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First Class Fantasy - Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings - QB, RB, WR & TE - Starts, Sits & Sleepers

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

1 hr 18 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Sep 11, 2026
Published
Fri, September 11, 2026
143
Player insights
94
Players mentioned
Topics
A.J. BrownChris GodwinJalen HurtsMike EvansChris OlaveDavid MontgomeryJayden DanielsJuwan JohnsonKyler MurrayMatthew StaffordMichael MayerBrock BowersBucky IrvingCeeDee Lamb
Player analysis

Player insights

143

A.J. Brown

NegativeInjury3:54

A.J. Brown suffered a high ankle sprain in Week 1, creating injury concern throughout the day.

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NegativeInjury46:25

AJ Brown is expected to miss time due to injury; the source advises owners not to overreact and to remain active on waivers rather than panic-trade or panic-drop.

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NegativeInjury48:14

Suffered injury in Week 1; source emphasizes importance of monitoring bench players for potential elevation to starter role, using AJ Brown as cautionary example of unexpected injury impact.

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NegativeInjury51:22

A.J. Brown suffered a high ankle sprain and is expected to miss approximately three to six weeks. The source advises fantasy managers to expect the next month without A.J. Brown and to be happy if they have IR spots on their team.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveProjection49:29

Ranked as wide receiver three overall; source expresses aggressive confidence in ranking, aligning with preseason rankings; playing Saints with favorable schedule.

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Baker Mayfield

PositiveMatchup29:05

The source ranks Baker Mayfield at QB9 and strongly prefers him over Kyler Murray for week 1, citing his matchup against Cincinnati in a game with the highest total of the week at 50.5 points; the source explicitly states 'I would roll personally with Baker Mayfield' in a shootout scenario.

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Blake Corum

PositiveMatchup28:26

The source identifies Blake Corum as a ground-game option for the Rams in Week 1 against San Francisco, suggesting the run-heavy game script against the 49ers' weak defense makes him an attractive avenue to attack.

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Bo Nix

NegativeProjection27:22

The source ranks Bo Nix at 19th among quarterbacks for Week 1, explicitly stating he is not high on Nix despite being called a homer; this represents a cautious stance on the rookie quarterback.

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Brock Bowers

NegativeInjury8:00

Underwent meniscus surgery, which removed him from Week 1 consideration and opened the door for Michael Mayer to be plugged in as a top-10 tight end play.

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NegativeInjury48:14

Referenced as example of unexpected injury impact; source emphasizes importance of monitoring bench players for potential elevation to starter role.

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Brock Purdy

PositiveProjection74:24

The source prefers Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray this week, ranking Purdy 7-14 at QB. Purdy has been in his offense consistently and is set up better. The source recommends Purdy for safety and shorty, especially if favored or in an even matchup.

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Bucky Irving

PositiveMatchup31:46

The source ranks Bucky Irving at RB18 (middle RB2) and prefers him over Cam Scadaboo for week 1, citing a better matchup and more points in the game; the source explicitly states 'I'm going to go with Bucky Irving. I think the matchup is better. I think there's more points in this game.'

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PositiveValue35:00

Bucky Irving is ranked number twenty-one among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler; the analysts prefer Bucky Irving slightly ahead of Cam Akers, with both players in similar ranking positions but Irving favored in the analysts' personal rankings.

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Caleb Douglas

NegativeDepth Chart47:37

Layered wide receiver option to stash on bench; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to top receivers, similar to handcuffing strategy in running backs.

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Caleb Williams

PositiveMatchup22:31

the source identifies Caleb Williams as having a 'sneaky shootout' matchup against the Carolina Panthers.

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Cam Akers

NegativeProjection35:00

Cam Akers is ranked number twenty among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler; the source notes that PlayerProfiler and the analysts have Cam Akers and Bucky Irving in similar ranking positions, with the analysts preferring Bucky Irving slightly ahead.

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CeeDee Lamb

PositiveProjection50:14

Ranked as wide receiver six overall; playing Giants in Week 1.

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PositiveProjection51:10

CeeDee Lamb is ranked 11th overall at wide receiver in Week 1. The source notes that Lamb and George Pickens, both wide receiver ones, could be flip-flopped easily but should both be safely placed in the top 12.

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Chase Brown

PositiveProjection31:46

A caller identifies Chase Brown as their RB1 for week 1, indicating confidence in his week 1 production.

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NegativeProjection35:00

Chase Brown is ranked number four among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Chris Bell

NegativeDepth Chart47:37

Layered wide receiver option to stash on bench; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to top receivers, similar to handcuffing strategy in running backs.

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Chris Godwin

PositiveValue1:21

The source highlights Chris Godwin as a preferred target for PrizePix lineups in Week 1, specifically calling out receptions and receiving yards as the play: 'I'm always going more on Chris Godwin's receptions and receiving yards. That's my guy.'

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PositiveProjection11:09

Source ranks Godwin at 28 in weekly rankings and 31st overall at PlayerProfiler; source prefers Godwin over Evans in a vacuum due to juicy Bengals matchup (50.5 over-under); Godwin has risen for the right reasons in draft capital; offers PPR goodness but source chooses Evans for this week due to touchdown upside; Bengals matchup provides shootout potential.

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PositiveMatchup74:03

The source prefers Godwin over DJ Moore this week, citing the Bills matchup as favorable. Josh Allen can play out of structure, and Godwin fits that style. The Buccaneers-Bengals game has a 50.5 over-under in optimal conditions.

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PositiveProjection75:34

The source ranks Godwin ahead of Stribling and Montgomery in a full PPR flex decision, though Montgomery is preferred for volume. Godwin is the second choice in the trio.

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Chris Olave

PositiveProjection50:48

Ranked as wide receiver nine overall; playing Detroit in Week 1 shootout matchup.

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PositiveProjection51:01

Chris Alave is ranked ninth overall at wide receiver in Week 1, with the source expressing love for him and noting a shootout matchup against Detroit.

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PositiveRole71:30

The source ranks Olave as the number one receiver for the Saints with no Jordan Tyson, and prefers Olave over Drake London. Olave is expected to be a round-one player next year but is available at the back end of round two or early round three, representing value.

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Christian McCaffrey

NegativeProjection35:00

Christian McCaffrey is ranked number three among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Christian Watson

PositiveProjection46:30

Christian Watson is recommended as a hold rather than a trade target; the source is not concerned about his outlook and advises against overreacting to AJ Brown's injury situation.

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NegativeProjection52:18

Christian Watson is ranked 17th overall at wide receiver in Week 1.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveProjection56:36

Colson Loveland is ranked tight end one in source's personal rankings. Faces Carolina Panthers in Week 1. Source is very high on this play and recommends getting Loveland in lineups.

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Cooper Kupp

NegativeUsage5:09

Cooper Cupp went 2 for 35 yards in Week 1 but appeared more involved than Rashid Shaheed; he had a touchdown pass that was called back, suggesting more offensive involvement than the stat line indicates.

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D.J. Moore

NegativeMatchup74:03

The source does not love DJ Moore in the Bills matchup, describing it as very physical and not well-suited for Moore's style. Structured routes are not Moore's game, and the Bills defense can make that difficult.

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D'Andre Swift

NegativeProjection35:00

DeAndre Swift is ranked number nineteen among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Dak Prescott

PositiveProjection22:10

the source expects Dak Prescott to 'crush' the New York Giants defense this week.

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Dallas Goedert

PositiveProjection57:24

Dallas Goedert ranked tight end nine with a great matchup against the Washington Commanders in Week 1.

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Dalton Kincaid

NegativeProjection58:12

Dalton Kincaid ranked tight end thirteen in source's Week 1 rankings.

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David Montgomery

NegativeProjection35:00

David Montgomery is ranked number twenty-two among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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PositiveUsage66:08

The source prefers Montgomery over Mike Evans in flex play due to volume; expects Montgomery to touch the ball 15-18 times against Buffalo's defense. The source values the guaranteed role and shorty of Montgomery's touches over Evans' ceiling volatility.

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PositiveRole67:00

The source does not buy into Woody Marks as a threat to Montgomery's role; emphasizes Montgomery has the guarantee of his role and shorty of touches, making him a safer play than Evans despite Evans' ceiling upside.

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De'Von Achane

NegativeProjection35:00

Devon Achane is ranked number six among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Deebo Samuel

PositiveMatchup32:40

Debo Samuel is favored over Jaylen Stripling in Week 1 due to matchup advantages; the Buccaneers added cornerbacks Watson and McDuffie from the Chiefs, which should funnel targets to Samuel on the inside for short-area work rather than pushing Stripling to the outside where elite corners will be. Samuel's veteran status and established rapport with Kyle Shanahan make him the safer Week 1 play.

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PositiveProjection34:00

Debo Samuel is identified as a sneaky touchdown play in Week 1; the source expects Kyle Shanahan to draw up intentional red-zone plays for Samuel around the 10-yard line, leveraging their established bond and game-plan familiarity. This design is not expected to be immediately available for rookie Jaylen Stripling, making Samuel a candidate to score 10+ fantasy points.

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DeVonta Smith

NegativeProjection51:37

Devonta Smith faces a cake matchup against Washington in Week 1. The source raises the question of whether he will be the JSN (Jalen Sanett-like breakout) this year, suggesting uncertainty about his ceiling.

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DK Metcalf

PositiveMatchup67:00

The source calls DK Metcalf a slam dunk start against Washington this week, indicating strong confidence in the matchup.

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Drake London

NegativeProjection51:43

Drake London is ranked 15th overall at wide receiver in Week 1 against Pittsburgh's vaunted defense. The source notes that while the Dolphins have talent (Pitts, Bijon, London), quarterback issues are making them a tough and good offense to target defensively, suggesting the matchup is not favorable.

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NegativeValue71:30

The source notes Drake London will present a great buying opportunity after the first couple of weeks due to current fear around Michael Penix's readiness. London is expected to be a round-one player next year but is available at the back end of round two or early round three, making him a potential buy-low candidate.

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Drake Maye

NegativeProjection24:24

the source ranks Drake May at QB18, indicating a low projection for the rookie quarterback this week.

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Drew Lock

PositiveProjection4:00

Drew Locke started poorly but settled in as the game progressed after Sam Darnold went down; he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards. Despite the difficult situation of a first-time offensive coordinator and backup quarterback against a Super Bowl team in Week 1, Locke played well overall.

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Emmett Johnson

NegativeDepth Chart48:03

Stashed upside cuff option at running back; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to primary backs.

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Garrett Wilson

PositiveProjection50:48

Ranked as wide receiver ten overall; expected to perform well against Tennessee in Week 1.

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PositiveProjection51:05

Garrett Wilson is ranked tenth overall at wide receiver in Week 1, with the source noting he is expected to 'go off' against Tennessee.

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George Holani

NegativeRole4:48

George Helani recorded 8 carries for 29 yards in Week 1, continuing the pattern of limited efficiency seen in the prior year; he showed less pop and burst compared to Jardarian Price in the same backfield.

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George Kittle

NegativeProjection57:57

George Kittle ranked tight end twelve but source is bearish on him due to unknown factors surrounding his return tonight. Source expresses uncertainty about what will happen with his playing time and role.

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NegativeProjection75:21

The source prefers Michael Mayer over George Kittle this week, with PlayerProfiler rankings and Jeremiah in agreement.

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George Pickens

PositiveProjection51:10

Ranked as wide receiver twelve overall in Week 1.

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PositiveProjection51:10

George Pickens is ranked 12th overall at wide receiver in Week 1. The source notes that Pickens and CeeDee Lamb, both wide receiver ones, could be flip-flopped easily but should both be safely placed in the top 12.

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Isaiah Likely

PositiveProjection58:17

Isaiah Likely ranked tight end fourteen. Source notes that if there's any bearishness on Malik Neighbors, the other side of that game (Sunday night football) will benefit Likely. Likely and Jake Ferguson are a toss-up for the Sunday night game.

