0:00Is play action dead? Why are blocking tight ends making Timofey Mozgov money at this point?
0:05And will the Eagles offense actually function? I'm gonna get my hamstrings loose before you go deep.
0:10All these questions and more will be answered today on NFL Fantasy Football Show.
0:14Coach, you feel the juice, coach? You feel the juice?
0:17It's awesome. It's our first time doing this, like literally our first video together on the channel.
0:22Originally we were gonna start on September 4th with our season preview episode, but you guys are very loud and you wanted something earlier.
0:29So Trevor, here we are. Dude, I'm so excited for this and you're right.
0:33This episode is 100% for the people by the people.
0:36Because this is a Q&A episode that we're doing.
0:39You and I tweeted out, hey, we know that you guys are excited for the NFL Pro concept that we have coming this year.
0:46And we would love to just hear some ideas from you guys.
0:50And Brett, you know, like I figured, you know, we get a couple, but we hadn't even launched the show yet.
0:56As people didn't exactly know what it was about.
0:59Brother, the floods of questions that we got. We're obviously not even gonna be able to get to all of them today.
1:05But don't worry everybody, we saw all of them.
1:08We've already got the Google Doc going on for the evergreen content to go back to some of these episodes and some of these topics.
1:15Because hopefully you guys get a little taste of the things that we're capable of and how we get to break things
1:22down from a film perspective, from an NGS perspective.
1:25But yeah, buddy, I'm excited to launch this show here with you.
1:28First, Trevor, I want to put you at odds with a former Tampa Bay Buccaneers coaching legend.
1:33Tell me why you disagree with John Gruden. Okay, yes.
1:36So the first question that we have here today that we want to dig into, this one comes from Tampa Bay sports fan.
1:43It says, Gruden has spoken recently about how teams essentially have banned play action from their playbooks.
1:48And it's now a thing of the past being replaced by RPOs.
1:52Do you think that this is accurate? And why is it to simplify the games for young quarterbacks who don't do this in college?
1:59And I think there is a little bit towards, you know, the second part of that tweet, Brett.
2:04And when you look at the reason why play action and RPOs are even a thing, I think fundamentally they're a little different, right?
2:12I think that RPO work is for the quarterback.
2:14I think that play action work is something that happens to the defense.
2:18So I think that they're a little bit different.
2:21It's not necessarily an apples to apples, but obviously these are two things that you sort of do at the beginning of the play.
2:28And I think that they've got different routes, but you're kind of trying to get the same result.
2:33And that is making things simpler when it comes to RPOs though.
2:37Like, you know, this it is a quicker type of offense, right?
2:40If you look at the last three years, so a little bit bigger of a sample size, the median time to throw for an RPO 1.63 seconds.
2:48So you are snapping the football, you're reading with the RPO and then the ball's coming out of your hands.
2:54Like it's a bubble screen. It's a slant. It's something.
2:57It's a lot of quick game stuff, but play action is totally different.
3:01When you look at the median number of time to throw through play action, it's 3.27.
3:061.63 and 3.27 when it comes to time to throw, you're talking about completely different plays here.
3:11So I don't really agree with John Gruden. Of course, all due respect, I don't really agree with what he's saying because
3:18I don't think they're really replacing one another. And I don't think the numbers really showed that either.
3:23There was a little bit of a dip in total teams that were kind of running a lot of play action, right?
3:30Because I went into NGS and I said, okay, give me the teams that ran at least 100 play action plays last season.
3:36And I did that for every season, Brett, going back to 2016.
3:402016, it was 5. 2017, it was 9. And then we got into double digits.
3:45It was 10, 11, 11, 14, 10, all the way to 2022.
3:482023 and 2024, which I think maybe is the reason why this question was asked.
3:537 and 7 both of those years. Again, we're talking about teams that ran at least 100 play action snaps.
3:59But in 2025, it was 12. So it kind of goes into the NFL getting a little bit more towards their 2006
4:05heavier era, like you said, the people absolutely love.
4:08But I also just, I don't really think that statement is true.
4:11And I think that, yes, younger quarterbacks like to operate in sort of that shotgun world where everything's in front of them.
4:18Because if you think about true play action, right, you're turning your back to the line of scrimmage.
4:23They never do it. Right. And that's the thing.
4:26They're not asked to do it in college because a lot of these college coaches, they're just trying to get kids to
4:33move the ball like as fast as possible. And in the NFL, you go, okay, snap the football.
4:38You turn your back to the play. Then you have to turn your back around.
4:42Now you're looking at the defense for the first time.
