Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry artwork

Week 5 Love/Hate

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

55 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Oct 8, 2026
Published
Thu, October 8, 2026
49
Player insights
39
Players mentioned
Topics
Dak PrescottNico CollinsOdell BeckhamDrake MayeJared GoffJaylen WarrenMichael WilsonAaron JonesAaron RodgersAlvin KamaraAmon-Ra St. BrownAntonio WilliamsBraelon AllenChase Brown
Player analysis

Player insights

49

Aaron Jones

PositiveProjection32:48

Ranked running back 8; averaging 23 touches and 18% target share in three games since Jordan Mason went on IR; Saints giving up over 167 scrimmage yards per game to opposing running backs; every backfield Saints have faced this season has given up at least 20 fantasy points; top eight play this week.

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Aaron Rodgers

PositiveProjection47:46

Aaron Rodgers is averaging 38 pass attempts per game so far this year and faces the Colts, who have the 29th ranked pass defense. Matthew Berry considers him a viable streamer in deeper leagues, especially if Jacoby Brissett is not available. Mo ranks him at QB 17 but likes him more this week than he normally has so far this season.

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Alvin Kamara

NegativeValue41:41

Matthew Berry ranks Kamara at RB30, placing him at the edge of flex consideration in the 25-30 range for deeper leagues.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveMatchup43:00

Matthew Berry expects Amon Ra to eat in Week 5 against Arizona; the Cardinals allow the highest rate of touchdown passes in the NFL and quarterbacks facing them average 9.1 yards per pass attempt (most in NFL). With the Lions secondary beat up and Arizona expected to move the ball, the Lions offense will have to throw, benefiting all weapons including Amon Ra.

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Antonio Williams

PositiveBreakout6:49

Second on team in targets and percentage of routes run last week; had a long touchdown called back by penalties (holding and illegal shift). Matthew Berry expects 'the Antonio Williams breakout game is coming' and it might be Week 5 against Giants, especially if McLaurin and/or Diggs miss.

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Braelon Allen

PositiveUsage57:16

Braylon Allen saw every running back touch for the Jets last week and played over 90% of snaps; he's rated as a high-end RB2 against a Browns defense allowing 4.8 yards per carry to opposing running backs.

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Chase Brown

PositiveProjection30:46

Ranked running back 5; 22% target share when either Jamar Chase or Tee Higgins are off field; Joe Burrow dumping it down to him; Dolphins allow 29.6 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs (second most in NFL); every running back facing Miami has scored at least 16.8 fantasy points; has 11 receptions showing he's big part of passing game; three of four opponents were bottom eight matchups for running backs earlier in season; schedule gets favorable after bye week.

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Dak Prescott

PositiveProjection45:06

Matthew Berry is in on Dak Prescott as QB5 this week against the Buccaneers in a Thursday night game. The Cowboys are top five in the NFL in pass rate over expected so far this season. The Buccaneers are 31st in pass rate over expected, with only one team worse at pressure rate. Dak will have a clean pocket and has the fourth-highest passer rating in the NFL when not being pressured. The Cowboys also have a very high implied team total.

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PositiveMatchup45:25

Cowboys are top five in pass rate over expected and face the Buccaneers, who rank 31st in pressure rate (worst in NFL except one team). Dak has the fourth-highest passer rating in the NFL when not pressured. Cowboys also have a very high implied team total. Matthew Berry rates him as a top five play Thursday night.

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PositiveRole46:00

Dak has Tyler Smith back on the offensive line, an all-pro caliber player, giving him enough time. He's playing at a top five or six level in the league right now and has been great so far against a struggling defense with a good offensive line.

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Dallas Goedert

NegativeInjury48:20

Dallas Goedert is potentially unavailable for the Eagles this week, contributing to Jalen Hurts' downgrade to QB 15 as a mid-tier QB 2.

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DeVonta Smith

NegativeInjury48:20

DeVonta Smith is potentially unavailable for Jalen Hurts and the Eagles this week, contributing to Hurts' downgrade to QB 15 as a mid-tier QB 2.

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Drake Maye

PositiveProjection46:25

Drake Maye got back on track last week and is expected to keep it going against the Raiders, whose secondary has allowed six touchdown passes over just the past two games. Matthew Berry is in on Drake Maye this week.

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PositiveBreakout47:26

Drake Maye was a top three fringe QB coming into the season. His confidence is back; he's letting conspiracy theories rip and doesn't care what anyone thinks. Over the next eight games (Raiders, Jets, Bears, Dolphins, Packers, Lions, Chargers, Bills), the schedule starts to get a lot easier for him. Mo ranks him at QB 8 this week.

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Emanuel Wilson

PositiveRole57:40

Emmanuel Wilson is expected to continue leading the Seahawks backfield; he's seen over 20 touches in the past three games and is ranked as a top 15 play this week.

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Ja'Marr Chase

NegativeInjury0:39

Jamar Chase remains in concussion protocol heading into Week 5, creating uncertainty around the Bengals passing game for Sunday.

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Jacoby Brissett

PositiveMatchup46:38

Jacoby Brissett faces the Lions defense, which is allowing over 300 passing yards and nearly three touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks. Every quarterback that's faced the Lions this year has scored at least 21 fantasy points. Matthew Berry rates Brissett as a top 10 play. Mo ranks him at QB 9 this week.

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Jalen Hurts

NegativeProjection48:08

Jalen Hurts faces significant injury concerns with potentially no DeVonta Smith, no Saquon Barkley, and no Dallas Goedert. The Eagles' offensive line is depleted with Lane Johnson retired and Cam Jurgens traded. Mo ranks him at QB 15 as a mid-tier QB 2 this week.

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Jared Goff

PositiveProjection42:27

Matthew Berry expresses strong support for Goff, introducing him as a love pick with enthusiasm: 'And you know what? We're also very pro Jared Goff.' This signals Goff as a recommended play for the week.

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PositiveProjection42:47

Matthew Berry ranks Jared Goff as his number two quarterback this week; Goff is sneaky top five in fantasy points this year and faces Arizona, which allows touchdown passes at the highest rate in the NFL. Quarterbacks facing Arizona are averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt (most in NFL), and the Lions have the highest implied team total in Week 5 at 50. With the Lions secondary beat up, Arizona will move the ball and Goff will have to throw to Amon Ra, Jameer Gibbs, Laporta, and J-Mo.

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Jayden Daniels

PositiveProjection6:43

Officially a full go for Week 5 per Adam Schefter. Matthew Berry expresses confidence in his return, calling him 'a dog' and noting he was Clemson's leading receiver in program history, suggesting strong upside with his receivers.

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Jaylen Warren

PositiveProjection36:01

Ranked running back 12 assuming Rico Dattel misses another week; in both games Dattel has missed, Warren had 125 yards from scrimmage with running back 3 utilization score; 20 touches per game over past two weeks; Colts allow over 11 yards per reception to opposing running backs; should still get meaningful role even if Dattel returns; ranked higher than Dattel for rest of season.

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PositiveProjection56:55

Matthew Berry ranks Warren higher than Rico Dattel even if Dattel is active; Warren has accumulated over 220 yards in the last two weeks and faces a Colts defense allowing 7.0 fantasy points to running backs, supporting RB1 status for the week and rest of season.

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Jeremiyah Love

PositiveRole46:40

Jeremiah Love is a target option for Jacoby Brissett against the Lions defense, which is allowing over 300 passing yards and nearly three touchdowns per game. Matthew Berry emphasizes getting all of this game he can to Love in the flat.

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Jordan Addison

NegativeProjection19:47

Outside top 40 for the week; targeted at only 13% of his route when Jefferson has been on field; Saints allow six fewest yards to opposing wide receivers; has hamstring injury and missed Wednesday practice; Vikings likely to run heavy against Saints, limiting passing volume.

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KC Concepcion

PositiveProjection21:06

Ranked wide receiver 42, outside top 40; zero end zone targets so far this season with just 17% red zone target share; Jets allow fewest yards per target to slot wide receivers; has 28 targets without a touchdown, tied for second in league; tough matchup this week despite volume.

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Malik Washington

PositiveRole18:48

Should be rostered in every league, especially with H-Hand out; target share is above guys like T-Mac, Tee Higgins, and Devontae Adams; number one option on a really bad offense but still a consistent floor play.

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Mark Andrews

NegativeProjection24:59

Ranked tight end 17 against Falcons; very touchdown-dependent; receiving over/under is 29.5; in two starts with Tyler Huntley last year averaged 31 yards per game; has one game with more than 50 yards since start of last season; Falcons did good job against Juwan Johnson; health of Lamar Jackson uncertain.

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Marvin Harrison Jr.

PositiveRole46:40

Marvin Harrison Jr. is a primary target for Jacoby Brissett against the Lions defense, which is allowing over 300 passing yards and nearly three touchdowns per game. Matthew Berry emphasizes getting all of this game he can to Harrison.

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Matthew Stafford

PositiveProjection44:05

Matthew Berry ranks Matthew Stafford as QB3 this week in the Monday night matchup against Buffalo. The Rams have the second-highest implied team total on the Week 5 slate. The Bills allow over 21 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks (fourth most in NFL), are 27th in pass defense, and have allowed more touchdown passes than all but three teams this season. Stafford has Puka back healthy, all weapons are back and healthy, and Kyron is catching passes out of the backfield. The game is expected to be a shootout with back-and-forth possessions.

