0:00Welcome to The Athletic Football Show brought to you by the US Bank Smartly Visa Signature Card.
0:05I'm Robert Mays. Man, that was a doozy of a Thursday night game in a way that I don't think anybody could have expected.
0:11The Atlanta Falcons break out in a big way.
0:14Monster games from B. John Robinson and Drake London after that offense was DOA through the first two weeks of Cooper Rush
0:20and a fantastic debut from Michael Penix. If you're a Michael Penix believer, we dug into all the positives for the Falcons,
0:26but just as many negatives for the Packers. There is a chance this thing gets really good.
0:30Really ugly in Green Bay based on the state of the offensive line.
0:34Some other areas of that roster dug into all of that with Derrik Klassen on this recap.
0:39Let's get to it right now. I'd like to start this conversation by apologizing to the Atlanta Falcons.
0:44We were making jokes about the Falcons being in primetime a bunch over the next few weeks.
0:48How I can't believe we have three state straight Falcons games in primetime.
0:52I want to sincerely apologize because that team and especially the that offense with Michael Penix back that's worthy of primetime viewing.
0:58They did not deserve the derision that they received from us on this on this program over the last few days as
1:04we as we stared down those three primetime games.
1:06That's where I want to begin this conversation with a very real mea culpa.
1:10Yeah, not if they're going to be that every week.
1:13And I don't know if they will, but at least that team looked way more competitive than they had.
1:18I mean, obviously the Steelers game was close, but neither of those teams looked serious that week.
1:23I would say. And like, I think too, part of the thing with Michael Penix, he looked totally solid this week.
1:29I just think even over these next three primetime games, it was like, man, he hasn't really played football in a while.
1:35Like, is he going to like, even if you thought the offense might look better when he's back eventually, was it really
1:41going to look good his first week or two back?
1:43And like the first sign we got of it is like, even if he wasn't exceptional in any way, it's like the offense can be an offense now.
1:51And Drake London can dunk on people. John Robinson can be incredible.
1:54Like the offense works and that's enough when you have these skill players.
1:58You look at both of these sides in this game and it is such a stark reminder of how much it matters to have a real NFL quarterback.
2:06Even if you change out nothing else, having a guy that even if flawed, and we can talk about Penix, even if
2:12flawed is a real NFL quarterback, what it does for the functionality of your offense.
2:16But also just, you think the guys in that locker room know that they have a shot with Michael Penix that they didn't have with Cooper Rush?
2:23You think they know that? You think that bled into what the rest of the team felt like today?
2:28Absolutely. And on the Packers side of it, which we'll dig into, it's impossible to win games with non-NFL quarterbacks, which at
2:34this point, Cooper Rush is not, right? But it's also impossible to win games with non-NFL offensive lines.
2:39Those are the two things that we learned today on the Falcons and Packers sides of this.
2:44We'll get to the Packers in a second, though.
2:46I want to talk about the Falcons offense. Bijan is incredible.
2:50Dude. He's incredible. There are two things in watching that game that really stuck with me as I was watching him over the course of those four quarters.
2:57One, watching him is like a nerve-wracking experience for me because when he's doing some of the jump cuts and just the
3:03way that he's changing direction and everything else, I just expect his legs to explode on like every other touch that he has.
3:10It doesn't seem right. I do not have the experience of worrying that a guy is going to get hurt with no
3:16prior injury history or actual no rational reason to believe that more often than when I'm watching Bijan Robinson.
3:21Well, and you know what he reminds me of, too?
3:24We were actually talking about this with JSN. The way he runs is like he's speed skating sometimes.
3:28Like when he's like, especially on those outside zone runs and he turns the corner, he gets or it's like he's turning
3:34the corner as like an edge rusher. Like there's nobody else who runs the way that he does.
3:39And I think he's so fascinating to me because I think he has such rare like flexibility and bend in a way
3:45that like you just don't see from any other runner.
3:48But then the vision is like. And the patience, the timing, the pace, the rhythm, all of it is just it's like melodic.
3:55It's beautiful to watch. I love it so much.
3:57I think in my mind, Le'Veon Bell is the best I've ever seen at that.
4:01But Bijan Robinson has that and has more to him than I think even Le'Veon Bell did in some other ways.