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Ja'Marr Chase

PositiveValue30:53

Ranked as wide receiver four overall; source advises staying pat with Jamar Chase rather than downgrading to Christian Watson and Jalen McMillan, indicating strong confidence in his Week 1 performance.

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PositiveValue46:03

In a trade scenario where a team has depth at wide receiver, Jamar Chase is the preferred target over Christian Watson and Ted McMillan as a package deal; the source would 'absolutely take Jamar Chase' if roster depth allows.

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Jadarian Price

PositiveRole3:54

Jardarian Price impressed on the eye test with 10 carries for 52 yards (5.2 YPC, 13-yard long) and 2 receptions for 6 yards; he showed more pop, burst, and run-finishing ability than George Helani. Price is positioned as the preferred back in the Seahawks backfield and should be rostered as an RB2 despite the low-scoring game flow (13-10), with potential for spike weeks given the backfield's value.

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NegativeProjection5:57

Scored only 7 points in Week 1 despite being drafted as an RB2 in many lineups. The source expresses frustration with the performance, noting that while a 7-point floor is acceptable for an RB2 in a well-structured roster, it raises concern if Price was drafted as an RB1. The Patriots' run defense proved stronger than expected due to additions like Draymond Jones and the return of Milton Williams, who significantly impacts the defense's effectiveness.

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Jake Ferguson

NegativeProjection58:27

Jake Ferguson ranked tight end fifteen in source's Week 1 rankings. Ferguson and Isaiah Likely are a toss-up for the Sunday night football game.

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Jalen Coker

PositiveSleeper53:14

Jalen Coker is identified as a sleeper play for Week 1. The source notes that both he and Pete were starting Jalen Coker in the 350 NFFC tournament and had good conversation about attacking the Bears defense, suggesting confidence in the pick.

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PositiveProjection55:02

Source ranks Jalen Coker at 25 overall in Player Profiler rankings; personal ranking at 36. Coker is being started over BTJ (ranked 40) this week. Source is very confident in this start decision.

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Jalen Hurts

NegativeProjection3:29

JSN (Jalen Hurts) recorded 8 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown in Week 1, demonstrating strong early-season performance.

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NegativeProjection21:23

Jalen Hurts was mentioned in the context of Week 1 fantasy performance and quarterback rankings, though specific projection or performance details were not provided in this excerpt.

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PositiveMatchup22:15

the source highlights Jalen Hurts as a strong play against the Commanders' 'Swiss cheese defense'.

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PositiveProjection26:52

The source ranks Jalen Hurts at 6th among quarterbacks for Week 1, citing a 50-point over-under game total that favors both him and Saquon Barkley; the high game total and offensive firepower support the elevated ranking.

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Jalen McMillan

NegativeInjury46:15

Expected to play in Week 1; injury status was monitored as potential depth chart catalyst for receivers like Ted Hurst if unavailable.

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Jalin Hyatt

PositiveProjection49:17

Scored touchdowns in Week 1; expected to finish as a safe wide receiver one depending on Week 1 performance.

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James Cook

NegativeProjection35:00

James Cook is ranked number ten among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Jameson Williams

NegativeProjection53:06

Jameson Williams is ranked 23rd overall at wide receiver in Week 1.

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Jared Goff

PositiveProjection21:42

the source ranks Jared Goff at QB5, noting that despite game script concerns when teams are ahead, the Lions continue to push the offense aggressively regardless of lead size, making Goff a strong play.

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Javonte Williams

NegativeProjection35:00

Javante Williams is ranked number twelve among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

PositiveProjection4:12

JSN delivered strong Week 1 production with 8 receptions for 122 yards and a touchdown, meeting or exceeding expectations in his return to action.

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Jayden Daniels

NegativeProjection21:28

One the source ranks Jaden Daniels at QB20, significantly lower than PlayerProfiler rankings, citing concerns about the Eagles' offensive line quality seen in preseason and practices, as well as questions about his maturity and focus; another the source had him ranked at QB15 and is 'really, really worried' about the offensive line issues and Daniels' readiness, though acknowledges holding exposure across dynasty and best ball formats.

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NegativeProjection25:22

The source holds significant Jayden Daniels exposure across dynasty and best ball formats and has been bullish since his rookie season, but expresses concern about his maturity and focus heading into Week 1 against Philadelphia's defense; the key question is whether he will be 'locked in' or vulnerable to getting 'hit in the mouth' by a strong Eagles defense.

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NegativeMatchup67:10

The source ranks Daniels 15th at QB and believes he is in trouble against the Philadelphia Eagles defense, indicating concern about the matchup.

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Jaylen Waddle

NegativeProjection52:51

Jalen Waddle is ranked 21st overall at wide receiver in Week 1 against the Chiefs with a lower total of the game (44.5). The source notes they are 'high on' Waddle but the ranking reflects the less favorable matchup and game total.

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Jaylen Warren

NegativeProjection35:00

Jaylen Warren is ranked number eighteen among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Jeremiyah Love

NegativeProjection0:09

Jeremiah Love ranked 41st in the source's running back rankings for Week 1 against the Chargers; one the source has him at 28th but views him as a flex play at best due to game script concerns. Arizona is a 9.5–10.5 point underdog, likely to play from behind in a pass-heavy script, which limits Love's upside.

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Joe Burrow

PositiveMatchup29:28

The source ranks Joe Burrow at QB7 and identifies him as part of a two-game shootout slate (Bengals-Buccaneers and Saints-Lions); the source explicitly states 'I would roll personally with Baker Mayfield' and Joe Burrow in these shootout conditions, placing both in the top 11 QBs for the week.

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Jonah Coleman

NegativeDepth Chart48:03

Stashed upside cuff option at running back; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to primary backs.

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Jonathan Taylor

NegativeProjection35:00

Jonathan Taylor is ranked number five among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Josh Allen

PositiveProjection12:57

One the source ranks Josh Allen at QB1 despite PlayerProfiler having him at four, citing Buffalo's aggressive game plan and preparation time against Houston's defense; another the source has him at QB8 due to floor concerns against the Texans' ability to disrupt game flow, but views this as a 'get back game' where Allen should perform well given the offense's offseason adjustments and Joe Brady's scheme refinement.

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Justin Herbert

PositiveRole71:30

The source ranks Herbert as the number one receiver for the Chargers, indicating his primary role in the offense.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveProjection50:14

Ranked as wide receiver seven overall; playing Green Bay in Week 1.

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Juwan Johnson

PositiveProjection9:15

Ranked as tight end 6 by one source and tight end 5 by another, positioned ahead of Michael Mayer. Johnson benefits from a favorable matchup against the Detroit Lions in Week 1, with a high over-under total and indoor stadium conditions (both teams are indoor). The source emphasizes Johnson's receiver background and the 'golden game' setup, making him the preferred play over Mayer for Week 1.

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PositiveProjection10:22

Ranked as tight end 5 this week by the source; positioned ahead of PlayerProfiler's official ranking (11th) due to favorable matchup against Lions; source notes Johnson is in a really good position to play catch-up if Lions put foot on throttle, with indoor game providing additional advantage.

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PositiveProjection57:47

Jawan Johnson ranked tight end eleven. Source prefers Johnson over Michael Mayer but wouldn't fault someone for believing in Mayer's payoff in managed and dynasty leagues.

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Kenneth Gainwell

PositiveRole32:11

The source identifies Kenneth Gainwell as a good flex play for week 1; the source notes that without Gainwell's role, Bucky Irving would rank much higher, suggesting Gainwell has meaningful touches/role in the Eagles offense.

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Kenneth Walker III

NegativeProjection35:00

Kenneth Walker is ranked number eight among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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NegativeProjection44:02

Walker ranked 14th among running backs for Week 1; the source notes volume is more important than efficiency at the position and feels his ranking is appropriate given higher upside plays available this week, though this is a weekly decision rather than a full-season fade.

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Kyle Pitts

NegativeProjection56:53

Kyle Pitts ranked number three overall at tight end against the Steelers. Source notes this is a pretty high ranking and expresses uncertainty about the ranking.

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Kyler Murray

NegativeProjection29:09

PlayerProfiler rankings have Kyler Murray at QB7, but the source ranks him at QB15 and later at QB18 as a middling QB2 option; the source notes Jonathan Gannon (now Packers defensive coordinator) knows Murray very well from his time as Cardinals head coach, which may impact the matchup; however, the source also expresses optimism that Murray should 'return to form this year' and 'ought to do it in the Dome' with perfect conditions.

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PositiveMatchup50:19

Ranked as quarterback seven overall on PlayerProfiler; positioned in stack with Justin Jefferson against Green Bay.

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NegativeMatchup74:24

The source has concern with Kyler Murray in the matchup against Gannon's defense. However, if playing as an underdog and needing an upside swing, Murray could be considered. PlayerProfiler ranks Murray 7-14 at QB.

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Kyren Williams

PositiveMatchup28:26

The source identifies Kyron Williams as a ground-game option for the Rams in Week 1 against San Francisco, suggesting the run-heavy game script against the 49ers' weak defense makes him an attractive avenue to attack.

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NegativeProjection35:00

Kyren Williams is ranked number thirteen among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Lamar Jackson

PositiveMatchup4:55

Ranked as quarterback seven overall on PlayerProfiler; source is very high on him; positioned in stack with Zay Flowers against Colts secondary.

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PositiveProjection22:02

One the source ranks Lamar Jackson as QB1 this week, citing a favorable matchup against the Colts secondary.

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Malik Willis

PositiveSleeper24:33

the source has Malik Willis ranked inside the top 12 at QB10 against the Raiders defense, positioning him as a sneaky play.

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PositiveMatchup26:01

The source identifies Week 1 as a favorable spot for Malik Willis, noting that if there's ever a week where Willis 'really hits,' this would be it, suggesting strong matchup appeal against the Raiders or Dolphins.

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Mark Andrews

NegativeProjection57:07

Mark Andrews ranked tight end five in source's Week 1 rankings.

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Matthew Stafford

PositiveProjection22:15

the source projects Matthew Stafford will 'absolutely eat' with 300–350 passing yards this week.

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NegativeProjection28:15

The source ranks Matthew Stafford at 17th among quarterbacks for Week 1 against San Francisco, citing concerns that the 49ers' defense will be 'really, really bad' with only two healthy defensive ends; this defensive weakness is expected to make the game run-heavy, limiting Stafford's passing volume and ceiling.

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NegativeProjection28:52

Stafford is presented as a hedge play rather than a ceiling play; the source suggests pairing him with a secondary option like Pukunukua to manage risk, implying limited upside in his matchup.

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Michael Mayer

PositiveProjection8:00

Ranked as tight end 10 in the source's personal rankings and as a top-10 play for Week 1. The source ranks him at tight end 9, ahead of Travis Kelce, due to a favorable matchup against the Dolphins in Week 1. Despite general pessimism about the Raiders and Dolphins this season, the source sees Week 1 as an opportunity for both teams' players to produce, with Mayer positioned to 'smash' against Miami.

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NegativeProjection57:32

Michael Mayer ranked tight end ten. Source notes this ranking was done reactively in real time and mentions not faulting someone for believing in the payoff of Mayer in managed and dynasty leagues.

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PositiveProjection75:21

The source prefers Michael Mayer over George Kittle this week. PlayerProfiler rankings and Jeremiah agree with the Mayer preference.

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Mike Evans

PositiveProjection11:09

Source ranks Evans at 23 in weekly rankings and 22 overall at PlayerProfiler; prefers Evans over Godwin for Week 1 start despite Rams' fortified secondary; cites touchdown equity and PPR value; notes Evans was drafted in round four but source emphasizes touchdown upside over Godwin's PPR goodness for this specific week.

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NegativeProjection53:02

Mike Evans is mentioned in the Week 1 wide receiver rankings but no specific rank or context is provided in the transcript.