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Michael Wilson

PositiveBreakout9:38

Matthew Berry initially had a negative preseason take on Wilson due to Marvin Harrison's presence and new offensive system, but reversed course after Josh Richmond pointed out Wilson plays the Puka Shell role in LaFleur's offense. Over the past two games, Wilson has a 35% target share with nine different red zone targets. Facing Detroit Lions, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season and given up 100+ yards to a receiver in three of four games, Wilson is positioned for a very big game as a top-10 play overall.

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PositiveRole46:40

Michael Wilson is a primary target for Jacoby Brissett against the Lions defense, which is allowing over 300 passing yards and nearly three touchdowns per game. Matthew Berry emphasizes getting all of this game he can to Wilson.

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Najee Harris

NegativeRole40:20

Backfield usage has shifted after a fumble; prior to the fumble, Harris and Cam Scadaboo were splitting carries nearly 50-50, but Harris received significantly fewer carries afterward. The uncertainty around future backfield distribution remains a concern for Harris owners despite the team's preference for him.

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Nico Collins

PositiveProjection8:00

Matthew Berry ranks Nico Collins as a wide receiver 8 this week with a monster game projection against Tennessee. Collins has posted a 27% target share in both games played; the Titans allow a league-high 78% catch rate to opposing wide receivers, with all WRs seeing at least six targets averaging over 17 fantasy points per game against them.

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PositiveUsage8:36

When active, Nico Collins has commanded 100% of the Texans' end zone targets and 50% of their red zone targets, demonstrating elite red zone involvement despite missing two games this season.

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PositiveUsage8:36

Collins has seen 100% of the Texans' end zone targets in games where he's been active this season, plus 50% of their red zone targets. When active, the Texans average over 30 points in actual football and 30 fantasy points in the two games he's played. CJ Stroud is throwing the ball about 35 times per game (top five in the NFL), with a lot of those targets going to Collins, who is one of the best receivers in the league.

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Odell Beckham

NegativeRole5:46

After playing only 19 snaps for the Giants and failing to beat out Malachi Fields or Darnell Mooney, Beckham joined the Vikings where he faces significant depth chart competition including Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Juwan Jennings, and Hawkinson. Matthew Berry assesses that it would take at least two big injuries for Beckham to have fantasy impact, making him safely ignorable for now; Berry prefers stashing Tyreek Hill over chasing Beckham despite the theoretical offensive upgrade.

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NegativeInjury6:03

Beckham has a hamstring injury while on the Vikings roster, adding to the obstacles limiting his fantasy upside.

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NegativeRole8:42

Signed to Vikings practice squad; Matthew Berry says to ignore it for fantasy purposes. Beckham played only 19 snaps with Giants and couldn't beat out Malachi Fields or Darnell Mooney. Vikings have Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison ahead of him, providing less opportunity than he had with Giants.

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Ollie Gordon II

NegativeValue41:41

Matthew Berry ranks Gordon in the RB29-30 range, placing him in the back half of flex-tier running backs (25-30 range) for deeper leagues.

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Puka Nacua

PositiveRole44:24

Puka Nacua is back healthy for the Rams in Week 5 against Buffalo. Matthew Berry highlights that all of Stafford's weapons are back and healthy, and the game is expected to be a shootout with back-and-forth possessions, benefiting pass catchers.

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RJ Harvey

PositiveUsage57:51

R.J. Harvey has a 24-25% target share over the past two weeks and had 10 receptions on 10 targets last week; he's second in target share among all running backs and benefits from Bo Nix's heavy checkdown usage, making him a viable flex play in PPR leagues despite modest rushing efficiency.

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Sam LaPorta

PositiveMatchup43:00

Matthew Berry expects Sam LaPorta to benefit in Week 5 against Arizona; the Cardinals allow the highest rate of touchdown passes in the NFL and quarterbacks facing them average 9.1 yards per pass attempt (most in NFL). With the Lions secondary beat up and Arizona expected to move the ball, the Lions offense will have to throw, benefiting all weapons including LaPorta.

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Saquon Barkley

NegativeInjury48:20

Saquon Barkley is potentially unavailable for the Eagles this week, contributing to Jalen Hurts' downgrade to QB 15 as a mid-tier QB 2.

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Stefon Diggs

NegativeInjury5:49

Hamstring issue; missed practice. Status uncertain for Week 5 must-win game. If Diggs is out, Antonio Williams and Chica Conquo could see increased short-yardage targets.

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Tee Higgins

NegativeInjury0:42

Tee Higgins did not practice on Wednesday, creating uncertainty around his availability for Week 5 Sunday game.

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Terry McLaurin

NegativeInjury5:46

Hamstring injury; status uncertain for Week 5 must-win game against Giants. Matthew Berry hopes at least one of McLaurin or Stefan Diggs returns, but if McLaurin misses, Antonio Williams and Chica Conquo could see increased opportunity.

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Tony Pollard

NegativeBust41:01

Makes the hate list this week facing Houston Texans; running backs against the Texans are averaging only 3.5 yards per carry this season. Tennessee has the lowest implied team total in Week 5 at just 15 points and is a 7.5-point underdog, likely to throw more. Additionally, Pollard has a banged-up foot. Matthew Berry ranks him RB28.

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Trey McBride

PositiveRole46:40

Trey McBride is a primary target for Jacoby Brissett against the Lions defense, which is allowing over 300 passing yards and nearly three touchdowns per game. Matthew Berry emphasizes getting all of this game he can to McBride.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