4:07Like he's just again, he's a little bit more flexible.
4:10He definitely does. He's more exclusive. Totally. And like the change of direction.
4:13It's almost like if you combined. I'm trying to do like a it's the David Montgomery meme from that game at Iowa
4:19State, which is all the best of all time.
4:22But it's actually true with Bijan. The two guys that come to mind when it comes to some of the change of
4:28direction stuff isn't as violent as this player. But stick with me for a second.
4:32It's like if you combine some elements of LaShawn McCoy with some elements of Le'Veon Bell.
4:36But he also has more like straight line giddy up than either of those guys.
4:40And he also is a better receiver than those guys.
4:43What a special player. And tonight was just such an incredible example of that.
4:47The Falcons finished with a 64% rushing success rate in this game.
4:5064% running the ball for 242 yards. Based on what it felt like watching.
4:54You know, it feels low to the point where I was keeping track of it in my mind.
4:59And when I watched them throw a backwards pass to Brian Robinson that got blown up, I was like, there's one of them.
5:05That's the reason it won't be higher. That's really good.
5:08That's really good. The other prevailing thought that I had while watching Bijan.
5:12There is no greater compliment you can pay an NFL player in 2026 than them breathing life into Al Michaels.
5:17Yeah. He looked like he wanted to watch the game, which you don't get a lot of those anymore.
5:22I'm legitimately excited at some of the stuff that Bijan was doing.
5:26There is no greater compliment for a skilled position player or a player of any kind in 2026 than having Al show
5:32that sort of vivacity on a Thursday night at this stage of his career.
5:35And that's exactly what we were getting from him and Bijan today.
5:39They were getting up for all of it. Like, I think even on a couple of the Bijan runs, they were like,
5:45look at Charlie Werner throwing this block and stuff like that.
5:48I'm like, they don't give a shit about that.
5:50If Bijan's not ripping off like the most incredible run that you've ever seen.
5:54Who did? He did play a great game, by the way.
5:57Charlie Werner. He's he's an important piece for like popping all these zone runs for them.
6:02Like it's that they have like this is why.
6:04And again, they're not going to score 30 whatever points every single week.
6:08But this is why when we did like the offensive surrounding casts show, like I kind of liked what they had.
6:13I still again at the offensive line. I don't know if they'll be this good every week, but like that play calling staff.
6:20Some of the screens that they were calling were perfect.
6:22Like it just they've got enough here. If Penix is going to play well.
6:26It was one of those situations. And again, it's just and let's I'll be honest with you.
6:31I did not watch every down of the Cooper Rush Falcons over the first two weeks.
6:35I was not doing a lot of studying about the Cooper Rush Falcons.
6:39And so from a distance and we can be honest with people.
6:42You can only go back and rewatch so much in any given week.
6:46Like you're going to catch up with every team over the course of the year.
6:50But the first two weeks, I didn't feel compelled to really go back and deep dive into the Cooper Rush Falcons.
6:56When I was watching the Steelers defense, I was watching the Steelers defense.
6:59And so there was a moment where two weeks into the season, even with Cooper Rush, there was kind of a voice
7:05in the back of my head where I was like, man, is this going to be a disaster?
7:10Like that would just be surprising to me. Like I think with this level of skill position talent, with an offensive line
7:16that even if they're it's a flawed group, like Jake Matthews is really long in the teeth.
7:21I think that overall, the pass blocking just quality top to bottom is probably not.
7:25It's probably like average at best. Even with that, that clears the bar compared to what these guys were working with in Cleveland.
7:31And so, and I actually was really excited to see what Tommy Reese as a play caller, which I think we're, we haven't brought that up enough.
7:39Like he's calling plays like Tommy Reese has his finger on the button with this offense in a way that he never has when they were in Cleveland.
7:46Because when he's been the play caller in Cleveland, Kevin has given it to him at points during the season for reasons that you can understand.
7:53It's like, this is a lost year. I'm invested in this guy long-term.
7:57Let's give him some opportunities. All of these things in combination, I wanted to see it.
8:01And I did think that it could be at least interesting.
8:04And so to look what they did, it looked like the way they did over the first two weeks.