4:45Sure, you saw things pre-snap. But we live in a defensive world where almost nothing stays the same pre- to post-snap.
4:52So you're evaluating things. That's why the time to throw is so much longer.
4:56Yes, some teams like to operate in a quicker offense.
4:59So like RPOs can maybe replace play action a little bit because RPOs are still manipulating the defense in certain ways.
5:05But to me, Brad, I just think the offenses are just different.
5:09Sort of what is the expected result with RPOs versus play action to where I don't really – I don't agree with
5:15this statement just because I think fundamentally they are different things.
5:18And I believe that we're going to see here in 2026 play action is still going to be a major part of
5:25what we see a lot of – half of the league do.
5:29I'd be surprised if that 12 number of teams that ran 100 play action plays last year isn't bigger this year.
5:35Oh, it almost certainly will be. That's what I'm saying.
5:38So I think that, yes, RPO offenses as opposed to play action offenses help younger QBs when they're starting quickly.
5:44But ultimately, I think a lot of teams are going to want to continue to use play action.
5:49I don't see this as banning play action from playbooks.
5:52I just don't think that that's a thing. I mean, if we're looking at the origin of this, it's the difference between the college and the NFL rulebook.
6:01This is something that people don't realize. Like, yes, we know the hashes are wider in college, which then means that if
6:07the ball is spotted on a hash, right, you have way more space to the field side, which is going to encourage,
6:14you know, things like screens and all the stuff that really attacks laterally more so than vertically because the field, it's not
6:20wider in totality, but there's more workable space. The rule that people don't realize exists is specifically for RPOs.
6:26Linemen can get three yards downfield in college before they're ineligible.
6:29In the NFL, it's one. So obviously, you're going to completely take advantage of that in college and have centers and guards
6:36three yards past line of scrimmage because it's still legal, right?
6:39And, you know, the RPO rate in the NFL, I think, is like three to three and a half times lower, maybe
6:46even four times lower than in college because of that.
6:49Because you're just going to get flagged for an eligible receiver if you try to do it as much as they do in college.
6:56Which screen rate's lower as well. Which I think goes right into the next question that we had, which is all about the Eagles offense, right?
7:03I mean, like this is from Mr. H. A lot of talk about how the Eagles are changing schemes to help develop hurts.
7:10I know a lot of people are talking about that right now with Sean Manning, their offensive coordinator.
7:16What ways can they pivot depending on how that goes?
7:19So I know that you've studied and you've seen a lot of Sean Manning's offense.
7:23So I'll let you kind of spearhead this question because I know you got a lot more expertise in that area.
7:29So I've spent all summer studying this because Eagles fans, I mean, they're excited, but they're also nervous, as you heard.
7:36Right, right. And this is going to be a pretty drastic departure from what they're used to, right?
7:41It wasn't that long ago, just a couple years ago, when their total play count for the season in terms of under center play action was five.
7:49Last year, the Rams did it 217 times. So they're entering an entire new world here.
7:54And so if we look at, okay, what are Sean Manning's influences?
7:57What can we anticipate this is going to look like?
8:00You know, obviously played under Sean McVay with the Rams.
8:03While he was also kind of rewiring Jared Goff at the time.
8:07He was Jared Goff's backup. Goff came out of the air raid.
8:11They called it the bear raid at Cal. So he was learning how to do under center play action.
8:16And now Goff does it second only to like Stafford, basically, in the entire league.
8:21Especially with Ben Johnson, they did it all the time.
8:24And so he kind of got some of McVay's philosophy from playing under McVay in terms of the importance of under center play action.
8:31But really, his main influences are going to be from the Gary Kubiak side of the Shanahan Kubiak tree, which McVay is kind of an offshoot of.
8:39There's like a little mix of John Gruden in there, but it's a topic for another day.
8:44But if you're looking at all part of the all part of the all star Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
8:49Yeah, no, the NFL runs through Tampa Bay, Florida.
8:52I've often said this. I've often said this. But if you're looking at where he went to after McVay, he went to Minnesota, right?
8:59Gary Kubiak was obviously involved in Minnesota there, assistant head coach.
9:02Kevin Stefanski was the offensive coordinator. You know, work with Gary there and then left and then came back to Minnesota, whereas
9:09OC was Clint Kubiak, Gary's son, now head coach, the Raiders.
9:12And then he went from there, ended up coaching under Matt LaFleur, who, by the way, former Gary Kubiak assistant with the Texans in the late 2000s.
9:20That was when Kyle Shanahan was the OC. Mike McDaniel was there.
9:24So you could see how this whole cabal formed around Tampa Bay and Houston in the 2000s.