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NegativeMatchup66:08

The source does not love Evans' matchup this week and notes his ceiling is volatile. While Evans has an incredible ceiling, the source prefers to wait a few days and get the shorty of Montgomery instead.

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PositiveProjection75:02

The source prefers Mike Evans over BTJ in full PPR, though notes not loving either guy. Evans is the preferred option between the two.

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Nico Collins

PositiveProjection50:40

Ranked as wide receiver eight overall; source expresses aggressive confidence in ranking; playing Bills defense that is not as strong as Texans; benefits from truncated target share with Jaden Higgins gone; source believes he has been forgotten about and will remind people how good he is.

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PositiveBreakout50:57

The source expects Nico Collins to have a strong week, describing the matchup as 'a buffet' and stating he has 'been forgotten about' but will 'remind people how good he is.'

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Puka Nacua

PositiveMatchup28:15

The source mentions Puka Nacua as a hedge option in the Rams-49ers matchup, suggesting he can 'eat' in the game but may not reach his ceiling due to the expected run-heavy game script against San Francisco's weak defense.

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PositiveProjection49:08

Ranked as wide receiver one overall on PlayerProfiler; expected to play in Week 1 with strong performance potential.

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Quinshon Judkins

NegativeProjection35:00

Quinchon Judkins is ranked number twenty-three among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Rashid Shaheed

NegativeUsage5:09

Rashid Shaheed recorded only 1 catch for 4 yards in Week 1, appearing less involved in the offense than Cooper Cupp despite expectations.

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NegativeProjection35:00

Rhamondre Stevenson is ranked number eleven among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Rico Dowdle

PositiveSleeper7:18

The source mentions Dowdle as a player they 'love so much' in the context of zero-RB draft strategies, suggesting he was a successful pivot away from early-round running backs in Week 1.

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Romeo Doubs

PositiveValue47:16

Romeo Doubs had a poor Week 0 performance but is viewed as significantly better than his tape suggests; the source recommends acquiring him cheaply as a plug-and-play option for AJ Brown owners, calling it 'the biggest blessing' for teams with Brown.

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PositiveValue47:41

Available on waivers at a very cheap acquisition cost; positioned as a plug-and-play option for AJ Brown teams seeking receiver depth after Brown's injury.

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Sam Darnold

PositiveMatchup1:27

Sam Darnold is positioned as an easy Week 1 play against New England, needing just one yard to cash his PrizePix pick: 'Sam Darnold is everyone's guy because he needs just one yard against New England to cash his pick. It doesn't get any easier than that.'

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Sam LaPorta

NegativeProjection9:15

Mentioned as ranked ahead of Juwan Johnson at tight end, with Johnson positioned just behind him in the rankings.

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NegativeProjection57:12

Sam Laporta ranked tight end six in source's Week 1 rankings.

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Saquon Barkley

NegativeProjection35:00

Saquon Barkley is ranked number seven among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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Ted Hurst

NegativeDepth Chart47:37

Layered wide receiver option to stash on bench; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to top receivers, similar to handcuffing strategy in running backs.

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Tee Higgins

PositiveValue52:45

Tee Higgins is ranked 20th overall at wide receiver in Week 1 in a shootout matchup. The source describes this ranking as 'a bargain,' suggesting the ranking is too low relative to the matchup quality.

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Terry McLaurin

NegativeProjection52:26

Terry McLaurin is ranked 19th overall at wide receiver in Week 1 by PlayerProfiler, but the source has him at 26th. The source cites a really tough matchup against Philadelphia and a new offense with David Blau, suggesting there's a possibility they get off to a slow start, making him a downgrade from the PlayerProfiler ranking.

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Travis Etienne

NegativeProjection35:00

Travis Etienne is ranked number seventeen among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

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PositiveMatchup44:07

Travis Etienne has a very favorable Week 1 matchup against Detroit; the source preferred him over Kenneth Walker in rankings.

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Travis Kelce

NegativeProjection9:15

Ranked below Michael Mayer in Week 1 rankings, with Mayer positioned at tight end 9 ahead of Kelce.

Insight page

Tre Harris

NegativeDepth Chart47:37

Layered wide receiver option to stash on bench; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to top receivers, similar to handcuffing strategy in running backs.

Insight page

Trevor Lawrence

PositiveProjection28:15

The source ranks Trevor Lawrence at 7th among quarterbacks for Week 1 against Cleveland, preferring him over Matthew Stafford despite the Browns' tough defense; the Jaguars are 8.5-point favorites with a 40.5 over-under, positioning Lawrence to capture most of the game's scoring.

Insight page
PositiveProjection67:10

The source ranks Trevor Lawrence 14th at QB with a low over-under of 40.5 points against the Browns, indicating confidence in his scoring potential.

Insight page

Trey McBride

NegativeProjection57:07

Trey McBride ranked tight end four in source's Week 1 rankings.

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Tucker Kraft

NegativeProjection57:17

Tucker Kraft ranked tight end eight in source's Week 1 rankings.

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Tyler Warren

PositiveProjection56:24

Source loves this play and ranks Tyler Warren as tight end one. Warren faces Baltimore Ravens in Week 1.

Insight page

Zay Flowers

PositiveProjection50:08

Ranked as wide receiver five overall; source is very high on him based on EPA and DVOA metrics; connected to Lamar Jackson stack against Colts secondary that gets torched; positioned to benefit from slicing and dicing opportunities.