8:10I was like, man, is this going to be like an unwatchable football team for the entire year?
8:15I am so glad that that is not the case.
8:17Like, I'm so glad we actually get to enjoy these players and the Falcons can be at the very least a compelling
8:23offense for us to watch weekend and weekend. Because I thought they would be at the very least coming into the year, even if the defense is flawed.
8:31Exactly. And like I, again, I really do think that they've got something here.
8:35There's such an interesting case too, because again, the offensive line is not spectacular.
8:39And I think B. John Robinson, like by virtue of how he plays and reads, it just makes them a lot better than they are.
8:46Absolutely. It's a great thing to bring up. It's their offense is so cool because it's it's really just two star players
8:52having insane gravity and making everything else better. And like that's a little bit of a fragile build.
8:57I don't know if I love that, but the fact that it can work like this when it works like this, it's literally just B.
9:03John Robinson popping 20 yards runs. And then the next play, they're throwing like go balls to Drake London and he's just
9:09dunking on the corner and throwing it to the ground.
9:12Like it's it's unbelievably cool offense to watch when it works.
9:15It's probably discounting Sam Laporta at this even early in his career.
9:18But I don't think it's all that dissimilar to without the Lions offense when they were really good early, early in that
9:24tenure with Ben Johnson, where it was the running game.
9:27It was Amon Ra and then they were kind of piecing a lot of the other spots together.
9:32And I was because I was going to say, can you remember an offense that's like that where it's just a real
9:38difference making running back plus one of these receivers and you can cobble together a very good, very interesting offense out of it.
9:45I don't think there are a lot of examples, but I think the early Lions are kind of adjacent to that at the very least.
9:51I'm struggling to think of ones like I'm sure there have been stretches with the Niners where it's like just CMC and Kittle.
9:58But like that feels like cheating because Shanahan is but even that's not because they have other guys like that's what I'm saying.
10:04It was either a uke for a stretch or it was Debo for a stretch.
10:08And so I can't I'm sure there are examples.
10:11It's 1035 p.m. on a Thursday night. I'm sure people throw them in the comments.
10:15If you if there's anything that does remind you of this, let us know, because I do when I watch this, it does feel a little bit different.
10:22Let's talk about Pettix for a second. Like, again, this is a the waves crashing over you sort of game like just
10:28the Packers were drowning and we'll talk about that in a minute.
10:32But I really did like some of the stuff I saw from him.
10:35And it was fun to see him access the middle of the field a little bit more often on some of those in breakers.
10:42Like I he is I said this during the game and I truly firmly believe it.
10:46And somebody else said Cam Ward, which is another good candidate for this.
10:50Michael Penix is number one on my list of it would be cool if he was good quarterbacks.
10:55The guy has a shit out of the ball.
10:57He has a can like I would love if Michael Penix was good at football because I do think that his play
11:03style and what in his just bundle of traits would be really fun to watch if it all did come together.
11:09And so I'm not saying that after one game, I am so happy one week into the Michael Penix experience with Tommy
11:15Reese and Kevin Stefanski in this offense. My first reaction is I can't wait to watch it again.
11:20I want to see more believing that game with this thought.
11:23To me feels like an absolute win for the first glimpse that we got a Penix this season.
11:28I came away more excited to watch the offense down the stretch than I thought I might be, because again, I don't think this game was spectacular.
11:35But the fact that this was his first game in primetime, he's coming off of the injuries.
11:40He has not played a game in this offense specifically.
11:43The fact that he came out and I thought played like a pretty solid game, especially after the first quarter, like the first quarter was tough.
11:50But again, like you, he hasn't played football in a while.
11:53And in this offense, he hasn't played football. I'm throwing.
11:56Here's the stat. I was because I was the first quarter.
11:59Because remember, he was like one of five to start the game.
12:02In the final three quarters of this game, Michael Penix was 16 of 18 for 234 yards.
12:07He was pretty good. And like, honestly, it's pretty damn good.
12:10By the way, 11% pressure rate. That's what I was going to say.
12:1311%. And that's I will say, too, that actually there's a little bit of the Bo Nix thing here where like, yes,
12:19the pass protection was really good and the pressure rate is low.