807
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1:18Michelle Beadle, Mo Hassan, I'm Matthew Barry, and it's 1 o'clock on the East Coast, which means, of course, it is 5 o'clock somewhere.
1:24The happy hour bar is open. Fantasy football happy hour underway.
1:27And you know what? It's love-hate day. It's love-hate day, boys and girls.
1:31It very much so is. It is Thursday, which we're going to get to.
1:35However, before we get to that, we do have some receiver news, if you will.
1:39Start with the Bengals. Jamar Chase remains in concussion protocol.
1:42T. Higgins did not practice on Wednesday. What will that passing game look like on Sunday if they can't go?
1:48Well, yeah. I mean, hopefully they can go, and we'll see.
1:51We've still got a couple of days. But I think what this would mean is, honestly, fire up Mike Kosicki, right?
1:57So Mike Kosicki is available in about 76% of leagues.
2:00I think he's a top 12 tight end, assuming both guys are out.
2:03If Higgins, honestly, if Higgins or Chase, if not only just one of them is out, we're going to talk about him a little bit later, Mike Kosicki.
2:11But I'll also say Dante Myers, who's out there in about 80% of leagues.
2:15Like, so last week, Myers had a 93% route participation, 7 for 82 on nine targets.
2:20I think he's the number three wide receiver, Yoshibosh banged up.
2:23And so I think Myers would be the guy that, whether it's Chase or Higgins, if either one of them can't go,
2:29and especially if both of them can't, I think that would be where your passing attack goes, Mike Kosicki and Dante Myers.
2:35Okay. I told you, Vic. I picked up Myers up in a lot of leagues where I need some help.
2:41Gosh, you ever stop working? No. No. He's got like 18 leagues.
2:44I'm in 27 to be exact. That's insane, dude.
2:4727 is absurd. Not insane. 27? I'll tell you why it's not insane.
2:50It's like every decade of a month. I'll tell you why it's not insane.
2:54Number one, it's my job. It's my job. To an extent.
2:57And number two is, if I didn't do that, I'd just be, you know, looking at staring at my dog listening to conspiracy podcasts, like, you know.
3:05First of all, I also watch shows. Thank you very much.
3:08Conspiracy shows. I'm sorry. Just sitting on my couch watching Love Island.
3:11No, and we've been, oh, speaking of Love Island Australia coming back.
3:15Okay. Anyways, I promised you more news. Not just those two guys.
3:18Don't you think we should get Mo on Love Island?
3:21100,000. Don't you think? I don't even care which nations.
3:24I don't care. I think you translate worldwide. I think it doesn't matter.
3:28It's not like that, but like, the UK ones had an American on.
3:31We do kind of create a little. I think the Australian one would be fun.
3:35Yeah, because I don't want to insult anyone, but I watched the first season of that one, and nobody's reading on that cast at all.
3:43It's special. Are you saying I'd fit in? You would clean up.
3:46I'd say anything. You'd clean up. Okay, Terry McCorran, hamstring.
3:49Stefan Diggs mispracticed yesterday with his own hamstring issue.
3:51I'm kind of sick of hamstrings, Matthew. Is there a possibility that we're going without these two receivers for Washington?
3:57I sure hope not. It's a must win, but Jaden Daniels officially a full go, according to Adam Schefter, so that's good.
4:03Faith in five. He's back. But if McLaurin and Diggs can't go, and I'm hoping at least one of them makes it
4:09back, I think Antonio Williams, who talked about him last week.
4:12You know, he had the big touchdown called back by some, you know, illegal shift, but that wasn't the point of it.
4:19He keeps making big plays, Antonio Williams. He's second on the team in targets and percentage of routes run last week.
4:25Like, they like those rookie. I feel like the Antonio Williams breakout game is coming, and it might be this week against
4:31the Giants, especially if McLaurin and or Stefan Diggs misses it.
4:34Also, you could see some Chica Conquo. You'll see some more of the short yardage targets, again, especially if Diggs is out this week.
4:41Yeah, I agree with you on Antonio Williams. He had that long one called back, although it was two penalties on it.
4:47It was a holding and an illegal shift, so it was valid.
4:50But either way, the volumes there, the targets, Jaden Daniels is back.
4:54No, no, yeah, he's a dog. I thought he would have gone higher from Clemson.
4:58I think he's their leading receiver in program history.
5:00Is he really? Wow. Or he's up there. I mean, they have Hopkins.
5:04DeAndre Hopkins went there. I mean, T. Higgins went there, right?
5:07Tons of production, so he's like the next guy up.
5:10I think he's good. Right, T. Higgins went to Clemson, right?
5:13Okay, yeah, yeah, exactly. See, there you go. Look at me.
5:16Look at me pulling that out of that old dog.
5:19Look at you, genius. And one more piece of news.
5:22The Vikings signing Odell Beckham Jr. to the practice squad.
5:25Any impact of fantasy on that? No. Oh. What?
5:27Well, that's sad. Look, look. But we're happy, Sean.
5:30No, let's be clear. Like, he's a big name.
5:32I get it. So we're just mentioning it to just say you can ignore it.
5:36He made the Giants. And candidly, there was more opportunity for playing time with the Giants than there are with the Vikings.
5:43We'll get to that in a second. But like, he played 19 snaps.
5:46He was able to get on the field for 19 snaps on the Giants, which after Malik Neighbors, there was, you know,
5:53I mean, like he couldn't beat out Malachi Fields.
5:55He couldn't beat out Darnell Mooney. Meanwhile, now he goes to a Minnesota Vikings team that has Justin Jefferson, that has Jordan Addison, you know, Mo's guy, J.A.
6:03He has a hamstring, though. Huh? So he has a hammy right now.
6:07Right. And there is Juwan Jennings. Yeah. And they've got Hawkinson.
6:10And they're just, I think it's, yes, I understand why they needed some depth.
6:14You know, Ty Felton and Miles Price are also there.
6:16They needed some depth. But I just, it would take a lot for him to have fantasy impact.
6:22It would take two big injuries. At least. So you can safely ignore for now.
6:26I would much rather grab and stash Tyreek Hill and see what happens there than chase OBJ, even though he's in a better, in theory, offensive situation.
6:33Not even, not really. Oh, yeah, we don't know.
6:36The Vikings haven't been great offensively this year. Yeah.
6:38In the passing attack. Um, conspiracy, since we were talking about it before, there's like a little bit here that the, uh,
6:45the Giants only signed him as a feel-good story.
6:47I saw that. And a little PR move. And they made like seven million in jersey sales when they brought him back.
6:53So that's a conspiracy. Yeah, Odell was pissed. He went to the comments saying they just picked him up for that.
6:59Yep. It was a PR move. Ruh, ruh. I mean, that's football, right?
7:03That's life. Yeah, I think, don't hate the player, hate the game.
7:06Football is a business. And more importantly, Odell Beckham Jr., respectfully, John Harbaugh doesn't care about that.
7:11Yeah, that's true. If you were one of the best wide receivers, like John Harbaugh's trying to win football games.
7:17Like, you know, Matt Nagy's trying to win football games.
7:20Like, get a, hey, OBJ, can you help us win?
7:22Can you, are you winning routes? Get on out there.
7:25I promise you, they weren't not playing him because like, ah, we just wanted him for jersey sales.
7:30That may have got him in the door. Well, they wouldn't have said that.
7:34No, I understand, but I'm just saying that may have got him in the door.
7:39But if, um, but I promise you, if Odell Beckham Jr.
7:42was one of the two best wide receivers on that team, he would have been starting opposite Malik Nabors.
7:47He would have. They're not keeping a good player off the field because, so.
7:51I don't know, I believe it. Also, he looks good.
7:54Targets are earned. Playing time, I think, is earned as well.
7:57Let's get into the love-hate. Yeah. Start with the receivers.
8:00Nico Collins. Yeah, let's start with the loves, right?
8:02Let's start with the loves. So, Nico Collins, I have a wide receiver, eight this week.
8:07I think he's going to have a monster game here.
8:10Look, both games he's played, 27% target share. You love this matchup against Tennessee, right?
8:14Titans allowing a league-high 78% catch rate to opposing wide receivers.
8:17Like, no team gives up a higher catch rate to opposing wide receivers than your Tennessee Titans.
8:22Tighten up as well. In fact, wide receivers at least see at least six targets against the Titans.
8:27They're averaging over 17 fantasy points per game. And so, when he's been active, this is a crazy stat to me.
8:33When Nico's been active, I know he's missed like two games.
8:36But when he's been active, he has seen 100% of the Texans' end zone targets.
8:40Literally, not one Texan has an end zone target in a game where Nico Collins has been active so far this year.
8:46That's impressive. Has that ever happened? Yeah. My goodness.
8:49Yeah, I mean. And 50% of their red zone targets, by the way, too.
8:53Yeah, I mean, you mentioned it. The matchup's great, and I just think he's this huge part of the offense.
8:58It's night and day when Nico's on the field and when he's not.
9:02I think they're averaging over 30 points when he's on the field in terms of like actual football.
9:07And then fantasy football, 21 points and then 30 fantasy points in the two games he's played.
9:12And then we couple that with CJ Stroud throwing volume.
9:15It's unreal. I mean, he's throwing the ball about 35 times a game.
9:18I think it's top five last time I checked in the NFL.
9:22So, a lot of those are going to Nico.
9:24He's one of the best receivers in the league.
9:27So, a lot of good pros there, Beatle. I like it.
9:30Okay, continue with the love fest. Lions Cardinals. We're thinking a lot of points will be scored in this one.
9:36Michael Wilson. How high are you on him? Very high.
9:38And I want to give a shout-out to my buddy Josh Richmond.
9:42Shout-out to my buddy Josh Richmond because I mentioned this earlier in the preseason where I was just talking about the fact
9:48that like, you know, Wilson's numbers when he was with Marvin Harrison last year were significantly deflated.
9:53Like, Wilson had his big breakout last year when Harrison was out.