9:29And so the Gary Kubiak side is really his main influence, which back then in the late 2000s, it looks something like this, right?
9:36This is Texans tape. We're using it here on NFL Pro simply because we can.
9:41Why not? And it looked like this, right? It's naked bootlegs off a wide zone action.
9:45You've got Andre Johnson running down the field. It's actually a pretty well-covered play.
9:50But when you have Andre Johnson, who's 230 pounds and runs high 4'3", low 4'4", you're going to throw it anyway.
9:56And he's probably going to come down with it.
9:58You know, one of the byproducts of this style is that it's going to cut the field in half.
10:04Like you're really only working half the field. You have limited receivers down the field.
10:09So it better work. Which is why you kind of need an Andre Johnson.
10:13Cut! And that's a gain of 52. Then you get to Sean Mannion as a player under Clint Kubiak, Gary's son.
10:19Clint and especially Matt LaFleur really believed in kind of varying up the types of actions in their offense.
10:25So it wasn't just wide zone that led to a boot.
10:28You have stuff like this where, okay, we're running a counter action.
10:32And the pull key from the guard is going to move the linebackers to one direction.
10:36And we're going to have the angle of the back, the angle of departure of the back, keep those linebackers flowing in that direction.
10:44This tight end's looking like he's advancing up to the Mike linebacker.
10:47It just looks like a counter run. 10 times out of 10.
10:51And then he boots off of it. The tight end slips through.
10:54It's 24 yards on a deep cross. Easy peasy.
10:57But again, the field is cut in half. This is one of the limitations here.
11:01So if this like deep post or deep cross, if that comes open for a touchdown, but you're booting the other way,
11:08you can't really make that throw all the way back across the field unless you have like a Josh Allen arm.
11:14Like you have no shot. And what we've seen McVay with the Rams and LaFleur do a lot, which again, Mannion was
11:21just coaching under LaFleur, is they believe in play action off of man blocking concepts, like just vertical drops that keeps you
11:27in the pocket and able to access every blade of grass.
11:31We are not cutting the field in half. And if we look at this touchdown to Christian Watson, this was in 2024.
11:37Mannion was an assistant there under LaFleur. Love looking deep on first down.
11:41He's got a man out. Watson for a Packer touchdown.
11:44Look at how every single receiver is available to Jordan Love here.
11:48He can hit this deep dig. He can hit either check down in the flat.
11:52If this guy wants to pivot, he can go to the flat.
11:56Like he can hit anybody here. But again, because he's not booting and his feet are set, if he sees this alert
12:02post to Watson open, he can just hit it.
12:05And he does for a touchdown. So that's really what we're seeing evolve here in the play action game.
12:11It's not just wide zone and boots off wide zone and cutting the field in half.
12:15It's no, we are having the quarterback do a hard play action fake and be in the pocket so we can work the entire field.
12:23And that's what I think is going to be interesting to watch with Jalen Hurts as the season goes on.
12:29I think they're going to start off doing the boot game, the easy stuff that just manufactures completions, cuts the field in half.
12:36As the year goes on, we're going to see them do full field stuff off play action.
12:41And that's the true test because the best offenses in the Shanahan Kubiak cinematic universe are the ones that access every blade of grass.
12:48We'll see if they can get there. Jalen's been awesome.
12:51You know, I really think he can do anything we ask of him.
12:55He's accurate. He's a great athlete. Yeah, no, I'm fascinated to see Jalen Hurts' progression throughout the season because I agree with you.
13:02I think that there's going to be a lot of takes on the Eagles offense early on just because there always is.
13:08Everybody's very excited for the new football season, especially when you have changes at coordinator and quarterback and things like that.
13:14But I do agree with you. Like, this is going to be an offense that's supposed to evolve.
13:20And ideally, they would like for it to evolve to the end of the year.
13:24But sometimes it takes an evolution, you know, multiple years.
13:27Maybe it's something that, like, okay, now it takes a little bit of offseason.
13:31So we'll see how quickly, you know, Hurts and Mannion are really in sync and can really line it up here.
13:38Obviously, not having AJ Brown on the team either is going to totally change their philosophy of how they want to push
13:44the ball down the field, how they want to emphasize it, all that kinds of stuff.
13:49But, yeah, I think that that's going to be a fascinating development there to see what Hurts is like in the early
13:56weeks and then how much maybe they can expand the buffet.
13:59Buffet, if you – I couldn't even say, like, a plate because it feels like what Mannion is doing is it's going to be multiple plates.
14:07And we've all been there before. You go to a buffet, it's not just one plate, right?
14:12You didn't pay for that. You paid for multiple plates.
