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The Athletic Football Show fantasy football takes on Trevor Lawrence
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from The Athletic Football Show about Trevor Lawrence.
25
Insights
18
Positive
4
Negative
Insight ledger
All The Athletic Football Show insights about Trevor Lawrence
NegativeInjuryOct 8, 2026
Trevor Lawrence has seen more contact over the last couple of weeks compared to the end of last season; the source worries about what this will look like over the course of the season if he keeps hitting the ground as often as observed recently, though this concern is tempered by the overall strong performance of the Jaguars offense.PositiveProjectionOct 8, 2026
Trevor Lawrence has shown a rhythm in his game that never existed for him in the pros over the last three months; he's displaying confidence, putting his back foot in the ground, and driving the ball into closing passing windows. The source notes he came out of 2024 ready to move on but has turned right back around and is now performing at an elite level within the Jaguars' scheme.NegativeProjectionOct 8, 2026
The source references a cautionary example from a month into last season when analysts questioned whether Trevor Lawrence's struggles defined his ceiling, but he subsequently improved significantly; used as a reminder that early-season performance should not drive sweeping conclusions about player capability.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
The source argues that talented, aesthetically pleasing quarterbacks like Trevor Lawrence are worth believing in and betting on in the long term despite occasional low plays, because their ceiling is exceptionally high due to their skill set and play style; the speaker expresses relief and satisfaction that after five years of advocating for Lawrence's talent, he has now proven to be good at the NFL level.PositiveBreakoutOct 1, 2026
Trevor Lawrence had a spike year in 2022 when he played really well, and even though 2023 had some turnover issues, he was still playing pretty well. By year two, Lawrence demonstrated one of those early spike seasons that signals a quarterback can eventually reach elite status. The source uses Lawrence as the perfect example of a player worth holding on to through valleys because he reached the mountaintop early.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
The source defends Trevor Lawrence by distinguishing between being at fault versus being the problem: Lawrence had bad plays and interceptions he shouldn't have thrown, but he was not the core problem with the offense. The source was willing to hang on to Lawrence because he believed Lawrence was at fault for some issues but not the fundamental problem, and this distinction matters for how long a leash to give a quarterback.PositiveRoleOct 1, 2026
The source identifies offensive line quality as a critical contextual factor in Trevor Lawrence's performance. When Lawrence had offensive line help, his pocket presence and movement were phenomenal; conversely, when the offensive line cratered, he began to feel phantom pressure and his decision-making suffered. The source frames this not as a unique weakness but as a common quarterback vulnerability, and emphasizes that Lawrence's elite performance in high-support circumstances demonstrates his capability when given proper protection.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
The source argues that Trevor Lawrence possesses elite-level quarterback talent and athleticism that justifies long-term belief in his MVP-caliber potential. Despite struggles in 2023 and early 2024, the source cites his 6'5", 215-pound frame, explosive arm talent, and exceptional ability to throw accurately while rolling left—a marker of elite quarterback athleticism—as reasons to maintain conviction. The source emphasizes that when Lawrence had offensive line support, his pocket presence and movement were phenomenal, and he consistently made difficult throws (dig routes, deep outbreakers) that separate elite NFL quarterbacks by age 30. The source's core thesis is that draft pedigree and demonstrated talent in optimal circumstances warrant patience rather than abandonment.NegativeValueOct 1, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is cited as part of the premium quarterback tier (alongside Jordan Love and Brock Purdy) whose rising contract values are eroding the savings available from mid-tier quarterback signings. As the market corrects upward on these elite deals, the financial advantage of pairing a mid-tier QB with premium defensive spending diminishes.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
The source identifies Trevor Lawrence as having MVP potential this year based on his current play and the way his offense is performing; he is grouped among a dozen NFL quarterbacks capable of MVP-caliber seasons.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