Insight page
Full transcript

Episode Transcript

908
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1:17And you know I'm always going more on Chris Godwin's receptions and receiving yards.
1:22That's my guy. And for Week 1's opener, Sam Darnold is everyone's guy because he needs just one yard against New England to cash his pick.
1:31It doesn't get any easier than that. And the best part about PrizePix is the injury reboot.
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1:57I'll say it again. You download the app today, use code PLAYER, and you get $150 instantly in lineups if you win your first $5 lineup.
2:06PrizePix. Run your game. Week 1 is officially here.
2:09I am Pete Nova. I am joined by Coach, a.k.a.
2:12Jeremiah. And this is First Class Fantasy. We are going to go over our Week 1 rankings to help put you in
2:19the best position to win your matchups. Stay tuned.
2:22We've got a great show right here on Player Profiler.
2:26What is going on, folks? Thank you guys so much for joining us.
2:30Jeremiah, we are here. We are live. It's going to be exciting.
2:34This is going to be a show that me and you do every single week this season.
2:40And I'm excited for it. I know you're excited for it.
2:43We talked a little bit about the cadence, how we want this to go.
2:48And I think we're ready. And these things, you know, as we get through the season, Jay, there's going to be tweaks
2:55here, how we maybe present the information. But the goal today is to go over the Player Profiler rankings.
3:02Talk about my individual rankings, your individual rankings, and where maybe we defer with each other as well as maybe with the Player Profiler rankings.
3:10And we're super excited to bring that to the audience.
3:13Yeah, it's a whole lot of fun and a little bit.
3:17Not normally on a Thursday night will we have a game that had just occurred.
3:22We'll have some reflections on the prior week. As we head to Thursday, we're always thinking of the next week.
3:29But, Pete, real quick impressions last night. Fantasy-wise, guys who got there, guys who didn't, 13-10, not the best score that you want.
3:36The Patriots did cover the spread. So if you had three and a half, they covered.
3:42If it was three even, you pushed. JSN gets there, 8-122 and a touchdown.
3:46But then, talk to us, Pete, about Sam Darnold goes down.
3:50It's a Drew Locke show. How are you feeling about Seattle right now?
3:54A.J. Brown, 2, up no injured, high ankle sprain.
3:57We had a lot of worry about that throughout the whole day.
4:01Yeah, you know, to be honest, Drew Locke looked really, really bad to start the game.
4:07There was one play towards halftime, Jay, where there was a swing route to Jardarian Price, who had a convoy ahead of him.
4:15And he had yards, and I thought it was going to be a big play, and Locke overthrew him.
4:21As the game went on, though, Locke kind of settled in a little bit.
4:26Fleury, the new OC, also settled in. I mean, think about how terrible of a situation it is where you have first-time
4:33play caller with backup quarterback in the first week of the NFL season against a team that you just saw in the
4:40Super Bowl who you know is a good opponent.
4:43Thankfully, at home. And thankfully, Drew Locke came in and played really well.
4:48Looking at this game, Jay, just some quick hitters.
4:51And then I want to get some of your thoughts on the game itself.
4:55But just from an EPA standpoint, Jackson, Smith, and Jigba led the game with plus 10.72.
5:01We had eight targets, eight catches, 122 yards, 62 yards after catch.
5:05Sorry, I think he had nine targets. Drew Locke, 16-22, 187 yards passing.
5:09Obviously, he had that one catch. Cooper Cupp was kind of interesting, too, Jay.
5:14We've talked about Cupp on a couple of these best ball shows.
5:18He goes two for 35 and actually had like a 15-yard pass.
5:22I think it was 15. It might have been 10.
5:25It was a touchdown that got called back. So maybe, I mean, he looked way more involved than Rashid Shaheed, who only had one catch for four yards.
5:34And then Jardarian Price, right? 10 carries, 52 yards, two catches, six yards.
5:39Efficient day for Price. He looked really, really good, just like he belonged to Jay.
5:44But obviously, still dealing with some of what we saw last year where George Helani, eight carries, 29 yards.
5:50And similar to what we saw with Charbonnet and Kenneth Walker.
5:54Yeah, Jardarian Price, eye test, lie test. But eye test sometimes really helps us see what's evident on the field.
6:00And you just see a lot more pop, a lot more bursts, a lot more finishing of runs from Jardarian Price, then somebody like a George Helani.
6:0910 carries, 52 yards, a 13 long for Jardarian Price.
6:13I really like what he's done. And two receptions, six yards.
6:16So nothing crazy in the receiving game. But Jardarian Price, to me, looked like the back that you want.
6:23And this is one of those things where he's not going to be Jameson Williams, per se.
6:28But if you follow me on this concept, Jameson Williams, you don't bench him because you don't want to lose a war value of spike games.
6:37What's going to happen is because, Pete, this Seahawks backfield is so valuable and you'll get it's a little bit of a
6:45tougher matchup in the New England Patriots game flow to the way it went 13 to 10.
6:50It wasn't a high scoring game. You're going to get some very spike weeks out of that backfield for Seattle.
6:57And you're going to want somebody like Jardarian Price in your lineup.
7:01And fortunately, Pete, if you were drafting, essentially Jardarian Price is your RB2.
7:05So there's a lot of pressure off the shoulders.
7:08And even though it was only a seven point performance, I'm frustrated.
7:12I don't you know, I want more points. We want more points from Jardarian Price in the opening week.
7:19I feel like, hey, if you can hit the 10 mark for my RB2 and I pop everywhere else because you're structured so well, you're not really panicking.
7:28But if Jardarian Price, Pete, is your RB1, there is some cause for concern.
7:33So you're hoping maybe zero RB gets for you because there weren't many bell cow backs afterward.
7:38Maybe you hit on a Rico Dowdle. So who we love so much.
7:43So yeah, I'm kind of with you. Price. Look, we expected this.
7:47Now, a lot of people were doubting how bad the Patriots run defenses.
7:51And so people thought Price was going to smash this week.
7:55I think people forgot Draymond Jones got added to this lineup.
7:58And also Milton Williams was gone for a lot of the season last year.
8:03And they looked very, very different, a different, you know, with Milton Williams in the lineup versus when he wasn't.
8:10So we have a couple of questions coming in the chat.
8:13We're going to answer these three, Jay. And then we will get to our quarterback rankings.
8:19We'll go quarterback, running back, wide receiver, tight ends.
8:22And then we'll talk about a couple of the biggest games and maybe a couple of bets if we have some time.
8:29So Bruce Leroy comes in here, Jay, and says, what's up, fellas?
8:33What's up, Bruce? Make sure you hit the like button and subscribe if you're not already.
8:38He said, full PPR, Juwan Johnson or Michael Mares.
8:41For those that do not know, and if you don't know, then you probably are living under a rock.
8:48But Brock Bowers, Jay, gets this meniscus surgery. And now Michael Maher is plugged in for me in my personal rankings as a top 10 play.
8:56I have him at tight end 10 on the week.
9:00And yeah, he looks like he could smash this week against the Dolphins.
9:04What are your thoughts between Mares and Juwan Johnson and who you have ranked ahead in your rankings?
9:10And then who do we have ranked higher in the player profiler rankings?
9:14So for Juwan Johnson, I have him as tight end six just behind Sam Laporta.
9:19And there's that beautiful matchup with the Detroit Lions this week.
9:23High over under total. Shootout city in New Orleans.
9:26You got two indoor teams. I love the idea of Juwan Johnson just popping off.
9:31And that's just adjustability in real time. To your point, Pete, with Michael Maher being a top 10 tight end, I have
9:39him just ahead of Travis Kelsey in the ranks at nine.
9:42And I see the pathway. It's funny enough. People are down on the Raiders.
9:47People are down on the Miami Dolphins. But damn it, week one.
9:51Guess what? The poor can eat each other. You know, you talk about rich eating the rich.
9:57You're going to have the Dolphins and the Raiders.
10:00Green next to all matchups. Stat. I love firing up so many Raiders, so many Dolphins.
10:05And I don't think we're ever going to say that too much throughout the rest of the season.
10:11So I'd love to play with Michael Maher. I would, though, lean towards Juwan Johnson.
10:16You have that receiver background. And the fact that it's just going to be a golden game.
10:22Indoors. So give me Juwan Johnson. Who do you like more on that front?
10:26And I'll look up the tight end ranks for player profiler.
10:30I have it here, actually. Johnson's 11. Maher is 10.
10:33I have Johnson ahead of Maher. I have Juwan Johnson as my tight end five this week.
10:39So me and you are a little bit more bullish on Johnson in the player profiler rankings.
10:45But still, we do agree with Johnson over Maher.
10:48I think Johnson's in a really, really good position to play some catch up, potentially, if the Lions put their foot on the throttle there.
10:56Let's get to a couple more of these questions, Jay.
10:59And then we'll go over the quarterbacks. KJ, what's up, man?
11:03Said, what's up, my guys? Better flex start Mike Evans or Chris Godwin in a full PPR.
11:09You have Mike Evans tonight, Jay, in the Australia game going up against the Rams.
11:14A fortified secondary with the Rams. I have Mike Evans at 23 in my rankings.
11:19I have Chris Godwin at 28 in my rankings.
11:22I prefer Chris Godwin over Mike Evans. My start sick questions is pretty much my rankings, Jay.
11:27If my rankings have one guy ahead of another guy, floor, ceiling, don't care.
11:32Unless it's a very, very specific scenario where it's a Monday night game and you're looking for, hey, I just need this amount of points.
11:40Then it's different. Not going to fire up Rashid Shahid as a boom bus guy.
11:45But for the most part, I stick to what my rankings are when it comes to my start sits unless it's different positions.
11:53What about you, Jay? Mike Evans, Chris Godwin. Godwin's obviously got that juicy Bengals matchup as well.
11:59Yeah, I love it. And that Bengals matchup is a 50 and a half over under.
12:04And the matchup tonight, I believe, is a 47 over under.
12:08Yep, 47 and a half over under plus three and a half for the 49ers.
12:13So it's a tight bunch on the spread. So points are expected to be scored plenty.
12:18The only thing that gives me hesitancy is just crap happens in these international games that I don't love.
12:25But still, give me Mike Evans. If you look at our player profiler ranks, we have Mike Evans is 22 overall.
12:32And then you go all the way down. Chris Godwin is 31st.
12:36So at player profiler, we distinctly have Mike Evans over Chris Godwin.
12:40It's a good question to ask because in a vacuum, you could argue, Pete, Evans Godwin could be ranked back to back.
12:47Because of that shootout ability, we're going to get great fantasy outcomes for the Bengals and the Bucs matchup.
12:53But you have to understand, what have we been drafting all season?
12:57Mike Evans, round four, and then he's fallen at different places.
13:01Chris Godwin, later single digit rounds. He's risen for the right reasons.
13:05But give me Mike Evans. Funny enough, they're on different teams.
13:09And now we're sitting there deliberating. Hey, who do we start?
13:12Mike Evans or Chris Godwin? Who knew we would see the day?
13:16But give me some Mike Evans. Touchdown equity. The PPR goodness is there for Chris Godwin.
13:22But touchdowns reign supreme in our king. I think we can get one tonight with Mike Evans in the duration of the season.
13:29But talking about just this week, give me Mike Evans.
13:33But great exercise. I'm surprised your team. I would be interested to see, Pete, what the rest of the team looks like
13:40if you're in a conundrum where you have to bench one of Chris Godwin or Mike Evans.
13:46Yeah, it's a good point. And I think the thing you'll notice about the player profiler rankings is it really is all about upside, right?
13:54That's how the player profiler rankings are set up.
13:57And while there's a lot of upside to playing the Bengals, that defense is better.
14:02But the truth is there's a possibility that Godwin is not the number one guy at his position on that team this week.
14:10And Evans, if he's ceiling hits, he's got a much higher ceiling this week.
14:14But I do think that his floor is a little bit lower, Jay, in this matchup because I do worry a little
14:22bit about the Rams defense and Brock Purdy and how they'll perform.
14:26And honestly, I hate starting players in these international games.
14:29Sometimes it's always very, very sloppy games and it's hard.
14:32It's hard to really gauge sometimes how they're going to go.
14:36But let's grab. Oh, were you going to grab somebody else?
14:40Or was that the same one? There was a follow up to that.
14:44Mike Evans or Tootin at the Flex. I think it's a slam dunk for Mike Evans in that front.
14:51Yeah. Yeah. I'm with you. Let's grab one more.
14:54And then the questions that we have just hold off.
14:57We'll take a quick break and then we'll come back.
15:00We're going to go over the quarterback rankings. Sean said Roma Dunze or Devante Adams in a full PPR.
15:07Yeah. Player Profiler has Devante Adams at wide receiver 24.
15:10Roma Dunze at wide receiver 29. I'm kind of with the rankings at Player Profiler on this one as well.
15:17I have Roma Dunze decently low in my rankings this week, Jay.
15:21I, you know, he's got a, he gets a tough matchup against JC Horn on the outside.
15:26I have Roma at 39 this week and I have Devante Adams at 21.
15:31So this is a pretty easy one for me.
15:3449ers defense just stinks. I feel very, very comfortable with Devante Adams today.