12:23That's partly because he gets the ball out. Some of that is by design.
12:26That's just some of the stuff that they do.
12:29Some of that is the screen time to throw in those final three quarters.
12:332.12 per next gen. That's crazy. The ball comes out.
12:35And even some of and obviously he did make a couple of the middle field throws.
12:40He hit London on a dig at one point.
12:42But even some of the vertical throws he's making, he's not holding the ball that long.
12:47Like the one that he throws where London is just scot free, where he runs that little speed out for a second, then shoots up the field.
12:54And he's just wide open because he says jumping on the out route balls out immediately.
12:58And even on the one where London dunks on the guy down the right side, it's not like he's holding the ball for that long.
13:05But he's still it's one of those things where I think at sometimes I'm like, I just chucking it up to the guy.
13:12But it's like, hey, you have Drake London. Just do that.
13:15That's what you should do. You should be doing that.
13:17And I will say what he deserves credit for to be seeing it that quickly and be making decisions that quickly.
13:23This is game one of this offense. And he didn't have 11 on 11 reps all throughout training camp.
13:28Like that. The first quarter was ugly. The final three quarters.
13:31That's about as good as you can want this to look if you're a Falcons fan, given what Michael Penix is offseason looks like.
13:38I'm excited to see more of it. And I think, too, more than even just like how some of the results came
13:44down at the end, I'm glad he just didn't buckle after the first quarter.
13:48Like, it's your first game. You're probably hyped up.
13:50You've had so many injuries to this point. You're thinking you're this.
13:54This is now another good shot to prove that I can do something.
13:57You throw the pick over the middle. That is like there's nothing else holding that safety.
14:02He's going to drive on that every time. It's a really tough play to have made.
14:06And then they were just like he was getting heated up more in the first quarter over the over the last three quarters.
14:12I think Green Bay wasn't able to get home as much.
14:15But like there was a weak overload pressure that they sent that got to him.
14:19There was another play where Van Ness just like smoked Jake Matthews around the edge.
14:23And like I was like, OK, there enough things have happened that this could snowball away from you if you weren't up for the task.
14:30But he kind of settled in after that. And I thought he played fairly well.
14:34I did joke about this during the game. It was inevitable that my high school would eventually produce the greatest football player of all time.
14:41Lucas Van Ness is becoming that. He's on track.
14:44I didn't quite get there. I fell like one or two steps short.
14:47But I think Lucas Van Ness is he could finally make the prophecy come true if he keeps playing at this level
14:53because he is like the one lone bright spot for the Packers in this game.
14:57And him and Matthew Golden. It's like, man, Matthew Golden, Lucas Van Ness.
15:01Good thing we got something out of those two first round picks.
15:04Let's not talk about anything else. And you know what's funny?
15:07Even Golden, I thought, was incredibly frustrating in this game.
15:10Like he had some great plays, especially towards the end.
15:13But like Jordan Love kind of under through a corner route and he didn't want to go and get it.
15:18And then there was one play. I think it was a third down where Golden is streaking down the field and Love
15:24throws it as if he was going to run the corner.
15:27And so I don't know whose fault that is.
15:30But I was like, that seems like weird ball location.
15:33There was just like a number of weird mishaps with all of the Packers receivers today.
15:37It was kind of a game you would expect from Matthew Golden based on what Matthew Golden was as a prospect where
15:43there's some easy plays that just don't get made.
15:45And then his two big catches in this game.
15:48The first one, the ball tracking on that first play is insane.
15:51Yes. To go back over the other shoulder and catch that ball.
15:55And it's why as a prospect, he reminded me a little bit of Stefan Diggs because I that ball tracking is like that's what Diggs really did well.
16:02And even at Texas, Golden was a fantastic ball tracker with the ball in the air.
16:07And then he makes a ridiculous play on the touchdown.
16:09That ball is on his back hip coming 100 miles an hour.
16:13And he makes that catch. And then there are a couple other ones that hit him in the hands.
16:18One was a contested catch on the right sideline, but it very much was what I might expect from the Matthew Golden experience after watching him at Texas.
16:26And I liked him as a prospect. I'm glad you said Diggs, though, because I think my thought from this game actually
16:32was because you had some of the ups and downs with him.