14:15Three sides minimum, baby. Correct, correct. I'm going to go to go ball this time.
14:19We've got to take what they give us. Let's move on to the next question here because we've got a couple more
14:26that we really want to get to. This is from Anthony.
14:29He said, I would love an episode about unheralded game changers such as defensive tackles that seal a gap and fundamentally change
14:36how defenses operate or blocking tight ends that changes the complexion of the run game.
14:40Yeah, I mean, this is a fascinating question. And to be honest with you, I think that everyone in the football world
14:47that follows NFL football specifically wants the answer to this question, Brett, right?
14:50Not just fans, but also coaches, right? Coaches are trying to figure out, okay, what is the next little margin that we can steal here and there?
14:58And a lot of times it is in the run game because we were in such a pass-heavy league over the last,
15:05what, four or five years it felt like, especially when quarterbacks were really tearing up single high defenses when that was in vogue.
15:12And now we've moved more towards, okay, now a lot of teams are basically playing these two high defenses because we're trying to slow down these alien quarterbacks.
15:20And now you're trying to steal a little bit of an advantage somewhere else.
15:24I'll start with tight ends because I'm fascinated. Just as a draft guy, I'm so fascinated at the emphasis, I think, on
15:31the position in free agency, but also in the draft, right?
15:34I think that a lot of people, myself included, were freaking out about the Nate Borkercher selections, you know, when he was taken.
15:41With the 56th pick in the 2026 NFL draft, the Jacksonville Jaguars select Nate Borkercher.
15:46Tight end, Texas A&M. I remember your reaction. That was great.
15:49I might pay for that one, but hey, I've said before, if it works out, then I'm going to be the first
15:55one to be like, okay, that was awesome because I love when general managers can zag when everybody else is taken and obviously it works out for them.
16:04But tight end feels like one of those positions where you're really gaining an advantage.
16:08Two guys that I want to point out here that are game changers in the run game, Jackson Hawes for the Buffalo Bills and Charlie Kohler.
16:16When you look at NGS, highest run rate when these players are on the field, minimum 300 snaps.
16:21Jackson Hawes, it's 74.6%. Charlie Kohler, it's 71.1%. So it's almost like these teams know they're not really fooling anybody.
16:27They're just ready to execute. Like, that's it. And I think for both of these tight ends, you look at things, especially
16:34in the red zone, the heavier you can get in the red zone while also still remaining a little bit of a
16:40passing threat, that is a thing of beauty, right?
16:43And I think if you go back two years ago in Buffalo, they were one of the top teams, might have even
16:50been the top team in terms of usage of six offensive linemen on the field.
16:54They really loved having that extra OT because no disrespect to the existing Bills tight ends at the time, they weren't getting
17:01it done as blockers in the run game. So they really liked having six offensive linemen on the field.
17:06And then they get Jackson Hawes and magically they just stopped doing it, right?
17:11I think we might see a similar thing with Houston this year.
17:14They were a big six offensive lineman team last year because their existing tight ends, again, no disrespect to Dalton Schultz.
17:20If you're looking at the cutups of Dalton Schultz run blocking, not exactly ideal.
17:25Now you draft Marlon Klein, who's this big, strong tight end out of Michigan.
17:29They think he can be a true why for them.
17:32Maybe that'll impact the six offensive line rate in Houston.
17:35And that might have also just been a contributing factor to all these teams drafting tight ends.
17:40Like one of the most tight end heavy drafts I've ever seen.
17:43And I've covered this for a long time. The 59 pick for the Houston Texans.
17:48They select Marlon Klein, tight end, University of Michigan.
17:51I think it's because a lot of teams realized that these not small, but more slender tight ends that are basically just big slot receivers.
17:58Like they're not getting it done in the run game.
18:01We got to draft real why tight ends and they were flying off the board.
18:05Yeah. I mean the game it's, it's math. Like this entire sport is math.
18:10I mean, going back to the RPO thing, deciding whether to give it or give it off to the running back or throw the screen.
18:17It's literally a math equation. Do I have a numbers advantage outside or inside?
18:21And when you have a defensive tackle that gives you a math advantage, in the box, like if you can have even
18:28numbers in the box, but not really because one guy is worth one and a half, sometimes even two, if it's like
18:34a crazy elite DT, then you're winning the math equation every single snap.
18:38And that's going to, you know, really cascade into longer downs and distances.
18:42Typically most people would just look at it and say it's a lighter grouping, but they are really able to impose their will and dictate the terms.
18:50And it's why they're arguably, you know, the best defense in the league.
18:54For a lot of DCs, how they get to third and long doesn't matter.