15:38Yeah. I've got Devante Adams look season long fade, but not a week long fade.
15:43Funny how we get to the weekly contest in the game.
15:47Things are on the line and I've got Devante Adams 17 overall.
15:51He could be higher, but I think mid level wide receiver two is a safe ranking for him.
15:57Roma Dunze to this question. Roma Dunze, I have 24th and we got a little bit of a late week injury news
16:04where Roma Dunze might be working through something. He might end up playing, but he still isn't necessarily going to be 100% healthy.
16:12Granted, we get to parts of the year where players aren't healthy, but it's week one and I want somebody who's fresh.
16:19And this is a Matthew Stafford led Rams offense.
16:22I think you fire up Roma or sorry, Devante Adams, because while I think the bears are going to crush against the
16:30Panthers, it can be a sneaky shootout that game.
16:33Pete, I sit there and think, well, Luther Burden, Colson Loveland, it can end up being a game that takes shape.
16:40Deandre Swift where we don't get the full bullish case on somebody like Roma Dunze.
16:45And then what do we love, Pete? Touchdowns of fantasy football.
16:48Who gets the looks in the red zone? If it's not Kyron Williams in this offense, we know Devante Adams gets design
16:56looks once they're there inside the five. Yeah. Sign me up for some Devante Adams.
17:01Okay, beautiful. We're going to take a quick break and then we will start firing off through some of these rankings and
17:08answer some of your start sick questions. So stick with us and we'll be right back.
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18:56That's right. If you win your first $5 lineup, you get $150 in lineups.
19:00And now PrizePix is available nationwide. Lock it in for kickoff because everyone and everything is on PrizePix.
19:06And you know I'm always going more on Chris Godwin's receptions and receiving yards.
19:11That's my guy. And for Week 1's opener, Sam Darnold is everyone's guy because he needs just one yard against New England to cash his pick.
19:20It doesn't get any easier than that. And the best part about PrizePix is the injury reboot.
19:25If a player in your lineup gets injured in the first half and doesn't return, your lineup can still cash.
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19:38So download the app today and use code PLAYER.
19:41You get $150 instantly in lineups if you win your first $5 lineup.
19:46I'll say it again. You download the app today, use code PLAYER, and you get $150 instantly in lineups if you win your first $5 lineup.
19:54PrizePix. Run your game. All right, folks. We are back.
19:58Jay, what's up? Hey, fresh off the alert. I got an alert.
20:02I looked at the phone. A.J. Brown out the next three to six weeks.
20:06And it sounds definite on underdog that he's going to miss at least four weeks.
20:12So A.J. Brown, high ankle sprain, high ankle bleep, as the podfather likes to say.
20:17Very tough scene for A.J. Brown. And it kind of feels it's not like Aaron Rodgers because it's not the entirety of the season.
20:25But I feel like we didn't even get just a little taste or a sample of the boom weeks with Drake May and A.J.
20:33Brown. It's going to be delayed, denied a little bit for this first month.
20:37So tough scene there, especially at the one-two turn, Pete.
20:41We've taken A.J. Brown. Hey, tough scene, though. It happens to other people.
20:45Brock Bowers, tough scene there. So what do you do?
20:48At the end of the day, I'm a firm believer that waivers and managing waivers is a massive part of how you win in fantasy football.
20:57There's been plenty of times where, you know, I've made savvy moves with waivers.
21:02And look, it's frustrating, but this is fantasy and things are going to happen.
21:06Let's kick it over to the quarterback rankings here, Jay.
21:10Pull it up on your screen. I'll swap over and let's get this rolling here.
21:15So to start off, Justin Herbert against Arizona in the player profile rankings has him at one.
21:20Then Lamar Jackson at number two against the Colts.
21:23Jalen Hurts at number three against Washington. Then Josh Allen at number four against Houston.
21:28Jaden Daniels at number five against the Eagles. Joe Burrow at six against Tampa Bay.
21:33Kyler Murray at seven against Green Bay. Jackson Dart at eight against Dallas.
21:38Caleb Williams at number nine against Carolina. Drake May was number 10 against Seattle.
21:42And then Dak Prescott 11 against the Giants. Jared Goff at number 12 against the Saints.
21:48And then we'll just add Trevor Lawrence here at 13 against Cleveland.
21:52And we can, you know, we can go ahead and show on the screen the rest, but I'm not going to read
21:59every single name of every single quarterback this week.
22:02Anything stick out to you here, Jay? I think for me right off the bat, I have Josh Allen at number one still this week.
22:10I know player profiler has him at four. It's a tough matchup against Houston.
22:15I understand people might have some hesitations there, but I still have Josh Allen at number one in my rankings.
22:22Well, for me, I have Josh Allen. I haven't ranked eighth and it might sound crazy, but I'm right there with Lamar Jackson being the QB one.
22:31It's going to go off against that Colts secondary Dak Prescott against the New York Giants.
22:36He should crush Matthew Stafford, who I think will absolutely eat tonight.
22:40300 to 350 passing yards. Then there's Jalen Hurts against the Swiss cheese defense of the commanders.
22:46And I think Jaden Daniels and company are in some real trouble in that game.
22:51Caleb Williams, sneaky shootout to the Carolina Panthers. And then I have Jared Goff, who on the other side, I like versus a player profiler ranks.
23:00Pete Tyler Shuck is 18th here. I have Tyler Shuck as QB 11 this week.
23:05So I've got so many quarterbacks who are above Josh Allen this week just because I see more of a floor game.
23:12He's safe. And if Josh Allen pays off at QB eight this week, it's not what you want.
23:18But when you consider the Houston Texans defense, I would absolutely cling to.
23:22Can I get 20 plus points from Josh Allen this week?
23:26Escape because they can really give him fits and game flow wise.
23:30It may not be perfect, especially compared to those other quarterbacks in shootout environments.
23:35Yeah, this is one of those get back games for me.
23:38That's why I'm high on Allen here. I think Buffalo will be aggressive in this game.
23:44Obviously, they had a tough showing last week last season.
23:47Allen got banged up pretty bad. But I think this is just one of those Joe Brady got caught with his pants down last year, last season.
23:56And so did this entire offense. And I think they come back and come out ready to go here.
24:02They've had a ton of time to prepare for this defense.
24:06So that's kind of why I have Allen where I do.
24:10I have Shuck at eight this week. I actually have Jared Goff at number five, you know, game strip wise.
24:16People kind of get a little worried, like if they're up very high, you know, what's the what's the ceiling for Goff.
24:24But this is also a team with the Lions that they they don't care if they're up.
24:29They're going to continue to push the pedal to the metal.
24:33Some notable names for me, Jay, that I'm pretty low on this week.
24:37Jayden Daniels. I have it ranked at 20. I know that's pretty, pretty far out there, you know, compared to your profile rankings.
24:45And I actually had Drake May ranked at 18.
24:48So that came out, came to fruition, at least to start the week.
24:52And a sneaky guy I have inside my top 12 is Malik Willis at 10 against that Raiders defense.
24:59It's funny enough, Pete. I thought I was, you know, having to be talked off the ledge when I had Jayden Daniels ranked at 15.
25:07So I like where your head's at. I had already mentioned that the Philadelphia Eagles, I think, are going to give fits.
25:14And I'm really, really worried about the inoperable offensive line that we saw on display in the preseason that we heard about in practices.
25:22And from a maturity standpoint, is Jayden Daniels head in the right place?
25:27Is he focused? I have a good fair amount of Jayden Daniels across different formats, dynasty, best ball.
25:33So I've been a truther from day one. I remember I was in on him his rookie season, profited benefits so well off of that.
25:41Then last year, it was just opposite direction. So are we going to get the locked in VR glasses simulated playing Jayden Daniels?
25:49Or do we get the guy who isn't fully locked in and he's going to get hit in the mouth by a
25:56team like the Philadelphia Eagles with their defense? So I love what you said there.
26:01And Malik Willis, I'm interested to see what he does, because we mentioned the Raiders, Dolphins.
26:07If there's ever a week where Malik Willis really hits, it would be this week.
26:12So I really like what you said there. And I love how high you are on both Shuck and Goff, because Goff
26:19is six for me and Shuck is 11th. I think you and I are kind of doing the same thing where we
26:26see this is going to be a 50 point over under total type of game.
26:31Yep. It's wheels up for both quarterbacks. It's going to follow.
26:35Yeah. And hey, by the way, you know, there are times it's, you know, I've been called a homer, but I have
26:42Bo Nix ranked 19 this week, too. So I'm not high on Bo either.
26:47Just a little call out there. Let's move over to the running back rankings, Jay.
26:52As we're doing that, we're going to quickly grab some questions, go a little rapid fire through some of these really quick, Jay.
27:00We're not going to go too much analysis into these.
27:03If we have more time after or later on, we'll get a little bit more in depth.
27:09But let's just try to hit some of these questions.
27:12Justin said Stafford or Lawrence? I have Puka. Thanks, fellas.
27:15For me, I have Lawrence at number seven. Brown's defense is definitely not a pushover, but I have them ahead of Stafford.
27:23Stafford, I actually have at 17. I like Stafford in general, but I have a feeling this defense is going to be really, really bad.
27:31They only have two healthy defensive ends, Jay, for the 49ers.
27:35And I think this could be a very run-heavy game for the Rams today.
27:39So I prefer Trevor Lawrence in that matchup against Cleveland, which is a tough place to travel in this time of year
27:47to Florida in Jacksonville with that kind of humidity.
27:50So I'm going to take Trevor Lawrence over Stafford this week.
27:53I like where your head's at with Trevor Lawrence.
27:56And the one hesitancy is an over-under of 40.5 against those Cleveland Browns.
28:01The team that might jack up the game flow would be the Cleveland Browns.
28:05Like, they might not be able to get so much of a flow that it could interrupt what the Jaguars are doing on offense.
28:13But the Jaguars are eight-and-a-half point favorites. So we expect most of those 40 points to go in the direction of the Jaguars.
28:21To your point, why not hit ground game tonight with Kyron Williams, Blake Corum?
28:26There's so many avenues and ways, slicing and dicing, that the Rams can attack.
28:31And especially, we said it before, we hate it.
28:34But these strange island games where, especially, they're in another country.
28:37There's just something about with all the travel, the conditions, the ground.
28:41There's always just something different. Like, I just, I'm not a fan of it, clearly.
28:46But yeah, give me Lawrence over Stafford. I don't think we'll say that too many times this season.
28:52And then you break off a little hedge to where Pukunukua can eat, but you might not get ceiling that you want from Stafford.
29:00At least you're not all out heading into Sunday for your fancy matchup.
29:05Where you're like, oh, crap. You know, there goes my week.
29:08I've been waiting all offseason for this. Yeah. No, that's a good point there.
29:13Dr. Max Sauce DDJ said, Full PBR, Superflex, Mayfield or Kyler Murray.
29:17Happy Thursday. What's going on, brother? Thanks so much for being here.
29:21Make sure you guys hit the thumbs up if you enjoy the show.
29:25Help support us. I have Baker Mayfield at 12 here.
29:29I have Kyler Murray at 15. One interesting note, and then I'll pass it to you, Jay.
29:34Gannon is the defensive coordinator now for the Green Bay Packers.
29:38I don't love this Packers defense in general, but Jonathan Gannon knows Kyler Murray very, very well as he was his head coach for the last few years.
29:47I think that definitely has some play in this.
29:50And I just really like Baker Mayfield's matchup against Cincinnati in a game that's total right now is the highest on the week at 50 and a half.
30:00Yeah, I'm surprised. Our player profiler rankings have Kyler Murray.
30:03It looks like QB, it's pretty high where we have Kyler 7.
30:07Yeah, 7. I was really thrown by that personally because I have Kyler Murray at 18, kind of as a middling QB
30:142, but I have Mayfield QB 9 to follow along with you, Pete.
30:19That other side of Joe Burrow, you want some Baker Mayfield.
30:22Joe Burrow I have at 7. So I'm expecting, it's funny enough, two shootouts this week.
30:28Bengals, Buccaneers, Saints, Lions. And four of those quarterbacks are in my top 11.
30:32So I would roll personally with Baker Mayfield. And I like Kyler Murray to return to form this year.
30:39He ought to do it in the Dome. It should be perfect conditions for that.
30:44But give me what are already perfect conditions in Joe Burrow and Baker Mayfield shooting out.
30:49Man, I even love the kickers on the defense and kicker show.
30:53I just dropped two days ago. I had all about Evan McPherson and Chase McLaughlin.
30:58If you've done that move where you've waited to the last day to get a defense and kicker because you stashed bench
31:06players waiting for maybe an injury and an upside cuff that you can keep.
31:10Well, Evan McPherson and Chase McLaughlin present as very good kickers on that front.
31:15Yeah. All right. Let's get to the next one here from Johnny D.
31:19He said, I have Chase Brown as my RB1, but a little bit conflicted with who to choose as my RB2.
31:26I have Cam Scadaboo or Bucky Irving. This is funny.