9:56And so, some of the preseason narrative, and I'm going to cop to this.
10:00I contributed to that narrative. Was like, I don't think Michael Wilson's going to have the kind of year that he had
10:06last year because Marvin Harrison is there. You look at the fact that they've got McBride.
10:11Yeah. New head coach. New offensive system. You've got Marvin Harrison.
10:14Like, he's just not getting the kind of target share that he got from when Harrison was out last year.
10:20And my buddy Josh Richmond says to me, like, you're a moron.
10:23Just so you know, like, Michael Wilson's basically, it's a LeFleur offense.
10:26Like, he's going to play like the puka roll.
10:29Michael Wilson's going to, you know, Michael Wilson's going to catch like everything in sight.
10:33He's going to be the wide receiver you want with the Cardinals, not Marvin Harrison.
10:37You're going to look like an idiot on this one.
10:40And he was right. So I want to give him a shout out.
10:44I did at least mention that in the preseason.
10:46And so hopefully we reversed course. And I got off of that.
10:50But the fact of the matter is, over the past two games, Wilson has a 35% target share, nine different red zone targets in that stretch.
10:57And now you get the Detroit Lions, which you see there on your screen about what Wilson's done the last couple of weeks.
11:04No team in the NFL. Actually, only one team.
11:06I take that back. One team in the NFL has allowed more fantasy points to wide receivers this season than the Detroit Lions.
11:13They've given up the second most. They've also given up 100 yards to a wide receiver in three out of the four games so far this year.
11:20We just saw Ted O'Reilly and McMillan go off against Detroit last week.
11:24I think Michael Wilson is due for a very big game here.
11:27I'm as a top 10 play overall. I agree.
11:30Yeah, I mean, you were talking about your boy reversing course.
11:33His head coach, LaFleur, did as well. My boy didn't reverse course.
11:36I reversed course. My boy was right. Josh was right the entire time.
11:40He called me and said, I heard your take and you're wrong.
11:43Your boy made you reverse course. He made me reverse course.
11:46My boy was right. I, I'm more on Matty over here.
11:50That one I got wrong. Double M. Sorry, America.
11:52Yeah. Well, LaFleur also reversed course because I listened to him recently.
11:55He was talking about how wrong he was thinking Michael Wilson wasn't a good prospect out of college and how much he loves him now.
12:03Brissette loves him as well. You mentioned all the targets.
12:05Seven plus in 12 of the last 13. So we're getting volume.
12:09Your coach loves you. Your quarterback loves you. And then you mentioned it.
12:12We're getting into, in terms of the matchup, this is the territory of anyone against the Lions.
12:17It's basically anyone against the Lions, anyone against the Dolphins.
12:20And plus he's getting the volume. So sign me up for that.
12:23Jacoby Brissette understands the assignment. I think if you play DFS, I think a Brissette-Michael Wilson stack is pretty interesting.
12:29Okay. Yeah. I got somebody on a buy this week, so I just pulled him up.
12:34Okay. Welcome to the big leagues, Michael Wilson. Welcome to the big leagues.
12:37Was he on your bench? Yeah. And you put him on.
12:40Okay. I was going to say, he wasn't a free agent in your league.
12:44No, no, no, no. Yeah, of course not. No, I, of course, drafted him because I'm one of the best drafters of all time.
12:51Well, Chuba Hubbard's got a buy. So I had to do a little flexy little thing.
12:56He's in your flex now. He's in my flex now.
12:58That's a good flex. I have no idea what I'm saying.
13:01Christian Watts. That's not true. I know, I lied.
13:04Bita likes to, by the way, won both of her leagues last year.
13:08No, second, second place. Still a little bit. Still a little bit, whatever.
13:11Yeah. You shut up all those. Like, she's in a league with, like, real people.
13:16Like, actual people that know stuff. People you, well, not only people you know stuff, but, like, people you've heard of.
13:21Yeah. Like, a bunch of celebrities and commentators. And all the women, the women's league, they're all women that are in football.
13:28Like, they're, like, locked in. Like, the Tracy Wolfsons and Cynthia Freelands of the world.
13:32No, Mina's not in this one. But, like, it's, yeah, it's a good one.
13:36But it's him. Christian Watts is playing. To be clear, hang on, I want to clean that up.
13:41To be clear, Beatle is not saying the league is a good one because Mina is not in it.
13:46Oh, no, no, not at all. You are not anti-Mina Kahn.
13:49You love Mina. Not even a little bit. I love Mina.
13:53I just want to make sure. Because I can see somebody trying.
13:56You know, sometimes they clip something and they clip it.
13:59No, look. If you said, no, she's not in it, it's a good one.
14:03And I want you to make sure to get clipped.
14:05People know who I don't like. There's no secret here.
14:08We don't lie. Yeah. No, and by the way, and I also want to be clear about this.
14:13Beatles enemies list is very different than my enemies list.
14:16It's just I don't want people getting mad at me because of people you hate.
14:20No, mine are good. They're people that you should hate.
14:23I don't know why yours isn't the same as mine.
14:26Go get Christian Watson. All right. There we go.
14:29Anyway, Michael Wilson, top ten play this week as well.
14:31Christian Watson is somebody that I like quite a bit this week as well.
14:35Habit wide receiver 15, he makes the love list.
14:38Look, Watson has a great matchup with Chicago. This Bears defense, they're allowing over 15 yards for reception wide receivers.
14:44That's fifth most in the NFL. He's had at least one end zone target in every game this year but one.
14:49So three out of four games, like they look for Christian Watson when they get in close.
14:54He's been scoring a bunch of touchdowns, by the way.
14:57And the other thing that's most important here, Mo, which I think you can speak to, is that specifically with Watson, he's really good against zone coverage.
15:05And the Bears play a ton of it. Yeah, they do.
15:08And you mentioned the red zone. He's fourth in those targets inside the 20-yard line.
15:12I think more than anything, like this offense was struggling because of the offensive line play and they went out and made a difference.
15:19They added three guys, two new starters. They were able to actually protect Jordan Love, a guy when he has time, I
15:25think he's a top 15 quarterback, right? There's this big debate, Matthew Gold and Christian Watson.
15:30I know they've kind of been going back and forth, but I like the matchup.
15:34He's getting the red zone targets. And here as well, I think they're going to be throwing a ton.
15:39I would expect kind of a... They can't run.
15:42Exactly. They can't run the ball and you're going against Chicago.
15:45You're going to be playing from behind. I expect them to put up a bunch of points.
15:50So there's a lot of good there with Christian Watson this game.
15:53Okay, tight end that you're high on this week.
15:55Isaiah Likely. Jameis is tight end this well. But, you know, Isaiah Likely so far this season from Jameis Winston.
16:01Again, Jameis Winston, another guy who understands the assignment, right?
16:04It's not necessarily about winning games. It's, you know, get the ball to the guys we care about.
16:09And Isaiah Likely is one of them. 34% target share this year when Winston has been under center.
16:14Good matchup with my commanders. Washington giving up the fifth most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
16:19And in fact, only one team in the NFL, literally only one team in the NFL, has given up more touchdowns to
16:25opposing tight ends than my Washington commanders. You saw Dallas Goddard hit him for two, you know, early on as well.
16:31Jake Ferguson hit him for two. So, yeah, Isaiah Likely is a top five play this week.
16:36Big thing with Likely, red zone, red zone, red zone.
16:3972% of those snaps and a 43% target share.
16:41They just love the big body down there. And then, I mean, what's not to love about this matchup?
16:4719.1 points to that position. And Likely is probably more talented than some of those guys, like Ferguson and those guys you mentioned.
16:53So, it's potentially like a floor of 19 points in theory, right?
16:56Anything could happen. I'm as a top five play.
16:59There's no question. If you have Isaiah Likely, you're starting Isaiah Likely.
17:02Tell us who you got on the others receiving votes for the week.
17:06Yeah, Beatle, others receiving votes. How about Carnell Tate?
17:09Had a breakout performance last week. He's now seen a 33% target share over his past three games.
17:14I actually have him as a top 20 play in week five against that Texans defense that, believe it or not, has
17:20given up the most fantasy points to wide receivers so far this season.
17:23Crazy. How crazy is that? The Texans have literally given up more fantasy points than anyone else to opposing wide receivers, including the Lions.
17:30It's absurd. DK Metcalf also has a nice matchup against the Colts.
17:34He's seen at least nine targets in three out of four games.
17:37Steelers have been surprisingly pass-heavy. Michael Pittman banged up.
17:40That should help DK as well. Meanwhile, the Cardinals-Lions game, we've talked about it, should be a fantasy bonanza.
17:45Bodes well for Jamison Williams, you know. Cardinals have really struggled against deep passes so far.
17:49They allow 18 yards for reception to wide receivers.
17:52That is the most in the National Football League.
17:54I think there's a decent chance J-Mo gets loose for one.
17:58And finally, how about some Malik Washington? 27% target share this season, and now he gets the Bengals.
18:03That Cincinnati secondary is allowing the third most yards to the slot, where Malik Washington runs a lot of his targets at tight end.
18:09I mentioned him earlier at the top of the show.
18:12If either Jamar Chase or Tee Higgins are unable to go, Mike Kosicki will be a top 12 play.
18:1850% end zone target share so far this season.
18:20Your Dolphins, Mo. Your Dolphins have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
18:25You love the Dolphins. I do not claim them.
18:27You love them so much. You love the heat.
