is and
20:54how well he's going to project in that role. Then our fifth player moving up the ranks is going to be David
20:59Montgomery. And I'll give you another one. He was next to Scat back. It was him and Scat back in that fade video. And then I started
21:06writing up David Montgomery, and I'm like uh.
21:08I only I can fully fade David Montgomery. Now, he is somebody that you would think on the surface, this is a
21:13dead zone back, right? This is somebody that is projected for high volume on a mid Houston Texans offense. He goes from
21:19the Lions to the Texans, and he's just kind of the classic, okay, he's going to be the RB1 in a new situation, give him
21:24all the projected volume, dead zone back. Well, he's not that expensive. Like, fifth round seems pretty reasonable for him.
21:31This is somebody that you can go, let's say you go Gibbs in round one, right? 1 2 3. Yeah, you go Gibbs in round one,
21:39and then Montgomery could be your RB2 uh in the beginning of round five, end of round four. And to me, that seems pretty
21:45reasonable.
21:46Uh I'm moving him up from my 510 to my 503. I'm moving him up seven spots here.
21:51The peripherals aren't great, right?
21:53Houston is projected for the 19th most points isn't bad, but the 28th offensive line, but I would say that was a similar
22:00spot for Joe Mixon. Joe Mixon was never all that efficient over on the Bengals.
22:03He goes from the Bengals to the Texans, and then in that year, he was amazing.
22:07He was like 18 points per game, 17 points per game. And Zane Denani outlines it here, kind of showing what Joe Mixon's role was in 2024.
22:1680% plus of the rushing attempts, of the running back targets, the opportunity share.
22:21He was a monster. Essentially saying that all of those opportunity based metrics, he was first or second.
22:28They would be first or second in most NFL seasons. Yes.
22:32Woody Marks is there. Uh Mixon had Dare Ogunbowale. Maybe Woody Marks is a little bit better, but still, Woody Marks is a day three pick. Last
22:39year, his efficiency was pretty brutal.
22:40I'm not really holding my breath that Woody Marks is going to be anything. And I think that if you want to go a little
22:44bit deeper, this is more of like a narrative style play where I just think DeMeco Ryans, after seeing what C.J. Stroud was down the stretch
22:52last year, and kind of what they were getting from Nick Chubb and Woody Marks, and just like this dysfunctional backfield, I think he just wants to get
22:59back to smashmouth football. We have an elite defense. We're to line up, beat your teeth in, and then run the football
23:05down your throat. And that's just what he probably envisions for David Montgomery. So, I just think that David Montgomery's going to get all the work.
23:11I think you can kind of look at what Joe Mixon did in 2024 and say, "Well, I think like 18 points per game is
23:19probably like the ceiling for David Montgomery." But, we saw with Joe Mixon in a role where the offense wasn't spectacular. Joe Mixon wasn't catching a
23:25ton of passes. He was just getting all the volume, all the touches, all the goal-line work. And I think that we're
23:29going to see that for David Montgomery.
23:31He's also an underrated talent where in 2020 he was the RB6 at 17.7 points per game on the Bears. He had 50-plus
23:37catches in that season. I think he's an underrated receiver as well. He had 2.24 yards per out run in 2024 on the Lions.
23:44So, not last year, the year before that.
23:462.24 yards per out run on a 30-plus catch season is pretty absurd for a running back. And not only that, he was
23:52behind only Amon-Ra St. Brown among Lions pass-catchers. So, Jameson Williams a yards per out run demon, LaPorta was there, Gibbs was there.
24:01Really crazy. So, I do think that David Montgomery like they they traded for him to be their guy. I think they're going
24:06to run it till the wheels fall off in year one, figure it out later. I think he's somebody that you can draft in
24:12round five, round four. Uh kind of similar to I'm trying to think of the This This reminds me It's of course like
24:18different. Like this isn't somebody going from a new team, but uh Josh Jacobs on the Raiders in like 2022 uh was a very similar profile to this
24:26where like he wasn't super sexy. We were drafting him like somewhere between like fifth and seventh round. Uh he got all
24:31the touches. He was really good that year. I could see that for David Montgomery. Then another one, we have Parker Washington.
24:39This is one that would be a very classic me not liking this player. I moved him from my 707 to my 605, up 14 spots. Now,
24:48even Dwayne says here that he's not pronouncing this as some in-depth study that he believes 100%. But, what I'm saying is I think an old me would say,
24:56"Oh, well, Parker Washington was a flash in the pan." And you can kind of look back at other flash in the pans like
25:01Travis Fulgham and Hunter Renfrow's listed here, Rashard Matthews, Marquise Goodwin, Marcus Wheaton, Russell Gage, Dontario Jenkins, these guys who are day
25:09three picks and just kind of pop off the second half of a season. But, with Parker Washington, I'm not as willing to say that it was a
25:18fluke. This is somebody that was a day three pick, but an analytical darling day three pick out of Penn State, was an
25:25early declare. And as much as I love Brian Thomas Jr., I think a bounce back is coming for Brian Thomas Jr., there's also a situation
25:33where Parker Washington is just now the best receiver on this team. As crazy it is to say out loud, this is a Jaguars team that, unlike
25:41Michael Wilson, right? Michael Wilson now has a whole new coaching staff he needs to prove his worth to.