31:30I have Bucky at 20. I have Cam Scadaboo at 21 here.
31:34I'm going to go with Bucky Irving. I think the matchup is better.
31:38I think there's more points in this game. And I don't really love the matchup for the Giants against Dallas.
31:45I'm a little bit worried about the Giants in that game.
31:48I think Dallas's defense is rather improved. Yeah, I've got Bucky Irving as the RB18, a middle RB2.
31:54I like Kenneth Gainwell as a good flex play.
31:57If it weren't for Kenneth Gainwell, it'd be much higher because there's no interference.
32:02There could be interference with this Dallas defense streaming.
32:05They're a good streamer. I know. I think you mentioned them as well, Pete, as a viable streamer against Matt Nagy and the Giants.
32:13As much as we like some of their flashy players, it could get ugly real quick again for the New York Giants.
32:20So I actually lean the other direction. I don't want Jared Goff this week.
32:25Or sorry, Cam Scadaboo. I started picturing different blue helmet players.
32:29Yeah, you were close. Let's grab one more and then we'll get to running backs and then we'll grab some more of these questions.
32:37This one's easy for me. Stripling or Debo Samuel?
32:40I prefer Debo here. Stripling, rookie, the travel and everything.
32:43Four rookie, prime time, big spot. And these corners are no joke on the outside where I expect Stripling to live in today's game.
32:51I don't expect them to be in that big slot role.
32:55And they added these new corners from the Chiefs with Watson and the other guy who's been doing it for a really long time.
33:03So why am I blanking on the other guy that they brought over?
33:07McDuffie. Oh, yeah. I should know that. I don't know why I forgot his name.
33:12But anyway, they brought up McDuffie and Watson. And I think those guys are going to both be playing on Evans and Stripling.
33:20And I think it funnels it to Debo on the inside to get some more work and some more short area stuff.
33:27So I think all that helps a guy like Debo.
33:30So I prefer Debo over Stripling here. And who are you going to trust, especially out of the gate?
33:37Week one, it's a veteran player in Debo Samuel.
33:40And funny about Stripling, if Stripling is going to hit your weekly lineup, you have to account for it's Mike Evans, Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle.
33:48It looks like he's got runway. And then, of course, Debo Samuel is not just going to roll over.
33:55So Stripling is going to have to earn it.
33:58He seems valuable, seems talented. But again, pecking order, not necessarily what you want to be dealing with.
34:04But I actually had this thought earlier today. I was looking at some bets, touchdown odds.
34:09Like, hey, who could get into the end zone today?
34:12And I think a sneaky play would be somebody like Debo Samuel.
34:16When they're in tight, about the 10-yard line, I could see something intentionally, purposely drawn up for Debo Samuel as Kyle Shanahan.
34:24They already have that bond. And then you're sitting yourself thinking, well, if that could already be built into the game plan
34:31or a move that they could make. I don't see that design, same structure happening immediately week one for Stripling.
34:38So for that, fantasy points. Who's going to get you 10?
34:41I think Debo Samuel could be that guy. Yep.
34:44I'm with you there. Sounds like we're pretty aligned.
34:47Let's go ahead and move over to the running back rankings.
34:51Jay, I'll cue that up here. So let's move over here to the running back rankings and just looking at player profiler and where we have things.
35:00At the running back ranking for PPR, Jameer Gibbs at number one, B.
35:04John Robinson at two, Chris McCaffrey at number three, Chase Brown at four, Jonathan Taylor at five, Devon A.
35:11Chain at number six, Saquon Barkley at seven, Kenneth Walker at eight, Martin Hampton at number nine, James Cook at 10, Stevenson
35:18at 11, Javante Williams at 12, Kyron Williams at 13, Ashton Gentey at 14, Derek Henry at number 15, Bruce Hall at
35:25number 16, Travis Etienne at 17, Jalen Warren at 18.
35:29DeAndre Swift at 19, Cam Scadaboo at number 20, Bucky Irving at 21.
35:33It's very funny. Player profiler and us will pretty much have Cam Scadaboo and Bucky Irving in the same spot.
35:40I actually had them back to back, but I had Bucky ahead of Cam, and I think you did as well.
35:47David Montgomery at number 22, Quinchon Judkins at 23, and Jardarian Price at number 24.
35:52I'm just going to read off the top 24 there.
35:55Let's go through it. Let's talk about it here.
35:58Just taking a look, Jay, let's talk about Ashton Gentey for a second here.
36:03He's ranked here at number 14 for player profiler.
36:06He talked today, was interviewed by the press, and he talked about how he claimed that he knew he was good as
36:13soon as he was able to get up when he did get injured, and he feels like he's pretty good and healthy.
36:21I have him ranked at number 12 this week.
36:24He's got a good matchup against Miami player profiler, a little bit lower on him than I am, and I thought I
36:31was still pretty low on him at 12, but I have him at 12 player profiler at 14.
36:37Where do you have Ashton Gentey this week, and what are your expectations?
36:41Do you think Mike Washington is going to be heavily involved in this matchup here, or do you think it's just going
36:49to be them leaning heavy on Gentey now that Brock Bowers is out?
36:53It's going to be a more profitable version of what Seattle has with Jadarian Price, where you're going to be annoyed and
37:00frustrated, but there's no way you're benching somebody like Ashton Gentey, and there will be even more spike week, boom weeks from Ashton Gentey.
37:08I'm right in the line with player profiler. I am 14 on Ashton Gentey, and I think the three of us, between
37:16yourself, myself, and the player profiler ranks as they come assembled, we're just looking at the fact that there's a slide down,
37:23just for the fact that Mike Washington, I think this is a Mike Washington price, where it's back-end RB1, high-end RB2.
37:30It's a great matchup, though. If there's ever a week for Gentey to hit, it would be this week.
37:36But I personally, one player that stands out of note for me, Pete, is Brees Hall.
37:42I have at 11. He is 16th in our player profiler ranks.
37:46He gets the Tennessee Titans, the lowest over-under game at 39.5 points, unless it's moved in the last bit.
37:52I see Brees Hall as just being a phenomenal play this week.
37:56He's on track to be healthy, so I actually have him much higher, and he's at 11, where maybe somebody like Gentey
38:03would swap in a little bit higher if it was unadulterated.
38:07I'm not worried one bit about Braylon Allen, but if I'm going to have any kind of hesitancy about a backfield meet
38:14between Gentey and Brees Hall, especially in week one here, give me a little concern about Mike Washington taking up some of that space.
38:22So do you share that sentiment? Are you more bearish?
38:26I'm interested. Where do you have Brees Hall? Yeah, I have Brees Hall at 18, and I like the matchup.
38:32Don't get me wrong. Jets implied total, though, 18.5 fantasy points, Jay.
38:36The way, you know, sorry, 18.5 total points. So the way I read this is you're getting two touchdowns and a field
38:44goal is what Vegas thinks of this Jets team in this matchup.
38:48And this is a game that I expect Garrett Wilson to play very, very well.
38:53And I expect Garrett Wilson to score a touchdown in.
38:56So that really only leaves the potential for one other touchdown on the board here.
39:01And you would think it should go to Brees Hall.
39:05But I just think that there's not a lot of meat on the bone for a team that, you know, is going
39:12to be in a script where it's going to be probably a very ball control game.
39:17It's going to be sloppy. Both defenses are probably going to come out strong.
39:22And I just don't know that the touchdown equity will be there.
39:26And then I don't know that Hall can make up for the lack of touchdown equity with the receiving game, which is where I have some concerns there.
39:35Do I see a world where Hall has a nice game?
39:39Absolutely. I just worry that the floor is maybe not as high because I could see him having a very effective game
39:46where he goes for like 70 yards rushing on 15 carries and catches two passes for 20 type of game.
39:53That's the kind of game stat line I can see for him.
39:57And then you're just really upset that he doesn't score a touchdown.
40:01There's just not a lot of opportunity to score touchdown touchdowns for him, in my opinion, unless Vegas is very far off here.
40:09So that's kind of my read on the game.
40:12Does that make sense in Europe? You know, when I say that.
40:16Oh, yeah. And Brees Hall eyeing for touchdown odds throughout the week.
40:20It's been plus money. It's probably going to continue to be somewhere around plus 100.
40:25So that always tells me there's times where, OK, last year, Justin Jefferson would have plus 100 plus 120 odds.
40:31And I'm sitting there thinking like, man, I can get plus odds for Justin Jefferson.
40:36Like, let me just dive in. And then I get burned.
40:40This could absolutely be a scenario where you expect and assume Brees Hall is going to bang one into the end zone.
40:47And then we don't end up having what we want.
40:51And we think, oh, my God, plus 100 odds.
40:54I'm salivating for that because we're on the other side where we're getting more money.
40:59And to your point, I do think, though, the Jets defense, because I called them out as a streamer this week and
41:06they're sub 10 percent, sub 5 percent roster ship on ESPN sleeper.
41:10They're very low. They're attainable. They're probably on people's waiver wires right now for week one.
41:15I think they're a very sneaky play. And if we run the corollary of running backs, defenses, well, the defense can crush
41:23and then the backfield can go off because Cam Ward.
41:26Unfortunately, I've wanted to see a year to ascension.
41:29Pete, it's really looking rough for them and it could get ugly.
41:33And I'm essentially of mind. Hey, attack the Titans offense.
41:36Attack Cam Ward until he proves otherwise. It's like he's not gotten the graduation from the rookie cap into year two.
41:44And then on the other side of that game flow control, I could see it where they get up because of Garrett
41:51Wilson and then we're milking and icing the game because of Brees Hall.
41:55But essentially, we're always one huge play away. We believe in the talent, but we do differ there on that front.
42:02Interesting. Kenneth Walker. He's somebody who I have down a little bit in my ranks, in my opinion.
42:08Yeah, a player profiler. We have him eight. Pete, I've gotten 12th.
42:12This matchup against the Denver Broncos. It sounds like the Chiefs left tackle may be out.
42:18They're having some offensive line shuffle problems. I'm starting to sit here thinking this could be a little bit of a trap
42:25game for the offensive production of the Kansas City Chiefs and that we might not get that ceiling game against that vaunted
42:32Denver Broncos defense from Kenneth Walker in week one.
42:35And maybe Patrick Mahomes. There's some rust there back in the first week.
42:40What do you make of that? And where do you have Kenneth Walker?
42:44Yeah, I actually have Kenneth Walker at 14. This is a pure volume play this week.
42:49No Jonathan Franklin Myers for the Broncos run defense.
42:52So we will see. That was a very, very nice piece.
42:56And he's now moved on to the Titans. So we'll see how the run defense looks.
43:01But this is purely a volume play, right? Chiefs are down to a UDFA at their starting left tackle to open up
43:09the season, which is very, very unideal. Mahomes coming off the ACL.
43:13I think they lean on Walker heavily, which is why Player Profiler has Walker as high as we do in the rankings at eight.
43:21But I have Walker at 14. I am more heavy on Travis Kelsey this week.
43:26I think Kelsey is going to be the one that finds the end zone.
43:30And I think it's a heavy lean on Walker.
43:33They sell out for it kind of thing when they're in the red zone.
43:38And then Travis Kelsey scores on like a little, you know, play action lob kind of thing.
43:44That's how I see the game going. I think Walker is going to be a very, very heavy volume guy.
43:50Kind of like a reminder of Stevenson last night.
43:53Did not look great, so to speak. A lot of it was getting hit behind the line of scrimmage or at the line of scrimmage.
44:02But Stevenson still ended up paying off for fantasy because he caught a bunch of passes.
44:07And he got a lot of volume last night.
44:10And volume is more important than efficiency in fantasy football.
44:13We know that for the running back position. So all that to say, Walker at 14 feels right.
44:19There's just too many higher upside plays this week for me, in my opinion, to have him much higher.
44:26I just couldn't stomach putting him ahead of even Travis Etienne against Detroit, who I think has a very, very nice matchup.
44:33And you love to see it. So Kenneth Walker, a little bit of a hesitancy.
44:38But we're not sitting there saying, hey, it's a full season fade.
44:42Just this weekly play, this weekly game that we have.
44:46Remember that clump of round two running backs where we're selecting between H.
44:50Chan, Barkley, Kenneth Walker, or Marion Hampton? Well, week to week, it would reason.
44:55We're going to make decisions between these players. And sometimes the player will be lower than we initially had them.
45:01It's funny. Jeremiah Love. Jeremiah Love has been a tough one to rank, Pete, because we don't know the status of him playing.
45:09You know, what would you do with Jeremiah Love?
45:12How are you feeling about him in the event that he does play in week one against the Chargers, who they're another
45:19defense, who 9.5, 10.5 point favorite, depending on the line that you're shopping, not looking good early for the Arizona Cardinals.
45:26I'm not. I mean, Love's 41 in our rankings.
45:29I think that's absolutely fair. He's 28 in my rankings.
45:33I have him as a flex play this week at best.