18:30You love the Dolphins. You love all things Miami.
18:32You're Mr. Miami. Miami Mo. Everyone calls you that, and so we know you love the Dolphins.
18:37Everyone calls you Miami Mo. In the chat, they're going crazy.
18:40All right. Any on that list? Yeah. I mean, Kosicki, I love his gritty, so I expect him to gritty.
18:46That is the first thing that comes to mind.
18:48Malik Washington, I feel like not enough people are talking about him.
18:52I think he should be rostered in every league, especially with H-Hand out.
18:55I think the target share is probably going to go up.
18:58Well, that's the argument. The argument is that the Dolphins is any good and H-Hand's out.
19:03Sure, but his target share is above guys like T-Mac, Tee Higgins, and Devontae Adams, which if you told me that going
19:09into it, I would not have expected it at all.
19:12Just in terms of a floor play, I don't know if I'd start him every week, but that's a consistent player.
19:18You're the number one option, again, on a really bad offense, but you're still a number one option.
19:23Miami Moe, huh? Miami Moe. I like that. I'm in the Discord right now.
19:27I'm trying to see if anyone's picking up on it.
19:30You know, we'll see. If it'll catch on like a combation.
19:33We'll see if they're into it or... Moe Moe.
19:35He's talking reckless about all things Miami. You are that guy.
19:39Yeah, exactly. Okay, loves, we're done with. Yes, ma'am.
19:41We got some hates, however, and earmuffs for you, young Miami Moe.
19:44So, Jordan Addison, you're down on him this week.
19:47I am. Playing against New Orleans, like I know, my expectation, by the way, to be clear, is that I think Justin
19:53Jefferson makes it back for this game. Okay. So, obviously, this would change if Jefferson were out.
19:58But you think about when Jefferson has been out there on the field.
20:02Jordan Addison's been targeted at only 13% of his route so far this year.
20:06Saints, by the way, allowing the six fewest yards to opposing wide receivers.
20:09Addison, as you mentioned, you know, he's got this hammy injury.
20:12He's got the hammy injury. He missed Wednesday's practice with a hamstring injury.
20:16So, there's a chance Addison misses, but even if he does, maybe he's limited, by the way.
20:21And I just don't know that the Vikings are going to need to throw in this game against the Saints because you can just run on them.
20:28I mean, we all just saw what Atlanta did to them.
20:32I mean, the Falcons, like, just dominated them. Vikings don't have the offensive line that the Falcons do, but it's not a bad one.
20:38And Aaron Jones has looked good. So, I think they go run heavy in this game.
20:43I don't think they're going to need to throw a ton.
20:46So, yeah, Jordan Addison outside my top 40 for the week, Mo.
20:49Yeah, I'm no Stefania Bell, but the hammy is a little frightening.
20:53And we got Justin Jefferson back. And you're probably, even with TJ there, maybe the third option.
20:58Like, TJ has been balling, too. He has been.
21:00So, it's, I mean, unless you have to play him, it's not lovely.
21:04Okay. All right, KC Concepcion. Matching with the Jets.
21:06You worried about that one? I'm not. Well, I'm not worried about KC Concepcion just from an overall standpoint, because I love him.
21:13Texana Maggie, giga Maggie's. But I do think this might be a tough week for him.
21:17I keep waiting for a breakout from him. I don't think it's necessarily coming this week.
21:22I'm at wide receiver 42, so I have KC Concepcion outside my top 40.
21:26So far this season, zero end zone targets, just a 17% red zone target share.
21:30When they get in close, they're looking at Fannin, they're looking at Denzel Boston.
21:34They're just not looking KC Concepcion's way. And oh, by the way, the Jets, for all the flaws that the Jets have
21:40had, they're actually allowing the fewest yards per target to slot wide receivers.
21:44So it's a better matchup here for Boston and Fannin, I think, especially.
21:47Boston, I think Concepcion Junkin should be good as well.
21:50So listen, I just, as somebody in the chat said, we don't slot shame here, but the fact of the matter is that KC, we don't slot shame.
21:58It's okay, but I'm just saying, in this particular case, KC Concepcion has a tough matchup.
22:03He makes the hate list. But again, nothing wrong with being a slot.
22:06We don't slot shame. It's just like at some point he's got a score, right?
22:11And like you said it was going to be last week.
22:14So he's 28 targets without a touchdown. He's tied for second in the league right now.
22:18I believe Carnell Tate is first with 32. So the volume is there.
22:22He just hasn't gotten in the end zone. I do like the way Munkin scripts him in the screen game just because he's so explosive.
22:29Denzel Boston's been getting most of the usage, but KC adds a different kind of body type and different kind of wide receiver for this offense.
22:36The game's coming at some point. I don't know if it's against the Jets, but it has to come at some point.
22:42Okay. Tight end. Miami Momo says Stuntman Chuck. So it's starting to pick up.
22:46Wait, hold on. What'd they say? Miami Momo, Momo, eggs over Mo-ami.
22:50Wait, what? That one's so dumb. I love it.
22:52Yeah, because eggs over Miami and eggs over Mo-ami.
22:55Do you know eggs over my hammy? Oh, I thought you were talking about eggs over medium.
23:00No, no. Eggs over Mo-ami. Have you ever ordered an eggs over my hammy?
23:04No, what is that? It's a Dish Denny's. It's a movie reference?
23:07Oh, Dish Denny's? Yeah, I've actually never been to Denny's.
23:10I'm more of an IHOP guy myself. Oh, my God.
23:13If I may say it. We have so much to teach them, people.
23:16Never going to end. IHOP's way better. And Waffle House is way better.
23:20Yeah. Well, I mean, they don't have to compete.
23:22People are arguing with everything's a competition. Right. By the way, Mo, I'm just telling you, the people are taking issue with
23:29your Malik Washington needs to be rostered in every league.
23:31So I'm just saying, Mo's making a bold claim.
23:34Why? What are you doing against them? I love this so much.
23:37Just because it's a low-scoring offense. I think just because it's a low-scoring offense.
23:41He hasn't been. He gets seven targets. He does.
23:44It hasn't turned into fantasy production in a big way.
23:47But I know you believe in the talent. You believe in the role.
23:50You believe in the scheme. It's called faith, guys.
23:53I like the call. You're making a bold call.
23:55I like it. I'm in on it. Yeah. You know what, standing on it.
23:59There's just no one else on that offense. You versus the Discord in this one.
24:04I like it. So let's make a bet. If Malik Washington scores over 12 fantasy points, then what happens?
24:09Something. Yeah, I don't know. Yeah, what happens? I can't.
24:12Chat, we'll make a bet. Okay. I'm going to tell you exactly what happens.
24:16I love it. It's Stuntman Chuck. I'll wear something crazy.
24:19It's Stuntman Chuck. And by the way, to be clear, Stuntman Chuck loves him some Bo Nix.
24:23So, you know. Okay. Fair, fair. So I'm telling you, Stuntman Chuck, if Malik Washington scores 12 points or more this week,
24:30then you've got to change your avatar on the Discord to a picture of Mo for a week.
24:35Oh, I love it. But what if he doesn't?
24:37I have ruined what I have said. What if he doesn't?
24:40I have to. You'll say something nice about Stuntman Chuck on air.
24:44Okay. There you go. Okay. Well, he's a nice guy.
24:47Yeah, I'm not sure. We don't know that yet.
24:49He is a crazy Broncos fan. I'll give him that.
24:52Well, fair enough. Tight end, by the way. Anybody you're particularly down on?
24:56Yeah, Mark Andrews. Again, like, so we don't know the health of Lamar Jackson.
24:59That adds to it. But, like, is receiving over underline in this game is 29 and a half.
25:05Right? So, in the two starts that he had with Tyler Huntley last year, so assuming Tyler Huntley plays, he averaged 31 yards per game.
25:12Mark Andrews is just a very touchdown-dependent tight end, too.
25:14And so just how good do you feel about him getting a touchdown in this one, especially if Lamar can't go?
25:20Since the start of last season, Andrews has one game, literally one game, with more than 50 yards.
25:25So, I'm a tight end 17, playing the Falcons.
25:28I thought they, you know, they did a nice job.
25:31They did a good job against Juwan Johnson last Monday night as well.
25:34And so, yeah, Mark Andrews is a low-end tight end, too, for me this week.
25:39I will say I don't exactly love him, but the only pushback would be is Huntley does target tight ends a lot.
25:45I believe he's first in targets to tight ends in the league in the last five years.
25:50Potentially that 31 yards is because they also had likely.
25:52So, I'm wondering with Mark kind of being the guy now.
25:56Yeah, maybe. Now, the further pushback to that is they are playing some of their rookie tight ends.
26:01So, there's, like, layers to it. I agree with you.
26:03I'm not, like, in love with it, but I don't know if it's as drastically bad as some may say.
26:09Very possibly. Very possibly. Let's look at the screen.
26:12That is what we're not feeling, Matthew. That's the hates.
26:14Yeah, these are the hates. A little graphic of me.
26:17They put my hand in a pocket this week.
26:20That's creepy. So, I mean, you know. It shouldn't be just smiling.
26:23It should be your Halloween costume. All right. Jordan Addison, Casey Concepcion, Mark Andrews among my pass catcher hates in week number five.
26:30And that'll do it on the pass catchers. We're back with the running backs after this.
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28:26You know, I meant to ask you, Matthew. Yes, ma'am.
28:29Did you pick that music? Is it? No. It's kind of got like a...
28:33Yeah. No, Evil Ed, the producer, picked it. He did the graphics as well.
28:37I pretty much... There he is. There he is.
28:39Evil Ed. Oh, he's buttoned up today. Kind of.
28:42Oh, my gosh. I have my Manning Brothers half zip.
28:45That is what you're wearing. Wow. So do you pick the music, right, Ed?
28:49I mean, I guess. Yeah. What do you mean?
28:51What do you mean? The music for what? When it comes in, the intro music.
28:56What do you mean? The rejoin music. Well, it's the same music from your podcast from the summer.