The source frames Lawrence as a quarterback capable of reaching MVP-caliber seasons in the right circumstances; the analysis positions him among 13 NFL quarterbacks making $50+ million annually and questions whether he could be 'the MVP of the league' or reach highs similar to Dak Prescott's 2023 runner-up MVP season, suggesting the offense might be good enough for him to put up those numbers this year.PositiveRoleOct 1, 2026
The source describes Lawrence's offensive scheme under Liam Cohen as unlocking his strengths through a blend of finding open receivers and schemed plays; the offense gives him 'six freebies a game' that 'unlocks everything and takes the load off of the quarterback a little bit,' allowing him to throw outbreakers that other quarterbacks cannot execute.PositiveRoleOct 1, 2026
The source describes Trevor Lawrence's 2025 offense under Liam Cohen as potentially similar to the 2016 Falcons, marrying under-center dig route concepts with four and five-man drop-back concepts; Lawrence can throw outbreakers that other quarterbacks cannot, and the scheme provides six freebies per game that unlock everything and take load off the quarterback.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is playing at an incredible clip this year, looking so good and confident; the source notes he looks like an MVP candidate in 2025 after being ranked quarterback 18 in the 2025 quarterback tiers (July 2025), demonstrating how much quarterback rankings can vacillate based on circumstances and coaching changes.PositiveProjectionSep 28, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is playing with immense comfort and confidence, demonstrating a willingness to make difficult, rhythm-based throws across the field. The source notes he is currently one of the most entertaining players in the league.NegativeUsageSep 21, 2026
Trevor Lawrence struggled against the Broncos' defensive schemes, particularly in the second half where he threw an interception after being toyed with by complex zone looks.PositiveProjectionSep 18, 2026
Lawrence is showing elite traits reminiscent of 2021 Matthew Stafford, specifically in his ability to execute empty looks, push the ball downfield, and make high-level throws outside the numbers with explosive velocity. The offense is functioning at a high level, drawing comparisons to the 2016 Falcons' efficiency, and Lawrence is demonstrating the talent of a top-three pick when placed in the right scheme.PositiveProjectionSep 18, 2026
Trevor Lawrence led the league in EPA per dropback in Week 1 (0.65) and showed elite efficiency, going 5-of-5 for 105 yards on empty dropbacks with a 22.8 air yards per target average.NegativeBustSep 14, 2026
Despite his explosive playmaking, Trevor Lawrence continues to show 'bozo' tendencies, including an illegal forward pass with his left hand, which the source suggests is a recurring 'knucklehead' trait.PositiveProjectionSep 14, 2026
Trevor Lawrence displayed explosive playmaking ability, specifically on a touchdown pass to Zay Jones where he escaped pressure and threw a 'howitzer' while on the move; the source compares his play style to a 'mech warrior' and notes his elite arm talent.PositiveProjectionSep 14, 2026
Lawrence had a career-best performance in terms of EPA per drop back and passer rating, demonstrating elite efficiency while throwing downfield. His ability to execute a high-level offensive plan against a talented Browns defense suggests a major step forward.NegativeMatchupSep 4, 2026
The Seahawks' defense dominated Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars' pass protection plan in a game last season, leaving Lawrence with no opportunities.NegativeProjectionSep 2, 2026
The source maintains that Trevor Lawrence is a quarterback 11, noting that while last season was successful, he is likely what he is at this stage of his career. Success for the Jaguars in 2026 involves Lawrence and the offense proving they are a consistent, top-tier unit by returning to the playoffs.PositiveProjectionSep 2, 2026
Trevor Lawrence benefits from unprecedented continuity, as this is the first time in his career he is returning all three primary receivers and his primary tight end. This chemistry is expected to reduce interceptions caused by miscommunications with depth receivers, with the source noting his play style is similar to Dak Prescott's in terms of trusting receivers to be in the right spot.PositiveUsageSep 2, 2026
From week 11 onward last season, Lawrence was elite, ranking 3rd in EPA per dropback and 2nd in success rate. He led the league in total touchdowns (24) during that stretch and showed significant improvement in deep-ball efficiency and time-to-throw.