16:35You remember early on when Diggs was like when he was in Minnesota, it was not as pass heavy of offenses.
16:41It was kind of weird. He was splitting reps with Adam Thielen.
16:44And it was kind of like he needed to go to an offense that was going to be super pass heavy and
16:50just let the volatility be what it was going to be.
16:53And he was going to have some insane plays.
16:55It almost feels like Matthew Golden would be like better in an offense that was trying to do that rather than what the Packers are.
17:02Obviously, in this game, they threw the ball a shit ton.
17:05But like, oh, buddy, that's not what they want to be the year.
17:09This might be the year where you're getting that from the Packers.
17:12Well, and that's why we got some of the good plays from him.
17:16And you got like that is probably what it would look like in a more like pass heavy offense.
17:21I don't know if the Packers necessarily want to be living in that world.
17:25But I mean, like you said this year and we can start to talk about it.
17:29They might have to with the way that this thing is constructed.
17:32So what is that world? What do you think this is?
17:35I really don't know how you can run a functional offense doing what they're doing.
17:40Like, I guess they're going to have to lean into just more like screens and yak stuff.
17:44And if they really want to, like. It's funny, I think for a while now people have they look at the Jordan Love.
17:51EPA numbers and the high success rates. And they're like, why would you not let him throw more?
17:56And it's like, well, part of the reason they never wanted to do that is they are protecting themselves, not necessarily from
18:02him and some of his proclivities to be a little bit aggressive, but from the offensive line having to be stuck in so many pure past scenarios.
18:09And I think you see in a game like this where they cannot run the ball at all.
18:14I mean, they had what, like 20 rushing yards in this game.
18:17If that you are never going to if that's what you're going to do, defenses are never going to be scared that you're going to run.
18:24They're going to tee off all the time and it's going to be on these backup guards.
18:29It's going to be on a left tackle who has not played left tackle in the NFL before.
18:34It's going to be on a right tackle who's also a backup.
18:37And you're just going to end up in a situation where Jordan Love is top of a three step drop and he's
18:43already got somebody in his face all the time.
18:46Yeah, it's going to be really hard to have a functional offense with this version of the offensive line.
18:51I just don't know how you do it. And Barnwall made a really good comparison on the midweek show that really got
18:57my gears turning about this Packers season. And I, it's going to take, did you watch Widow's Bay?
19:02You know, you don't engage with modern media. I have not yet, but we're tracking on it.
19:07We're going to get there. Ask me again in a couple months.
19:10I don't want to give it away, but there's like a very classic just slasher movie trope where the killer just refuses to die.
19:16And one of the characters just goes so far beyond what you might reasonably expect to make sure that this thing is dead.
19:23That's how I feel about the Green Bay Packers.
19:25And so when Barnwall this week was like, ah, it's done.
19:28There's no way. This is real. The offense is broken.
19:31I think my response is always, one, let's wait a tick.
19:34Two, I want to see one more week with them not playing in a rainstorm to see how much we should actually panic about this.
19:41And the answer is we should panic about this.
19:43We absolutely should panic about this. You, and I think there's two things happening here.
19:47You did a very good job this summer of pointing out the potential fragility of the offensive line and what that could mean for the Packers.
19:55I still gave them benefit of the doubt because over time, I think they've earned it.
19:59The ecosystem, Stenevich, all of the ways that they've gotten by without a lead offensive lineman and still produced lead offense.
20:05But I think even I would be willing to acknowledge that it was a narrow path to pulling that off.
20:10That was when they were healthy. Right. Now they're all banged up.
20:13Yes. But this was kind of my concern. This is so far past it.
20:17But Bako Bobele and Banks were hurt in training camp.
20:20So it's not as if those guys had clean bills of health.
20:23I don't know if you could have seen this sort of outcome.
20:27But I think the downside case of this being a group that you really had to cobble together that wasn't even starting
20:33from a place of strength, I don't think was that far.
20:36It wasn't a remote possibility. That's what I would say.
20:38Yeah. This game, I think even like the Flores game was obviously bad.
20:42But like, I think Flores is just on such an insane thing that he's doing right now that I was willing to kind of push that away.