29:01So I guess I picked it. Not really. Wait.
29:03Is that true? And you didn't know? Do you know that?
29:06I don't listen to my podcast. Oh, my God.
29:09I don't listen to my podcast. I do my podcast.
29:12But you don't hear the music? You never heard the music on?
29:15No. This is brilliant. A microphone turns on and I talk and then I stop talking eventually and then that's it.
29:21And then people put it out into the... Do things to it.
29:24Do the things and put it out wherever and...
29:27Okay, that's fair. And then occasionally they say, here, read this.
29:30And I read, you know, about some of the sponsors that we have, some of the great sponsors.
29:35I will say this. If you listen to this podcast, if you listen to the audio version of this podcast, please support your brother.
29:42Please help a brother out. Your old pal Matty going on his own.
29:45So please try those sponsors. Use our promo codes and please give those...
29:49The people that are bringing our podcast to you for free, please give them some love.
29:54Please, sir. Can I have some more? I appreciate this.
29:56By the way, Brian Hickman says, it's America's diner, Mo.
29:59Wow, Denny's? Waffle House is America's diner. No, because it's very regional.
30:03It's not everywhere. And I believe Denny's is. And Berks and Flannel says, on the idea that you've never been to a
30:09Denny's, the fact that you've never been to a Denny's, and Denny's is going to open 24 hours, which is one of the big selling points.
30:16Berks and Flannel says, he's clearly never been drunk.
30:19So that's their take. That's why they think you've never been to a Denny's.
30:23Oh, he's definitely been drunk. They're at 3 a.m.
30:25Denny's when you're getting out of the bar is like...
30:28I like the fights. Oh, my goodness. But Waffle House is also 24 hours.
30:32Also fights. And you're more likely to get in a fight in a Waffle House.
30:36More fights at Waffle House, for sure. Waffle House is also great.
30:40We love Waffle House. It's an American cultural icon.
30:42Yeah. More love, hate. We've got injuries to the receivers out in Cincinnati.
30:46So how high on Chase Brown are you? Yeah, I'm fairly high, right?
30:49I'm at running back five, right? You see it right there on your screen.
30:53Running back five for the Brown gobbler, Chase Brown.
30:56So 22% target share, right, for Chase Brown when either Jamar Chase or Tee Higgins are off the field.
31:01So, you know, over the last week when Chase and Higgins, when either one of them were off the field, both left
31:08the game early, Chase Brown literally at 22% target share.
31:10So Joe Burrow interested in sort of, you know, kind of dumping it down right there.
31:15It's worth noting that Moe's Miami Dolphins, Moe Moe Miami, your Miami Dolphins allow literally 30 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs, right?
31:2229.6. That's second most in the NFL. Literally every running back, every running back that has faced Moe's Miami Dolphins has scored
31:28at least 16.8 fantasy points per game. Nice. Chase Brown.
31:31It's a young defense. Yes. Rodriguez, though, one of the top linebackers in the league.
31:35Sure. He's going to be a dog, all right?
31:38And we hear no love about that. Gotta be.
31:40Debbie Downer. Call me in. She always finds the positive here.
31:43No, we're living in today. Speaking of downers, people are going to say he's got no touchdowns.
31:48But who cares? He had 11 receptions. To your point, he's a big part of this passing game.
31:53I expect Jamar and T probably to be out.
31:56Who knows about T? But that will still play a role.
31:59And then in the rushing, right? Three of the four opponents were bottom eight matchups for running backs earlier in the season.
32:05So you do get a better matchup now. And then the schedule does get favorable after the bye week as well.
32:11So how about a little brown gobbler in your life?
32:14Who doesn't want a little bit of that? Let's go.
32:17I said. Let's go. Waffle board. Come on in.
32:19The water's warm. I'm in. Let's go, Beatle. I won't.
32:22Yeah, you won't. We'll get you there. By the end of the season, I'll wear you down.
32:27Don't you worry about that. Terrifying. But anyway, the brown gobbler top five play for me this week.
32:32He makes the love list. And I think as Mo pointed out with the schedule, I think he's a good bye low.
32:38I think this is your last opportunity to get him for less than a top ten running back price between now and Sunday.
32:45Okay. Falcons, we watched them just run all over the Saints Monday night.
32:48Aaron Jones really have the same kind of success.
32:51Yes, ma'am. Free Aaron Jones. Hashtag free Aaron Jones.
32:53Like, this is what happens when you free Aaron Jones, right?
32:56Once Jordan Mason went on IR, Aaron Jones is averaging 23 touches.
33:00Not punches. I don't know why I said that.
33:02Averaging 23 touches and an 18% target share in the three games since Jordan Mason went on the IR, by the way, the Saints.
33:09In large part by what the Falcons did to them.
33:12But still, Saints are giving up over 167 scrimmage yards per game to opposing running backs.
33:16Aaron's going to get all the work here in a game against the Saints that, by the way, not only was it
33:23the Falcons that just dominated him, but it was also pretty much every backfield.
33:27Every backfield the Saints have faced this season. They've given up at least 20 fantasy points to that opposing backfield.
33:32I have Aaron Jones at running back eight this week.
33:35I'm as a top eight play. Free Aaron Jones.
33:38Hashtag Aaron Jones is free. Free AJ. I don't know what he did, but free AJ.
33:42I don't know how high this is. I'll tell you what he did.
33:46This started a while ago. He was in jail with Mike McCarthy.
33:49When Mike McCarthy had him on the, this is something I started on my old 06-0 podcast.
33:54When Mike McCarthy first took over as coach of the Packers, and he had Aaron Jones there, he had other running backs
34:00there, and just he would always keep Aaron Jones on a committee.
34:03And you're like, what are you doing? He's your best running back.
34:07And it's not particularly close. Like, the underlying metrics are unbelievable.
34:10Free Aaron Jones. And so it became a rallying cry for the show for years and years and years, and people would
34:16hold up free Aaron Jones signs at wrestling matches.
34:19Oh, wow. Good luck. It took over the country.
34:21Wrestling's wild. It did. It became a movement, Mo.
34:24A real movement. Mr. Jones, was he aware of it?
34:27He was aware of it, but he wasn't aware of it that I started it until this past Super Bowl.
34:32Oh, no. The show was on Radio Row, and we interviewed Aaron Jones, and we told him, you know, that, I was like, were you aware of this?
34:40And he's like, very much so. Like, he's written about it and everything.
34:44That's awesome. No, and he said, and so, you know, we told him, by the way, Matthew is the guy that invented it.
34:50It's the guy who's been doing the railing cry.
34:53Aaron Jones literally got up and gave me a hug.
34:56No way. It was the sweetest thing in the world.
34:58And he signed an autographed football for me. I have an autographed football from him.
35:03That's pretty funny. He gave me a hug, and he's just like, I so appreciate the love and support, which has been continued for years and years.
35:10He's a fun guy. Friend of the show, Aaron Jones.
35:13I don't know if you've ever met him. I've interviewed him a handful of times.
35:17He's awesome. Like, he's just an awesome human being.
35:20Like, he's just a really fun, hilarious guy. Running backs, I feel like, are awesome.
35:24If we're ranking position groups for, like, how fun.
35:27Oh, wow. I feel like running backs are up there.
35:30I don't know why. By the way, I also think, you know, hats.
35:33Like, he rocks a sombrero like nobody else. Does he?
35:36Really? Have you ever seen him wear? Yeah. He constantly wears a sombrero in on his pregame walk.
35:41Why? When he walks in. Is he Mexican? No.
35:44Why? He is not, but why would he not wear a sombrero?
35:47Somebreros are cool. No, but is there a meaning behind a sombrero specifically?
35:51I think he just likes it. Sometimes it doesn't have to be.
35:54You love a sombrero. Okay. Yeah. Fair enough. Yeah.
35:57Done. I have one. Rico Dattel, return to practice this week, but we're not quite sure yet.
36:01We don't know what's going to happen on Sunday.
36:04So if he is out once again, Jalen Warren, is he getting that RB1 spot performance?
36:08Yes. So this is caveated with the idea that Rico Dattel misses one more week, which is we think he might.
36:14Dang. But right. In both games that Dattel has missed so far this year, 125 yards from scrimmage, over the past two
36:21weeks, he's running back three in utilization score, which again is a proprietary metric that Dwayne McFarlane at fantasylife.com, I'm a company
36:27man, came up with that basically tracks underlying usage that leads to fantasy production.
36:31Last two weeks, 20 touches a game, running back three in utilization score.
36:34It's worth noting that the Colts, the Indianapolis Colts, are allowing over 11 yards per reception to opposing running backs.
36:40That's an area of the field that you can attack for them.
36:43So assuming right now my rank suggests that I think Rico Dattel is out, so I have Jalen Warren at running back 12.
36:50Again, if we find out that Dattel's going to be active in playing this game, he'll move down.
36:55But still, he's been so good, I don't think that, I don't think his role will significantly, even if Dattel comes back,
37:01I think he'll still get a meaningful role here against him.
37:04I think he should still be RB1. Like speaking of freeing guys.
37:08I'll have him ranked higher than Rico Dattel for sure, even if Dattel is active.
37:12Yeah. No, I agree. Like he's done enough to get the bulk of the carries.
37:16Like last two weeks, over 220 yards, and then this matchup by itself.
37:20Even if he wasn't balling, Colts are giving up seven most fantasy points to running backs.
37:24So in the short term, and I think the rest of the season, give me some Warren.
37:29Okay. There we go. Others receiving votes? Yeah. How about Braylon Allen, right?
37:33Who said that? Sorry, I'm trying to find my camera here.
37:36Sorry. Braylon Allen saw every, literally every single running back touch for the Jets last week.
