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Fantasy Life Articles fantasy football takes on Tyler Shough

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Fantasy Life Articles about Tyler Shough.

67
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50
Positive
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Negative
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All Fantasy Life Articles insights about Tyler Shough

NegativeProjectionOct 8, 2026
Shough downgrades to borderline QB1 status in Week 5 despite strong season performance. The Vikings have held opposing passers 62 yards below their season average, presenting a tough matchup. New Orleans has the seventh-lowest team total in Freedman's model (19.9). Additionally, Shough has an injury to monitor after leaving practice on Wednesday with a hand injury. Despite averaging 22.2 PPG (5th) through the first four games, the Week 5 matchup and injury concern warrant downgrade consideration.
PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
Shough is QB3 through three weeks with 917 passing yards, eight passing touchdowns, and nine total scores (including rushing); he's projected at 18.2 points for Week 4 and ranked QB8 in projections, but Matthew Berry and Alex Cupps both rank him in the top five at the position. The Saints have dropped back on 69% of plays (second-highest in league) and rank No. 7 in Dropback Over Expectation, a trend unlikely to change with Travis Etienne sidelined.
PositiveProjectionSep 30, 2026
Shough is ranked No. 9 in Week 4 QB rankings and is highlighted as an indoor upgrade against the Falcons. The source notes he was one of 2026 fantasy favorites, posting 256.9 yards passing and 25.0 yards rushing per game after the Week 11 bye last year, and has opened 2026 even stronger with 917 yards passing, 8 TDs, 3 INTs, 7.1 AY/A, and 14-67-1 rushing. Playing his second home game in a row indoors and ranking as the No. 3 QB in fantasy with 24.1 points per game, the source expects Shough to continue strong performance.
PositiveProjectionSep 24, 2026
Shough is a Week 3 start recommendation with QB11 ranking; he ranks second in the NFL in designed rush attempts at 15% (3.5 per game) and is tied with Josh Allen for attempts inside the five-yard line at 1.0 per game. Through two games, he averages 15.5 rushing yards with 4.5 fantasy points per game on the ground, and 294 passing yards with 1.5 TDs per game (excluding overtime). Historically, balanced-archetype QBs averaging 2.5-5.5 rushing points per game are the second-most likely to become league winners. Shough is averaging 19.3 PPG (excluding overtime), and QBs averaging 18-20 points have finished QB8 over the last three seasons. Median projection: 17.5 PPG; ceiling: 23.7; floor: 13.8.
PositiveProjectionSep 24, 2026
Shough ranks second in the NFL in designed rush attempts at 15% (3.5 per game) and is tied with Josh Allen for attempts inside the five-yard line at 1.0 per game. Through two games, he's averaging 15.5 rushing yards with 4.5 fantasy points per game on the ground, and 294 passing yards with 1.5 TDs per game (excluding overtime). Historically, balanced-archetype QBs averaging 2.5-5.5 rushing points per game have been the second-most likely archetype behind dual threats to become league winners. Shough is averaging 19.3 PPG (excluding overtime), and QBs averaging 18-20 points have finished QB8 over the last three seasons. He projects as QB11 for Week 3 with a median of 17.5 PPG, ceiling of 23.7, and floor of 13.8.
PositiveMatchupSep 23, 2026
Shough gets an indoor upgrade after opening the season with consecutive road games; he returns to Caesars Superdome where the Saints have amplified home-field advantage against the out-of-conference Raiders on turf (vs. grass). Shough was one of Matthew Freedman's 2026 fantasy favorites and balled out last year after the Week 11 bye as a second-round rookie (256.9 yards passing, 25.0 yards rushing per game), looking even better in Weeks 1-2 (23.8 fantasy points, 662 yards passing, 13-31-1 rushing). The Raiders might be without CB Darien Porter.
PositiveProjectionSep 10, 2026
Tyler Shough is predicted to finish as a top-five QB in Week 1. From Week 8 on last season, Shough averaged 16.4 fantasy points per game (QB14 pace), flashing rushing and deep-pass upside. He ranked 6th in completion rate (68%), 7th in passing YPG (238.4), and 10th in offensive throw EPA (56.4). He handled 8% of designed rush attempts (1.8 per game) and 20% of inside-the-five carries, averaging 4.5 carries and 20 rushing yards per game. The Week 1 matchup with the Lions is favorable: the game features a ~50-point total, the Saints will need to throw to keep up, and the Lions' secondary is compromised with starting safeties Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph both on IR. Detroit deployed man coverage over 30% of the time last year (top-five rate), and Shough has rushing upside against man-centric defenses. Detroit has ranked top-five in rushing yards per game allowed to opposing QBs in three of the last four years.
PositiveProjectionSep 10, 2026