20:49Like you said, the Jets game, rainstorm, their pass rush looks a lot better right now.
20:54It was the first game for some of these guys.
20:57Like whatever. This game mid game. Yes. That's the other thing about the Jets game.
21:01You got guys going out in and out mid game.
21:03That was also part of my rationale this week.
21:06I was like, yeah, they got it's a short week.
21:09So you don't have a full week of practice.
21:11But at least you know who the five guys are going to be.
21:15Exactly. And so the fact that they got picked apart as bad as they did, that I think is really concerning to me.
21:21And you would you would think for most of these guys, these are going to be the ones that they're going to be trying to play moving forward.
21:29Like Bacabale is out for the season. And so like this is kind of where they're going to be stuck at.
21:34And so I'm just really concerned because like my thing with them was I think if they went into the season with
21:40the five guys, they wanted healthy, like relatively healthy.
21:43I'm like, OK, I still think that this is a unit that has degraded over time.
21:47But you can probably get away with this. But the fact that Banks Bacabale were already hurt going into the offseason and
21:53now Bacabale is out for the season and the guards situation has gotten even worse because of some of the injuries that they've had to deal with there.
22:01Now it's to the point where it's like you're just chipping away at this like five tears from what it was, you know, two or three years ago.
22:09And it's just really hard to see how it's going to get better.
22:12And then the other thing I would say, I had kind of the same concern about the cornerback room, about in terms
22:18of like just giving up some explosive plays. Today is exactly what I was scared of.
22:23It is that Drake London can dunk on you and you have a young corner who's going to bite on stuff and
22:29is going to give a big plays to him as well.
22:32And I think that those guys looking as tough as they did.
22:35Brandon Cease also missed a tackle on one of the big Bichon runs like it's this.
22:39The two units that give up the bad plays, offensive line and cornerback room, are as bad or worse than I thought
22:45they would be for the Packers going into the season.
22:48All right, before we move on, let's take a quick break.
22:51So I was looking at the numbers just because I was curious.
22:54And I think it's a good thing to point out.
22:57And like you said, those were the floor creating units.
23:00And so those being the floor creating units, that is how you find a really low floor as a team.
23:05And I think we are about to get to a place where we find out how low the floor is for the Packers.
23:12So I wanted to, I was curious about this.
23:14I was looking it up as you were talking because I was looking at the box score.
23:19And I was kind of shocked at one of the numbers that I saw.
23:23I want to try to put it in perspective.
23:25So there have been what? So there are 32 teams that played 16 games last year.
23:30So do the math on that. Plus two weeks of the NFL season.
23:33In terms of quick pressures allowed, Jordan Love in weeks one and three of this year is first and third.
23:39And quick pressures allowed in a game over the last two seasons.
23:42Oh, there were 15 of them today. Against Flores.
23:44Okay. Right. That can happen. Week one, he's blitzing at an 80% rate when he even he's never done that.
23:50Like whatever that one is, whatever. 15 quick pressures given up in this game by the Green Bay Packers offensive line.
23:56You can't, you can't function as an offense. No.
23:58If that's what's happening. And I think the Falcons pass rush is better than we probably thought going into the year.
24:04Doorless is showing some cool flashes. Dexter has been productive.
24:07I, that unit is better than what it would have looked like on paper going into the season.
24:12This is, what are you going to do with this?
24:14What am I supposed to do with this? It's both things are true.
24:18I think that some of those, those pass rush guys for the Falcons look good.
24:22Like, you know, Dexter had a handful of really impressive reps even last week against a much better Panthers offensive line, I think.
24:28And so those guys are looking better than we would have thought.
24:32But like before two months ago, nobody was thinking as these players, like Dexter was just like moved away.
24:37Like nobody cared. Doorless was, I think, a kind of forgotten piece on this defense for a lot of people.
24:42The fact that they are the ones that are giving up or attacking you in such a way that is giving up some of the most quick pressures.
24:50Like, you're just not going to function that way.
24:52And like, I know I'm going to sit here and sound like I'm being Jordan Love's lawyer.
24:57And I don't think he played very well in this game.
25:00Like there were a handful of opportunities, especially as the game went on.
25:04He's crumbling. But like, who wouldn't? That shit snowballs, man.