45:36You know, this is a game script kind of thing.
45:40Arizona could be playing from behind. Heavy pass game script for that offense.
45:44So I'm not very high on Love. Let's go ahead really quick though, Jay.
45:49Let's answer some of these questions. We'll pivot over to wide receiver so we can start getting things moving here.
45:55But Alfredo said, and I'm going to pull Alfredo because he just became a member here to play a profile on YouTube.
46:03So appreciate that, Alfredo. What's going on, man? Said, is Ted or Christian Watson someone that I should pivot to to trade
46:10Chase or just hold out with Ted or Watson as my wide receiver twos?
46:15So I think he's maybe saying as a package kind of thing, Ted McMillan and Christian Watson for Jamar Chase.
46:21It just really depends on depth, Alfredo, in my opinion.
46:25If you have the depth to move, I would absolutely take Jamar Chase here for sure.
46:30If Christian Watson and Ted are your wide receiver one and two and you're telling me your wide receiver three is like,
46:37you know, Jaden Reed kind of deal, then I don't know that I derail unless you have a very fluid, fluid.
46:44Oh, wait, here we go. He said with AJ Brown going to miss time, my wide receiver one is Jamar Chase.
46:51He's asking if he should pivot to Ted or Christian Watson or just hold out with them.
46:57I would hold out with those two guys. I think Christian Watson, you're good.
47:02Yeah, I'm not going to freak out about too much.
47:05Like we talked about earlier, Jay, with AJ Brown, like it sucks.
47:09I have AJ Brown in a couple of spots.
47:12Just be active on waivers and don't overreact too much, man.
47:16Seriously, I'm not going to I'm not going to overreact too much.
47:20Maybe the best thing that could have happened to AJ Brown, people who have him is Romeo Dubs just tanking last week.
47:27And to understand that Romeo Dubs, while it was an embarrassing performance, it was a bad performance.
47:33He is much better than what he put on tape yesterday.
47:37And the people who will rage drop or you can just easily acquire Romeo Dubs.
47:42That would be the biggest blessing to AJ Brown teams.
47:45So I would actually want to plug and play Romeo Dubs on a very cheap level.
47:50But then this is where your Caleb Douglas is, your Chris Bells, your Ted Hurst, these layered wide receivers who are out
47:58there that you have your Trey Harris is. You have them stashed on your bench.
48:03Not quite the same as handcuffed running backs, but we see injuries occur and players move up the depth chart.
48:09In the event that Emekio Buka and Jalen McMillan were going to be out.
48:14I almost said McFlellan again. In the event that they're both out.
48:18We would have been like, hey, Ted Hurst, but it looks like they're going to play.
48:23But just that thought exercise. Just understand. Just like you have stashed upside cuffs like your Emmitt Johnson's, your Jonah Coleman's.
48:30Let the week play out. You'd be surprised how injuries hit.
48:34And my God, Brock Bowers, AJ Brown. If you don't believe they can happen, what have you been paying attention to?
48:41So just understand. Start paying attention. It sucks to be this early and having to pay attention to see who can rise
48:48up from my bench and be AJ Brown. You're trying to patchwork it together.
48:53But again, to close it all back, tie it back.
48:56You're not going down tier from Jamar Chase to Watson and Ted Arora McMillan.
49:01It was funny enough when you were saying, I thought I was initially reading it as Christian Watson and Ted Arora McMillan.
49:08Would you send that for Jamar Chase? And I was like, yes, absolutely.
49:13So the opposite of that is stay pat with your Jamar Chase.
49:17So happy for you to have Jamar Chase. Sorry about your AJ Brown.
49:21Yeah. Yeah. We're all going through it, buddy. And Pete, I'll read off the wide receivers that we have ranked on Player Profiler.
49:29Number one is Puka Nakua. So we'll see that in action tonight.
49:33JSN got that beautiful touchdown last night. Great points for him.
49:36We'll see how he ends up. He's going to be safely, I think, a wide receiver one, depending on how week one goes.
49:44Amon Ross St. Brown. I love the aggression, Pete.
49:47Wide receiver three overall playing the Saints. And this aligns with a lot of our preseason rankings where Amon Ross were a little bit more aggressive.
49:56This is a beautiful schedule we talked about. And here it is in action.
50:01Wide receiver four, Jamar Chase. I think you could safely put Jamar Chase ahead of Amon Ross, but I don't think it's disrespectful.
50:08But Player Profiler, we have him for. Zay Flowers, EPA-wise, DVOA-wise, the Colts get torched in the secondary.
50:14I think slicing and dicing, Lamar Jackson is going to get there and recover.
50:19We're very high on him, Pete, at quarterback. Well, Zay Flowers is connected.
50:23It just stands to reason. Who's the other end of that stack?
50:27Zay Flowers, wide receiver five this week. CeeDee Lamb, wide receiver six.
50:31Gets the Giants. Justin Jefferson against Green Bay. Remember, Kyler Murray, Player Profiler, has as seven.
50:37So, J-Jets, Kyler Murray. Sounds like a good stack.
50:40Nico Collins, I love the aggression here. Wide receiver eight against the Bills.
50:44Defense that's not as strong as the Texans on the other side.
50:48And you have the truncated target share with Jaden Higgins gone.
50:52It's going to be a buffet for Nico Collins, who I think has been forgotten about.
50:57And I think he's going to remind people, Pete, how good he is.
51:01Chris Alave, we love him. Top ten, ninth overall against Detroit.
51:05Again, shootout city. Garrett Wilson, ten. You spoke to him going off against Tennessee, Pete.
51:10Lab McConkie, 11 overall. George Pickens, 12. So, you got Lamb and Pickens, both wide receiver ones.
51:16You could flip-flop them easily. But I think you should be safe to put them both in your top 12.
51:22A.J. Brown, pour some out for right now. High ankle sprain.
51:26Again, folks, reminder, four weeks. We're here in three to six weeks.
51:30Just expect the next month not to have A.J.
51:33Brown. And be happy if you have IR spots on your team.
51:37I just drafted a team for somebody. I drafted A.J.
51:40Brown for them. It was a standard league, Pete, on Labor Day.
51:44And they don't have an IR spot. So, I am so sorry for Buddy.
51:49Devonta Smith, is he going to be the JSN this year?
51:53We'll see. Cake matchup against Washington, Devonta Smith. Drake London, a lot to be made about Tua Tagovailoa.
51:59Is he going to be out? Does he have an oblique injury?
52:03We shall see. Drake London, 15 overall against a vaunted, in this case, Pittsburgh Steelers defense.
52:08I think they're going to be, they're a team.
52:11They were a smoke them if you got them defense because they're so high rostered.
52:16I really like that play with the quarterback issues they're having.
52:20It doesn't match the Pitts, Bijon, London talent they have.
52:23But the quarterback mess is making them a tough offense and a good offense to target defensively.
52:29Get the Steelers in week one. Rashi Rice, much has been made about him this year.
52:34Wide receiver, 16. Christian Watson is 17. Ted Arroyo McMillan, 18.
52:38Wonder if you think that's a little bit low, Pete.
52:41And Terry McLaurin at 19. So a middling, wide receiver 2 against that Eagles defense.
52:46Tee Higgins in that shootout, wide receiver 20. I think that looks like a bargain.
52:51Jalen Waddell, who we're high on, but wide receiver 21 against the Chiefs and a little bit lower total of the game.
52:59I think it's 44 and a half right now.
53:02Mike Evans. And then Jameson Williams is 23. And then Devontae Adams to round out our top 24.
53:08I will give an honorable mention, Pete, to Jalen Coker because he is a sleeper play to me.
53:14You and I in the 350 NFFC tournament football guys were starting Jalen Coker this week.
53:19And we had some good conversation about attacking that Bears defense.
53:23So what do you make of the rankings that we have at Player Profiler compared to maybe something you have going on?
53:30Yeah. And we'll be quick. And then because we got to make sure we get the tight ends and answer a couple more questions.
53:38We're already at the 803 mark. The game does start at 835 Eastern Standard Time tonight, guys.
53:44Just so you know. So a little bit of a later start.
53:48But yeah, for me, Terry McLaurin sticks out the most or one of the things that stick out to me.
53:54I am at wide receiver 26 this week. Really tough matchup against Philly.
53:59New offense with David Blau. I think there's a possibility they get off to a slow start, Jay.
54:05I think we have him at 19. So that's one.
54:08And then Malik Neighbors. I have Malik Neighbors at 17 this week.
54:12I'm fully, fully confident in putting him in my lineup if he's playing.
54:16We have him at 27, the player profile rankings.
54:19Again, I have him at 17. I just think, look, if you have Malik Neighbors, you're playing him.
54:25And honestly, the frustration out of him when he talked about like playing, he doesn't want to be on a pitch count kind of thing.
54:34So to me, it's like if he's not on a pitch count, then you're treating him as if he's playing.
54:40And you drafted him understanding that he's coming off an ACL.
54:44So to me, it's like you got to feel confident and comfortable rolling him out there.
54:49Dallas did improve their defense. Their corners are still not great, in my opinion.
54:54So I think Neighbors could have a really nice game.
54:57And then, yeah, those are two guys that stick out to me, Jay.
55:02Jalen Coker, we talked about. We're going to start him over BTJ this week.
55:06I'm very, very good with that. I have Coker.
55:10My personal rankings at 36. I have BTJ at 40.
55:13I know Player Profiler. We have Coker a little bit higher.
55:17I think I have him at like 25, Jay.
55:20So that's where I'm at on these. Did you want to talk about anybody else specifically before we move on to the
55:27tight ends and answer a couple more questions? Just so you hit on a lot of good points.
55:33I will say Malik Neighbors, I have wide receiver 19.
55:36But really, it's just a caveat of understanding. It's partly I'm in like a contest with some people where I'm trying to
55:44be accurate towards what's going to play out. But funny enough, if he plays, you're starting him as if he's a top 12 play.
55:52You're starting him as if you could expect a top six weekly outcome.
55:56But just because there's murkiness from where we're at and because of what's going on with Jackson Dart, the Giants offense, Matt
56:03Nagy, the number that the Dallas Cowboys defense has had, the chokehold they've had on the New York Giants.
56:10I'm just going to park him at wide receiver 19, basically a mid wide receiver two.
56:15But I'm starting him like he's a brand name.
56:18I hope that makes sense for the folks at home.
56:21And we want to head over to tight end.
56:24I can read off top tight ends. Tyler Warren.
56:27I love this play. Tight end one. I'm very high on him this week.
56:32Colson Loveland. He's actually my tight end one is Colson Loveland.
56:36But I love hearing that noise about Tyler Warren.
56:39Warren against the Baltimore Ravens. Loveland against the Carolina Panthers.
56:42We spoke about Odunze earlier. Well, we have Loveland so high and that's going to be in favor of somebody like Roma Odunze.
56:50So get yourself some Colson Loveland in your lineups.
56:53No question about it. Kyle Pitts against the Steelers.
56:56I'm not sure about this. This is a pretty high ranking for me.
57:00Number three overall. That's really tough. Yeah, we'll come back to that.
57:04Trey McBride for Mark Andrews. Five Sam Laporta. Six Harold fan in junior seven Tucker craft.
57:09What a name for Wisconsin. Eight overall. And you love to see it.
57:14Dallas Goddard. Nine. Great matchup against the Washington Commanders.
57:17Michael Mayer. Fresh, real reactive in real time. We did this exercise a little earlier.
57:22Michael Mayer 10. Jawan Johnson 11. I prefer Jawan Johnson, but I wouldn't fault somebody for believing in the payoff of Michael Mayer.
57:29Managed and Dynasty Leagues. George Kittle comes back tonight.
57:32I'm a little bearish on him just for the unknown.
57:36We don't know what's going to happen, but he's 12 in our ranks.
57:40Dalton Kincaid 13. Isaiah Likely. If there's any bearishness on Malik Nabors, we know other side is going to be Isaiah Likely to profit.
57:48So what's the pendulum going to be? Funny enough, in that same game, Jake Ferguson rank 15th.
57:54So Likely and Ferguson are a toss up for the Sunday night football game.
57:59TJ Hawkinson is 16th overall. Dalton Schultz. Target hog now.
58:02No Jaden Higgins. Easy targets for him. A middling.
58:05Tight end two. Hunter Henry. We had at 18.
58:08It didn't go so hot. Eli Raritan took that touchdown.
58:11Travis Kelsey. Pete and I were higher on him than tight end 19 this year.
58:16You spoke to the flow of the Chiefs and Broncos game.
58:20So he's at 19. I think we could see him end up finishing higher.
58:25To round out the top 24, it's AJ Barner, Greg Dulcich, Brenton Strange, Chago Conquo, and Pat Friermuth.
58:31So anything that stands out to you, Pete? Yeah, let's talk about Travis Kelsey.
58:35You know, I think with Travis Kelsey, I think he's being severely slept on this year.
58:41And I don't know. I mean, when I look at the metrics with Kelsey, even you check player profiler metrics out like
58:48yards after catch, average depth of target. Those were all very, very good numbers last year.
58:53I think he was in top five for both of those.
58:57I think he's still up there in targets. I don't know why.
59:01I know Travis Kelsey is not Travis Kelsey of three, four years ago, even two years ago.
59:07But this is still a very, very viable fantasy asset.
59:10I have him ranked three this week. I have Trey McBride at one, Sam Laporte at two, Kelsey at three.
59:17I love this matchup for Kelsey. I mean, think about it like this.
59:21The receivers on Kansas City could just not be trusted right now.
59:25It's really Thornton. It's worthy. And, you know, it's Rashi Rice.
59:29And, you know, that's it, right? It's not a lot of talent.