37:40Played over 90% of the snaps. I actually like him as a high-end RB2 against a Browns defense that is allowing 4.8
37:47yards per carry to opposing running backs that same game.
37:49How about some Quinshawn Junkins, the original QJ? He's also a strong play against a Jets team that's allowed over 360 rushing
37:56yards each of the last two weeks, or combined in the last two weeks, I should say.
38:00How about Emmanuel Wilson, by the way? I think he's going to continue to lead the Seahawks backfield.
38:05He's seen over 20 touches to the past three games.
38:08I have him as a top 15 play this week.
38:11And finally, this one's for you, stuntman Chuck. Chuck, R.J.
38:14Harvey has seen a 24% target share over the past two weeks.
38:17Actually makes him a viable fletch play in PPR leagues.
38:20Miami Moe, any thoughts on any of those names?
38:23Any of them jump out to you? Any thoughts?
38:25Yeah, R.J. Harvey, he's not terribly efficient running the ball, and he's not getting a bunch of carries.
38:30But in the passing game, it's kind of this new iteration of Bo Nix, and he's been heavily criticized for it amongst Broncos fans.
38:37But on a fantasy side, I think it's really good for R.J.
38:40I believe he had 10 receptions on 10 targets last week.
38:44So in a PPR league, that's huge. He's second in target share at 25% amongst all running backs.
38:49He's checking down the ball a lot. He's not running as much, which is going to benefit R.J.
38:54a ton. I agree. R.B. hates. R.B. hates. And I see a name here.
38:58Cam Scadaboo. To be clear, I want to be very clear, R.B.
39:01in this particular case stands for running back, not the franchise R.B.s, of which I have no ill-will feeling towards.
39:07No, of course not. Do you guys like R.B.?
39:09That was my childhood. I haven't had it since I was a child.
39:13But yeah, I remember liking it. It was a long time ago.
39:16What did you get there? A roast beef sandwich.
39:19Duh. I've never been there. You've never been to an R.B.s?
39:22No. What the hell? Are you, what are you, what?
39:25It's not a popular institution. Let's just. It's literally been around for decades.
39:28For decades. Doesn't mean it's. For a zillion years.
39:31That means it's good. All right. I got to get to running back hates because whatever.
39:35We only have three minutes left in this segment.
39:38So I'm just going to say, not only did I hate the fact that Mo apparently has eaten nothing but like, you know, spinach shakes and lettuce.
39:46Or like, you know, kale salad since his entire life.
39:48Like he's a robot. That's what I should. That should be your nickname.
39:52It's just like kale salad. But I'm going to say one of the running backs that makes the hate list this week is Cam Scadaboo.
39:59Look, he's averaging 3.1 yards per carry over the past three weeks.
40:02He hasn't been particularly efficient. For all of Washington's flaws, they've actually been pretty good against the run.
40:08Fifth fewest rushing yards to opposing running backs per game so far this season.
40:12The only running back that scored more than 11 fantasy points against Washington, Jonathan Taylor, last week.
40:16All due respect, Cam Scadaboo is not Jonathan Taylor.
40:19That's fair. I am at running back 20. So I still have him as a starter this week, but I just think
40:25he's lower expectations than you normally would with Cam Scadaboo.
40:28Yeah, this is more of like the Najee conundrum because they started to give him a ton of carries.
40:33It was kind of even close to 50-50 before Najee fumbled.
40:36And then they gave Cam like, I don't know, seven carries after that.
40:40So it kind of skewed it towards the end.
40:43But it makes you think, what's the future of this backfield going to look like?
40:47They like Najee. Right. I mean, I do too.
40:49He's awesome. But the worst part, if you're a Cam Scadaboo owner, is the red zone.
40:54So I believe he got three of five inside the red zone carries and then that two-point conversion as well.
40:59So we're seeing what the trends are looking like, and it's not good.
41:03He's a low-end RB2 this week. Tony Pollard also, Beatle, makes the hate list.
41:07Yeah, why? Well, I'll tell you because he's facing the Houston Texans.
41:10For all the struggles of the Texans' defense, it's worth noting that Houston, that running backs that face the Texans this year
41:17are averaging 3.5 yards per carry, right? The Titans have the lowest implied team total in Week 5, just 15 points, just total.
41:23And, you know, like, he's not— What happened? That's all you have to say.
41:27I mean, you know, exactly. Tennessee's a seven-and-a-half-point underdog.
41:30They probably throw a lot more as well. So, yeah, so here you go.
41:34Okay. And also his foot's banged up, and it's not as pristine as yours, MBZ.
41:38Correct. No one's is. Yeah. See, some of my running back ranks here.
41:41Yeah, so Amarian Hampton, common on guy. Tony Pollard, you see him right there at running back 28.
41:47Then Ollie Gordon, and number 30 is Alvin Kamara.
41:49So this is the back half of the flexes right there if you're in a deeper league, the 25 through 30 range.
41:55What are you going to do with Hampton? Cut him.
41:58All right. Stop it. You're not going to cut Amarian Hampton.
42:01Okay. We'll discuss that in the break. Moe's just—you know what?
42:04Moe is rage-baiting the chat right now is exactly what he's doing.
42:08I love the chat. Ignore him. I love the chat.
42:11Quarterback's next. Love, hate continues. These breaks are very— Yeah.
42:13Informative. Revealing. Okay. By the way, the Discord chat suggesting that our all things ranked tomorrow should be top five restaurants that Moe has not eaten.
42:21Oh, I love this. Okay. Yeah. Okay. Consider it done.
42:24Yeah. Might be pretty good. Yeah, but they're not a good restaurant.
42:27Like, Arby's isn't a good restaurant. Stop. Stop. Just stop.
42:30Just stop. But you said you've never eaten there.
42:32Yeah. How do you know? For a reason. There's things that, like, I've never had— No hating on restaurants.
42:38We're not hating on any restaurants. We are pro Arby's.
42:40We are pro Denny's. We are pro every restaurant here at the happy hour.
42:44Wow. And you know what? We're also very pro Jared Goff.
42:47That's how I'm setting you up now. Thank you.
42:50Go. Jared Goff, go. Thanks. Thank God we don't pay Beatle by the word.
42:54All right, look. That'd be crazy. Look, Lions have the highest implied team total in week number five.
42:59Like, you know, implied team total of 50 here.
43:02Yeah. No team allows touchdown passes at a higher rate than the Arizona Cardinals.
43:06And, in fact, quarterbacks that face Arizona so far this year, they're averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt.
43:11That is the most in the NFL. We expect a shootout here.
43:14Again, the Lions secondary is so beat up, we think the Cardinals are going to be able to move the ball.
43:20And so Jared Goff is going to have to throw.
43:23Amon Ra, Jameer Gibbs, Laporta, J-Mo, all of it.
43:25I think everyone eats this in this one. Give me Jared Goff.
43:29Jared Goff is literally my number two quarterback this week.
43:31It's impressive. Yeah. Yeah. They got to open their mouths to get fed.
43:35Jared Goff, he's been balling. He's sneaky top five quarterback in fantasy points this year.
43:39And then he's got all those weapons, like you mentioned.
43:42The matchup. I mean, Drew Locke and Jameis went crazy.
43:45Like, he's better than those two guys. I think those two, including Brock, gave up almost 68 fantasy points.
43:50So with the way that the Detroit offense is humming, give me a little Goff.
43:55Yeah, there we go. Goff me, bro. Goffer. Goffer.
43:57Turn your head and Goff. Oh, Rams. Rams-Vills. Monday night.
44:00Some might say that's the game of the week.
44:02I'm looking at Matthew Stafford here. What do you got?
44:05Well, again, talking about implied team totals, Rams' implied team total is second highest in the Week 5 slate, on the Week 5 slate.
44:12Slate? Oh, goodness. Can't even speak. You got it.
44:15But listen, through the first four weeks of the season, the Bills are allowing over 21 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks.
44:21That's fourth most in the NFL. They're 27th in pass defense.
44:24Literally only three teams have allowed more touchdown passes this year than the Buffalo Bills.
44:28So yeah, Matthew Stafford. I have a QB3 this week.
44:31I think it's a big game. He's a big game for him.
44:35He's got Puka back. And they're going to have to throw to keep up with Josh Allen and company.
44:40Give me Matthew Stafford as a top three play this week.
44:43Yeah, this one's going to be fun. I mean, shootout written all over.
44:47I think it's the last possession type of football game.
44:50You get Stafford. You get Josh Allen. They're going to go back and forth.
44:54He's also fourth in passing attempts. So just the volume is there.
44:57All his weapons are back and healthy. Kyron's catching a bunch of balls out of the backfield.
45:02So I love Stafford. Okay. Then we got Dak Prescott in like a few hours.
45:06Oh. Yeah, we do. So I never love having somebody in a Thursday night game on my love or hate list.
45:12Because then if they don't do what I expect them to do, then you got to face the music one day earlier on Friday.
45:19But I'm in on Dak Prescott this week against the Buccaneers.
45:22My QB5 so far. Look, so far this season, like they're throwing.
45:25Like Cowboys top five in the NFL in terms of pass rate over expected so far.
45:30And more importantly, the Buccaneers 31st. Literally only one team in the league is worse at pressure rate.
45:35Dak's going to have a clean pocket tonight. He's got the fourth highest passer rating in the NFL when he's not being pressured.
45:41Cowboys also have a very high implied team total here.
45:44Give me Dak Prescott as a top five play tonight.
45:47Thursday night football in the kickoff game for week five.
45:50I'm with you on that pressure rate. And then with it, their third in blitz rate, which is worst case scenario.
45:56You're bringing people, but they're not getting home. So people are going to be open.
46:00And you have the weapons to take advantage of it with maybe the best receiver due.
46:04Yeah. If not the best, top two or three.
46:07And you got Tyler Smith back on the offensive line.