25:06Who wouldn't? That stuff snowballs. If we're going to give up 15 quick pressures to the Atlanta Falcons, who isn't crumbling in that scenario?
25:13That's the only defense I have. It's not that he played well.
25:16It's just that like everyone is going to falter like that.
25:19It's an untenable situation for any quarterback. I I'm exhausted of quarterback discourse this week.
25:23I'm not going to do this with Jordan Love.
25:26Basically, I'm just not going to do it. Like, let's wait a little while.
25:30And and that's not that we shouldn't even do it.
25:32Let it obey. But I'm also just not going to do it, even if there would have been a decent reason for it.
25:39I think the conversation about the Packers and I got off track before, but I was talking Barnwell said on the midweek
25:45show this week, is this potentially the Packers 2022 ramp season?
25:48And here's why I think that is going to be an important distinction.
25:51If the answer is yes, then part of making that calculation is we think this is a blip in otherwise really strong
25:57track record or an offensive coach and what he has been able to do year after year after year when the Packers
26:03have essentially been a top 10 offense every single year.
26:06The same was true with the Rams. They had that one awful, awful season after the Super Bowl.
26:11Stafford missed half the year. But like you said, we just talked about it before we started recording.
26:16He was three and six before he even started, before he missed time.
26:20The offensive line, the bottom fell out. If the answer is yes, then you say, okay, whatever happens, the season happens.
26:25It hurts and stings even more because we don't have a first round pick, but it's something that we can live with.
26:31If the answer is no, and you think that this is not a blip and you think this is the continuation and
26:37just kind of natural endpoint for something that has been happening, then we're having a different conversation.
26:42And my instinct is to say it's more the former than the latter, but depending on how bad and ugly this thing
26:48gets, I mean, you listen to the crowd tonight.
26:51I mean, they are, it is going to get ugly there if this continues.
26:54I don't know how you handle that as an organization.
26:57I think to me, the distinction, not even just about like how the individual seasons went with, you know, the 22 Rams or whatever.
27:04Sean McVay by that point had taken the Rams to two Super Bowls and won one of them.
27:09They just won it. They had just won it the year before.
27:12You've got a little bit of equity to have a five win season.
27:16The Packers have been largely successful and like consistent with Matt LaFleur.
27:19Like they have not had losing seasons. They've gone to the playoffs.
27:22I think almost every single season obviously had the MVP stretch with Aaron Rodgers.
27:26Like they've been very good. They've not been two and one Super Bowls and reached those highs where you're willing to be
27:32like, ah, we can eat a year and hope the next year is going to be better.
27:37And I think that to me is where the calculus really changes with this.
27:41Because honestly, I probably agree that I would lean more towards that.
27:44This is a blip in Matt LaFleur's tenure and that he can and will be better than this.
27:49It's just that there is something about having seen what the highs were for Sean McVay, that it was easier to be like, ah, it's a blip.
27:56It'll be fine. And with Matt LaFleur, even if I think he can and will be good, it's like, well, what am I rebuying into?
28:03Going to the divisional round again? Like, I just don't know if that's as appealing.
28:07I agree with that. And I also think when you look at the roster, the roster is the part of it that
28:13to me does feel like we've been moving in a negative direction for a little while.
28:18The state of the offensive line coming into the season, again, was already feeling pretty fragile.
28:22We talked about it so much this offseason where there were so many guys, and for some of them, it's worked, right?
28:28Like, Golden looks good. Lucas Van Ness looks good.
28:30For some of it, it worked. But how many this-has-to-happen things were the case for the Packers this offseason where we just never talked about them like that?
28:38They had so many contingencies built into the roster.
28:41They had depth. They had luxuries. They just didn't have any of that.
28:44And they don't have any of that. And you're seeing what those results look like.
28:48I don't know where I land with it. I'm always a little bit more cautious with stuff like this.
28:54I'm prone to giving guys the benefit of the doubt.
28:56Whether Matt LaFleur deserves it, I think this is probably the first time where I'm really willing to hear arguments that he doesn't.
29:03But I think three weeks into the year, it's probably too early to make any sort of determination like that.
29:08But it's going to get uglier before it gets better, if the offensive line doesn't get better.