18:58But their goal is to get to third and long because the average conversion rate of, say, third and one to three
19:05is, you know, quote unquote, relatively high. And then third medium is lower.
19:09Third and long falls off a cliff. Like you just need to get to third and seven plus by whatever means necessary.
19:15And for a lot of teams now, especially the ones that are playing mostly nickel, it's, I need to have a defensive
19:22tackle and I can put it at two eye.
19:24Yep. Two eye meaning line up on the inside shoulder of the guard.
19:28That's different than a one technique, which is lined up on the shoulder of the center.
19:33Right? So if you're looking at a two eye, I need somebody who can be there.
19:38Doesn't matter body type. We're looking for skillset. They need to win that one-on-one with the guard specifically in the run game.
19:44And if we can stop the run, you know, statistically speaking, we're going to get to third and long more often.
19:51And as long as we're like an average defense on third and long, we're going to get off the field a lot, give ourselves more possessions.
19:58So I want to show you what this looks like using two different body types, two different eras even, because this is not a new thing.
20:06This transcends era. This is Pat Williams from 2006.
20:09You guys remember the Williams wall? Basically led the NFL in having the best run defense for a half decade straight.
20:15Having Pat Williams and Kevin Williams there. This is Pat Williams lined up as a two eye.
20:20Again, on the inside shoulder of the guard. The reason why they put him there and the reason why offenses hate the
20:27two eye is because it forces a one-on-one through alignment.
20:30When you have a defensive tackle at a two eye, the center is not really going to combo this.
20:35He might give you a little jab. He might give you a little hand.
20:40But they're not really going to do a true combo.
20:43He's going to trust, which is a tall order against Pat Williams, he's going to trust the guard to win the one-on-one.
20:49If he was lined up on the center shoulder, okay, now we're going to combo this thing because he's kind of more in between us.
20:57But if he's more shaded to the guard, that's going to be a one-on-one by design.
21:01Defenses know that. So they're going to put him there to force that one-on-one.
21:06And when the center just gives that little jab and says, good luck, buddy, I'm going to go up to the linebacker,
21:12the guard gets completely trampled by Pat Williams, turns into a TFL.
21:16That is why that spot matters. And the fact that Pat Williams, who I think was listed at 315, but let's be honest, it was like 335.
21:24I was going to say, it's spelled 315. That's a skinny 315 right there.
21:28I think they were screwing with us listing him at 315.
21:31But if you look at Byron Murphy, who is a legit 310-ish on his best day, the Seahawks last year did the same thing with him.
21:39Why? Because it transcends body type. It's more about skill set.
21:42And Byron Murphy is incredibly hard to uproot. He might be the lightest nose tackle I've ever seen.
21:48But you can put him at that 2Y. He's going to win that one-on-one.
21:52He's going to get us TFLs. And he's going to get us into third and long, which is where we could do
21:58all the crazy stunts and blitzes that Seattle likes to do.
22:02Bada bing, bada boom. We're the best defense in the NFL.
22:05That specific spot is worth everything to a defense.
22:08And the fact that you have edge rushers paid $50 million a year to win on third down, but they're not actually
22:14getting to third down without those guys is a total injustice to me.
22:18Yeah. Yeah. Dude, I remember when Murphy was coming out of Texas, one of the best corkscrew technique undersized nose tackles I've ever scouted.
22:25It was just so unbelievable how he was able to control the line of scrimmage.
22:30So he had the explosiveness, but also the run defense stuff.
22:33So all we got to do, go out there and dominate and be us.
22:37This show is going to be coming to you guys during the season twice a week.
22:42So make sure you subscribe to the channel because we would love to have you every single show, every single week.
22:48Our season preview show, September 4th. That's when that's coming to you.
22:52And normally these episodes are going to be somewhere around an hour, maybe a little bit less.
22:57But that season preview show, right? You know how it goes.
23:00We got a lot of things to cover. We're going to be talking about, of course, like what a lot of people
23:07were talking about with the season awards, how we think the teams are going to do, who's going to win the Super Bowl, all that great stuff.
23:15But hopefully you could tell from this show, we're going to get a lot more into the weeds, what personnel and what
23:21trends and everything that we think could be happening in the 2026 season.
23:25We're going to look at some old faces and new places there with some teams.
23:30We're going to talk about some secret superstars, all that great stuff.
23:33So make sure you guys tuning in on September 4th.
23:36Appreciate you watching this first episode of the NFL Pro Show.
23:39For everybody behind the camera making it happen, for Brett Coleman, I'm Trevor Sikkim and saying, see you in the next episode.