46:10Yes. An all pro caliber guy. So they're giving him enough time.
46:13I think Dak's playing at a top five or six level in the league right now.
46:18He's been great so far. Against a struggling defense with a good offensive line.
46:22And I'm all in on that. Others receiving votes for QBs.
46:25Yeah. Drake May finally got back on track last week.
46:27I think he keeps it going against Beatles Raiders because that secondary has allowed six touchdown passes over just the past two games.
46:34So I'm in on Drake May this week. I'm also in on Jacoby Brissett.
46:38We've talked about him a lot during this hour.
46:40Jacoby Brissett understands the assignment, right? And that assignment against this Lions defense, it's allowing over 300 passing yards and nearly three
46:47touchdowns per game to the opposing quarterbacks is get the ball to Trey McBride, to Michael Wilson, even Marvin Harrison, Jeremiah Love in the flat.
46:54Anyway, give me all of this game that I can get to because every quarterback that's faced the Lions this year has scored at least 21 fantasy points.
47:02I think Brissett keeps that streak going. I am as a top 10 play.
47:06And finally, Aaron Rodgers is averaging 38 pass attempts per game so far this year.
47:10He's got the Colts. They've got the 29th ranked pass defense so far this week.
47:14I think he's a viable streamer in deeper leagues, especially if, by the way, Jacoby Brissett is not available in your league.
47:20Mo, are you with me on all these guys?
47:23Anyone you disagree with? What do you think? I am.
47:26I totally agree. I really think Drake May is back, too.
47:29I mean, you had him kind of as this top three fringe guy coming into the season.
47:33I think the confidence is back. We talked about it.
47:36He's letting the conspiracy theories rip. He doesn't care what anyone thinks.
47:40And then for all the schedule merchants out there, how about the next eight games?
47:44Raiders, Jets, Bears, Dolphins, Packers, Lions, probably the worst defense in the league.
47:48Chargers, Bills. So it starts to get a lot easier for them, too.
47:51It does. I'm at QB 8 this week against Las Vegas.
47:54I have Brissett at QB 9. Rodgers down at QB 17 again.
47:58He's a streamer for deeper leagues. But I do like him more this week than I normally have so far this season.
48:04Got to do some pates. Sorry. Jalen Hurts. I know we talked about him the last hour.
48:09Yeah. Are we benching him? I think so. I mean, it depends on what else you have, right?
48:14I'm at QB 15. So I'm as a mid-tier QB 2 in this one.
48:18The concern, obviously, is it's like everything, right? No Devontae Smith.
48:21Potentially no Saquon. Potentially no Dallas Goddard. Offensive line is depleted.
48:24Again, Lane Johnson retired. Cam Juergens is traded. Even if people don't think he was having a great year, it's still, you know, still their starting center.
48:32And the only quarterback that scored at least 15 fantasy points, not that much big a number, but literally the only quarterback
48:38that scored more than 15 fantasy points against the Jaguars this year was Joe Burrow.
48:42And so I just think that Jalen Hurts, who's, you know, needs to run more, I think, for his fantasy value.
48:48He needs to throw the ball down the field more.
48:51Over the past three weeks, he's just QB 21 on a points-per-game basis.
48:54And he's averaging under six yards per pass attempt.
48:57It's been a lot of dink and dunk stuff, Mo, recently.
49:00And now you're traveling overseas. I feel like no one needs a London game less than the Philadelphia Eagles right now.
49:06I mean, you just have no time. He came off one of the worst games of his career.
49:11What was it? Under 100 passing yards. Correct. And then now you lose your best offensive lineman.
49:16That was the worst part of this entire football team.
49:19So I don't see a world in which it gets better from there unless Jalen just shocks the world and just puts on his Superman cap.
49:26But I just don't understand how it's possible at this point in time.
49:30Yeah. It's a real opportunity for Jalen Hurts to kind of, you know, prove himself to all of his haters.
49:35But I want him to do that on my fantasy bench if I can.
49:39Yeah. In a one QB league. That's fair. Again, I want to see it before, you know, they're beat up.
49:45They are beat up. It's a weird week for them.
49:48Tyler Shuck, Vikings, playing the Vikings. What do you got?
49:50I got Tyler Shuck as a QB 13. So outside my top 12.
49:54Again, you know, part of the concern here is the matchup with Minnesota.
49:58Vikings allow touchdown passes at the second lowest rate so far this year.
50:01Quarterbacks that face the Vikings, 51% completion percentage. That's the lowest in the NFL.
50:05And the Vikings are second in the NFL in pressure rate.
50:09No surprise here, right? Brian Flores always gets pressure.
50:11Brings a ton of blitzes. By the way, the Saints, bottom 10 in pressure rate allowed.
50:16I thought their offensive line got completely dominated by the Falcons last week.
50:19Yeah. And I don't think it gets better against the Saints.
50:22So Tyler Shuck, I could just see them. Shucking it?
50:25Yeah. No, I mean, I think I could see not a great game from Tyler Shuck in this one.
50:31Again, he's my QB 13. So I am QB 2, but, you know, I'm nervous a little bit for Tyler Shuck going against this Vikings defense.
50:38Yeah, I am too. I wrote down two words.
50:40They read Brian Flores. I think that is a nightmare for anybody.
50:44I mean, he's in year 2. Like, people think, obviously, he's an older guy, so he's performing solid up until this point.
50:50But this is a nightmare matchup for any quarterback.
50:53Even we saw Ben Johnson, who I hold in the highest esteem as one of the best play callers, and they held
50:59him to, what, 3 points, I think it was.
51:01So it's an offensive line that's struggling against the most blitz-heavy and explosive defense that the league has and probably has seen in a long time.
51:09So there is not a lot of positives there.
51:11Yeah. No, that's why he's on the hate list.
51:14Yeah. There you go. That's how it works. Bingo, bingo.
51:17That's it. That's the love-hate for Week 5. That is the love-hate for Week 5.
51:21Quick break. Last call on the other side. Cowboys, Bucs tonight.
51:24Mo, you want to kick things off for last call?
51:27I cooked one up for you. I think this is a lock right here.
51:31Okay. So we're going the over. It's 47 and a half.
51:34Okay. The Dallas Cowboys, America's team, has gone over in 10 straight games and are 17 and 4 in the over-under since the start of last season.
51:41Now they're going against an 0-4 football team on a short week.
51:45The Bucs defense is not very good. Also, the Cowboys are giving up a lot of points too.
51:50One of the most explosive offenses in the league.
51:52Give me the Cowboys. All right. Fair enough. And you like the over at 47 and a half.
51:57All right, Beads. Okay. Well, mine is, again, selfish-based a little bit.
52:01Which, you know, kind of like, right? You know, welcome to on brand.
52:04Throw up some C.D. Lamb numbers up there. He did get me a lot of points.
52:09I call him eights. I don't know if I'm ready to call him eights yet.
52:13But he said his friends call him eights. And so, you know, and I asked him if I could be friends with him.
52:20And he said sure. Okay. Well, that's fair. Maybe one day I'll get to do that.
52:24But for now, he's Mr. Lamb to me. Over 83 and a half receiving yards.
52:28If you see the little small print there at the bottom, he's crushed that in the last three games.
52:34So I feel like the trend will continue. But I also have like a parenthetically I'd like to add that I also
52:40do think the Cowboys are going to lose this game.
52:43And it will be shocking. But that's just a bonus bet.
52:46By the way, but even if they do, they're probably throwing in the throw lots of C.D.
52:51Lamb. That's fine. My best bet, give me Chris Godwin over 31 and a half receiving yards.
52:56Team high 27% target share last week for Godwin in his first game with Jalen Daniels on our center.
53:01Cowboys so far this year have allowed the fourth most yards to the slot.
53:05Again, we don't slot shame here. We embrace the slot.
53:08And so Cowboys, this is an area to exploit.
53:10The Cowboys have allowed the fourth most yards to the slot.
53:13My expectation here is that the Buccaneers will be down and throwing quite a bit.
53:17So give me Chris Godwin over 31 and a half receiving yards.
53:21If you feel like parlaying all that together, feel free.
53:24But those are our best bets. From a fantasy football perspective, I think the only Buccaneer that you can truly start and feel good about is Bucky Irving.
53:32But on the Cowboys, you're starting everyone, right? You already heard.
53:35We love Dak. Well, I may not start Jake Ferguson, but I want Lamb.
53:39I want Pickens. I want Javante. I want Dak.
53:41All the obvious guys. I have two players on a Thursday.
53:44That's weird. That's good. I like having players. No, I like to see kind of where I'm starting.
53:49Yeah, yeah, it's fair. But if they have poor numbers and then you see the other person hasn't started anyone yet and
53:56you're like, oh, this is a bad start. Yeah, but then you can at least adjust.
54:00Then you have opportunity to adjust. Then what you can do, Michelle Beadle, is you can turn into the Matthew Berry YouTube
54:06channel on Sunday morning at noon Eastern, an hour before kickoff for Fantasy Football Happy Hour.
54:11Last call. Myself and Alex Cupps answering all your questions, including yours, Beadle.
54:14We will give you a special hotline. But we do it live on YouTube, also on the Fantasy Life Amazon channel.
54:20So check that out, please. Why don't you just text me the information I need?
54:25Can we call in? But I'm going to disguise my voice.
54:28Can we figure that out? Yeah. Can we figure that out?
54:31That's a no. That is a no. Did you just not give us the number?
54:35Is that what just happened? You're not going to let us call?
54:38You guys can call in. I just said we can work that out.
54:42Okay. Yeah. All right, listen. Listen, it's closing time, which means you don't have to go home, but you can't stay here.
54:48That does it for Happy Hour.

More episodes from Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry

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