29:13The one complicating factor in this that I think it's at least interesting to think about, and I don't know how their
29:19inner workings totally work and who's going to make these decisions and who would be at the forefront of this or at the center of this.
29:26A lot of times, coaches get fired because owners get embarrassed.
29:29There is no owner. There is no person who really has to wear this if it gets really ugly for the Packers.
29:35And whether that plays into the decision, I don't know.
29:38But I do think it's a factor that's probably at least worth considering when you compare this to the dynamics at play
29:44for a lot of other NFL teams. And I think they did just extend him, which is like also another weird...
29:49They just did. Next year is the first year of his extension.
29:53It's just a weird situation they found themselves in where this is the one year that it's like falling out for Matt LaFleur.
29:59For that reason, and because again, it's a unique circumstance with the way the organization works, I would call them for the most part pretty conservative.
30:06I mean, think about we've had two coaches of that team since I was like in high school.
30:11Again, it just doesn't... And they've had a lot of success and that's the reason for it.
30:16But I just don't expect them to make an irrational kind of flippant decision about this.
30:20But if it keeps going at this rate, maybe it becomes a little bit less irrational.
30:25Maybe it becomes a little bit less frivolous. Yeah, it depends.
30:28It's like 7 and 10, probably going to move on or probably just like be fine with it.
30:33Let him go next year. If it's like a 4 and 13 situation, that I think is where it starts to get harder to live with.
30:40And I don't know if it'll be that bad, but like the offensive line is going to be that every week, maybe.
30:46And then you're handing that pick away. Oh my God, that's the other part.
30:50And I believe it's to the Jets. If they're bad, it's to the Jets.
30:53Yes. I think if they're good, it goes to the Cowboys.
30:56The Jets get, I think, whatever is the better pick between the Cowboys and the Packers.
31:01Yes. Yeah. However that works. Yeah. And so, man, that's the toughest part of seasons like this when it all just kind
31:07of falls apart is that not having that pick at the end of it.
31:11The Rams didn't have that. Did the Rams have their first round pick in 2022?
31:15Oh shit. Probably not. What if they ever had one?
31:18That might've been the year where they might've had it.
31:20I mean, I want to figure that out really quick.
31:23Cause that'd be one more point of this comparison.
31:25It's hard to keep track of when they had them.
31:28And when they have drafted Jared verse in 2023, 23, 24, 24.
31:32Yeah. Wait, maybe that actually kind of makes sense.
31:34So this was, I was wondering because when the golf trade happened, I wasn't sure if the 2023 first round pick was part of it.
31:41Okay. In 2023. Yes. The 2023 first round picks are the right.
31:44Yeah. The Rams gave that to the lions and then the lions traded that to the Cardinals.
31:49That was the Paris Johnson pick. And then the lions traded down and drafted Jameer Gibbs.
31:53So yeah, if you want to take it one step further, the 2023, 23, 23 Rams also did not have their first
31:59round pick as part of this process. But like you said, it stings a little bit less when you have the super bowl.
32:06When you got the trophy, it stings a little bit less.
32:09There's nothing to ease the pain of what this could potentially turn into.
32:12If you were the Packers, it's been a while.
32:15It is a tough place to be a tough, tough place to be.
32:18Now they know how the other half lives if this thing goes south.
32:22All right. That is all we've got for today.
32:24If you're listening to this on Friday, our week three preview should be available in your feeds and on YouTube.
32:30Really fun show. Dug into a bunch of the matchups from week three.
32:33Really enjoyed all those conversations. If you were watching this on YouTube, please encourage you guys to like and subscribe to the channel.
32:40Ton of YouTube specific stuff that we're putting on this year.
32:43Dave is now has a YouTube franchise that we're doing called This Rocked.
32:46He broke down Hezekiah Massas this week. Derek is diving deep on Brian Flores on how it happened.
32:51And then I have a video on Dalton Kincaid and the Bills offense coming a little bit later.
32:56So if you are not subscribed to the YouTube channel, that is the only place that you can get all of the
33:02video first stuff that we were doing. Encourage you to do that for now.
33:06That is all we've got. Appreciate you guys listening.
33:08We'll talk to you very soon.