59:33And this is an offensive line that I don't think is going to hold up very well, Jay.
59:39So I think it's going to be a lot of getting the ball out quick, leaning on the run game, a lot
59:46of RPOs where, you know, sticking the ball out for Walker and then throwing it to Kelsey, like right behind the defense,
59:53behind the linebackers is how I envision this game.
59:56So I have Kelsey at three. Really, really like Kelsey this week.
60:00We talked about Michael Mayer. I have him at 10 this week.
60:04Really, you know, tight ends. Like I look, I do my tight end rankings in a way like this.
60:11Either a guy can give me five plus targets or five, you know, has the ability to get five plus targets in
60:18a game or can he score a touchdown? I'm looking for one or the other.
60:23If you're someone that can catch five passes in a game this week in your matchup, then you're probably going to be inside my top 12.
60:32If you're somebody who has touchdown upside in a very high scoring game, you're going to be teetering close to that top
60:3912, even if you don't have that top like five catch upside.
60:43Outside of that, if you don't meet either of those markers where it's like not going to get a ton of volume
60:51and also not in a high scoring game, then I really can't have you in my top 12.
60:57That's why guys like Isaiah Likely are 14 for me.
61:00That's why guys like Brenton Strange are 15. Jake Ferguson I have at 19.
61:05I just don't know how many mouths they can feed there this week in a game that I don't think the Giants
61:12are going to be able to push for points.
61:15So that's kind of how I view it this week.
61:18George Kittle is interesting for me. I haven't met 11.
61:22I'm really struggling with my ranking on Kittle, and I don't blame anybody for wanting to go with safer options like a
61:29Mark Andrews or some other guys I have ranked lower.
61:32Yeah, as you had mentioned, Isaiah Likely I have down at 20.
61:36Isaiah Likely here in our ranks is 14. George Kittle 12th.
61:40I'm bearish on him, and I said, well, what would reflect that?
61:44I put him at tight end 17. I do want to go back to, though, we have Kyle Pitts 3 overall, Pete.
61:51I have him as tight end 11, back end tight end 1.
61:55I'm just not so sure with what's going on.
61:58Granted, this could be updated in real time with what's gone on with Tua.
62:03But for me, you didn't even need the adjustment from Tua to maybe a Strand or a Cooper Rush, whoever the quarterback is out there.
62:11Bring that Brian back. It's going to be bad either way.
62:15I don't want – I'm bearish on Kyle Pitts, so I disagree with that rank where 3, and I'm sitting there.
62:22I'm at 11. Where do you have him? You have him at 11?
62:26He got him at 11. So back end, tight end 1.
62:30Yeah, I think that's fair. I'm probably dropping him down as well.
62:34I had him at 17. I'm probably moving him behind Kraft and Harold Fannin Jr.
62:39and probably Michael Mayer. I think tight end 10 is fair, right ahead of Andrews, right ahead of Kittle, right ahead of Goddard.
62:47I think that's fair. Yeah, man. Love to see it, Pete.
62:50So do you have any other recollections, thoughts, reflections, real-time reactions?
62:54Not really. What we'll do really quick here is I'm going to – we talk about DST kickers.
63:00I'm just going to shout out Jets defense before we wrap up in terms of our rankings.
63:06I don't want to go through DST or kicker rankings.
63:09We just don't have a ton of time tonight, Jay.
63:12But tell me what your thoughts are. But I had the Jets ranked at 11 this week, taking a shot on them.
63:20I think they match up very well in the trenches this week against an inexperienced offense with a new play caller, a
63:27really, really poor offensive line, and a really, really stout front seven with this New York Jets team.
63:33And now Aaron Glenn's calling plays. So I think this is a game the Jets go in and their defense rebounds and
63:41makes somewhat of a statement in week one. So I have them at 11.
63:45They were one of my favorite defenses to pick up in leagues that maybe I wasn't able to get a high one or a good one in.
63:54Yeah, they ought to be on your waiver wire.
63:57They're sub-5% roster ship ESPN and sleeper. And we just go back to the lowest total point over under for this week in your attacking Cam Ward.
64:06It can be that base level simple. And to your point, Aaron Glenn, even though it was a bad performance for the
64:14entirety of the team last year, he still made his money in his career defensively.
64:19So he's got some acuity there. And there's pressure off with the offense being handed over to Frank Reich.
64:25I'm really excited for this week, the Jets defense.
64:28Who would have thought that you would say that?
64:31And even if they play poorly from a defensive perspective, I think there's still a team that could get you 10, get
64:38you double digit points for fantasy, which is insane.
64:41A free defense like that who you could get right now.
64:45There's a high chance that they're on your waiver wire right now.
64:49If you're jammed and don't have any of the picked over defenses, there's no better feeling than that.
64:55And they have the possibility of a 15, a 20 point week from pick sixes, fumble recovery touchdowns.
65:01Like it could get ugly. And you talk about it a lot, Pete, sacks, counting for sacks and being able to get pressure on somebody like Cam Ward.
65:10Yeah, I'm with you. Let's let's rattle off some of these start sits again.
65:15We won't go too much analysis, Jay. Let's just answer a couple of these recent ones that came in.
65:21X gamer said Joe Burrow or Matthew Stafford, six points per touchdown.
65:25I know Burrow usually starts off slow, but I don't know.
65:29Also, would you play Juwan Johnson or Kittle? Yeah, this is pretty easy for me.
65:34Juwan Johnson over Kittle and I would do Burrow over Stafford.
65:38I wouldn't overthink that one. Yeah. Burrow in that shootout.
65:41I have Joe Burrow QB seven. Yeah, it's Burrow all the way.
65:45Even if like the ground game could take over for the Rams.
65:49But if the ground game takes over for the Bengals, it's dump offs to Chase Brown.
65:54It's it's utility of the passing. So give me Burrow.
65:58And I'm full right there with you. Juwan Johnson.
66:01You don't have any questions about the health and the amount of plays.
66:05There's no gamesmanship that you have to worry about.
66:08Fire up your Lions. Fire up your Saints. Yeah, I'm with you on that.
66:13Monty or Mike Evans in the flex. I'm going to actually go with David Montgomery here over Mike Evans.
66:19Just a volume thing for me. I like Evans.
66:22I just don't love this matchup this week. And I think I'm going to go with the guy that I think is
66:30going to touch the ball 15, 16, 17, maybe 18 times against Buffalo's defense.
66:34So I'm going to go with David Montgomery. Yeah, Montgomery, you just have the guarantee shorty of his role.
66:41I don't buy the Woody Marks stuff at all.
66:44And with Mike Evans, it could be volatile tonight.
66:47Ceiling wise, who has like an incredible ceiling? It would be somebody like a Mike Evans.
66:52But I think you wait a week and you wait a few days and you get the shorty of somebody like David Montgomery.
67:00I did see in the chat. Somebody said start Parker or DK Parker, Washington, baby slam dunk.
67:05We also got another one, Pete, and I imagine you agree on that.
67:10Yeah. Trevor Lawrence, Jaden Daniels. I'm glad you asked this because I've got Lawrence 14 and Daniels 15.
67:16So for me, the razor's edge is Trevor Lawrence low over under 40 and a half points against the Browns.
67:22But Jaden Daniels, I think he's in a heap of trouble, as they say in cars, against Philadelphia Eagles defense.
67:29Yeah, I'm with you. Let's let's actually do this really quick here because we actually got to pay the bills one more time.
67:37So we'll pay the bills. We'll come back. Send in your last second questions, guys.
67:42We will answer them. We'll take one more quick break.
67:45We'll come right back. We got about five minutes left on the show.
67:49Send in and we'll go rapid fire. You know, I get asked, is AI ruining fantasy sports?
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70:32PrizePix. Run your game. All right. We are back.
70:35We are back. One question here. Would you trade Loveland or Drake London and Tee Higgins for Ladd and Olave?
70:42It feels like a very strange deal. Like, I don't know why you make it unless you're trying to say, hey, I'm trying to tier.
70:50Maybe you're scared off with London with the two getting made in the starter and then now this news today.
70:57But I don't know what else you would do unless you're spooked.
71:01I would say that Ladd and Olave feel like safer plays.
71:04I had Olave ahead of London and I had Ladd ahead of Higgins.
71:09So I do prefer Ladd and Olave overall, Jay.
71:12So I would say, yeah, I would trade London and Higgins for Ladd and Olave.
71:17Well, especially when you're trying to start quick and not wait duration for Dynasty.
71:22Because what will happen with Drake London, he's going to present a great buying opportunity.
71:27Right here, if somebody buys and goes for it, you got Ladd, the number one in the Chargers offense.
71:33And then Olave, the number one for the Saints with no Jordan Tyson.
71:37If we believe somebody like Olave is going to be a round one player next year who you were getting at the
71:45back end of round two, maybe early round three.
71:48Sign me up. Give me Ladd and Olave. And funny enough, if it weren't the same trade partner, see if you can
71:55go to the scene of the crime and go acquire Drake London.
71:59Maybe a few weeks where, okay, Michael Penix isn't back and ready.
72:03And there's some fear street out there. So as much as people talk about buying opportunities, Drake London, I think, will present after the first couple of weeks.
72:12Just a great opportunity for a buy low. Funny enough, you thought it'd be crazy to say something like that a few weeks ago.
72:20So absolutely. I will. We will answer the questions that are here.
72:24If you do want your question answered and you're coming in late, just tell us that you like the show and we will pull your question.
72:33Okay. I will grab Nino Pena. But then, like I said, if you guys like the show, let us know that you
72:40like the show and we'll make sure to answer your question.
72:44Nino said Purdy or Kyler Murray this week. I actually prefer Kyler Murray over Purdy this week.
72:50I took the under on Purdy's passing yards today.
72:53I have actually, I'm sorry. I actually prefer Purdy over Kyler.
72:56I had to recheck my rankings. I, I, I, again, I have a little bit of concern with Kyler in that matchup with Gannon.
73:04I think Purdy has set up a little bit better.
73:08They're both sketchy options though this week. I got to be honest.
73:12So I'll just go with the guy who's been in his offense consistently.
73:16You know, so I'll, I'll go with Brock Purdy.
73:19Player profile at ranks has Kyler Murray seven to 14 Brock Purdy.
73:23I would lean towards Purdy until Kyler Murray proofs.
73:26But if you're looking, if your matchup is one of those where you got to take kind of like a Hail Mary and you're heavily not favored.
73:35You know, you're the underdog big. You want to take a swing, an upside swing.
73:40I would go for, so if we're trying to weigh the scale, I would fire off Kyler Murray in that instance.
73:47If you are a little more even or you're favored well, I would just go with the safety and shorty of Brock Purdy.
73:55Beautiful. Jamie and Bio said they like the show.
73:58So I'll pull Bio's question. He said, play Chris Godwin or DJ Moore this week.
74:03I'm going to go with Chris Godwin over DJ Moore this week.
74:07I know I prefer, I like Josh Allen this week.
74:10I don't love DJ Moore in this matchup. Very physical, physical matchup that I don't know that that sets up well for him.
74:18So I'm going to go with Chris Godwin over over DJ Moore here.
74:22It would be bills in the more play. It's very much you can play out of structure, win out of structure because
74:30Josh Allen has done that for his whole career.
74:33So he gets a wide receiver who's like that because structured routes for DJ Moore isn't really his game.
74:39But who is a defense who can kind of hang and make that terrible and just a nightmare for them?
74:46Houston Texans. So give me Chris Godwin. Again, we go back to the 50 and a half over under total for an optimal good conditions.
74:54Buccaneers and Bengals. Yeah, I couldn't have said it better.
74:57We'll pull a couple more questions here and then we will get out of here.
75:02Larry said BTJ or Mike Evans full PPR. I prefer Mike Evans in this one.
75:07I don't really love either guy, but I would go with Evans.
75:11And then we will pull Brian. I don't think we have any other questions.
75:16Brian said Michael Mayer or George Kittle. I'm going to go with Michael Mayer this week.
75:21Player profiler rankings agree with that. So does Jeremiah.
75:24And we will grab PJ and then we're done.
75:27David Montgomery, Stribling or Chris Godwin full PPR. I will go with David Montgomery in this matchup as well.
75:34Again, volume is king and I like his I like his odds in this one here.
75:39Yeah, I go Montgomery, Godwin and then Stribling would be a distant third.
75:43Me too. Me too. All right, folks. Well, thank you guys so much for listening.
75:48If you guys miss anything, make sure you go back.
75:52We went over every single position of our rankings for player profiler.
75:56And then me and Jeremiah talked about where we agree and maybe disagree.
76:00But we are here. Week one is back. We will be back here on Thursday next week.
76:06Jeremiah's defenses and kickers audio side will go out on Sunday this week, I believe.
76:11Right, Jeremiah? And then my waiver wired show will kick off on Tuesday morning at 7 a.m.
76:16And then we'll be back here on Thursday as well.
76:20Make sure you like, make sure you subscribe. Good luck in your matchups and we'll see you next time.
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78:00Why wait?

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