The source projects Shough to finish as a top-five QB in Week 1 against Detroit. From Week 8 onward last season, Shough averaged 16.4 fantasy points per game (QB14 overall), ranking 6th in completion rate (68%), 7th in passing YPG (238.4), and 10th in offensive throw EPA (56.4). He also added rushing production with 4.5 carries and 20 rushing yards per game, handling 8% of designed rush attempts (1.8 per game) and 20% of inside-the-five carries. The Lions' secondary is compromised with safeties Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph both on IR, and Detroit deployed man coverage over 30% of the time last year (top-five rate). The source notes that quarterback rushing upside is maximized against man-centric defenses, and Detroit has ranked top-five in rushing yards per game allowed to opposing quarterbacks in three of the last four years. The game features a ~50-point total, forcing New Orleans to throw to keep up.
PositiveBreakoutSep 9, 2026
Despite being a second-round rookie last year, Shough balled out after the Week 11 bye as both a passer (256.9 yards per game) and runner (25.0 yards). Freedman lists Shough as one of his 2026 fantasy favorites with breakout upside in his second season. The Lions' safety duo of SS Brian Branch (Achilles, PUP) and FS Kerby Joseph (knee, PUP) are both out to start the year, providing a defensive injury upgrade. For the season, Freedman likes Shough to go over 3,499.5 passing yards.
PositiveSleeperSep 8, 2026
Year 2 QB identified as a sleeper for the 2026 season; finished the final nine games of last season with 250.7 passing yards per game and surpassed 300 yards twice in the final three contests, warranting his starting job. Week 1 matchup against Lions, who allowed 231.4 passing yards on average last season with a secondary in flux. Game Model projects a 49-point game; Shough would need strong output to keep pace with Jared Goff, who averaged 279.4 passing yards and 18 TDs in eight home games.
PositiveSleeperSep 5, 2026
Shough is ranked QB21 with ADP of 144.6 and represents a Year 2 ascending QB in a strong offensive system. After taking over as starter in Week 9, Shough averaged 250.7 passing yards per game over the final nine games of the season, demonstrating upside even against mixed competition. He operates under playcaller Kellen Moore (HC Saints), with top WR Chris Olave, underrated TE Juwan Johnson, and newly acquired Travis Etienne offering receiving potential. Playoff schedule strength: Weeks 15-17 feature two dome games and one in Tampa Bay, all with scoring potential. Shough is a sleeper candidate for late-season performance, with potential Jordyn Tyson hamstring recovery adding depth to the receiving corps.
PositiveProjectionSep 1, 2026
Tyler Shough is the source's favorite Week 1 quarterback streamer, projected at 250.5 passing yards (QB8). From Week 8 on last season, Shough averaged 16.4 fantasy points per game (QB14 among qualified passers), flashing rushing and deep-pass upside. He ranked 6th in completion rate (68%), 7th in passing YPG (238.4), and 10th in offensive throw EPA (56.4), while handling 8% of designed rush attempts (1.8 per game) and 20% of inside-the-5 carries, averaging 4.5 carries and 20 rushing yards per game. The Week 1 matchup is very favorable: the Lions deploy man coverage over 30% of the time (top-5 rate), which creates quarterback rushing upside when defenders' backs are turned. The source also buys the passing projection, expecting the Saints to keep pace with Detroit's offense against a Lions secondary missing both starting safeties Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph.
PositiveSleeperAug 15, 2026
Shough is a dark-horse candidate to finish as a top-5 fantasy QB at a bargain ADP of QB20. After taking over as Saints starter last season, he averaged 7.6 adjusted yards per attempt, 250+ passing yards per game, 10 touchdown passes, and three touchdown runs, finishing QB9 overall (QB12 in points per game) and QB5 over his final five games. The Saints added Jordyn Tyson (ninth overall pick, considered most talented receiver in draft class) and signed Travis Etienne, improving the offense. QBs typically make their biggest statistical jumps between first and second seasons, and while Shough isn't a top prospect, progression should be expected.
PositiveProjectionAug 12, 2026
Shough has strong upside; after his bye last season, he scored at least 16.4 fantasy points in six of seven appearances, including two games above 20 points. For perspective, Jared Goff exceeded 20 fantasy points six times in 2025. The drafter likes the Saints offense in Year 2 under Kellen Moore, and Shough plays in a division that could lead to fantasy-friendly environments. He gives enough upside and stability without paying the premium price at quarterback.
PositiveProjectionJul 30, 2026
Tyler Shough, the Saints' potential QB of the future, made his first start in Week 9 and started the final nine games of the regular season. Quarterbacks tend to make some of their biggest statistical leaps between their first and second seasons, as evidenced by Drake Maye's improvement from 6.3 to 9.5 adjusted yards per attempt. While Shough likely won't make that type of leap, any improvement could result in a second straight career year for Chris Olave and overall offensive improvement.
PositiveBreakoutJul 28, 2026
The source highlights Tyler Shough as a potential late-round breakout candidate. The 26-year-old rookie took over in Week 9 and finished 13th in EPA per dropback despite playing under first-time HC Kellen Moore with limited receiving weapons (Mason Tipton, Devaughn Vele, Dante Pettis, Chris Olave). With a full offseason to acclimate to Moore's system and the addition of Jordyn Tyson, the source suggests Shough has the rushing and throwing acumen to challenge for a top-12 QB finish, making him a viable late-round QB selection.