25:46Parker Washington is still with Liam Cohen. Liam Cohen saw how dominant Parker Washington was down the stretch of the season. I think that that is
25:52going to carry over. Also, instead of Michael Wilson, where there's this unsustainable passing volume and Jacoby Brissett issue on the Jaguars, this is
26:00one of the better passing offenses in the league. They were sixth in points scored last year. I love Trevor Lawrence. I love Liam Cohen. I want
26:06pieces of this passing offense, and I'm not willing to overlook Parker Washington. If you look at these six games where all of these players played
26:13together, Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers, Brevin Strange, and Brian Thomas, we have a decent sample of what we're looking at. Parker Washington looks a
26:21lot like Jayden Reed. He looks a lot like Let me actually get this out of the way for you guys. He looks a lot like
26:27Jayden Reed and Josh Downs as a part-time receiver, right? You see up there 67% route share, but the per route metrics are so good that I'm willing to
26:37buy in, right? Targets per route run kills everybody, 29%. Team percent of receiving yards kills everybody at 33%.
26:45Yards per route run 3.53 is nuts. That is a Puka Nacua level number. First read share 26%. First downs per route run,
26:5313.25%. Absurd across the board. Now, he does have a high slot rate, and that's where he kind of gets that Josh Downs
26:59comp, that Jayden Reed comp. But, even before this stretch, he was rotated on the outside. So, I'm optimistic he can play on the outside, in the outside. It
27:07really just comes down to who these Jaguars deploy in two wide receiver sets, whether that's Brian Thomas and Kadarius Myers, or Brian Thomas and
27:14Parker Washington, or Parker Washington and Kadarius Myers. Who knows how that's going to shake out. You're kind of paying to figure out with these Jaguars
27:20wide receivers. But, this offense is going to be so good, and the passing game's going to be so good, I'm willing
27:24to pay to find out with these guys you are drafting as a flex option. So, it wouldn't be shocking to me for Parker
27:31Washington to have a late career breakout as a day three pick. I just don't think you can put the genie back
27:36in the bottle with how strong he finished last year. In that six-game sample, 16.8 points per game, pretty much after the bye week last year, uh,
27:43you can expand it to bigger. He was just nails. He was awesome. Uh, and I just don't think you can be like, "Oh, well,
27:50it's not going to carry over." Uh, I think it very much is. The beat is already all over him in terms of the
27:55local beat reporters. You can take that for whatever you want. Uh, I think the key to 2026 fantasy football is going to
28:01be predicting how this receiver room shakes out. Uh, I'm probably going to be putting most of my chips on Parker Washington and Brian Thomas, and I think
28:09Kadarius Myers will be the guy that I'm not drafting very much of. But, I could see any of these guys being league
28:14winners, even Travis Hunter late. I'm sprinkling in in best ball. And then, the last player moving up the rankings is Xavier Worthy. He goes from my 903 to
28:23my 804. He gets moved up 11 spots. And this one isn't anything profound. This is very simply, we look at fantasy
28:29breakouts by career year. Year three is the year. Now, I will say you do see year two is still pretty high there when
28:35it comes to the Amuka Ebuka stuff. Or, Emeka Egbuka. I don't know why I'm struggling all over the place. But, we have this with Xavier Worthy, a year
28:43three breakout candidate attached to Patrick Mahomes. You can kind of explain away his down year, too. We have this from Adam Levitan highlighting that the
28:50Chiefs didn't add help in free agency at wide receiver. They didn't draft a wide receiver until round five, Cyrus Allen, who's like a fun late round dart throw,
28:58but essentially, the Chiefs kind of gave Xavier Worthy a stamp of approval that we're going to ride with him in year
29:05three. We spent the first round pick on him. This article that he's highlighting here says the team limited Worthy's routes a year ago to protect him after
29:13his game one labrum injury. I would tell you that we kind of after that we were afraid to do certain things with Worthy,
29:17Reid said. So, I think him coming back healthy, I think opens up that whole picture you saw during training camp. We
29:22had a whole bunch of different routes in there. Then on top of that, I hate to go crazy with this. He won the OTA MVP for
29:28whatever that is worth, but I think you can kind of just explain away his year two. You can say year three breakout,
29:34clean slate. He'll have plenty of opportunity on a Chiefs offense attached to Patrick Mahomes. And there's something to cling onto in the NFL,
29:40right? There's other guys in the same draft guys you can't really do that with, right? Whether that's like Zay Flowers or
29:45uh Keon Coleman, but you can cling onto a Xavier Worthy. You have this stretch from his last seven games of 2024 to 2025.
29:53So, it's essentially like the last couple games of the regular season, the playoff run, and then the Super Bowl loss to the Eagles. Uh he was at 2.28
30:02yards per route run, 24% targets per route run, 11.5% first downs per route run, 84.3 PFF grade with a 21.6 point per game total over that span. I'm
30:13not saying that's what he's going to be.
30:14I'm just saying that there is some upside. He has already showed enough to then bet on him again. So, Xavier Worthy
30:22is somebody I want to be drafting this season, but that is seven players that yes, some of them have new news coming
30:28out or uh injury optimism, but for a lot of them it's just that I've been doing drafts. I've been drafting enough of
30:33these guys. I've been doing a little bit more research here and there. I'm just saying these are guys I got to move up. I I
30:38need to be drafting more of them. I need to be ahead of market on them. Seven players moving up the rankings for this
30:442026 season. As always, if you enjoy, leave a like, subscribe if you're new.
30:48Get the entire rankings over at patreon, patreon.com/ronstewart.
30:52Get my rankings, you can upload them to Underdog for yourself to then draft on there. But if not, appreciate you all
30:57for watching and I will see you all in the next one.
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